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2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New York

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2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New York

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →

All 27 New York seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 21 6
Seats won 19 8
Seat change Decrease 2 Increase 2
Popular vote 5,084,863 2,978,407
Percentage 61.96% 36.29%
Swing Decrease 5.20% Increase 5.07%

Results:
     Democratic hold
     Republican hold      Republican gain

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New York were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the 27 U.S. representatives from the State of New York, one from each of the state's 27 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The primary election was held on June 23, 2020.

Overview

[edit]
2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New York
Party Votes Percentage Seats +/–
Democratic 4,728,613 57.55% 19 Decrease 2
Republican 2,696,731 32.82% 8 Increase 2
Working Families 352,682 4.29% 0
Conservative 315,541 3.84% 0
Independence 50,045 0.61% 0
Libertarian 42,495 0.52% 0
Green 13,902 0.17% 0
Serve America 8,842 0.11% 0
Independent 7,472 0.09% 0
Totals 8,216,323 100.00% 27
Popular vote
Democratic
57.55%
Republican
32.82%
Other
9.63%
House seats by party nomination
Democratic
70.37%
Working Families
48.15%
Independence
33.33%
Conservative
29.63%
Republican
29.63%
Serve America
11.11%
Libertarian
3.70%
House seats by party registration
Democratic
70.37%
Republican
29.63%

District

[edit]

Results of the 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New York by district:

District Democratic Republican Others Total Result
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
District 1 169,294 45.14% 205,715 54.86% 0 0.00% 375,009 100.00% Republican hold
District 2 154,246 46.03% 177,379 52.94% 3,448 1.03% 335,073 100.00% Republican hold
District 3 208,555 55.97% 161,931 43.45% 2,156 0.58% 372,642 100.00% Democratic hold
District 4 199,762 56.15% 153,007 43.00% 3,024 0.85% 355,793 100.00% Democratic hold
District 5 229,125 100.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 229,125 100.00% Democratic hold
District 6 158,862 67.98% 74,829 32.02% 0 0.00% 233,691 100.00% Democratic hold
District 7 191,073 84.88% 32,520 14.45% 1,522 0.68% 225,115 100.00% Democratic hold
District 8 234,933 84.83% 42,007 15.17% 0 0.00% 276,940 100.00% Democratic hold
District 9 230,221 83.15% 43,950 15.87% 2,696 0.97% 276,867 100.00% Democratic hold
District 10 206,310 74.60% 66,889 24.18% 3,370 1.22% 276,569 100.00% Democratic hold
District 11 137,198 46.86% 155,608 53.14% 0 0.00% 292,806 100.00% Republican gain
District 12 265,172 82.29% 53,061 16.47% 4,015 1.25% 322,248 100.00% Democratic hold
District 13 231,841 90.93% 19,829 7.78% 3,295 1.29% 254,965 100.00% Democratic hold
District 14 152,661 71.64% 58,440 27.42% 2,000 0.94% 213,101 100.00% Democratic hold
District 15 169,533 88.87% 21,221 11.12% 0 0.00% 190,754 100.00% Democratic hold
District 16 218,514 84.17% 0 0.00% 41,094 15.83% 259,608 100.00% Democratic hold
District 17 197,354 59.33% 117,309 35.26% 17,995 5.41% 332,658 100.00% Democratic hold
District 18 187,444 55.83% 145,145 43.23% 3,164 0.94% 335,753 100.00% Democratic hold
District 19 192,100 54.79% 151,475 43.20% 7,023 2.00% 350,598 100.00% Democratic hold
District 20 219,705 61.17% 139,446 38.83% 0 0.00% 359,151 100.00% Democratic hold
District 21 131,995 41.16% 188,655 58.83% 0 0.00% 320,650 100.00% Republican hold
District 22 155,989 47.77% 156,098 47.77% 6,780 2.08% 326,566 100.00% Republican gain
District 23 128,976 41.11% 181,021 57.70% 3,650 1.16% 313,724 100.00% Republican hold
District 24 147,877 42.99% 182,809 53.15% 13,264 3.86% 343,950 100.00% Republican hold
District 25 206,396 59.32% 136,198 39.15% 5,325 1.53% 347,919 100.00% Democratic hold
District 26 223,366 69.87% 91,706 28.68% 4,631 1.45% 319,703 100.00% Democratic hold
District 27 149,449 39.00% 228,885 59.73% 4,877 1.27% 383,211 100.00% Republican hold
Total 5,097,951 61.99% 2,985,133 36.30% 133,329 1.62% 8,224,189 100.00%

District 1

[edit]
2020 New York's 1st congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Lee Zeldin Nancy Goroff
Party Republican Democratic
Alliance Conservative
Independence
Working Families
Popular vote 205,715 169,294
Percentage 54.9% 45.1%

County results
Zeldin:      50–60%

Precinct results
Zeldin:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Goroff:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      50%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Lee Zeldin
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Lee Zeldin
Republican

The 1st district is based in eastern Long Island, and includes most of central and eastern Suffolk County, including most of Smithtown and all of Brookhaven, Riverhead, Southold, Southampton, East Hampton, and Shelter Island. The incumbent was Republican Lee Zeldin, who was reelected with 51.5% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
Failed to qualify for ballot
[edit]
  • David Gokhshtein, cryptocurrency entrepreneur[7]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Bridget Fleming

U.S. representatives

State officials

Individuals

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Gregory-John
Fischer
Bridget
Fleming
Perry
Gershon
Nancy
Goroff
Undecided
Honan Strategy Group[13][A] May 24–31, 2020 640 (LV) ± 3.85% 29% 22% 29%
Global Strategy Group[14][B] May 26–28, 2020 401 (LV) ± 4.9% 1% 17% 29% 27%
Global Strategy Group[14][B] Early April 2020 – (V)[b] 1% 16% 33% 11%
GBAO Strategies[15][C] January 27–30, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 21% 42% 9%

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Nancy Goroff 17,970 36.1
Democratic Perry Gershon 17,303 34.8
Democratic Bridget Fleming 13,718 27.6
Democratic Gregory-John Fischer 775 1.5
Total votes 49,766 100.0

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Nancy Goroff

Executive branch officials

U.S. senators

Organizations

Unions

Newspapers and other publications

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[35] Lean R August 16, 2020
Inside Elections[36] Lean R October 16, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Lean R September 3, 2020
Politico[38] Lean R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[39] Likely R June 3, 2020
RCP[40] Lean R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[41] Lean R June 7, 2020

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Lee
Zeldin (R)
Nancy
Goroff (D)
Undecided
GQR Research (D)[42][D] October 5–8, 2020 402 (LV) ± 4.9% 49% 48% 2%
Tulchin Research (D)[43][E] August 5–10, 2020 400 (LV) ±  4.9% 46% 48%
Global Strategy Group (D)[44][B] August 3–5, 2020 400 (LV) ±  4.9% 47% 42%
Public Policy Polling (D)[45][D] July 14–15, 2020 1,100 (V) ±  3.0% 47% 40%

Results

[edit]
New York's 1st congressional district, 2020[46][47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Lee Zeldin 180,855 48.2
Conservative Lee Zeldin 21,611 5.8
Independence Lee Zeldin 3,249 0.9
Total Lee Zeldin (incumbent) 205,715 54.9
Democratic Nancy Goroff 160,978 42.9
Working Families Nancy Goroff 8,316 2.2
Total Nancy Goroff 169,294 45.1
Total votes 375,009 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

[edit]
2020 New York's 2nd congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Andrew Garbarino Jackie Gordon
Party Republican Democratic
Alliance Conservative
Libertarian
SAM
Working Families
Independence
Popular vote 177,379 154,246
Percentage 52.9% 46.0%

County results
Garbarino:      60–70%
Gordon:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Peter T. King
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Andrew Garbarino
Republican

The 2nd district is based on the South Shore of Long Island, and includes the southwestern Suffolk County communities of Amityville, Copiague, Lindenhurst, Gilgo, West Babylon, Wyandanch, North Babylon, Babylon, Baywood, Brentwood, Brightwaters, Central Islip, Islip, Great River, Ocean Beach, Oakdale, West Sayville, Bohemia, West Islip and Ronkonkoma, in addition to a sliver of southeastern Nassau County encompassing Levittown, North Wantagh, Seaford, South Farmingdale and Massapequa. The incumbent was Republican Peter T. King, who was reelected with 53.1% of the vote in 2018.[1] On November 11, 2019, King announced he would retire after more than 26 years in Congress.[48]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Andrew Garbarino (R)

Federal politicians

Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Hypothetical polling

with Rick Lazio and Lara Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Rick
Lazio
Lara
Trump
Undecided
WPA Intelligence/Club for Growth[66][F] November 17–18, 2019 400 (LV) 19% 53% 28%

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Andrew Garbarino 17,462 63.9
Republican Mike LiPetri 9,867 36.1
Total votes 27,329 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Jackie Gordon, Babylon town councilwoman and U.S. Army veteran[67]
  • Patricia Maher, attorney and nominee for New York's 2nd congressional district in 2014[68]
Failed to qualify for ballot
[edit]
  • Mike Sax, political blogger[7]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jackie Gordon 25,317 72.8
Democratic Patricia Maher 9,475 27.2
Total votes 34,792 100.0

Green Party

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Harry R. Burger, mechanical design engineer[86]

Independents

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Daniel Craig Ross, administrative assistant and activist[87]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[35] Tossup September 29, 2020
Inside Elections[36] Tossup September 18, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Lean R September 3, 2020
Politico[38] Tossup September 8, 2020
Daily Kos[39] Tossup August 31, 2020
RCP[40] Tossup June 9, 2020
Niskanen[41] Lean R July 26, 2020

Results

[edit]
New York's 2nd congressional district, 2020[46][47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Andrew Garbarino 158,151 47.2
Conservative Andrew Garbarino 17,434 5.2
Libertarian Andrew Garbarino 1,491 0.4
SAM Andrew Garbarino 303 0.1
Total Andrew Garbarino 177,379 52.9
Democratic Jackie Gordon 144,849 43.2
Working Families Jackie Gordon 6,380 1.9
Independence Jackie Gordon 3,017 0.9
Total Jackie Gordon 154,246 46.0
Green Harry Burger 3,448 1.1
Total votes 335,073 100.0
Republican hold

District 3

[edit]
2020 New York's 3rd congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Tom Suozzi George Santos
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families
Independence
Conservative
Popular vote 208,555 161,931
Percentage 55.9% 43.4%

County results
Suozzi:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Tom Suozzi
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Tom Suozzi
Democratic

The 3rd district is based on the North Shore of Long Island, and includes the northwestern Suffolk County and northern Nassau County communities of West Hills, Sands Point, Laurel Hollow, Upper Brookville, Munsey Park, Brookville, Oyster Bay Cove, Old Brookville, Kings Point, Lattingtown, Matinecock, Muttontown, Lloyd Harbor, Syosset, Glen Cove, Roslyn, Manhasset, Huntington, Dix Hills, Plainview, Bethpage, northern Farmingdale, Hicksville, Northport, Commack, Port Washington, and Great Neck. Queens neighborhoods in the district include Little Neck, Whitestone, Glen Oaks, and Floral Park. The incumbent was Democrat Tom Suozzi, who was re-elected with 59.0% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Melanie D'Arrigo, activist and healthcare professional[88]
  • Tom Suozzi, incumbent U.S. representative
  • Michael Weinstock, former prosecutor[89]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tom Suozzi (incumbent) 36,812 66.5
Democratic Melanie D'Arrigo 14,269 25.8
Democratic Michael Weinstock 4,284 7.7
Total votes 55,365 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
George Santos

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[35] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[36] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[38] Likely D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[39] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[40] Likely D October 24, 2020
Niskanen[41] Safe D June 7, 2020

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Tom
Suozzi (D)
George
Santos (R)
Undecided
Douma Research (R)[100] August 1–2, 2020 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 50% 39% 11%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Douma Research (R)[100] August 1–2, 2020 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 46% 41% 13%

Results

[edit]
New York's 3rd congressional district, 2020[46][47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tom Suozzi 196,056 52.6
Working Families Tom Suozzi 9,203 2.5
Independence Tom Suozzi 3,296 0.9
Total Tom Suozzi (incumbent) 208,555 55.9
Republican George Santos 147,461 39.6
Conservative George Santos 14,470 3.9
Total George Santos 161,931 43.4
Libertarian Howard Rabin 2,156 0.5
Total votes 372,642 100.0
Democratic hold

District 4

[edit]
2020 New York's 4th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Kathleen Rice Douglas Tuman
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Conservative
Popular vote 199,762 153,007
Percentage 56.1% 43.0%

County results
Rice:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Kathleen Rice
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Kathleen Rice
Democratic

The 4th district is based central and southern Nassau County, and includes the communities of Baldwin, Bellmore, East Rockaway, East Meadow, the Five Towns, Lynbrook, Floral Park, Franklin Square, Garden City, Hempstead, Long Beach, Malverne, Freeport, Merrick, Mineola, Carle Place, New Hyde Park, Oceanside, Rockville Centre, Roosevelt, Uniondale, Wantagh, West Hempstead, Westbury and parts of Valley Stream. The incumbent was Democrat Kathleen Rice, who was re-elected with 61.3% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Kathleen Rice

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Cindy Grosz, publicist[101]
  • Douglas Tuman, attorney[101]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Douglas Tuman 10,898 71.7
Republican Cindy Grosz 4,292 28.3
Total votes 15,190 100.0

Green Party

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[35] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[36] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[38] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[39] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[40] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[41] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
New York's 4th congressional district, 2020[47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kathleen Rice (incumbent) 199,762 56.1
Republican Douglas Tuman 139,559 39.2
Conservative Douglas Tuman 13,448 3.8
Total Douglas Tuman 153,007 43.0
Green Joseph R. Naham 3,024 0.9
Total votes 355,793 100.0
Democratic hold

District 5

[edit]
2020 New York's 5th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Gregory Meeks
Party Democratic
Popular vote 229,125
Percentage 100.0%

County results
Meeks:      >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Gregory Meeks
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Gregory Meeks
Democratic

The 5th district is based mostly in southeastern Queens, and includes all of the Rockaway Peninsula and the neighborhoods of Broad Channel, Cambria Heights, Hollis, Jamaica, Laurelton, Queens Village, Rosedale, Saint Albans, Springfield Gardens, and South Ozone Park, as well as John F. Kennedy International Airport, as well as parts of Nassau County including Inwood and portions of Valley Stream and Elmont. The incumbent was Democrat Gregory Meeks, who was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
Endorsements
[edit]
Shaniyat Chowdhury

Organizations

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gregory Meeks (incumbent) 50,044 75.8
Democratic Shaniyat Chowdhury 15,951 24.2
Total votes 65,995 100.0

Independents

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Amit Lal, logistics coordinator[7]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[35] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[36] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[38] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[39] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[40] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[41] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
New York's 5th congressional district, 2020[47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gregory Meeks (incumbent) 229,125 100.0
Total votes 229,125 100.0
Democratic hold

District 6

[edit]
2020 New York's 6th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Grace Meng Tom Zmich
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families Conservative
Libertarian
Save Our City
Popular vote 158,862 74,829
Percentage 68.0% 32.0%

County results
Meng:      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Grace Meng
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Grace Meng
Democratic

The 6th district encompasses northeastern Queens, taking in the neighborhoods of Elmhurst, Flushing, Forest Hills, Kew Gardens, and Bayside. The incumbent was Democrat Grace Meng, who was re-elected in 2018 with 90.9% of the vote, without major-party opposition.[1]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Sandra Choi, economic development policy expert[106]
  • Mel Gagarin, activist[107]
  • Grace Meng, incumbent U.S. representative[103]

Endorsements

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Grace Meng (incumbent) 30,759 65.5
Democratic Mel Gagarin 9,447 20.1
Democratic Sandra Choi 6,757 14.4
Total votes 46,963 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Tom Zmich, U.S. Army veteran[113]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[35] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[36] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[38] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[39] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[40] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[41] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
New York's 6th congressional district, 2020[47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Grace Meng 144,149 61.7
Working Families Grace Meng 14,713 6.3
Total Grace Meng (incumbent) 158,862 68.0
Republican Tom Zmich 67,735 29.0
Conservative Tom Zmich 5,231 2.2
Save Our City Tom Zmich 1,109 0.5
Libertarian Tom Zmich 754 0.3
Total Tom Zmich 74,829 32.0
Total votes 233,691 100.0
Democratic hold

District 7

[edit]
2020 New York's 7th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Nydia Velázquez Brian Kelly
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families Conservative
Popular vote 191,073 32,520
Percentage 84.9% 14.4%

County results
Velazquez:      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Nydia Velázquez
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Nydia Velázquez
Democratic

The 7th district takes in the Queens neighborhoods of Maspeth, Ridgewood, and Woodhaven; the Brooklyn neighborhoods of Brooklyn Heights, Boerum Hill, Bushwick, Carroll Gardens, Cobble Hill, Dumbo, East New York, East Williamsburg, Greenpoint, Gowanus, Red Hook, Sunset Park, and Williamsburg; and parts of Manhattan's Lower East Side and East Village. The incumbent was Democrat Nydia Velázquez, who was re-elected with 93.4% of the vote, without major-party opposition.[1]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Nydia Velázquez (incumbent) 56,698 80.1
Democratic Paperboy Love Prince 14,120 19.9
Total votes 70,818 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Brian Kelly
Withdrew
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[35] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[36] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[38] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[39] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[40] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[41] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
New York's 7th congressional district, 2020[46][47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Nydia Velázquez 156,889 69.7
Working Families Nydia Velázquez 34,184 15.2
Total Nydia Velázquez (incumbent) 191,073 84.9
Republican Brian Kelly 29,404 13.1
Conservative Brian Kelly 3,116 1.3
Total Brian Kelly 32,520 14.4
Libertarian Gilbert Midonnet 1,522 0.7
Total votes 225,115 100.0
Democratic hold

District 8

[edit]
2020 New York's 8th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Hakeem Jeffries Garfield Wallace
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families Conservative
Popular vote 234,933 42,007
Percentage 84.8% 15.2%

County results
Jeffries:      50–60%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Hakeem Jeffries
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Hakeem Jeffries
Democratic

The 8th district is centered around eastern Brooklyn, taking in Downtown Brooklyn, Bed-Stuy, Canarsie, and Coney Island, as well as a small portion of Queens encompassing Howard Beach. The incumbent was Democrat Hakeem Jeffries, who was re-elected with 94.3% of the vote, without major-party opposition.[1]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Hakeem Jeffries

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[35] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[36] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[38] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[39] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[40] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[41] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
New York's 8th congressional district, 2020[47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Hakeem Jeffries 207,111 74.8
Working Families Hakeem Jeffries 27,822 10.0
Total Hakeem Jeffries (incumbent) 234,933 84.8
Republican Garfield Wallace 39,124 14.1
Conservative Garfield Wallace 2,883 1.1
Total Garfield Wallace 42,007 15.2
Total votes 276,940 100.0
Democratic hold

District 9

[edit]
2020 New York's 9th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Yvette Clarke Constantin Jean-Pierre
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families Conservative
Popular vote 230,221 43,950
Percentage 83.1% 15.9%

County results
Clarke:      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Yvette Clarke
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Yvette Clarke
Democratic

The 9th district encompasses Central and Southern Brooklyn, and includes the neighborhoods of Brownsville, Crown Heights, East Flatbush, Flatbush, Kensington, Park Slope, Prospect Heights, Midwood, Sheepshead Bay, Marine Park, Gerritsen Beach and Prospect Lefferts Gardens. Prospect Park, Grand Army Plaza and the Grand Army Plaza Greenmarket. The incumbent was Democrat Yvette Clarke, who was re-elected with 89.3% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Did not qualify for ballot access

[edit]
  • Michael Hiller, plaintiff litigator[7]
  • Alex Hubbard, data scientist[7]

Endorsements

[edit]
Adem Bunkeddeko (D)

Organizations

Newspapers and media

Chaim Deutsch (D)

State legislators

Local officials

Organizations

Unions

Newspapers and media

Isiah James (D)

Organizations

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Yvette Clarke (incumbent) 52,293 54.3
Democratic Adem Bunkeddeko 23,819 24.7
Democratic Isiah James 10,010 10.4
Democratic Chaim Deutsch 9,383 9.7
Democratic Lutchi Gayot 843 0.9
Total votes 96,348 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Constantin Jean-Pierre, nonprofit executive[139]

Serve America Movement

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Joel Anabilah-Azumah, businessman and Reform candidate for New York's 9th congressional district in 2018[140]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[35] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[36] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[38] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[39] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[40] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[41] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
New York's 9th congressional district, 2020[46][47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Yvette Clarke 195,758 70.7
Working Families Yvette Clarke 34,463 12.4
Total Yvette Clarke (incumbent) 230,221 83.1
Republican Constantin Jean-Pierre 40,110 14.5
Conservative Constantin Jean-Pierre 3,840 1.4
Total Constantin Jean-Pierre 43,950 15.9
Libertarian Gary Popkin 1,644 0.6
SAM Joel Anabilah-Azumah 1,052 0.4
Total votes 276,867 100.0
Democratic hold

District 10

[edit]
2020 New York's 10th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Jerry Nadler Cathy Bernstein
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families Conservative
Popular vote 206,310 66,889
Percentage 74.6% 24.2%

County results
Nadler:      80–90%
Bernstein:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Jerry Nadler
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Jerry Nadler
Democratic

The 10th district stretches across the southern part of Morningside Heights, the Upper West Side, the west side of Midtown Manhattan, the west side of Lower Manhattan including Greenwich Village and the Financial District, and parts of southern Brooklyn, including Borough Park. The incumbent was Democrat Jerry Nadler, who was re-elected with 82.1% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
Did not qualify for ballot access
[edit]
  • Darryl Hendricks, personal trainer[7]
  • Holly Lynch, former advertising executive[7]
  • Robert Wyman, co-founder of a geothermal heating business[142]
Withdrew
[edit]

Debates

[edit]
Host

network

Date Link(s) Participants
Lindsey
Boylan
Jonathan
Herzog
Jerry
Nadler
Spectrum News NY1 June 17, 2020 [144] Present Present Present

Endorsements

[edit]
Lindsey Boylan

Organizations

Jonathan Herzog

Politicians

  • Andrew Yang, businessman, entrepreneur, non-profit leader and 2020 Presidential Candidate[146]

Individuals

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jerry Nadler (incumbent) 51,054 67.7
Democratic Lindsey Boylan 16,511 21.9
Democratic Jonathan Herzog 7,829 10.4
Total votes 75,394 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Cathy Bernstein, financial advisor[162]

Endorsements

[edit]
Dylan Stevenson

Independents

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Jeanne Nigro, self-help minister[7]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[35] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[36] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[38] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[39] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[40] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[41] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
New York's 10th congressional district, 2020[47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jerry Nadler 181,215 65.5
Working Families Jerry Nadler 25,095 9.1
Total Jerry Nadler (incumbent) 206,310 74.6
Republican Cathy Bernstein 61,045 22.1
Conservative Cathy Bernstein 5,844 2.1
Total Cathy Bernstein 66,889 24.2
Libertarian Michael Madrid 3,370 1.2
Total votes 276,569 100.0
Democratic hold

District 11

[edit]
2020 New York's 11th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Nicole Malliotakis Max Rose
Party Republican Democratic
Alliance Conservative Independence
Popular vote 155,608 137,198
Percentage 53.2% 46.8%

County results
Malliotakis:      50–60%
Rose:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Max Rose
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Nicole Malliotakis
Republican

The 11th district contains the entirety of Staten Island and parts of southern Brooklyn, including the neighborhoods of Bay Ridge, Bath Beach, Dyker Heights, southwestern Gravesend, western Sheepshead Bay, and parts of southern Bensonhurst. The incumbent was Democrat Max Rose, who flipped the district and was elected with 53.0% of the vote in 2018, only the second time the House district flipped blue for the Democratic Party since Republicans won the seat in 1980.[1]

Based on city and state-reported election night results, with all election districts reporting, in 2020 the traditionally conservative 11th district reverted to the Republican Party. While polls had predicted a close race, Conservative/Republican challenger Assemblywoman Nicole Malliotakis defeated Democratic freshman incumbent Rose to win the seat back for the GOP by a 6.4 point margin. Malliotakis earned 53.2 percent of the vote in the district over Rose's 46.8 percent. Malliotakis won her home borough of Staten Island while Rose won the Brooklyn portion of the district. Rose formally conceded the race to Malliotakis on November 12.[164] Final recanvassing and certification of results happened within 25 days of the November 3 general election.[165][166]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Joe Calaredra

Organizations

Individuals

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Nicole Malliotakis 15,697 69.0
Republican Joe Caldarera 7,046 31.0
Total votes 22,743 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[35] Tossup August 21, 2020
Inside Elections[36] Tossup September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Lean D November 2, 2020
Politico[38] Tossup April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[39] Tossup June 3, 2020
RCP[40] Tossup June 9, 2020
Niskanen[41] Lean D June 7, 2020

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Max
Rose (D)
Nicole
Malliotakis (R)
Other Undecided
Marist College/NBC[196] October 19–21, 2020 650 (LV) ± 4.7% 46% 48% 1% 5%

Results

[edit]
New York's 11th congressional district, 2020[47][165][166]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Nicole Malliotakis 143,420 49.0
Conservative Nicole Malliotakis 12,188 4.2
Total Nicole Malliotakis 155,608 53.2
Democratic Max Rose 134,625 46.0
Independence Max Rose 2,573 0.8
Total Max Rose (incumbent) 137,198 46.8
Total votes 292,806 100.0
Republican gain from Democratic

District 12

[edit]
2020 New York's 12th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Carolyn Maloney Carlos Santiago-Cano
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Conservative
Popular vote 265,172 53,061
Percentage 82.3% 16.5%

County results
Maloney:      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Carolyn Maloney
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Carolyn Maloney
Democratic

The 12th district includes several neighborhoods in the East Side of Manhattan, the Greenpoint section of Brooklyn, western Queens, including Astoria and Long Island City. The incumbent was Democrat Carolyn Maloney, who was re-elected with 86.4% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
Declined
[edit]
Endorsements
[edit]
Lauren Ashcraft

Individuals

Organizations

Carolyn Maloney

State elected officials

Local officials

  • Ben Kallos, New York City Councilmember (District 5) since 2014[205]
  • Christine Quinn, former Speaker of the New York City Council (2006–2013), former New York City Councilmember (1999–2013)[205]

Organizations

Newspapers and media

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Carolyn Maloney (incumbent) 40,362 42.8
Democratic Suraj Patel 37,106 39.4
Democratic Lauren Ashcraft 12,810 13.6
Democratic Peter Harrison 4,001 4.2
Total votes 94,279 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Carlos Santiago-Cano, real estate broker[7]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[35] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[36] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[38] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[39] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[40] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[41] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
New York's 12th congressional district, 2020[47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Carolyn Maloney (incumbent) 265,172 82.3
Republican Carlos Santiago-Cano 49,157 15.3
Conservative Carlos Santiago-Cano 3,904 1.2
Total Carlos Santiago-Cano 53,061 16.5
Libertarian Steven Kolln 4,015 1.2
Total votes 322,248 100.0
Democratic hold

District 13

[edit]
2020 New York's 13th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Adriano Espaillat Lovelynn Gwinn
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families
Popular vote 231,841 19,829
Percentage 90.9% 7.8%

County results
Espaillat:      80–90%      >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Adriano Espaillat
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Adriano Espaillat
Democratic

The 13th district encompasses the Upper Manhattan neighborhoods of Harlem, Washington Heights, and Inwood, as well the western Bronx neighborhoods of Kingsbridge and Bedford Park. The incumbent was Democrat Adriano Espaillat, who was re-elected with 94.6% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Adriano Espaillat, incumbent U.S. representative
  • James Felton Keith, entrepreneur[7]
  • Ramon Rodriguez, business etiquette executive[7]

Endorsements

[edit]
James Felton Keith

Individuals

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Adriano Espaillat (incumbent) 46,066 59.3
Democratic James Felton Keith 19,799 25.5
Democratic Ramon Rodriguez 11,859 15.2
Total votes 77,724 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Lovelynn Gwinn, landlord[7]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[35] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[36] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[38] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[39] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[40] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[41] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
New York's 13th congressional district, 2020[47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Adriano Espaillat 202,916 79.6
Working Families Adriano Espaillat 28,925 11.3
Total Adriano Espaillat (incumbent) 231,841 90.9
Republican Lovelynn Gwinn 19,829 7.8
Conservative Christopher Morris-Perry 3,295 1.3
Total votes 254,965 100.0
Democratic hold

District 14

[edit]
2020 New York's 14th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Candidate Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez John Cummings
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Conservative
Popular vote 152,661 58,440
Percentage 71.6% 27.4%

County results
Ocasio-Cortez:      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Democratic

The 14th district covers the eastern part of the Bronx and part of north-central Queens, including the neighborhoods of College Point, Corona, East Elmhurst, Jackson Heights, and Woodside. The incumbent was Democrat Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who had been elected with 78.2% of the vote in 2018.[1] Ocasio-Cortez easily won the Democratic primary against former CNBC anchor Michelle Caruso-Cabrera. Her large margin of victory was partly attributed by Fortune's Rey Mashayekhi to her substantial fundraising advantage and focus on digital advertising.[216]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Debates

[edit]
Host

network

Date Link(s) Participants
Alexandria

Ocasio-Cortez

Michelle

Caruso-Cabrera

Badrun

Khan

Sam

Sloan

BronxNet May 18, 2020 [226] Present Present Present Present
Spectrum News NY1 June 4, 2020 [227] Present Present Present Absent
Endorsements
[edit]
Fernando Cabrera (withdrew)

Newspapers and media

Michelle Caruso-Cabrera
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (incumbent) 46,582 74.6
Democratic Michelle Caruso-Cabrera 11,339 18.2
Democratic Badrun Khan 3,119 5.0
Democratic Sam Sloan 1,406 2.2
Total votes 62,446 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • John Cummings, former police officer[241]

Withdrawn

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[35] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[36] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[38] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[39] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[40] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[41] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
New York's 14th congressional district, 2020[47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (incumbent) 152,661 71.6
Republican John Cummings 52,477 24.6
Conservative John Cummings 5,963 2.8
Total John Cummings 58,440 27.4
SAM Michelle Caruso-Cabrera 2,000 0.9
Total votes 213,101 100.0
Democratic hold

District 15

[edit]
2020 New York's 15th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Ritchie Torres Patrick Delices
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Conservative
Popular vote 169,533 21,221
Percentage 88.9% 11.1%

County results
Torres:      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

José E. Serrano
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Ritchie Torres
Democratic

The 15th district is located entirely within the Bronx, including the neighborhoods of Hunts Point, Castle Hill, and Tremont. According to the Cook Partisan Voting Index, the 15th district is one of the most Democratic congressional districts in the country, with a PVI of D+39. As a result, victory in the Democratic primary in the district would be tantamount to election.[citation needed] The incumbent Democrat, José E. Serrano, announced on March 25, 2019, that he had been diagnosed with Parkinson's disease and would not be seeking re-election.[246]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Marlene Cintron, president of the Bronx Overall Economic Development Corporation[256]
  • David P. Franks Jr., New York City police Sergeant (write-in)[257]
Declined
[edit]

Debates

[edit]
Host

network

Date Link(s) Participants
Michael

Blake

Rubén

Díaz Sr.

Samelys López Melissa Mark-Viverito Chivona Newsome Jonathan

Ortiz

Julio

Pabon

Tomas

Ramos

Ydanis

Rodríguez

Ritchie

Torres

Frangell

Basora

Marlene

Tapper

Gotham Gazelle May 15, 2020 [264] Present Absent Present Present Present Absent Absent Present Present Present Present Absent
BronxNet June 1, 2020 [265] Present Absent Present Present Present Present Present Present Present Present Present Present
News 12 The Bronx June 9, 2020 [266] Present Absent Present Present Present Absent Present Present Present Present Present Absent
Spectrum News NY1 June 10, 2020 [267] Present Absent Present Present Absent Absent Absent Absent Present Present Absent Absent

Endorsements

[edit]
Michael Blake (D)

Federal politicians

Organizations

Individuals

Rubén Díaz Sr. (D)
Samelys Lopez (D)

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Individuals

Organizations

Parties

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Michael
Blake
Rubén
Díaz
Ydanis
Rodríguez
Ritchie
Torres
Melissa
Mark-Viverito
Samelys
López
Other Undecided
Data for Progress[294] May 21–24, 2020 323 (LV) 6% 22% 6% 20% 6% 2% 3%[c] 34%

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ritchie Torres 19,090 32.2
Democratic Michael Blake 10,725 18.1
Democratic Rubén Díaz Sr. 8,559 14.4
Democratic Samelys López 8,272 13.9
Democratic Ydanis Rodríguez 6,291 10.6
Democratic Melissa Mark-Viverito 2,561 4.3
Democratic Tomás Ramos 1,442 2.4
Democratic Chivona Newsome 1,366 2.3
Democratic Marlene Tapper 392 0.7
Democratic Julio Pabon 244 0.4
Democratic Frangell Basora 189 0.3
Democratic Mark Escoffery-Bay 153 0.3
Total votes 59,284 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Orlando Molina

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[35] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[36] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[38] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[39] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[40] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[41] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
New York's 15th congressional district, 2020[47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ritchie Torres 169,533 88.9
Republican Patrick Delices 18,984 9.9
Conservative Patrick Delices 2,237 1.2
Total Patrick Delices 21,221 11.1
Total votes 190,754 100.0
Democratic hold

District 16

[edit]
2020 New York's 16th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Jamaal Bowman Patrick McManus
Party Democratic Conservative
Popular vote 218,514 41,094
Percentage 84.2% 15.8%

County results
Bowman:      80–90%      >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Eliot Engel
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Jamaal Bowman
Democratic

The 16th district contains the northern parts of the Bronx and the southern half of Westchester County, including the cities of Mount Vernon, Yonkers, and Rye. The incumbent was Democrat Eliot Engel.[295]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Kenny Belvin, political scientist (endorsed Ghebreghiorgis)[297][298]
  • Andom Ghebreghiorgis, special education teacher[299] (endorsed Bowman)[300]

Debates

[edit]
Host

network

Date Link(s) Participants
Eliot

Engel

Jamaal

Bowman

Christopher

Fink

Sammy

Ravelo

BronxNet June 2, 2020 [301] Present Present Present Present
Spectrum News NY1 June 9, 2020 [302] Present Present Present Absent

Endorsements

[edit]
Jamaal Bowman

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

Municipal officials

Individuals

Organizations

Parties

Newspapers and media

Eliot Engel

Executive officials

  • Hillary Clinton, 67th United States Secretary of State (2009–2013), Senator from New York (2001–2009) and 2016 Democratic presidential nominee[326]

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

Local officials

Individuals

Unions

Organizations

Newspapers and media

Andom Ghebreghiorgis (withdrew)

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Eliot
Engel
Jamaal
Bowman
Andom
Ghebreghiorgis
Undecided
Data for Progress[346][G] June 11–15, 2020 525 (LV) ± 5.1% 36%[d] 52% 11%
Data for Progress[347] September 9–13, 2019 578 (RV) ± 5.7% 29% 10% 1% 60%
Hypothetical polling

with Eliot Engel and Generic Democrat Who is More Liberal

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Eliot
Engel
More Liberal
Democrat
Undecided
Data for Progress[347] September 9–13, 2019 578 (RV) ± 5.7% 35% 20% 46%

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jamaal Bowman 49,367 55.4
Democratic Eliot Engel (incumbent) 36,149 40.6
Democratic Christopher Fink 1,625 1.8
Democratic Sammy Ravelo 1,139 1.3
Democratic Andom Ghebreghiorgis (withdrawn) 761 0.9
Total votes 89,041 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[35] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[36] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[38] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[39] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[40] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[41] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
New York's 16th congressional district, 2020[47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jamaal Bowman 218,514 84.2
Conservative Patrick McManus 41,094 15.8
Total votes 259,608 100.0
Democratic hold

District 17

[edit]
2020 New York's 17th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Mondaire Jones Maureen McArdle Schulman
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families
Popular vote 197,354 117,309
Percentage 59.3% 35.3%

County results
Jones:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Nita Lowey
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Mondaire Jones
Democratic

The 17th district encompasses the lower Hudson Valley taking in Rockland County as well as northwestern and central Westchester County. The incumbent was Democrat Nita Lowey, who was re-elected with 88.0% of the vote in 2018, without major-party opposition.[1] On October 10, 2019, Lowey announced she was retiring from Congress and would not seek re-election.[348]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Catherine Borgia, Westchester County legislator (endorsed Buchwald)[356]
  • Duane Jackson, Buchanan trustee and candidate for New York's 18th congressional district in 2012[357]
  • David Katz, debt-recovery attorney (endorsed Jones)[358]
  • Catherine Parker, Westchester County legislator (endorsed Jones)[359] (remained on ballot)
  • Jo-Anna Rodriguez-Wheeler, small business owner[360]
Declined
[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

Incumbent representative Nita Lowey had served as U.S. Representative for the area since 1988, and had not faced a primary challenger or serious Republican opponent in that time.[365] On August 19, 2019, attorney and former Justice Department official Mondaire Jones announced a primary challenge to Lowey, her first since 1988, citing a range of issues on which he felt Lowey was not left-wing enough.[365] On October 10, Lowey announced that she was retiring in a surprise announcement.[366] Following Lowey's retirement, several Democratic candidates announced campaigns for the seat. In the resulting primary, four frontrunners emerged; Jones, Evelyn Farkas, a former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defence, David Carlucci, a state senator and former member of the Independent Democratic Conference (IDC), and Adam Schleifer, a former federal prosecutor who used his considerable personal wealth to self-finance his campaign.[367]

In the ensuing campaign, Carlucci attacked the other three main candidates, accusing them of being carpetbaggers, while Jones also attacked the other major candidates, accusing them of being more akin to Republicans than Democrats.[367] Carlucci was felt to be a formidable candidate, as he was considered to have a lock on support from voters west of the Hudson River, which bisects the district.[368] However, his past association with the IDC earned him the enmity of both progressive and more moderate Democrats.[367] Six of the eight members of the former IDC had been primaried in 2018, with Carlucci being one of the two survivors.[369] Pro-choice groups devoted money and resources to opposing his bid, as during his period in the state senate he had helped block pro-abortion legislation.[370]

By January 2020, Schleifer was leading the field in fundraising, having raised $1 million largely through self-financing.[371] Schleifer attracted personal criticism for self-financing rather than campaigning through donations, and Farkas also criticised him for refusing to divest from stocks while campaigning.[367] In response, Schleifer called Farkas a "snake", and declared that "all [she] knows is the fog of the beltway".[367] Controversy arose between the two campaigns when Farkas sent a mailer to voters in the district denouncing Schleifer, which featured an image of a man stuffing money into another man's pocket. Schleifer, who is Jewish, accused Farkas of antisemitism in response to the mailer, claiming that it played on negative stereotypes of Jews.[372] Farkas campaign spokesperson Wellesley Daniels rejected the accusations, calling them "disgusting".[372]

Carlucci's campaign began to falter as the primary went on, suffering from poor fundraising and a lack of prominent endorsements, while Jones began to gain traction as endorsements and donations from national progressives boosted his candidacy.[368][373]

Debates

[edit]
2020 New York's 17th congressional district democratic primary debates
 No. Date & time Host Moderator Link Participants
Key:
 P  Participant    A  Absent    N  Non-invitee    W  Withdrawn
David Buchwald David Carlucci Asha Castleberry-Hernandez Evelyn Farkas Allison Fine Mondaire Jones Adam Schleifer
  1[374] 
March 1, 2020
News 12 Networks
Rockland County Democratic Party
Westchester County Democratic Party
Scott McGee
Tara Rosenblum
Sarah Tolin
P P P P P P P
  2[367] 
June 16, 2020
The Business Council of Westchester
Tara Rosenblum
P P P P P P P

Endorsements

[edit]
David Buchwald

State officials

Local officials

Organizations

Labor unions

Newspapers and media

Asha Castleberry-Hernandez
Evelyn Farkas

Executive officials

U.S. senators

  • Bob Graham, former U.S. senator from Florida (1987–2005), former governor of Florida (1979–1987)[385]
  • Carl Levin, former U.S. senator from Michigan (1979–2015)[386]

U.S. representatives

State elected officials

Party officials

Individuals

Organizations

Allison Fine

State elected officials

Local elected officials

Individuals

Organizations

Mondaire Jones

Executive officials

  • Julián Castro, former U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development (2014–2017), former mayor of San Antonio (2009–2014), former 2020 presidential candidate[402]

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Organizations

Political parties

Newspapers and media

Adam Schleifer

Federal elected officials

Local elected officials

Newspapers and media

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
David
Buchwald
David
Carlucci
Evelyn
Farkas
Mondaire
Jones
Adam
Schleifer
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[417] June 15–16, 2020 1,141 (LV) - 8% 11% 14% 25% 14% 5%[e] 24%
Data for Progress[418] May 28 – June 3, 2020 302 (V) - 6% 15% 13% 12% 13% 3%[f] 38%

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mondaire Jones 32,796 41.9
Democratic Adam Schleifer 12,732 16.3
Democratic Evelyn Farkas 12,210 15.6
Democratic David Carlucci 8,649 11.1
Democratic David Buchwald 6,673 8.5
Democratic Asha Castleberry-Hernandez 2,062 2.6
Democratic Allison Fine 1,588 2.0
Democratic Catherine Parker (withdrawn) 1,539 2.0
Total votes 78,249 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Yehudis Gottesfeld, chemical engineer[419]
  • Maureen McArdle-Schulman, former FDNY firefighter[420]

Withdrawn

[edit]
  • Josh Eisen, businessman (ran as an independent)[421]
Declined
[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

Originally, businessman Josh Eisen was considered the Republican frontrunner, as he had posted relatively strong fundraising numbers.[424] However, his campaign imploded when allegations were revealed that he had threatened former employees, and that while embroiled in a legal dispute he had told his opponents' wife that she would "bathe in the warm semen of Mengele" and had also written sexual polemics about this same opponents' daughter.[424] This revelation caused the local Rockland and Westchester Republican parties to disavow Eisen's campaign, and he withdrew from the race.[425] Eisen's withdrawal paved the way for two other candidates, retired firefighter Maureen McArdle-Schulman and chemical engineer Yehudis Gottesfeld, to compete for the nomination.[424]

Endorsements

[edit]
Yehudis Gottesfeld
Maureen McArdle-Schulman

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Maureen McArdle-Schulman 8,492 78.4
Republican Yehudis Gottesfeld 2,338 21.6
Total votes 10,830 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[35] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[36] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[38] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[39] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[40] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[41] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
New York's 17th congressional district, 2020[46][47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mondaire Jones 183,976 55.3
Working Families Mondaire Jones 13,378 4.0
Total Mondaire Jones 197,354 59.3
Republican Maureen McArdle Schulman 117,309 35.3
Conservative Yehudis Gottesfeld 8,887 2.7
Independent Joshua Eisen 6,363 1.9
SAM Michael Parietti 2,745 0.8
Total votes 332,658 100.0
Democratic hold

District 18

[edit]
2020 New York's 18th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Sean Patrick Maloney Chele Farley
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families
Independence
Conservative
Popular vote 187,444 145,145
Percentage 55.8% 43.2%

County results
Maloney:      50–60%      60–70%
Farley:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Sean Patrick Maloney
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Sean Patrick Maloney
Democratic

The 18th district is located in the mid-Hudson Valley covering all of Orange County and Putnam County, as well as parts of southern Dutchess County and northeastern Westchester County, including the city of Poughkeepsie. The incumbent was Democrat Sean Patrick Maloney, who was re-elected with 55.5% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Chele Farley, investment banker and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018[429]

Endorsements

[edit]
Chele Farley

Federal officials

Organizations

Third parties

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[35] Safe D November 2, 2020
Inside Elections[36] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Likely D July 2, 2020
Politico[38] Lean D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[39] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[40] Likely D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[41] Safe D June 7, 2020

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Sean Patrick
Maloney (D)
Chele
Farley (R)
Scott
Smith (L)
Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D)[433] October 6–11, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 53% 35% 5%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
Global Strategy Group (D)[433] October 6–11, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 43%

Results

[edit]
New York's 18th congressional district, 2020[47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sean Patrick Maloney 171,161 51.0
Working Families Sean Patrick Maloney 12,924 3.8
Independence Sean Patrick Maloney 3,359 1.0
Total Sean Patrick Maloney (incumbent) 187,444 55.8
Republican Chele Farley 128,611 38.3
Conservative Chele Farley 16,534 4.9
Total Chele Farley 145,145 43.2
Libertarian Scott Smith 2,687 0.8
SAM Scott Smith 477 0.2
Total Scott Smith 3,164 1.0
Total votes 335,753 100.0
Democratic hold

District 19

[edit]
2020 New York's 19th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 (special) →
 
Nominee Antonio Delgado Kyle Van De Water
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families
SAM
Popular vote 192,100 151,475
Percentage 54.8% 43.2%

County results
Delgado:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
Van De Water:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Antonio Delgado
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Antonio Delgado
Democratic

The 19th district is based in the upper Hudson Valley and Catskills. The incumbent was Democrat Antonio Delgado, who flipped the district and was elected with 51.4% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Ola Hawatmeh, fashion designer and philanthropist[435]
  • Kyle Van De Water, former Millbrook village trustee and attorney[436]
Withdrew
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kyle Van De Water 12,138 57.5
Republican Ola Hawatmeh 8,988 42.5
Total votes 21,126 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[35] Likely D September 29, 2020
Inside Elections[36] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Likely D July 2, 2020
Politico[38] Lean D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[39] Safe D October 26, 2020
RCP[40] Likely D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[41] Lean D June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
New York's 19th congressional district, 2020[47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Antonio Delgado 168,281 48.0
Working Families Antonio Delgado 22,969 6.6
SAM Antonio Delgado 850 0.2
Total Antonio Delgado (incumbent) 192,100 54.8
Republican Kyle Van De Water 151,475 43.2
Libertarian Victoria Alexander 4,224 1.2
Green Steve Greenfield 2,799 0.8
Total votes 350,598 100.0
Democratic hold

District 20

[edit]
2020 New York's 20th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Paul Tonko Liz Joy
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families
Independence
Conservative
SAM
Popular vote 219,705 139,446
Percentage 61.2% 38.8%

County results
Tonko:      50–60%      60–70%
Joy:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Paul Tonko
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Paul Tonko
Democratic

The 20th district is located in the Capital District and includes all of Albany and Schenectady Counties, and portions of Montgomery, Rensselaer and Saratoga Counties. The incumbent was Democrat Paul Tonko, who was re-elected with 66.5% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Paul Tonko

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Liz Joy, real estate agent and author[440]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[35] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[36] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[38] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[39] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[40] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[41] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
New York's 20th congressional district, 2020[47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Paul Tonko 194,071 54.0
Working Families Paul Tonko 19,678 5.5
Independence Paul Tonko 5,956 1.7
Total Paul Tonko (incumbent) 219,705 61.2
Republican Liz Joy 120,839 33.6
Conservative Liz Joy 17,849 5.0
SAM Liz Joy 758 0.2
Total Liz Joy 139,446 38.8
Total votes 359,151 100.0
Democratic hold

District 21

[edit]
2020 New York's 21st congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Elise Stefanik Tedra Cobb
Party Republican Democratic
Alliance Conservative
Independence
Working Families
Popular vote 188,655 131,995
Percentage 58.8% 41.2%

County results
Stefanik:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Elise Stefanik
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Elise Stefanik
Republican

The 21st district is based in upstate New York, encompassing the Adirondack Mountains and North Country regions. The incumbent was Republican Elise Stefanik, who was re-elected with 56.1% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
Endorsements
[edit]
Elise Stefanik

Organizations

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
Declined
[edit]
Endorsements
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[35] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[36] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[38] Likely R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[39] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[40] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[41] Tossup June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
New York's 21st congressional district, 2020[47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Elise Stefanik 169,684 52.9
Conservative Elise Stefanik 15,044 4.7
Independence Elise Stefanik 3,927 1.2
Total Elise Stefanik (incumbent) 188,655 58.8
Democratic Tedra Cobb 122,422 38.2
Working Families Tedra Cobb 9,573 3.0
Total Tedra Cobb 131,995 41.2
Total votes 320,650 100.0
Republican hold

District 22

[edit]
2020 New York's 22nd congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Claudia Tenney Anthony Brindisi
Party Republican Democratic
Alliance Conservative Working Families
Independence
Popular vote 156,098 155,989
Percentage 47.80% 47.77%

County results
Tenney:      50–60%      60–70%
Brindisi:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Anthony Brindisi
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Claudia Tenney
Republican

The 22nd district is based in central New York and the Mohawk Valley, including the cities of Utica, Rome, Cortland and Binghamton. The incumbent was Democrat Anthony Brindisi, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.9% of the vote in 2018.[1] This was a rematch of the 2018 election where Brindisi unseated Tenney.

The election went into lengthy legal proceedings during the counting of absentee ballots. Several errors by county boards of election were uncovered during the proceedings, affecting thousands of voters.[444] The Oneida County Board of Elections used sticky notes to mark disputed ballots, which fell off and adhered to other ballots: this came to be called "stickygate".[445] More significantly, Oneida County failed to process registrations for 2,400 voters,[446] and incorrectly rejected 700 absentee ballots.[447] Oneida County would later face legal action from the federal Department of Justice over these errors.[448] Other county boards of elections also made errors affecting dozens of ballots.

The seat officially became vacant when Brindisi's term expired on January 3, 2021.[449][450] On February 5, 2021, Judge Scott DelConte ruled that Tenney had won the election by 109 votes.[451] Brindisi conceded the election on February 8.[452]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Claudia Tenney 23,784 59.6
Republican George Phillips 16,151 40.4
Total votes 39,935 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[35] Tossup July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[36] Tilt D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Lean D November 2, 2020
Politico[38] Tossup April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[39] Tossup June 3, 2020
RCP[40] Tossup June 9, 2020
Niskanen[41] Lean D June 7, 2020

Endorsements

[edit]
Claudia Tenney (R)

Federal politicians

State officials

Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Anthony
Brindisi (D)
Claudia
Tenney (R)
Other/
Undecided
Siena College[470] September 27 – October 4, 2020 383 (LV) ± 5% 48% 39% 13%[g]

Results

[edit]
New York's 22nd congressional district, 2020[47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Claudia Tenney 143,291 43.88
Conservative Claudia Tenney 12,807 3.92
Total Claudia Tenney 156,098 47.80
Democratic Anthony Brindisi 138,898 42.53
Working Families Anthony Brindisi 11,188 3.43
Independence Anthony Brindisi 5,903 1.81
Total Anthony Brindisi (incumbent) 155,989 47.77
Libertarian Keith Price 6,780 2.08
Total votes 326,566 100.0
Republican gain from Democratic

District 23

[edit]
2020 New York's 23rd congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 (special) →
 
Nominee Tom Reed Tracy Mitrano
Party Republican Democratic
Alliance Conservative
Independence
Working Families
Popular vote 181,021 128,976
Percentage 57.7% 41.1%

Results by county
Reed:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Mitrano:      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Tom Reed
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Tom Reed
Republican

The 23rd district is based in the Southern Tier, adjacent to Lake Erie and the state's border with Pennsylvania, and is home to the cities of Jamestown, Olean, Elmira, and Ithaca. The incumbent was Republican Tom Reed, who was re-elected with 54.2% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Casey McDonald, real estate developer and activist[472][473]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Scott Noren, physician and U.S. Army veteran[475][476]
Declined
[edit]
  • Paolo Cremidis, New York State Young Democrats Rural Caucus Chair
Endorsements
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[35] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[36] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[38] Likely R October 11, 2020
Daily Kos[39] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[40] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[41] Safe R June 7, 2020

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Tom
Reed (R)
Tracy
Mitrano (D)
Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[478][H] September 28–29, 2020 1,228 (V) ± 2.8% 47% 40%
Global Strategy Group (D)[479][H] July 23–26, 2020 502 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 38%
Hypothetical polling

with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Global Strategy Group (D)[479] July 23–26, 2020 502 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 41%

Results

[edit]
New York's 23rd congressional district, 2020[46][47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tom Reed 161,800 51.6
Conservative Tom Reed 15,512 4.9
Independence Tom Reed 3,709 1.2
Total Tom Reed (incumbent) 181,021 57.7
Democratic Tracy Mitrano 116,025 37.0
Working Families Tracy Mitrano 12,951 4.1
Total Tracy Mitrano 128,976 41.1
Libertarian Andrew Kolstee 3,650 1.2
Total votes 313,724 100.0
Republican hold

District 24

[edit]
2020 New York's 24th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee John Katko Dana Balter
Party Republican Democratic
Alliance Conservative
Independence
Popular vote 182,809 147,877
Percentage 53.1% 43.0%

County results
Katko:      40–50%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

John Katko
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

John Katko
Republican

The 24th district is centered around the Syracuse area and contains Cayuga, Onondaga, and Wayne counties, as well as western Oswego County. The incumbent was Republican John Katko, who was re-elected with 52.6% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
Withdrew
[edit]
  • Roger Misso, U.S. Navy veteran[483]

Endorsements

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Dana
Balter
Francis
Conole
Undecided
GBAO Strategies[489][1][I] June 4–7, 2020 400 (LV)[b] ± 4.9% 60% 31% 9%
GBAO Strategies[490][2][I] March 23–25, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 64% 21% 15%

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dana Balter 29,531 63.1
Democratic Francis Conole 17,254 36.9
Total votes 46,785 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[35] Tossup October 8, 2020
Inside Elections[36] Tilt R August 7, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Lean R November 2, 2020
Politico[38] Tossup October 11, 2020
Daily Kos[39] Lean R June 3, 2020
RCP[40] Lean R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[41] Likely R June 7, 2020

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
John
Katko (R)
Dana
Balter (D)
Steve
Williams (WFP)
Other Undecided
Change Research[491] October 29 – November 2, 2020 739 (LV) ± 3.9% 44% 46% 4% 2%[h] 3%
Siena College[492] October 20–22, 2020 558 (LV) ± 4.1% 45% 45% 5% 2%[i] 4%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[493][J] October 15–18, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 39% 3% 11%
Public Policy Polling (D)[494][K] October 13–14, 2020 798 (RV) ± 3.5% 43% 45%
Siena College[495] September 28–29, 2020 414 (LV) ± 5.1% 40%[j] 42% 6% 2%[k] 10%
42%[l] 45% 3%[m] 10%
GBAO Strategies (D)[496][I] August 23–25, 2020 500 (LV) ±  4.4% 46% 48%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[497] August 12–15, 2020 400 (LV) ±  4.9% 51% 40%
RMG Research[498] July 29 – August 4, 2020 500 (LV) ±  4.3% 40% 37% 23%
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department (D)[499][E] June 18–22, 2020 400 (LV) ±  4.9% 45% 48%
Normington, Petts & Associates (D)[500][K] June 8–10, 2020 400 (RV) ±  4.9% 47% 47%

Results

[edit]
New York's 24th congressional district, 2020[47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Katko 156,236 45.4
Conservative John Katko 21,086 6.1
Independence John Katko 5,487 1.6
Total John Katko (incumbent) 182,809 53.1
Democratic Dana Balter 147,877 43.0
Working Families Steven Williams 13,264 3.9
Total votes 343,950 100.0
Republican hold

District 25

[edit]
2020 New York's 25th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Joseph Morelle George Mitris
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families
Independence
Conservative
Popular vote 206,396 136,198
Percentage 59.3% 39.2%

County results
Morelle:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Joseph Morelle
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Joseph Morelle
Democratic

The 25th district is located entirely within Monroe County, encompassing Rochester and the surrounding suburbs, including Irondequoit and Brighton. The incumbent was Democrat Joseph Morelle, who was elected with 59.0% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
Endorsements
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Joseph Morelle (incumbent) 42,955 68.2
Democratic Robin Wilt 20,070 31.8
Total votes 63,009 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • George Mitris, businessman[7]

General election

[edit]

Debate

[edit]
2020 New York's 25th congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Joseph Morelle George Mitris
1 Oct. 14, 2020 WROC-TV Adam Chodak [502] P P

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[35] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[36] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[38] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[39] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[40] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[41] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
New York's 25th congressional district, 2020[46][47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Joseph Morelle 187,503 53.9
Working Families Joseph Morelle 14,584 4.2
Independence Joseph Morelle 4,309 1.2
Total Joseph Morelle (incumbent) 206,396 59.3
Republican George Mitris 115,940 33.4
Conservative George Mitris 20,258 5.8
Total George Mitris 136,198 39.2
Libertarian Kevin Wilson 5,325 1.5
Total votes 347,919 100.0
Democratic hold

District 26

[edit]
2020 New York's 26th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Brian Higgins Ricky Donovan
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families
SAM
Popular vote 223,366 91,706
Percentage 69.9% 28.7%

County results
Higgins:      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Brian Higgins
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Brian Higgins
Democratic

The 26th district is centered around the city of Buffalo and its inner suburbs, including Cheektowaga, Tonawanda, Amherst, Grand Island, and Niagara Falls. The incumbent was Democrat Brian Higgins, who was re-elected with 73.3% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Brian Higgins

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Ricky Donovan, retired corrections officer[7]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[35] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[36] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[38] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[39] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[40] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[41] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
New York's 26th congressional district, 2020[47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Brian Higgins 202,400 63.3
Working Families Brian Higgins 20,309 6.4
SAM Brian Higgins 657 0.2
Total Brian Higgins (incumbent) 223,366 69.9
Republican Ricky Donovan 91,706 28.7
Green Michael Raleigh 4,631 1.4
Total votes 319,703 100.0
Democratic hold

District 27

[edit]
2020 New York's 27th congressional district election

← 2020 (special) November 3, 2020 2022 (24th) →
 
Nominee Chris Jacobs Nate McMurray
Party Republican Democratic
Alliance Conservative
Independence
Working Families
Popular vote 228,885 149,449
Percentage 59.7% 39.0%

County results
Jacobs:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Chris Jacobs
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Chris Jacobs
Republican

The 27th district is based in rural western New York and covers the outer suburbs of Buffalo and Rochester. The former incumbent Republican Chris Collins, pled guilty to charges of insider trading and resigned his seat effective immediately on October 1, 2019.[503] Republican Chris Jacobs won the special election to replace Collins on June 23, 2020.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Chris Jacobs

Polling

[edit]
Hypothetical polling

Collins vs. Jacobs vs. Parlato

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Chris
Collins
Chris
Jacobs
Beth
Parlato
Other Undecided
Tel Opinion Research[508] July 31 – August 1, 2019 500 (V) 46% 26% 4% 0%[n] 24%

Collins vs. Mychajlw vs. Parlato

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Chris
Jacobs
Stefan
Mychajlw
Beth
Parlato
Other Undecided
Tel Opinion Research[508] July 31 – August 1, 2019 500 (V) 39% 16% 6% 3%[o] 39%

Bellavia vs. Hawley vs. Jacobs vs. Mychajlw vs. Ortt vs. Parlato

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
David
Bellavia
Chris
Jacobs
Stefan
Mychajlw
Other Undecided
Tel Opinion Research[508] July 31 – August 1, 2019 500 (V) 33% 24% 6% 14%[p] 24%

Bellavia vs. Jacobs vs. Parlato

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
David
Bellavia
Chris
Jacobs
Beth
Parlato
Other Undecided
Tel Opinion Research[508] July 31 – August 1, 2019 500 (V) 41% 27% 6% 0%[n] 26%

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Jacobs 40,459 59.6
Republican Beth Parlato 14,805 21.8
Republican Stefan Mychajliw 12,650 18.6
Total votes 67,914 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Nate McMurray

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[35] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[36] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Likely R October 20, 2020
Politico[38] Likely R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[39] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[40] Likely R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[41] Likely R June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
New York's 27th congressional district, 2020[47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Jacobs 192,619 50.2
Conservative Chris Jacobs 31,006 8.1
Independence Chris Jacobs 5,260 1.4
Total Chris Jacobs (incumbent) 228,885 59.7
Democratic Nate McMurray 136,686 35.7
Working Families Nate McMurray 12,763 3.3
Total Nate McMurray 149,449 39.0
Libertarian Duane Whitmer 4,877 1.3
Total votes 383,211 100.0
Republican hold

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ a b Not yet released
  3. ^ Ortiz, Pabon and Ramos with 1%
  4. ^ Including voters who lean towards a certain candidate
  5. ^ Castleberry-Hernandez with 3%; Fine with 2%
  6. ^ Fine with 2%; Castleberry-Hernandez with 1%; Parker with 0%
  7. ^ Price (L) with 4%; Undecided with 9%
  8. ^ "Don't recall" with 2%; Did not vote and would not vote with 0%
  9. ^ "Someone else" and would not vote with 1%
  10. ^ Standard VI response
  11. ^ Would not vote with 2%; "Someone else" with 0%
  12. ^ If Williams is removed from the ballot
  13. ^ Would not vote with 3%; "Someone else" with 0%
  14. ^ a b "Refused" with 0%
  15. ^ "Refused" with 3%
  16. ^ Hawley and Ortt with 5%; Parlato with 4%; "refused" with 0%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ Poll sponsored by Fleming's campaign
  2. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Goroff's campaign
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by Gershon's campaign
  4. ^ a b Poll sponsored by 314 Action, which has endorsed Goroff prior to the sampling period.
  5. ^ a b Poll conducted by the DCCC, which works to elect Democratic candidates.
  6. ^ Club for Growth is an organisation that only supports Republican candidates
  7. ^ Poll sponsored by Bowman's campaign
  8. ^ a b Poll conducted for Mitrano's campaign.
  9. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Dana Balter's campaign
  10. ^ Poll sponsored by Katko's campaign
  11. ^ a b Poll sponsored by the House Majority PAC, an organization which works to elect Democratic candidates

References

[edit]
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  506. ^ "What's next for NY-27? Chris Collins resignation unleashes potential 'free-for-all'". The Buffalo News. September 30, 2019. Retrieved September 30, 2019.
  507. ^ "Endorsement: Chris Jacobs For Congress (NY-27)". nyyrc.com. New York Young Republican Club. December 20, 2019. Retrieved June 2, 2022.
  508. ^ a b c d Tel Opinion Research
  509. ^ Goshgarian, Mark (October 1, 2019). "McMurray: "Tidal Wave" of Support for Congressional Bid After Collins Resignation". Spectrum Local News. Retrieved October 20, 2019.
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