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Saint-Jean (provincial electoral district)

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Coordinates: 45°18′N 73°16′W / 45.30°N 73.27°W / 45.30; -73.27
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Saint-Jean
Quebec electoral district
Provincial electoral district
LegislatureNational Assembly of Quebec
MNA
 
 		 
Louis Lemieux
Coalition Avenir Québec
District created1867
District abolished1939
District re-created1944
First contested1867, 1944
Last contested1939, 2018
Demographics
Electors (2012)[1]58,109
Area (km²)[2]243.6
Census division(s)Le Haut-Richelieu (part)
Census subdivision(s)Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu (part), Saint-Blaise-sur-Richelieu

Saint-Jean (French pronunciation: [sɛ̃ ʒɑ̃] ⓘ) is a provincial electoral district in the Montérégie region of the province of Quebec. It comprises most of Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu and all of Saint-Blaise-sur-Richelieu.

It was created for the 1867 election (and an electoral district of that name existed earlier in the Legislative Assembly of the Province of Canada). It disappeared in the 1939 election and its successor electoral district was Saint-Jean–Napierville; however, it was re-created for the 1944 election.

In the change from the 2001 to the 2011 electoral map, its territory was unchanged.

In the 1994 election (on September 12) there was a tie between incumbent Liberal candidate Michel Charbonneau and PQ candidate Roger Paquin. A new election was held on October 24 and was won by Paquin by a margin of 532 votes.

Bellwether district

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The Saint-Jean district had been for a long time considered a reliable bellwether district.[3] From 1897 to 1936, from 1944 to 2007, in 2012 and 2018, the Saint-Jean district elected a member of the governing party.

In 1994, the Saint-Jean district received high media coverage following the September 12 general election. As a consequence of a tie in the number of votes between Michel Charbonneau (PLQ) and Roger Paquin (PQ), no candidate is declared a winner.[4] This unique situation in the history of Quebec politics necessitates a new district election that took place on October 24, 1994. The victory of the PQ candidate strengthens the perception that Saint-Jean is a bellwether district, for two reasons: the initial tie in the votes reflects, according to some commentators, the weak majority by the PQ over the liberals that were obtained provincially in the general election. Secondly, the victory of Paquin confirms that, once again, voters in Saint-Jean tend to vote for the party forming the government.[5]

Even though Saint-Jean voters, since 2007, have selected some candidates forming the opposition party, the media sometimes still refer to it as a bellwether district.[6]

Other provincial districts that are sometimes considered as bellwether include[3] Terrebonne (Lanaudière), Trois-Rivières[7] (Mauricie), and Chauveau (Capitale-Nationale).

The federal electoral district of Saint-Jean, which includes parts of the provincial Saint-Jean and Iberville districts, is also sometimes cited as a bellwether.[8]

Members of the Legislative Assembly / National Assembly

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Legislature Years Member Party
1st  1867–1871     Felix-Gabriel Marchand Liberal
2nd  1871–1875
3rd  1875–1878
4th  1878–1881
5th  1881–1886
6th  1886–1890
7th  1890–1892
8th  1892–1897
9th  1897–1900
10th  1900–1904 Philippe-Honoré Roy
11th  1904–1908
12th  1908–1910 Gabriel Marchand
 1910–1912 Marcellin Robert
13th  1912–1912 Jean Lomer Gouin
 1913–1916 Marcellin Robert
14th  1916–1919
15th  1919–1923 Alexis Bouthillier
16th  1923–1927
17th  1927–1931
18th  1931–1935
19th  1935–1936
20th  1936–1939
Riding dissolved into Saint-Jean–Napierville
Riding re-created from Saint-Jean–Napierville
22nd  1944–1948     Jean-Paul Beaulieu Union Nationale
23rd  1948–1952
24th  1952–1956
25th  1956–1960
26th  1960–1962     Philodor Ouimet Liberal
27th  1962–1966
28th  1966–1969     Jérôme Proulx Union Nationale
 1969–1969     Independent
 1969–1970     Parti Québécois
29th  1970–1973     Jacques Veilleux Liberal
30th  1973–1976
31st  1976–1981     Jérôme Proulx Parti Québécois
32nd  1981–1985
33rd  1985–1989     Pierre Lorrain Liberal
34th  1989–1994 Michel Charbonneau
35th  1994–1998     Roger Paquin Parti Québécois
36th  1998–2003
37th  2003–2007     Jean-Pierre Paquin Liberal
38th  2007–2008     Lucille Méthé Action démocratique
39th  2008–2012     Dave Turcotte Parti Québécois
40th  2012–2014
41st  2014–2018
42nd  2018–2022     Louis Lemieux Coalition Avenir Québec
43rd  2022–Present

Election results

[edit]
2022 Quebec general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Coalition Avenir Québec Louis Lemieux
Parti Québécois Alexandre Girard-Duchaine
Québec solidaire Pierre-Luc Lavertu
Conservative Dominick Melnitzky
Liberal Benjamin Roy
Climat Québec Denis Thériault –
Démocratie directe Raymond Choquette –
Total valid votes –
Total rejected ballots –
Turnout
Electors on the lists – –
2018 Quebec general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Coalition Avenir Québec Louis Lemieux 16,789 39.50 +8.42
Parti Québécois Dave Turcotte 13,171 30.99 -1.45
Québec solidaire Simon Lalonde 6,137 14.44 +7.94
Liberal Vanessa Parent 4,946 11.64 -16.85
Green Véronique Langlois 694 1.63 –
Conservative Philippe Perreault 368 0.87 +0.29
Citoyens au pouvoir Louis St-Jacques 240 0.56 –
New Democratic Geneviève Ruel 159 0.37 –
Total valid votes 42,504 98.13
Total rejected ballots 809 1.87
Turnout 43,313 71.28 -0.39
Eligible voters 60,761
Coalition Avenir Québec gain from Parti Québécois Swing +4.94
Source(s)
"Rapport des résultats officiels du scrutin". Élections Québec.
2014 Quebec general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Parti Québécois Dave Turcotte 13,486 32.44 -8.29
Coalition Avenir Québec Serge Tremblay 12,923 31.08 -1.09
Liberal Marie-Josée Denis 11,845 28.49 +8.56
Québec solidaire Carole Lusignan 2,693 6.48 +2.28
Option nationale Jade Bossé Bélanger 386 0.93 -0.78
Conservative Maryse Grenier 243 0.58
Total valid votes 41,576 97.83
Total rejected ballots 921 2.17
Turnout 42,497 71.67
Electors on the lists 59,296
Parti Québécois hold Swing -4.69

Reference for 2014 results:[9]

2012 Quebec general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Parti Québécois Dave Turcotte 18,304 40.73 +1.58
Coalition Avenir Québec Yvan Berthelot 14,457 32.17 +13.96
Liberal Martin Massé 8,955 19.93 -16.59
Québec solidaire Carole Lusignan 1,886 4.20 +1.97
Option nationale Félix Lemaire 770 1.71
Conservative Carmyn Girard 267 0.59
Parti indépendantiste Yvon Silva Aubé 190 0.42 -0.13
Quebec Citizens' Union François Mailly 109 0.24
Total valid votes 44,938 98.43
Total rejected ballots 718 1.57
Turnout 45,656 78.34
Electors on the lists 58,282
Parti Québécois hold Swing -6.19

^ Change CAQ change is from ADQ
Reference for 2012 results:[10]

2008 Quebec general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Parti Québécois Dave Turcotte 13,474 39.15 +9.88
  Liberal Jean-Pierre Paquin 12,568 36.52 +11.64
Action démocratique Lucille Méthé 6,266 18.21 -24.01
Green Eric Beaudry 1,034 3.00 –
Québec solidaire Danielle Desmarais 768 2.23 -1.30
Parti indépendantiste Martin Rioux 189 0.55 –
  Independent Guillaume Tremblay 118 0.34 -3.29
2007 Quebec general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Action démocratique Lucille Méthé 17,189 42.22 +23.29
Parti Québécois Dave Turcotte 11,916 29.27 -7.79
  Liberal Jean-Pierre Paquin 10,131 24.88 -15.87
Québec solidaire Guillaume Tremblay 1,478 3.63 +2.15


Quebec provincial by-election, October 24, 1994
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Parti Québécois Roger Paquin 15,680 43.80 +1.30
Liberal Michel Charbonneau 15,148 42.30 -0.20
Action démocratique Daniel Lefebvre 4,693 11.96 +1.14
New Democratic Julien Patenaude 204 0.60 -1.00
Sovereignty Réal Brunette 232 0.20 -0.40
Total valid votes 35,807 98.66
Total rejected ballots 487 1.34 -1.61
Turnout 36,294 76.53 -5.48
Electors on the lists 47,426
Parti Québécois gain from Liberal Swing +0.75
1994 Quebec general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Michel Charbonneau 16,536 42.50 -11.10
Parti Québécois Roger Paquin 16,536 42.50 +3.20
Action démocratique Daniel Lefebvre 4,494 11.96 –
New Democratic Julien Patenaude 638 1.60 -3.40
Natural Law Anne Bélanger 313 0.80 –
Sovereignty Réal Brunette 232 0.60 –
Equality Richard Beaucage 145 0.40 –
Total valid votes 38,894 –
Turnout 38,894 82.01 +3.85
Electors on the lists 47,426
The result was declared void as a result of the tie and a subsequent by-election was held on October 24, 1994

References

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  1. ^ http://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/english/provincial/electoral-map/general-information-on-the-provincial-electoral-divisions-2011.php?bsq=189&section=population [dead link‍]
  2. ^ http://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/english/provincial/electoral-map/general-information-on-the-provincial-electoral-divisions-2011.php?bsq=189&section=superficie [dead link‍]
  3. ^ a b "Comté baromètre - National Assembly of Québec". www.assnat.qc.ca. Retrieved 2021-11-14.
  4. ^ Loi électorale, RLRQ, c. 3.3, a. 394.
  5. ^ Pierre Drouilly, « Existe-t-il un comté baromètre? », La Presse, 7 novembre 1998, p. B3.
  6. ^ Marissal, Vincent (2008-12-08). "Les circonscriptions qui feront pencher la balance". La Presse (in French). Retrieved 2021-11-14.
  7. ^ "Le comté baromètre". Le Soleil (in French). 2021-09-23. Retrieved 2021-11-14.
  8. ^ ICI.Radio-Canada.ca, Zone Politique-. "Saint-Jean, le baromètre fédéral du Québec | Élections Canada 2019". Radio-Canada.ca (in Canadian French). Retrieved 2021-11-14.
  9. ^ "General Elections: 2014, Saint-Jean". ElectionsQuebecqc.ca. Elections Quebec. Retrieved 30 May 2018.
  10. ^ "General Elections: 2012, Saint-Jean". ElectionsQuebecqc.ca. Elections Quebec. Retrieved 30 May 2018.
[edit]
Information
Election results
Maps

45°18′N 73°16′W / 45.30°N 73.27°W / 45.30; -73.27

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