Wikipedia:Seven-million pool

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This Seven-million pool is for predicting the date at which the number of articles (as defined by the official article count presented on the Special:Statistics) in the English Wikipedia reaches 7,000,000 (seven million). The person who comes closest to the actual date is the winner (of eternal fame). The current number of articles in the English Wikipedia is 6,930,342.

This pool has closed for entries, when the English Wikipedia article count reached 5,600,000 (March 29, 2018). Perhaps try the Eight-million pool or a higher pool. Current level: 99% of 7M goal (live). This Seven-million pool opened on 12 December 2010‎, the day English Wikipedia reached 3.5 million articles.

2010

2011

October 10 RCSprinter123 (talk) 15:35, 23 February 2011 (UTC)[reply]
-That date has passed, but you still have a chance to guess again! Williditor

2012

2013

January 15 - 115.43.44.129 (talk) 09:05, 17 December 2010 (UTC)[reply]
-That date has passed, but you still have a chance to guess again! Williditor

2014

2015

25 November 2015 at 13:26:39 UTC Qazox (talk) 10:21, 25 February 2012 (UTC)[reply]
-That date has passed, but you still have a chance to guess again! Williditor

2016

December 19, 2016 — Preceding unsigned comment added by 2602:306:35A3:DCA0:A9F3:49D6:40A7:9E85 (talk • contribs) 19:51, 1 November 2015 (UTC)[reply]
-That date has passed, but you still have a chance to guess again! Williditor (Talk to me!) 21:45, 10 March 2017 (UTC)[reply]

2017

June 1, 2017. Because why not? Prhdbt [talk] 23:59, 1 November 2015 (UTC)[reply]

2018

February 20 - Attempted an educated guess on this matter. GVnayR (talk) 03:31, 15 March 2011 (UTC)[reply]
April 6 - Yet another educated guess. Eman235/talk 02:24, 27 October 2015 (UTC)[reply]
May 7th - ~~My guess, Wikipedia has seen an increase in new articles.~~ Williditor 00:29, 2 November 2015 (UTC)[reply]
~~July 3 - Just a guess. Lanthanum-138 (talk) 11:35, 10 February 2011 (UTC)~~[reply]
- Changing my prediction from my old username: this isn't gonna happen, I think. Double sharp (talk) 16:16, 1 November 2015 (UTC)[reply]
October 18 - Educated guess. Ste ven D99 03:37, 25 July 2014 (UTC)[reply]
September 29 - this is a guess by anonymous user: the_creamed_corn - done on November 1st
December 17 - random guess Scribblium (talk) 12:29, 11 October 2017 (UTC)[reply]
December 27, 2018. Based on some quick math I did in my head. Mitch G 74 23:36, 14 December 2017 (UTC)[reply]

2019

January 19, 2019. Kernosky ^talk2me! 18:11, 22 April 2016 (UTC)
April 11, 2019. MatthewVanitas (talk) 05:50, 7 February 2017 (UTC)[reply]
May 14, 2019. A random guess. 73.110.42.90 (talk) 19:40, 29 October 2017 (UTC)[reply]
25 June JAGUAR 20:32, 1 November 2015 (UTC)[reply]
September 21st - a hunch Lumos3 (talk) 18:53, 21 October 2015 (UTC)[reply]
October 30th - Stab in the dark Weisolas

2020

1 January 2020 - Nobody's guessing on a holiday. 1.618033 golden^{sqᴉɹʇuoɔ} 01:30, 2 December 2017 (UTC)[reply]
18 April 2020. Wes Mouse | ^T@lk 23:00, 28 June 2015 (UTC)[reply]
19 June 2020 Aryamanarora^{talk, contribs} 01:54, 13 October 2015 (UTC)[reply]
24 September 2020 (After much research involving intensely complex graphical analysis of data) Someski^{talk, contribs} 01:20, 3 November 2015 (UTC)[reply]
October 27, 2020 --Proud User (talk) 19:31, 13 December 2015 (UTC)[reply]
December 4, 2020, if my accelerating-wikipedia-article-creation-theory-thing is correct. Kernosky ^talk2me! 11:56, 10 August 2016 (UTC)
December 21, 2020 – Hopefully article creation rate increases! J 947^{^{^{( c ) ^(m)}}} 18:37, 17 October 2017 (UTC)[reply]

2021

January 5, 2021. Donner60 (talk) 06:14, 2 November 2015 (UTC)[reply]
January 21, 2021, which will hopefully be a good day for another reason! —AnAwesomeArticleEditor (^talk
_contribs) 20:57, 24 March 2018 (UTC)[reply]
27 February 2021. JIP | Talk 07:25, 28 March 2018 (UTC)[reply]
May 25, 2021. An entirely random guess, but also Towel Day. Mister Apple (talk) 19:34, 11 October 2017 (UTC)[reply]
Jun. 12, 2021 — Preceding unsigned comment added by 183.37.185.49 (talk • contribs)
29 June 2021. JaumeBG 09:48, 15 May 2011 (UTC)[reply]
July 13, 2021 -- œ^™ 01:02, 3 January 2017 (UTC)[reply]
July 20, 2021--T. Anthony (talk) 11:00, 28 September 2013 (UTC)[reply]
August 29, 2021 DudeWithAFeud (talk) 22:03, 3 April 2015 (UTC)[reply]
September 5, 2021. --Chenzw Talk 12:21, 2 November 2015 (UTC)[reply]
October 12, 2021. ThePlatypusofDoom (talk) 14:26, 25 October 2016 (UTC)[reply]
October 17, 2021. Because Math. JerrySa1 (talk) 16:33, 4 June 2016 (UTC)[reply]

2022

22 February 2022 (it took just over 3 years to get from 4M to 5M, and, well, 22 is kind of my number...) Antony–22 (^talk⁄_contribs) 07:40, 20 October 2015 (UTC)[reply]
1 March 2022. The voter above me is also called Antony :) Antonytse (talk) 13:57, 1 November 2015 (UTC)[reply]
1 May 2022. Wikipedia reached 4,000,000 articles in 2012, 5,000,000 in 2015, and I'm guessing 2019 will be the year when Wikipedia reaches 6,000,000 and 2022 for 7,000,000. I may not be editing, but I'm guessing that should be when it comes. 2679D (talk) 07:06, 2 November 2015 (UTC)[reply]
16. May 2022--Thejuusoboy (talk) 07:08, 8 September 2016 (UTC)[reply]
11 June 2022, from lame linear extrapolation. Double sharp (talk) 16:16, 1 November 2015 (UTC)[reply]
18 June 2022, a bit pessimistic, based on current trends. Winner 42 Talk to me! 15:44, 31 August 2015 (UTC)[reply]
1 July 2022, yes, I also used the data from 4 million to 5 million. :-) --User101010 (talk) 19:28, 1 November 2015 (UTC)[reply]
15 September 2022. I don't know why. Titoncio^{^{alk to me}} 19:58, 16 December 2013 (UTC)[reply]
22 October 2022. because why not - Yellow Dingo (talk) 11:49, 13 June 2016 (UTC)[reply]
19 November 2022. When I turn age 20. - Retterime 16:16, 5 December 2017 (UTC)[reply]
29 December 2022. Judging by the wikipedia final tailoff. Kernosky ^talk2me! 18:11, 22 April 2016 (UTC)

2023

1 January 2023 Spirit of Eagle (talk) 04:16, 27 October 2016 (UTC)[reply]
23 Jan 2023 If current trends continue. Ϣere SpielChequers 14:29, 30 January 2015 (UTC)[reply]
5 March 2023. ♦ Dr. Blofeld 18:01, 1 November 2015 (UTC)[reply]
April 1, 2023; a little earlier than some of my last-minute calculations, but similar to the approximations of other editors. It'll be played off as a joke until someone actually checks. Yours Truly, HNdlROdU (talk). Signed 21:56, 13 February 2018 (UTC).[reply]
May 5, 2023, assuming the rate of content creation decline remains relatively constant. Though the pattern might break down if decent content-writing AIs/bots are released onto the wiki in the 2020s. --Jakob (talk) aka Jakec 15:12, 30 September 2015 (UTC)[reply]
June 27, 2023....my 20th birthday I guess.—JJBers|talk 19:55, 2 February 2017 (UTC)[reply]
July 21, 2023 - I guess we will reach 7 million on this date. Lightspeed2012 15:45, 1 November 2015 (UTC)[reply]
September 30, 2023--Kopiersperre (talk) 13:22, 2 November 2015 (UTC)[reply]
October 31, 2023 -- I'll be really embarrassed if we aren't at least close to 7 million on this date! Etamni | ✉ | ✓ 22:20, 5 November 2015 (UTC)[reply]
December 25, 2023 -- The Seven-millionth article will be our Christmas gift! Williditor 15:50, 23 November 2016 (UTC)[reply]