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Next Botswana general election

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Next Botswana general election

← 2024 By October 2029[n 1]

61 of the 69 seats in the National Assembly[n 2]
31 seats needed for a majority
 
Leader Duma Boko Dumelang Saleshando
Party UDC BCP
Leader's seat None[n 3] Maun North
Last election 37.22%, 36 seats 20.99%, 15 seats
Current seats 36 15
Seats needed Steady Increase 16

 
BPF
Leader Mephato Reatile Mokgweetsi Masisi
(Outgoing)
Party BPF BDP
Leader's seat None None
Last election 8.31%, 5 seats 30.49%, 4 seats
Current seats 5 4
Seats needed Increase 26 Increase 27

Incumbent President

Duma Boko
UDC



The next Botswana general election must be held no later than 5 January 2030, following the dissolution of the 13th Parliament of Botswana to renew the composition of the National Assembly and local councils, last elected on 30 October 2024.

Voters will elect 61 members to the National Assembly and 609 members to local councils across the country under the first-past-the-post voting system, in which all members are elected from single-member districts.

Due to long-standing convention, general elections are held in October, thus it is likely that the next general election will be held in October 2029.

However, the election could be called earlier if the President dissolves Parliament for a snap election or if the government loses a vote on a supply bill or a motion of no confidence. Given the current government's large parliamentary majority, this scenario is unlikely.

Background

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The election held on 30 October 2024 saw the Botswana Democratic Party (BDP) lose elections for the first time after being resoundingly defeated by the Umbrella for Democratic Change (UDC) after nearly six-decades in power. In one of the worst defeats of a governing party in the Commonwealth, the BDP lost 90% of its parliamentary representation and was reduced to a rump of four seats out of 61, making it the smallest of the four factions represented in the National Assembly. The opposition alliance, UDC, emerged victorious by securing a majority of the directly elected seats in the National Assembly.[3][4][5]

The table below shows to the composition of the National Assembly after the 2024 general election and summarises the changes in party affiliation that took place during the 2024–present Parliament.

Name Ideology Political position Leader 2024 result Current seats
Percentage (%) Seats
UDC Umbrella for Democratic Change Social democracy
Left-wing populism
Centre-left to left-wing Duma Boko 37.22
36 / 61
36 / 61
BCP Botswana Congress Party Social democracy Centre-left Dumelang Saleshando 20.99
15 / 61
15 / 61
BPF Botswana Patriotic Front Populism
Pro-Ian Khama
Big tent Mephato Reatile 8.31
5 / 61
5 / 61
BDP Botswana Democratic Party Paternalistic conservatism Centre to centre-right Mokgweetsi Masisi
(Outgoing)
30.49
4 / 61
4 / 61
Independents 2.45
1 / 61
1 / 61

Electoral system

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For the next general election, the membership of the National Assembly consists of 61 MPs elected in single-member constituencies by first-past-the-post voting, six members appointed by the governing party and two ex-officio members (the President and the Speaker).[6]

Voters are required to be citizens of Botswana and at least 18 years old and have been resident in the country for at least 12 months prior to voter registration. People who are declared insane, hold dual citizenship, under a death sentence, convicted of an electoral offence or imprisoned for at least six months are not allowed to vote.[7] Candidates have to be citizens of Botswana, at least 21 years old, without an undischarged bankruptcy and be able to speak and read English sufficiently well to take part in parliamentary proceedings.[7] They must also obtain a nomination from at least two voters in their constituency and the support of seven. A deposit is required, which is refunded if the candidate receives at least 5% of the vote in the constituency. Members of the Ntlo ya Dikgosi (House of Chiefs) cannot stand for election to the National Assembly.[7]

The president is indirectly elected for a five-year term by the National Assembly. Since 1997, presidents are limited to a maximum of ten years in office, whether consecutive or not.[8] The president's survival is dependent on whether their government has the support of a simple majority of the National Assembly MPs. He can be removed by a motion of no confidence, prompting their resignation or if not, the dissolution of parliament if the president refuses to do so.

During the general election campaign, all candidates for the National Assembly declare whom they endorse for President when they lodge their nomination papers. If a party or alliance secures an absolute majority of elected MPs in the legislative elections, its presidential candidate–always the party or alliance's leader–becomes president without the need for an investiture vote. In practice, since legislative elections are conducted through first-past-the-post voting, this has been the norm, with Botswana always having majority governments ever since the inaugural election in 1965.

In the event that no candidate secures a simple majority, the National Assembly elects the president through secret ballot, with a simple majority of the total number of MPs (excluding 'specially-elected' MPs) required to win. This election is limited to candidates who have the support of at least 10 MPs. If, after three rounds of voting, no candidate is elected, two additional rounds may be authorized by the speaker, if it is deemed that a successful election remains possible. Should these rounds also fail to produce a winner, or if the speaker declines to authorize further rounds, the National Assembly will be dissolved, and new elections will be held.

Notes

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  1. ^ Under the Constitution of Botswana, the latest possible date for the next general election is 5 January 2030. This is based on the provision that, if Parliament is allowed to dissolve automatically, it will do so on 6 November 2029. Following such a dissolution, the constitution requires that a general election be held within 60 days. However, due to long-standing political convention, all previous general elections in Botswana have been held in October, making it highly likely that the next election will also occur in that month, barring unforseen circumstances such as a snap election.[1][2]
  2. ^ Eight of the seats in the 69-member legislature are not directly elected by the voters. Out of these eight seats, six are 'specially-elected' members appointed by the president and approved by the National Assembly. The remaining two seats are occupied by the Speaker and the President as ex-officio members.
  3. ^ Incumbent presidents are ineligible to contest National Assembly seats; instead, they serve as ex-officio members of Parliament.

References

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  1. ^ Otlhogile, Bojosi (6 May 2024). "Why elections in October?". Mmegi Online. Retrieved 6 February 2025.
  2. ^ "Botswana 1966 (rev. 2002) Constitution - Sessions of Parliament". Constitute Project. Retrieved 6 February 2025.
  3. ^ Ndebele, Lenin (31 October 2024). "Initial counting suggests Botswana may just get a new ruling party after 58 years". News24.
  4. ^ "Early Botswana Vote Tallies Point to Shock Loss For Ruling Party". Bloomberg.com. 31 October 2024. Retrieved 1 November 2024.
  5. ^ du Plessis, Carien (31 October 2024). "Botswana: Early election count sparks opposition optimism". The Africa Report.
  6. ^ "FAQs". Parliament of Botswana. Retrieved 21 April 2022.
  7. ^ a b c Electoral system IPU
  8. ^ "History". www.parliament.gov.bw. Retrieved 7 September 2024.