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Epping Forest

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District Summary

Party Seats +/- Votes % +/-
Conservative 0 Decrease6 11,137 33.3 Decrease17.4
Loughton Residents 2 Increase1 5,362 16.0 Increase1.8
Reform UK 2 Increase2 4,961 14.8 Increase14.5
Liberal Democrat 1 Increase1 3,924 11.7 Decrease0.1
Epping Forest Independent 2 Increase2 3,508 10.4 N/A
Labour 0 Steady 2,999 8.9 Decrease4.1
Green 0 Steady 1,346 4.0 Decrease3.8
British Democrats 0 Steady 214 0.6 N/A
7 33,451

Division Results

Loughton South and Buckhurst Hill West
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Loughton Residents Ian Allgood 2,539 40.7 Increase12.8
Conservative Marshall Vance 1,872 30.0 Decrease5.5
Green Dewole Aradeon 1,032 16.5 Decrease5.2
Labour Inez Collier 349 5.5 Decrease2.9
Liberal Democrats Ish Singh 341 5.4 Increase1.2
Majority 667 10.7
Turnout 6,233 43.5
Loughton Residents gain from Conservative Swing
Chigwell & Loughton Broadway
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Independent Lisa Morgan 1,583 38.8 N/A
Conservative Lee Scott 1,523 37.3 Decrease26.0
Labour Angela Ayre 681 16.7 Decrease4.1
Liberal Democrats Stephen Hume 292 7.1 Increase1.2
Majority 60 1.5
Turnout 4,079 30.2 −0.8
Independent gain from Conservative Swing
Epping & Theydon Bois
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Democrats Razia Sharif 2,633 44.0 Increase1.6
Conservative Holly Whitbread 2,151 36.0 Decrease14.1
Reform UK Peter Bell 788 13.1 N/A
Labour Simon Bullough 304 5.0 Decrease2.6
Majority 482 8.0
Turnout 5,976 42.0 +0.8
Liberal Democrats gain from Conservative Swing
Loughton Central
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Loughton Residents Chris Pond * 2,823 63.0 Decrease3.3
Reform UK John Doe 615 13.7 N/A
Conservative Valerie Metcalfe 553 12.3 Decrease6.0
Labour Debbie Wild 320 7.1 Decrease5.1
Liberal Democrats Naomi Davies 177 3.9 Increase0.7
Majority 2,208 49.1 +1.1
Turnout 4,488 32.0 −0.3
Loughton Residents hold Swing
North Weald & Nazeing
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Independent Karen McIvor 1,925 46.7 N/A
Conservative Christopher Whitbread * 1,833 44.5 Decrease28.1
Labour Alex Kyriacou 460 11.1 Decrease5.4
Majority 92 2.2
Turnout 4,118 30.5 +2.4
Independent gain from Conservative Swing
Ongar & Rural
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Reform UK Jaymey McIvor 1,782 42.0 Increase 39.5
Conservative Nigel Bedford 1,620 38.1 Decrease31.5
Green Alan Fricker 314 7.4 Increase1.7
Liberal Democrats Alan Leverett 287 6.7 Increase1.1
Labour Richard Millwood 245 5.7 Decrease4.8
Majority 162 3.9 N/A
Turnout 4,248 37.4 Increase6.1
Reform UK gain from Conservative Swing
Waltham Abbey
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Reform UK Jane Smith 1,776 40.2 N/A
Conservative Jodie Lucas 1,585 36.0 Decrease21.4
Labour Robert Greyson 640 14.5 Decrease4.4
British Democrats Julian Leppert 214 4.8 N/A
Liberal Democrats Timothy Vaughan 194 4.4 Increase1.4
Majority 191 4.2
Turnout 4,409 26.5 −0.4
Reform UK gain from Conservative Swing










Opinion polling for the 2060 Democratic Party presidential primaries

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Hypothetical polling

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Polls including Payaam Kapur

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Rattan Bhamrah Rhea Gupta George Hames Kate Hawes Pena Ilyambo Rowan Jones Payaam Kapur Fergal McArdle Tamra Nathan Adam Stubbs Other
BluePolling USA Sep 12–15, 2060 1,074 (LV) 2% 3% 1% 3% 1% 13% 60% 2% 5% 7% 3%
Morning Consult Aug 22–24, 2060 317 (RV) 2% 3% 1% 3% 0% 15% 62% 3% – 5% 3%
Aug 18, 2060 Democratic National Convention
BluePolling USA Jul 25–26, 2060 1,000 (LV) 3% 5% 1% 4% 1% 12% 55% 3% 5% 6% 4%
Emerson Jul 20–22, 2060 325 (RV) 3% 4% 2% 2% 1% 14% 60% 4% – 5% 2%
Jul 12, 2060 Final Democratic presidential primary contests
Quinnipiac Jul 11–19, 2060 1,101 (RV) 2% 4% 2% 3% 0% 15% 55% 2% – 7% 2%
BluePolling USA Jun 15–18, 2060 1,685 (V) 4% 3% 1% 3% 1% 12% 58% 2% 6% 6% 2%
Morning Consult May 7–9, 2060 1,101 (RV) 3% 2% 2% 3% 1% 13% 50% 3% – 7% 3%
BluePolling USA May 8–15, 2060 1,685 (V) 3% 5% 2% 4% 1% 13% 51% 2% 6% 8% 3%
Mar 5, 2060 Super Tuesday
Morning Consult Mar 5–7, 2060 317 (RV) 3% 5% 2% 4% 2% 12% 50% 3% 7% 8% 3%
Emerson Mar 2–4, 2060 502 (LV) 2% 4% 3% 3% 1% 14% 46% 3% – 7% 4%
Feb 28, 2060 South Carolina Democratic presidential primary
Feb 22, 2060 Iowa Democratic presidential primary
BluePolling USA Feb 15–19, 2060 1,080 (LV) – – – – – – 48% – – 40% 8%
– – – – – 38% 51% – – – 11%
– 23% – – – – 46% – – – 21%
4% 5% 1% 3% 1% 22% 40% 4% – 8% 3%
Feb 12, 2060 Michigan Democratic presidential primary
BluePolling USA Jan 29–30, 2060 1,101 (RV) 3% 9% 2% 4% 2% 17% 47% 5% 8% 10% 2%
Jan 28, 2060 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary
Morning Consult Jan 25–28, 2060 1,074 (LV) 4% 6% 2% 4% 2% 14% 57% 4% – 7% 3%
BluePolling USA Jan 18–23, 2060 325 (RV) 3% 5% 1% 3% 1% 15% 55% 3% – 7% 5%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Rattan Bhamrah Rhea Gupta George Hames Kate Hawes Pena Ilyambo Rowan Jones Payaam Kapur Fergal McArdle Tamra Nathan Adam Stubbs Other
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Rattan Bhamrah Rhea Gupta George Hames Kate Hawes Pena Ilyambo Rowan Jones Payaam Kapur Fergal McArdle Tamra Nathan Adam Stubbs Undecided / Other
2060
Monmouth Dec 28–31, 2059 1,080 (LV) 3% 4% 2% 3% 1% 14% 56% 2% – 9% 3%
BluePolling USA Dec 17–19, 2059 1,001 (LV) 3% 5% 2% 2% 1% 11% 53% 3% 6% 7% 2%
BluePolling USA Nov 15–20, 2059 317 (RV) 2% 3% 1% 3% 2% 12% 58% 3% – 7% 2%
Quinnipiac Oct 28–31, 2059 1,000 (LV) 3% 5% 2% 4% 1% 12% 56% 2% 4% 6% 3%
BluePolling USA Oct 13–16, 2059 600 (LV) 2% 5% 2% 2% 1% 11% 58% 3% – 8% 3%
Morning Consult Oct 5–7, 2059 1,081 (RV) 2% 4% 1% 5% 1% 12% 55% 3% 5% 9% 3%
Oct 2, 2059 Kapur announces his re-election campaign
Morning Consult Sep 28–Oct 3, 2059 1,539 (V) 3% 5% 2% 3% 1% 11% 50% 2% 8% 9% 3%
Quinnipiac Sep 18–24, 2059 1,081 (RV) 4% 7% 1% 4% 0% 10% 48% 2% – 12% 2%
BluePolling USA Sep 17–19, 2059 1,101 (RV) 2% 4% 2% 4% 1% 12% 56% 4% 5% 8% 2%
BluePolling USA Aug 13–18, 2059 1,074 (LV) 3% 5% 2% 2% 2% 9% 55% 3% – 6% 3%
Monmouth Aug 3–7, 2059 1,000 (LV) 5% 5% 1% 3% 1% 10% 54% 3% 6% 9% 3%
BluePolling USA Jul 15–17, 2059 750 (LV) 4% 7% 1% 4% 1% 11% 54% 2% 5% 8% 3%
Emerson Jun 20–24, 2059 1,195 (LV) 2% 6% 1% 2% 0% 10% 54% 3% – 8% 4%
BluePolling USA Jun 12–16, 2059 1,000 (LV) 3% 5% 2% 3% 2% 9% 61% 2% – 9% 4%
Quinnipiac Jun 10–12, 2059 400 (LV) 4% 4% 2% 3% 1% 12% 52% 3% 7% 10% 2%
BluePolling USA May 14–16, 2059 1,001 (LV) 3% 7% 1% 2% 0% 10% 56% 4% 5% 8% 4%
Emerson Apr 24–27, 2059 502 (LV) 2% 5% 2% 4% 1% 10% 55% 3% – 11% 3%
BluePolling USA Apr 12–17, 2059 1,000 (LV) 3% 6% 1% 2% 0% 11% 54% 2% 6% 7% 3%
Morning Consult Mar 25–28, 2059 1,081 (RV) 3% 4% 2% 3% 0% 12% 57% 3% 5% 8% 2%
BluePolling USA Mar 14–18, 2059 1,685 (V) 2% 6% 2% 3% 1% 10% 57% 2% – 8% 9%
Emerson Mar 12–18, 2059 1,511 (V) 4% 4% 2% 2% 0% 11% 54% 3% 5% 10% 5%
Quinnipiac Feb 23–25, 2059 1,074 (LV) 2% 4% 1% 3% 1% 9% 59% 3% 7% 9% 2%
BluePolling USA Feb 15–19, 2059 325 (RV) 3% 6% 1% 2% 0% 11% 60% 2% 6% 7% 2%
Emerson Jan 22–25, 2059 317 (RV) 3% 5% 2% 3% 1% 12% 56% 3% – 7% 3%
BluePolling USA Jan 9–13, 2059 1,074 (LV) 3% 5% 1% 3% 1% 10% 58% 4% – 10% 5%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Rattan Bhamrah Rhea Gupta George Hames Kate Hawes Pena Ilyambo Rowan Jones Payaam Kapur Fergal McArdle Tamra Nathan Adam Stubbs Other
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Rattan Bhamrah Rhea Gupta George Hames Kate Hawes Pena Ilyambo Rowan Jones Payaam Kapur Fergal McArdle Tamra Nathan Adam Stubbs Other
2059
Emerson Dec 20–23, 2058 1,001 (LV) 3% 5% 1% 3% 0% 10% 60% 2% 3% 7% 3%
BluePolling USA Dec 16–20, 2058 325 (RV) 3% 4% 2% 2% 1% 12% 57% 2% 5% 6% 2%
Quinnipiac Dec 10–13, 2058 317 (RV) 2% 4% 2% 2% 0% 12% 58% 1% 3% 10% 2%
BluePolling USA Nov 20–22, 2058 1,101 (RV) 3% 3% 1% 1% 0% 11% 54% 2% 3% 12% 3%
Morning Consult Nov 7–11, 2058 1,074 (LV) 3% 5% 1% 3% 1% 15% 55% 2% 3% 4% 3%
BluePolling USA Nov 8–10, 2058 1,000 (LV) 2% 5% 2% 2% 0% 12% 61% 1% 5% 4% 2%
Quinnipiac Nov 7–9, 2058 1,080 (LV) 2% 3% 1% 2% 1% 13% 60% 1% 4% 5% 2%
Nov 5, 2058 Midterm elections
Morning Consult Nov 4–6, 2058 1,195 (LV) 2% 7% 1% 3% 2% 17% 50% 2% – 3% 4%
Quinnipiac Oct 29–Nov 3, 2058 1,000 (LV) 2% 6% 2% 3% 1% 20% 50% 3% – 2% 5%
BluePolling USA Oct 25–28, 2058 1,080 (LV) – – – – – 35% 52% – – – 13%
– 12% – – – – 52% – – – 36%
4% 4% 1% 2% 0% 22% 55% 2% 5% 2% 3%
Emerson Oct 20–25, 2058 1,001 (LV) 3% 6% 2% 4% 1% 20% 50% 2% – 1% 3%
Morning Consult Oct 6–9, 2058 1,074 (LV) 3% 5% 2% 3% 0% 17% 50% 4% 6% 2% 2%
Quinnipiac Sep 28–Oct 3, 2058 317 (RV) 3% 3% 2% 3% 1% 18% 54% 3% – 3% 2%
BluePolling USA Sep 18–24, 2058 502 (LV) 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 17% 52% 3% 7% 2% 3%
Emerson Sep 17–19, 2058 1,000 (LV) 3% 6% 2% 4% 1% 20% 50% 2% – 1% 3%
Morning Consult Sep 7–10, 2058 600 (LV) 3% 5% 2% 3% 1% 16% 44% 3% 7% 2% 5%
BluePolling USA Aug 20–23, 2058 1,101 (RV) 5% 7% 1% 2% 0% 17% 51% 4% 6% 2% 4%
Morning Consult Aug 2–3, 2058 1,074 (LV) 2% 7% 1% 3% 2% 17% 50% 2% – 3% 4%
BluePolling USA Jul 19–23, 2058 1,000 (LV) 2% 6% 2% 3% 1% 20% 50% 3% – 2% 5%
BluePolling USA Jun 20–23, 2058 1,000 (LV) – – – – – 31% 56% – – – 13%
– 15% – – – – 55% – – – 25%
2% 4% 3% 3% 1% 17% 53% 3% 8% 3% 3%
BluePolling USA May 22–24, 2058 1,000 (LV) 3% 5% 2% 3% 0% 15% 51% 4% – 2% 2%
Morning Consult May 3–7, 2058 750 (LV) 3% 3% 2% 3% 1% 16% 56% 4% 6% 2% 2%
BluePolling USA Apr 23–27, 2058 1,080 (LV) 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 20% 55% 3% – 3% 3%
Monmouth Apr 11–14, 2058 325 (RV) 3% 6% 2% 4% 1% 16% 50% 3% 7% 2% 3%
BluePolling USA Mar 29–30, 2058 1,074 (LV) 3% 5% 2% 3% 1% 16% 51% 2% – 1% 5%
Morning Consult Mar 16–18, 2058 502 (LV) 5% 7% 1% 2% 0% 17% 52% 3% 7% 2% 4%
BluePolling USA Mar 14–16, 2058 1,000 (LV) 2% 7% 1% 3% 2% 14% 50% 4% 6% 2% 4%
Morning Consult Mar 8–12, 2058 600 (LV) 2% 6% 2% 3% 1% 15% 56% 2% – 3% 5%
BluePolling USA Feb 11–17, 2058 1,139 (LV) – – – – – 27% 59% – – – 14%
– 13% – – – – 54% – – – 33%
4% 5% 1% 3% 1% 17% 50% 4% 8% 2% 3%
Morning Consult Jan 27–31, 2058 1,000 (LV) 2% 7% 1% 2% 1% 14% 55% 4% – 2% 12%
Emerson Jan 25–30, 2058 1,101 (RV) 4% 6% 2% 3% 1% 16% 55% 3% – 1% 9%
BluePolling USA Jan 10–13, 2058 1,511 (V) 3% 6% 1% 3% 1% 15% 54% 3% 7% 2% 5%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Rattan Bhamrah Rhea Gupta George Hames Kate Hawes Pena Ilyambo Rowan Jones Payaam Kapur Fergal McArdle Tamra Nathan Adam Stubbs Other
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Rattan Bhamrah Rhea Gupta George Hames Kate Hawes Pena Ilyambo Rowan Jones Payaam Kapur Fergal McArdle Tamra Nathan Adam Stubbs Undecided / Other
2058
BluePolling USA Dec 28–31, 2057 1,344 (V) 5% 5% 1% 2% 2% 14% 51% 4% 8% 0% 2%
Emerson Dec 20–24 2057 914 (RV) 7% 4% 2% 3% 1% 14% 55% 3% 7% 1% 4%
Fox News Dec 7–11 2057 567 (RV) 6% 5% 2% 2% 1% 15% 51% 4% 7% 2% 2%
Monmouth Dec 2–5 2057 1,022 (RV) 5% 4% 2% 3% 2% 11% 54% 5% 8% 2% 2%
Nov 6, 2057 Midterm elections; Gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey
Morning Consult Sep 15–20 2057 873 (RV) 5% 5% 1% 2% 1% 13% 51% 4% – 1% 3%
BluePolling USA Aug 22–27, 2057 1,539 (V) 6% 7% 1% 2% 1% 11% 65% 3% 7% 2% 2%
Monmouth Jun 4–11 2057 1,101 (RV) 4% 9% 1% 3% 2% 12% 67% 4% – 2% 2%
BluePolling USA Apr 16–22, 2057 1,685 (V) 3% 5% 2% 4% 1% 10% 66% 4% 5% 1% 3%
BluePolling USA Feb 2–5 2057 1,511 (V) 5% 8% 2% 3% 1% 11% 65% 2% – 2% 3%
Fox News Jan 27–30 2057 607 (RV) 4% 6% 1% 2% 2% 9% 67% 3% 5% 1% 4%
Jan 20, 2057 Inauguration of Payaam Kapur
BluePolling USA Jan 10–14 2057 943 (V) 4% 10% 2% 2% 1% 10% 63% 2% 5% 1% 1%
Jan 9, 2057 January 9 United States Capitol attack
BluePolling USA Jan 3–7 2057 1,003 (V) 5% 6% 1% 3% 1% 11% 53% 4% – 2% 14%
2057
Monmouth Dec 10–13 2056 891

(RV)

7% 5% 1% 2% 1% 12% 56% 5% 7% 2% 2%
BluePolling USA Nov 18–22 2056 1,872 (V) 6% 5% 2% 4% 2% 10% 55% 3% – 3% 10%
Nov 7, 2056 2056 presidential election
BluePolling USA Aug 28–31 2056 1,233 (V) 5% 7% 1% 2% 2% 11% 48% 4% 6% 1% 13%
BluePolling USA Feb 12–18 2056 1,233 (V) 5% 6% 2% 3% 1% 10% 54% 4% – 2% 13%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Rattan Bhamrah Rhea Gupta George Hames Kate Hawes Pena Ilyambo Rowan Jones Payaam Kapur Fergal McArdle Tamra Nathan Adam Stubbs Undecided / Other

Hypothetical polls without Payaam Kapur

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Rattan Bhamrah James Botcher Issy Gibson Theo Gheorgiou Rhea Gupta George Hames Kate Hawes Ben Hayday Pena Ilyambo Rowan Jones Fergal McArdle Tamra Nathan Imogen Padwick Adam Stubbs Undecided / Other
BluePolling USA Sep 12–15, 2060 1,074 (LV) 3% 1% 2% 2% 41% 2% 5% 1% 2% 12% 4% 8% 2% 13% 2%
Morning Consult Aug 22–24, 2060 317 (RV) 4% 0% 2% 2% 40% 2% 4% 0% 2% 11% 3% 7% 2% 12% 7%
Aug 18, 2060 Democratic National Convention
HarrisX Aug 12–16, 2060 1,074 (LV) 5% 0% 1% 2% 32% 3% 5% 0% 3% 14% 4% 9% 2% 13% 7%
BluePolling USA Jul 25–26, 2060 1,000 (LV) 4% 1% 1% 2% 33% 2% 6% 0% 2% 15% 3% 8% 2% 16% 5%
Emerson Jul 20–22, 2060 325 (RV) 2% 1% 2% 2% 32% 2% 5% 1% 2% 15% 5% 8% – 17% 6%
Jul 12, 2060 Final Democratic presidential primary contests
Quinnipiac Jul 11–19, 2060 1,101 (RV) 2% 0% 1% 3% 36% 3% 6% 0% 2% 14% 4% 10% 1% 14% 3%
BluePolling USA Jun 15–18, 2060 1,685 (V) 3% 0% 2% 2% 33% 2% 5% 1% 2% 16% 3% 11% 2% 14% 3%
Morning Consult May 7–9, 2060 1,101 (RV) 3% 1% 1% 2% 35% 2% 5% 0% 1% 15% 4% 9% 2% 17% 3%
BluePolling USA May 8–15, 2060 1,685 (V) 2% 1% 1% 1% 34% 2% 6% 0% 2% 15% 2% 12% 1% 16% 5%
HarrisX Apr 12–14, 2060 1,511 (V) 2% 1% 2% 3% 37% 2% 6% 1% 2% 12% 4% 11% 2% 12% 3%
Mar 5, 2060 Super Tuesday
Morning Consult Mar 5–7, 2060 317 (RV) 3% 1% 1% 3% 32% 3% 5% 0% 1% 16% 5% 10% 2% 15% 3%
Emerson Mar 2–4, 2060 502 (LV) 4% 0% 1% 2% 30% 3% 5% 1% 2% 17% 4% 12% – 16% 3%
Feb 28, 2060 South Carolina Democratic presidential primary
Feb 22, 2060 Iowa Democratic presidential primary
BluePolling USA Feb 15–19, 2060 1,080 (LV) 2% 0% 0% 3% 29% 2% 5% 1% 1% 17% 4% 12% 3% 17% 4%
Feb 12, 2060 Michigan Democratic presidential primary
YouGov Feb 9–11, 2060 1,081 (RV) 2% 1% 2% 3% 30% 4% 4% 0% 2% 16% 5% 10% 3% 16% 2%
BluePolling USA Jan 29–30, 2060 1,101 (RV) 4% 0% 2% 2% 28% 3% 7% 0% 2% 17% 4% 10% 2% 18% 1%
Jan 28, 2060 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary
Morning Consult Jan 25–28, 2060 1,074 (LV) 3% 1% 1% 3% 33% 3% 5% 0% 3% 10% 4% 13% 3% 15% 3%
Fox News Jan 22–27, 2060 1,000 (LV) 3% 1% 2% 2% 30% 4% 5% 1% 2% 14% 3% 12% 2% 17% 2%
BluePolling USA Jan 18–23, 2060 325 (RV) 4% 1% 1% 2% 30% 2% 3% 1% 2% 14% 5% 11% 2% 17% 5%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Rattan Bhamrah James Botcher Issy Gibson Theo Gheorgiou Rhea Gupta George Hames Kate Hawes Ben Hayday Pena Ilyambo Rowan Jones Fergal McArdle Tamra Nathan Imogen Padwick Adam Stubbs Undecided / Other
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Rattan Bhamrah James Botcher Issy Gibson Theo Gheorgiou Rhea Gupta George Hames Kate Hawes Ben Hayday Pena Ilyambo Rowan Jones Fergal McArdle Tamra Nathan Imogen Padwick Adam Stubbs Undecided / Other
2060
Monmouth Dec 28–31, 2059 1,080 (LV) 4% 1% 0% 3% 32% 1% 5% 0% 1% 13% 4% 8% 2% 19% 7%
BluePolling USA Dec 17–19, 2059 1,001 (LV) 3% 1% 1% 2% 30% 2% 4% 0% 2% 15% 5% 9% 1% 16% 9%
YouGov Dec 15–17, 2059 325 (RV) 5% 1% 1% 1% 35% 0% 6% 0% 1% 14% 3% 7% 0% 17% 9%
Fox News Nov 28–30, 2059 1,074 (LV) 5% 0% 1% 3% 29% 3% 5% 1% 2% 13% 6% 8% 2% 17% 5%
BluePolling USA Nov 15–20, 2059 317 (RV) 6% 1% 0% 2% 30% 2% 5% 1% 2% 15% 3% 10% 2% 15% 6%
Emerson Nov 12–16, 2059 502 (LV) 4% 1% 1% 2% 31% 2% 4% 0% 2% 15% 4% 7% – 20% 7%
Quinnipiac Oct 28–31, 2059 1,000 (LV) 4% 1% 1% 3% 30% 2% 5% 0% 2% 17% 4% 9% 1% 17% 4%
BluePolling USA Oct 13–16, 2059 600 (LV) 6% 1% 1% 2% 28% 3% 4% 1% 3% 14% 5% 8% 1% 19% 4%
HarrisX Oct 8–11, 2059 1,539 (V) 4% 0% 0% 3% 30% 1% 7% 0% 1% 16% 3% 9% 2% 18% 6%
Morning Consult Oct 5–7, 2059 1,081 (RV) 6% 1% 0% 1% 32% 1% 6% 0% 2% 15% 4% 9% 1% 16% 6%
Fox News Oct 4–6, 2059 1,101 (RV) 5% 1% 2% 2% 33% 2% 5% 1% 2% 14% 2% 10% 3% 15% 3%
Oct 2, 2059 Kapur announces his re-election campaign
Morning Consult Sep 28–Oct 3, 2059 1,539 (V) 4% 0% 1% 2% 28% 2% 7% 1% 2% 16% 5% 12% 2% 16% 2%
Quinnipiac Sep 18–24, 2059 1,081 (RV) 4% 2% 1% 3% 25% 3% 5% 0% 1% 15% 6% 13% 1% 18% 3%
BluePolling USA Sep 17–19, 2059 1,101 (RV) 3% 1% 2% 2% 25% 1% 6% 1% 2% 15% 5% 13% 3% 18% 3%
Emerson Sep 7–10, 2059 1,685 (V) 4% 1% 2% 4% 24% 2% 5% 1% 2% 18% 5% 10% – 19% 3%
Morning Consult Aug 26–30, 2059 1,511 (V) 4% 1% 3% 2% 26% 2% 4% 0% 3% 15% 7% 9% 2% 17% 5%
BluePolling USA Aug 13–18, 2059 1,074 (LV) 5% 0% 1% 2% 25% 3% 7% 0% 2% 14% 5% 10% 2% 20% 4%
Monmouth Aug 3–7, 2059 1,000 (LV) 5% 1% 2% 3% 21% 3% 6% 1% 2% 17% 4% 11% 4% 18% 2%
HarrisX Aug 1–4, 2059 1,080 (LV) 4% 1% 1% 2% 25% 2% 6% 0% 2% 15% 7% 10% 2% 21% 2%
Fox News Jul 23–27, 2059 1,001 (LV) 5% 1% 1% 3% 27% 2% 5% 1% 1% 15% 5% 12% 2% 18% 2%
BluePolling USA Jul 15–17, 2059 750 (LV) 3% 1% 2% 4% 23% 2% 7% 1% 2% 16% 6% 13% 3% 19% 5%
Emerson Jun 20–24, 2059 1,195 (LV) 3% 0% 2% 3% 23% 5% 6% 0% 2% 15% 6% 15% – 16% 4%
BluePolling USA Jun 12–16, 2059 1,000 (LV) 4% 1% 1% 2% 24% 2% 6% 0% 2% 16% 6% 12% 2% 20% 2%
Quinnipiac Jun 10–12, 2059 400 (LV) 2% 1% 2% 4% 21% 3% 6% 1% 2% 17% 5% 10% 3% 20% 3%
HarrisX May 25–30, 2059 1,000 (LV) 4% 1% 2% 4% 20% 1% 5% 1% 2% 15% 6% 12% 2% 18% 3%
Morning Consult May 26–29, 2059 750 (LV) 4% 0% 1% 5% 23% 2% 6% 0% 1% 14% 7% 11% 3% 20% 3%
Fox News May 16–19, 2059 1,080 (LV) 5% 1% 1% 2% 22% 3% 7% 1% 3% 14% 6% 10% 2% 20% 3%
BluePolling USA May 14–16, 2059 1,001 (LV) 5% 1% 2% 2% 22% 3% 7% 1% 2% 14% 6% 9% 1% 22% 3%
YouGov May 6–9, 2059 325 (RV) 4% 2% 1% 3% 21% 1% 6% 0% 2% 13% 5% 13% 3% 22% 4%
HarrisX Apr 30–May 3, 2059 1,074 (LV) 5% 0% 2% 3% 23% 2% 6% 1% 2% 15% 6% 10% 3% 20% 2%
Quinnipiac Apr 26–29, 2059 317 (RV) 3% 2% 2% 4% 20% 4% 8% 1% 1% 15% 5% 9% 2% 21% 3%
Emerson Apr 24–27, 2059 502 (LV) 4% 1% 2% 3% 23% 3% 6% 1% 2% 13% 6% 14% – 20% 2%
BluePolling USA Apr 12–17, 2059 1,000 (LV) 3% 1% 3% 4% 25% 2% 5% 0% 3% 13% 7% 10% 2% 18% 4%
Monmouth Apr 8–11, 2059 600 (LV) 5% 1% 1% 2% 22% 2% 6% 1% 2% 14% 4% 11% 4% 23% 2%
Siena College/The New York Times Apr 4–8, 2059 1,539 (V) 5% 0% 2% 3% 22% 3% 7% 1% 2% 10% 4% 13% 3% 22% 3%
Morning Consult Mar 25–28, 2059 1,081 (RV) 4% 1% 2% 2% 23% 3% 6% 1% 2% 11% 7% 11% 1% 23% 3%
YouGov Mar 19–23, 2059 1,101 (RV) 5% 1% 2% 3% 21% 2% 5% 0% 2% 15% 5% 11% 2% 23% 3%
BluePolling USA Mar 14–18, 2059 1,685 (V) 4% 1% 1% 2% 23% 2% 7% 1% 2% 14% 3% 9% 2% 24% 5%
Emerson Mar 12–18, 2059 1,511 (V) 4% 1% 2% 5% 21% 4% 5% 1% 3% 16% 4% – 4% 26% 4%
Quinnipiac Feb 23–25, 2059 1,074 (LV) 5% 2% 2% 3% 20% 3% 6% 0% 2% 15% 3% 10% 2% 23% 4%
Fox News Feb 21–22, 2059 1,000 (LV) 9% 1% 2% 2% 22% 2% 7% 0% 2% 12% 4% 12% 2% 21% 2%
BluePolling USA Feb 15–19, 2059 325 (RV) 5% 2% 3% 4% 20% 3% 5% 1% 2% 13% 4% 11% 3% 22% 2%
Siena College/The New York Times Feb 9–12, 2059 1,074 (LV) 6% 0% 1% 2% 21% 2% 7% 0% 1% 17% 2% 12% 1% 22% 6%
Morning Consult Jan 25–27, 2059 1,074 (LV) 5% 2% 2% 2% 23% 2% 6% 1% 3% 13% 5% 10% 3% 21% 2%
Emerson Jan 22–25, 2059 317 (RV) 5% 1% 1% 3% 25% 4% 6% 1% 2% 18% 3% – – 22% 9%
BluePolling USA Jan 9–13, 2059 1,074 (LV) 4% 1% 1% 3% 22% 2% 7% 0% 2% 18% 5% 10% 1% 22% 2%
HarrisX Jan 2–5, 2059 1,001 (LV) 6% 2% 2% 2% 21% 3% 5% 1% 3% 15% 4% 9% – 22% 3%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Rattan Bhamrah James Botcher Issy Gibson Theo Gheorgiou Rhea Gupta George Hames Kate Hawes Ben Hayday Pena Ilyambo Rowan Jones Fergal McArdle Tamra Nathan Imogen Padwick Adam Stubbs Undecided / Other


Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Rattan Bhamrah James Botcher Issy Gibson Theo Gheorgiou Rhea Gupta George Hames Kate Hawes Ben Hayday Pena Ilyambo John Jenkins Rowan Jones Fergal McArdle Tamra Nathan Imogen Padwick Adam Stubbs Undecided / Other
2059
HarrisX Dec 29–31, 2058 1,080 (LV) 5% 1% 2% 4% 24% 2% 6% 1% 2% – 12% 4% 7% 2% 25% 3%
Emerson Dec 20–23, 2058 1,001 (LV) 4% 1% 2% 2% 25% 1% 5% 1% 1% – 13% 5% 9% – 26% 5%
BluePolling USA Dec 16–20, 2058 325 (RV) 5% 2% 2% 4% 24% 2% 5% 0% 2% – 12% 5% 8% 3% 22% 4%
co/efficient Dec 5–17, 2058 1,074 (LV) 5.50% 2.10% 1.60% 4.80% 20.10% 3.30% 5.50% 1.10% 2.20% 0.20% 15.50% 3.20% 7.50% 1.50% 20.30% 5.60%
Morning Consult Dec 13–16, 2058 1,074 (LV) 4% 1% 3% 4% 22% 3% 6% 0% 2% – 14% 5% 8% 2% 24% 2%
Quinnipiac Dec 10–13, 2058 317 (RV) 5% 2% 2% 3% 23% 2% 7% 1% 2% – 14% 3% 10% 1% 22% 3%
SSRS Dec 5–8, 2058 1,754 (LV) 7% – – – 28% – 8% – – – 20% 6% – – 29% 3%
5% 3% 3% 8% 25% 2% 6% 0% 3% – – 5% 9% 3% 26% 2%
7% 2% 4% 2% – 4% 7% 2% 2% – 16% 5% 12% 5% 25% 4%
7% 2% – 3% 38% – – – 2% – 16% 6% – – 21% 5%
– – – 27% 3% 6% 1% – – 23% – 10% 3% 20% 8%
– – – – – – – – – – 37% – – – 55% 8%
15% – – – – – – – – – 40% – – – – 45%
– – – – 28% – – – – – – – – – 52% 20%
– – – – 35% – – – – – – – 29% – – 36%
– – – – 39% – – – – – – 23% – – – 38%
– – – – 40% – – – – – 34% – – – – 26%
– – – – 38% – 30% – – – – – – – – 32%
– – – – 37% 10% – – – – – – – – – 53%
22% – – – 40% – – – – – – – – – – 38%
5% 2% 3% 2% 25% 2% 7% 0% 2% – 16% 5% 10% 3% 16% 2%
HarrisX Nov 28–30, 2058 1,539 (V) 6% 1% 4% 4% 26% 3% 5% 1% 2% – 15% 3% 9% 3% 15% 3%
Monmouth Nov 24–28, 2058 1,081 (RV) 4% 2% 3% 5% 24% 3% 6% 0% 2% – 14% 4% 11% 3% 17% 2%
BluePolling USA Nov 20–22, 2058 1,101 (RV) 6% 1% 3% 2% 24% 2% 4% 1% 1% 0% 20% 4% 10% 1% 18% 2%
Emerson Nov 16–18, 2058 1,685 (V) 4% 1% 2% 3% 28% 5% 6% 1% 2% 1% 16% 3% 9% – 16% 3%
Fox News Nov 12–15, 2058 1,511 (V) 7% 0% 5% 2% 25% 3% 7% 1% 3% – 18% 4% 8% 2% 12% 2%
Morning Consult Nov 7–11, 2058 1,074 (LV) 6% 1% 2% 3% 25% 3% 6% 1% 2% – 14% 4% 10% 2% 17% 4%
BluePolling USA Nov 8–10, 2058 1,000 (LV) 4% 1% 2% 5% 24% 3% 4% 0% 2% 0% 20% 5% 6% 3% 15% 2%
Quinnipiac Nov 7–9, 2058 1,080 (LV) 7% 2% 3% 3% 26% 2% 6% 0% 2% – 16% 2% 9% 1% 18% 3%
SSRS Nov 6–8, 2058 1,001 (LV) 5% 1% 4% 3% 24% 3% 6% 1% 1% 0% 19% 3% 8% 2% 17% 3%
Nov 5, 2058 Midterm elections
Morning Consult Nov 4–6, 2058 1,195 (LV) 6% 1% 2% 4% 21% 4% 5% 0% 3% 1% 19% 6% 10% 2% 10% 4%
HarrisX Nov 3–5, 2058 1,000 (LV) 7% 2% 2% 3% 24% 4% 6% 1% 2% 0% 21% 4% 11% 4% 6% 3%
Fox News Nov 2–4, 2058 400 (LV) 7% 2% 1% 4% 23% 3% 6% 1% 2% 0% 21% 5% 10% 3% 7% 5%
Quinnipiac Oct 29–Nov 3, 2058 1,000 (LV) 5% 1% 1% 4% 22% 2% 5% 2% 3% 2% 20% 7% 10% 2% 10% 4%
Siena College/The New York Times Oct 27–30, 2058 750 (LV) 7% 2% 3% 2% 23% 3% 6% 1% 2% 1% 23% 3% 12% 2% 6% 4%
BluePolling USA Oct 25–28, 2058 1,080 (LV) 5% 2% 2% 5% 23% 2% 7% 1% 1% 2% 22% 5% 11% 3% 6% 3%
Emerson Oct 20–25, 2058 1,001 (LV) 6% 1% 1% 3% 26% 3% 6% 0% 3% 1% 19% 6% 10% – 5% 8%
SSRS Oct 14–17, 2058 325 (RV) 5% 1% 2% 5% 21% 4% 7% 1% 2% 1% 17% 5% 14% 3% 10% 2%
Morning Consult Oct 6–9, 2058 1,074 (LV) 5% 2% 2% 4% 22% 3% 6% 1% 2% 0% 20% 6% 12% 2% 8% 5%
Quinnipiac Sep 28–Oct 3, 2058 317 (RV) 8% 1% 2% 2% 20% 2% 8% 1% 1% 0% 23% 5% 17% 4% 3% 3%
BluePolling USA Sep 18–24, 2058 502 (LV) 7% 1% 0% 2% 20% 4% 7% 1% 2% 1% 25% 3% 11% 1% 8% 7%
Emerson Sep 17–19, 2058 1,000 (LV) 7% 2% 1% 3% 22% 3% 7% 0% 3% 1% 24% 7% 10% – 6% 4%
Morning Consult Sep 7–10, 2058 600 (LV) 5% 1% 2% 5% 19% 4% 7% 1% 2% 2% 21% 5% 11% 4% 7% 4%
HarrisX Aug 29–31, 2058 1,539 (V) 7% 2% 2% 2% 21% 3% 8% 1% 2% 1% 24% 5% 13% 2% 5% 2%
Monmouth Aug 25–27, 2058 1,081 (RV) 6% 1% 2% 3% 20% 2% 8% 2% 5% 1% 25% 6% 9% 3% 3% 4%
BluePolling USA Aug 20–23, 2058 1,101 (RV) 6% 2% 3% 3% 17% 4% 6% 1% 3% 1% 21% 5% 13% 3% 8% 4%
Siena College/The New York Times Aug 10–13, 2058 1,685 (V) 6% 2% 2% 4% 17% 5% 7% 1% 2% 1% 24% 4% 13% 2% 6% 4%
Fox News Aug 5–6, 2058 1,511 (V) 5% 2% 1% 2% 19% 3% 8% 0% 3% 0% 25% 7% 10% 1% 7% 7%
Morning Consult Aug 2–3, 2058 1,074 (LV) 7% 1% 2% 3% 18% 3% 9% 1% 3% 1% 23% 5% 11% 3% 5% 5%
BluePolling USA Jul 19–23, 2058 1,000 (LV) 6% 2% 2% 3% 21% 4% 7% 1% 2% 1% 22% 6% 14% 2% 5% 2%
SSRS Jul 7–12, 2058 1,074 (LV) – – 2% – 18% 3% 7% 1% – 1% 37% – 13% 3% 8% 7%
7% 2% – 4% 32% – – – 3% – 33% 8% – – – 11%
– – – – – – – – – – 38% – 40% – – 22%
18% – – – – – – – – – 48% – – – – 33%
– – – – 23% – – – – – – – – – 50% 27%
– – – – 29% – – – – – – – 38% – – 33%
– – – – 37% – – – – – – 30% – – – 33%
– – – – 38% – – – – – 42% – – – – 20%
– – – – 33% – 38% – – – – – – – – 29%
– – – – 30% 14% – – – – – – – – – 56%
25% – – – 37% – – – – – – – – – – 38%
6% 2% 2% 3% 17% 3% 6% 0% 3% 1% 23% 6% 12% 3% 5% 8%
Siena College/The New York Times Jun 29–Jul 3, 2058 1,195 (LV) 5% 1% 2% 2% 17% 4% 6% 1% 3% 1% 23% 6% 14% 3% 6% 11%
BluePolling USA Jun 20–23, 2058 1,000 (LV) 5% 1% 2% 3% 21% 3% 7% 1% 3% 0% 21% 7% 15% 4% 5% 2%
SSRS Jun 6–13, 2058 400 (LV) 6% 2% 1% 4% 15% 2% 7% 1% 2% 0% 21% 6% 12% 4% 7% 5%
BluePolling USA May 22–24, 2058 1,000 (LV) 5% 2% 2% 2% 19% 4% 8% 1% 4% 1% 20% 7% 14% 3% 5% 3%
Morning Consult May 3–7, 2058 750 (LV) 7% 2% 2% 3% 22% 3% 7% 2% 2% 1% 22% 5% 13% 2% 4% 3%
BluePolling USA Apr 23–27, 2058 1,080 (LV) 7% 1% 2% 1% 20% 4% 9% 1% 3% 2% 22% 6% 12% 3% 4% 3%
Fox News Apr 19–24, 2058 1,001 (LV) 6% 1% 3% 2% 21% 3% 7% 1% 2% 1% 22% 6% 12% 3% 5% 5%
Monmouth Apr 11–14, 2058 325 (RV) 7% 2% 1% 4% 22% 3% 8% 2% 2% 1% 18% 5% 15% 4% 3% 3%
BluePolling USA Mar 29–30, 2058 1,074 (LV) 5% 2% 1% 2% 19% 4% 7% 0% 1% 0% 22% 6% 15% 1% 2% 3%
Emerson Mar 23–27, 2058 317 (RV) 8% 1% 2% 3% 20% 5% 8% 1% 2% 0% 22% 8% 14% – 3% 3%
Morning Consult Mar 16–18, 2058 502 (LV) 7% 2% 2% 3% 24% 3% 7% 2% 3% 1% 20% 5% 11% 3% 4% 3%
BluePolling USA Mar 14–16, 2058 1,000 (LV) 6% 2% 1% 2% 22% 4% 9% 1% 2% 1% 22% 6% 12% 4% 3% 5%
Morning Consult Mar 8–12, 2058 600 (LV) 7% 1% 2% 3% 21% 4% 8% 1% 2% 0% 20% 6% 10% 3% 6% 3%
Emerson Feb 27–30, 2058 1,195 (LV) 10% 3% 2% 11% 20% 3% 8% 1% 3% 1% – 9% 10% – 7% 12%
9% 1% 4% 2% – 5% 8% 2% 3% 1% 20% 7% 25% – 5% 7%
8% 1% 2% 2% 22% 4% 7% 1% 2% 1% 19% 6% 12% – 5% 8%
BluePolling USA Feb 11–17, 2058 1,139 (LV) 6% 1% 1% 3% 22% 3% 8% 2% 1% 1% 21% 7% 13% 2% 4% 2%
SSRS Feb 7–13, 2058 1,000 (LV) 7% 2% 2% 3% 20% 3% 9% 2% 2% 0% 17% 6% 10% 5% 3% 4%
Morning Consult Jan 27–31, 2058 1,000 (LV) 7% 2% 0% 2% 27% 2% 9% 1% 2% 1% 18% 6% 8% 2% 2% 3%
Emerson Jan 25–30, 2058 1,101 (RV) 6% 1% 2% 2% 21% 3% 8% 1% 3% 1% 18% 5% 10% – 6% 2%
Siena College/The New York Times Jan 18–23, 2058 1,685 (V) 6% 2% 1% 2% 20% 5% 7% 2% 1% 1% 19% 5% 9% 3% 4% 8%
BluePolling USA Jan 10–13, 2058 1,511 (V) 9% 1% 2% 1% 25% 3% 7% 1% 2% 1% 16% 8% 11% 2% 4% 5%
Fox News Jan 2–5, 2058 1,080 (LV) 7% 1% 2% 2% 25% 4% 9% 1% 2% 0% 18% 6% 10% 4% 4% 4%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Rattan Bhamrah James Botcher Issy Gibson Theo Gheorgiou Rhea Gupta George Hames Kate Hawes Ben Hayday Pena Ilyambo John Jenkins Rowan Jones Fergal McArdle Tamra Nathan Imogen Padwick Adam Stubbs Undecided / Other


Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Rattan Bhamrah James Botcher Issy Gibson Theo Gheorgiou Rhea Gupta George Hames Kate Hawes Ben Hayday Pena Ilyambo John Jenkins Rowan Jones Fergal McArdle Tamra Nathan Imogen Padwick Adam Stubbs Undecided / Other
2058
BluePolling USA Dec 28–31, 2057 1,344 (V) 9% 1% 1% 1% 24% 5% 8% 2% 3% 1% 15% 8% 11% 3% 5% 3%
Emerson Dec 20–24 2057 914 (RV) 13% 3% 2% 6% 27% 4% 10% 1% 4% 0% – 11% 9% – 5% 5%
13% 0% 4% 2% – 6% 10% 2% 2% 1% 18% 8% 23% – 6% 5%
11% 0% 2% 2% 27% 5% 8% 1% 2% 0% 17% 7% 10% – 2% 5%
Fox News Dec 7–11 2057 567 (RV) 7% 1% 2% 2% 23% 4% 9% 2% 3% 1% 13% 7% 11% 3% 5% 7%
Monmouth Dec 2–5 2057 1,022 (RV) 8% 1% 2% 1% 25% 4% 7% 1% 3% 1% 15% 9% 14% 2% 3% 4%
BluePolling USA Nov 28–30 2057 1,589 (V) – – – – 31% – – – – – – – 35% – – 34%
– – – – 40% – – – – – – 32% – – – 28%
– – – – 45% – – – – – 43% – – – – 12%
– – – – 38% – 37% – – – – – – – – 25%
– – – – 32% 18% – – – – – – – – – 50%
39% – – – 40% – – – – – – – – – – 21%
8% 1% 2% 2% 22% 5% 8% 1% 2% 1% 17% 9% 13% 2% 3% 4%
Nov 6, 2057 Midterm elections; Gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey
Morning Consult Sep 15–20 2057 873 (RV) 12% 2% 1% 2% 23% 6% 9% 1% 3% 0% 13% 8% 15% – 3% 2%
SSRS Aug 24–28 2057 1,223 (LV) 8% 1% 2% 2% 22% 5% 7% 1% 2% 0% 15% 6% 10% 5% 4% 10%
10% – – – 20% 5% 8% – 3% – 20% 7% 14% – – 13%
11% – – – 27% 7% 8% – 4% – 20% 7% – – – 16%
BluePolling USA Aug 22–27, 2057 1,539 (V) 9% 1% 1% 2% 26% 4% 9% 1% 2% 0% 18% 7% 11% 3% 3% 3%
Siena College/The New York Times Aug 20–23 2057 1,081 (RV) 9% 2% 1% 2% 25% 6% 11% 1% 3% 1% 13% 8% – 4% 4% 10%
Monmouth Jun 4–11 2057 1,101 (RV) 8% 1% 1% 3% 36% 4% 7% 0% 2% 1% 8% 7% 11% 4% 5% 2%
BluePolling USA Apr 16–22, 2057 1,685 (V) 9% 1% 2% 2% 36% 4% 7% 1% 3% 0% 12% 6% 9% 2% 2% 4%
BluePolling USA Feb 2–5 2057 1,511 (V) 7% 2% 1% 2% 34% 4% 7% 1% 2% 1% 10% 7% 11% 5% 3% 3%
Fox News Jan 27–30 2057 607 (RV) 9% 1% 1% 2% 40% 3% 6% 1% 2% 1% 9% 5% 10% 5% 3% 2%
10% – – – 44% 5% 10% – 2% – 15% 6% – – – 8%
Jan 20, 2057 Inauguration of Payaam Kapur
Monmouth Jan 15–18 2057 891

(RV)

6% 1% 0% 1% 40% 3% 5% 0% 1% 0% 10% 5% 13% 8% 4% 3%
BluePolling USA Jan 10–14 2057 943 (V) 6% – 0% – 43% 4% 5% 0% 2% – 11% 5% 12% 6% 3% 3%
Jan 9, 2057 January 9 United States Capitol attack
BluePolling USA Jan 3–7 2057 1,003 (V) 10% – 0% – 38% 7% 7% 1% 3% – 11% 5% 9% – 2% 7%
2057
Monmouth Dec 10–13 2056 891

(RV)

9% 0% 1% 1% 37% 5% 8% 0% 3% 0% 14% 6% 12% 2% 3% 5%
BluePolling USA Nov 18–22 2056 1,872 (V) 8% – 1% – 40% 5% 7% 0% 2% – 14% 6% 10% – 2% 5%
Nov 7, 2056 2056 presidential election
BluePolling USA Aug 28–31 2056 1,233 (V) 13% – 1% – 35% 6% 10% 1% 2% – 18% 8% – – – 6%
BluePolling USA Feb 12–18 2056 1,233 (V) 15% – – – 5% 19% 12% – 4% – 18% 18% – – – 9%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Rattan Bhamrah James Botcher Issy Gibson Theo Gheorgiou Rhea Gupta George Hames Kate Hawes Ben Hayday Pena Ilyambo John Jenkins Rowan Jones Fergal McArdle Tamra Nathan Imogen Padwick Adam Stubbs Undecided / Other


Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)

administered

Sample

size[b]

Henry Bird Mike Chamberlain Melissa Garnish Justin Halabi Maya Jaswal Tanu Kugathasan Tom Marshall Owen McCausland Alice Melvin Maddie Prior Ellie Sibley Alex Slade
InsiderAdvantage (R) March 14–19, 2050 1,195 (LV) 32% 4% 2% – 10% 8% 5% 2% 17% 1% 3% 14%
The Trafalgar Group (R) March 3–8, 2050 1,000 (LV) 30% 7% – – 8% 6% 9% 5% 18% – 4% 12%
Fox News February 20–25, 2050 400 (LV) 26% 4% 2% – 11% 9% 7% 2% 13% 2% 3% 13%
Franklin & Marshall College February 13–15, 2050 1,000 (LV) 30% 5% 2% – 10% 11% 8% 2% 14% 0% 1% 17%
The Trafalgar Group (R) January 18–23, 2050 750 (LV) 29% 3% 1% – 16% 9% 4% 3% 10% 0% 2% 12%
Franklin & Marshall College December 15–21, 2049 1,080 (LV) 31% 5% 2% – 14% 10% 4% 2% 11% 1% 2% 17%
Eagle Consulting Group (R) November 13–22, 2049 1,001 (LV) 30% 5% 3% – 15% 8% 6% 2% 9% 1% 2% 20%
Emerson College October 20–24, 2049 325 (RV) 24% 4% – – 19% 14% – – 6% – – 24%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[A] October 10–13, 2049 1,074 (LV) 20% 6% – – 21% 15% – 3% 5% – 3% 21%
Emerson College October 2–5, 2049 317 (RV) 19% 3% – – 20% 15% – – 4% – 2% 21%
Basswood Research (R)[B] August 11–15, 2049 502 (LV) 18% 4% 1% – 18% 15% 2% 5% 6% 0% 2% 23%
Fox News July 30–August 2, 2049 1,000 (LV) 20% 6% 0% – 23% 23% 3% 2% 3% 2% 4% 14%
TargetPoint Consulting (R) May 20–26, 2049 600 (LV) 19% 4% – – 25% 22% – 1% 2% 2% 1% 15%
Franklin & Marshall College May 4–6, 2049 372 (LV) 22% 4% 2% – 25% 17% – – – – – 16%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[A] April 19–25, 2049 1,195 (LV) 23% 5% 1% – 16% 24% 5% 2% 3% 1% 2% 19%
1,139 (LV) 13% 3% 0% 14% 20% 23% 3% – – – 2% 22%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[C] April 10–15, 2049 1,000 (LV) 11% 5% – 22% 26% 15% – – – – – 23%
Osage Research (R)[A] February 24–25, 2049 400 (LV) 20% 2% 2% – 25% 14% – 2% 4% 0% 3% 16%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[A] January 29–31, 2049 1,000 (LV) 18% 6% – – 27% 17% 6% – 1% – 1% 20%
The Trafalgar Group (R) January 14–20, 2049 398 (A) 20% 8% 1% – 29% 15% – 3% 3% 2% – 15%
400 (A) – 4% 2% 24% 19% 8% 4% 0% – – – 20%
Osage Research (R)[A] December 21–23, 2048 1,144 (RV) 14% 6% – 22% 20% 10% 6% 4% – – 3% 12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[A] November 22–30, 2048 778 (RV) 25% 6% 0% – 24% 13% – – 5% 1% 2% 15%
882 (RV) 8% 4% 1% 24% 17% 6% 5% – 4% 1% – 16%
The Trafalgar Group (R) November 12–23, 2048 1,203 (LV) 22% 5% 1% – 25% 11% 7% 1% 5% 0% 2% 15%
November 3, 2048 2048 United States presidential election
Echelon Insights (R) October 22–23, 2048 983 (LV) 20% 7% – – 24% 15% 10% 2% 4% – – 18%
1,029 (LV) – 6% – 28% 20% 9% 9% 2% 3% – – 14%




Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Mike
Pence 		Donald
Trump 		Undecided/
Other
Public Policy Polling January 10–11, 2023 446 (LV) 25% 65% 10%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates December 3–7, 2022 270 (RV) 28% 63% 9%
YouGov June 24–27, 2022 457 (RV) 18% 65% 17%
542 (A) 18% 61% 21%


Mike Pence versus Donald Trump head-to-head
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Mike
Pence 		Donald
Trump 		Undecided/
Other
Public Policy Polling January 10–11, 2023 446 (LV) 25% 65% 10%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates December 3–7, 2022 270 (RV) 28% 63% 9%
YouGov June 24–27, 2022 457 (RV) 18% 65% 17%
542 (A) 18% 61% 21%
YouGov June 24–27, 2022 457 (RV) 18% 65% 17%
YouGov June 24–27, 2022 542 (A) 18% 61% 21%
Echelon Insights April 18–20, 2022 436 (RV) 25% 68% 7%
Echelon Insights April 18–20, 2022 459 (LV) 28% 64% 8%



Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Greg
Abbott 		Liz
Cheney 		Ted
Cruz 		Ron
DeSantis 		Nikki
Haley 		Larry
Hogan 		Mike
Pence 		Mike
Pompeo 		Marco
Rubio 		Tim
Scott 		Chris
Sununu 		Donald
Trump 		Glenn
Youngkin 		Other
McLaughlin & Associates February 17–23, 2023 441 (LV) 1% 2% – 26% 6% 1% 6% 2% – 1% 1% 42% 1% 1%[c]
Morning Consult February 17–19, 2023 3,217 (RV) 1% 3% – 30% 6% – 6% 1% – 1% – 50% 0% 1%[d]
Big Village February 15–17, 2023 346 (A) – 3% 4% 24% 7% – 9% – – – 1% 50% 0% 1%[e]
Harris Poll February 15–16, 2023 – – – 1% 23% 6% – 7% 3% 2% 1% – 46% 0% 3%
Morning Consult February 14–16, 2023 2,476 (RV) 1% 3% – 29% 5% – 7% 1% – 1% – 50% 1% 1%[f]
Quinnipiac University February 9–14, 2023 592 (RV) – – – 41% 4% – 5% – – – – 43% 0% –
592 (RV) – 2% 2% 36% 5% 0% 4% 4% – 1% 0% 42% 0% 5%[g]
Morning Consult February 11–13, 2023 2,476 (RV) 1% 3% – 31% 4% – 8% 1% – 1% – 47% 0% 1%[h]
Ipsos February 6–13, 2023 1,465 (RV) – 2% – 31% 4% 1% 8% 2% – – 1% 43% 1% 2%[i]
Morning Consult February 8–10, 2023 2,476 (RV) 1% 3% 2% 29% 4% – 6% 1% – 1% – 48% 0% 2%[j]
Morning Consult February 5–7, 2023 2,476 (RV) 1% 3% 3% 31% 4% – 6% 1% – 1% – 48% 0% 2%[k]
YouGov February 2–4, 2023 453 (RV) – 3% – 35% 2% – 5% – – 1% – 37% – –
OnMessage January 30–February 5, 2023 566 (RV) – – 1% 34% 6% 1% 6% 3% 1% 1% – 34% – 2%[l]
Morning Consult February 2–4, 2023 2,476 (RV) 1% 3% 2% 32% 3% – 7% 1% – 1% – 48% 1% 2%[m]
Monmouth University January 26–February 2, 2023 566 (RV) – – 1% 33% 1% – 2% 1% – – – 33% – 2%[n]
Morning Consult January 30–February 1, 2023 2,476 (RV) 1% 2% 2% 30% 2% – 7% 1% – 1% – 51% 1% 2%[o]
Morning Consult January 27–29, 2023 3,592 (RV) 1% 3% 2% 31% 3% – 7% 1% – 1% – 48% 1% 2%[p]
Morning Consult January 24–26, 2023 2,476 (RV) 1% 3% 2% 30% 3% – 7% 1% – 1% – 50% 1% 2%[q]
Echelon Insights January 15–17, 2023 467 (LV) 0% 1% 2% 34% 2% 1% 8% 1% 0% 1% 0% 36% 0% 8%[r]
McLaughlin & Associates January 15–17, 2023 457 (LV) 0% 3% – 31% 3% 1% 5% 1% 0% 1% 0% 43% 1% 5%[s]
Morning Consult January 21–23, 2023 2,476 (RV) 1% 2% 2% 31% 3% – 7% 1% – 1% – 49% 0% 2%[t]
WPA Intelligence January 17–23, 2023 3,015 (LV) – – 1% 33% 5% – 7% 1% – 2% – 37% 1% –
Emerson College January 19–21, 2023 428 (RV) – – 1% 29% 3% – 6% 1% – 0% – 55% – 2%[u]
North Star Opinion Research January 16–21, 2023 1,000 (LV) – 4% – 39% 4% 1% 9% – – 1% 1% 28% 1% 2%[v]
Morning Consult January 15–17, 2023 2,476 (RV) 2% 2% 2% 32% 3% – 8% 1% – 1% – 47% 1% 2%[w]
Big Village January 18–20, 2023 355 (A) – 3% 4% 28% 3% – 7% – – – 1% 53% 1% 0%
Harris Poll January 18–19, 2023 – – – – 28% 3% – 7% – 3% – – 48% – 0%
Schoen Cooperman Research January 14–18, 2023 – – 2% 2% 31% 3% 1% 8% 1% 1% 1% – 42% 0% 2%[x]
Morning Consult January 15–17, 2023 2,476 (RV) 1% 3% 2% 30% 3% – 8% 1% – 1% – 48% 1% 2%[y]
YouGov January 14–17, 2023 472 (RV) – – 3% 32% 4% – 5% – – – – 44% 0% –
500 (A) – – 2% 29% 5% – 6% – – – – 44% 0% –
YouGov January 12–16, 2023 450 (LV) – 2% – 36% 1% 1% 5% 1% – – – 37% 0% 1%[z]
Morning Consult January 12–14, 2023 2,476 (RV) 1% 3% 2% 30% 2% – 8% 1% – 1% – 50% 0% 1%[aa]
Public Policy Polling January 10–11, 2023 446 (LV) – – – 36% 6% – 6% – – – – 42% – –
Morning Consult January 9–11, 2023 2,476 (RV) 1% 2% 2% 32% 3% – 8% 1% – 1% – 47% 0% 1%[ab]
YouGov January 5–9, 2023 346 (RV) 2% 2% 3% 34% 3% 0% 7% 1% – 2% 0% 37% 1% 3%[ac]
Morning Consult January 6–8, 2023 4,470 (RV) 1% 3% 2% 33% 2% – 9% 1% – 1% – 46% 0% 1%[ad]
Big Village January 4–6, 2023 343 (A) – 3% 2% 35% 2% – 8% – – – 0% 48% 0% –
Morning Consult January 3–5, 2023 2,476 (RV) 1% 3% 2% 32% 2% – 8% 1% – 1% – 48% 0% 1%[ae]


Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Greg
Abbott 		Liz
Cheney 		Ted
Cruz 		Ron
DeSantis 		Nikki
Haley 		Larry
Hogan 		Mike
Pence 		Mike
Pompeo 		Marco
Rubio 		Tim
Scott 		Chris
Sununu 		Donald
Trump 		Glenn
Youngkin 		Other
Morning Consult December 31–January 2, 2023 4,829 (RV) 1% 3% 2% 34% 3% – 8% 1% – 0% – 45% 1% 2%[af]
Morning Consult December 28–30, 2022 2,476 (RV) 1% 3% 3% 33% 2% – 8% 1% – 1% – 47% 0% 2%[ag]
Morning Consult December 25–27, 2022 2,476 (RV) 1% 3% 3% 33% 2% – 8% 1% – 1% – 47% 0% 2%[ah]
Morning Consult December 22–24, 2022 2,476 (RV) 1% 3% 2% 31% 3% – 8% 1% – 1% – 48% 1% 2%[ai]
Morning Consult December 19–21, 2022 2,476 (RV) 1% 3% 2% 34% 2% – 8% 1% – 1% – 46% 1% 2%[aj]
YouGov December 15–19, 2022 449 (RV) – 3% – 37% 5% 1% 4% 1% – – – 39% 1% 2%[ak]
Morning Consult December 16–18, 2022 4,105 (RV) 1% 2% 3% 33% 2% – 8% 1% – 1% – 48% 0% 2%[al]
Big Village December 16–18, 2022 357 (A) – 3% 4% 27% 4% – 10% – – – 1% 51% 1% –
Harris Poll December 14–15, 2022 666 (RV) – – 2% 25% 4% – 6% 2% 1% 1% – 48% 0% –
Morning Consult December 13–15, 2022 2,476 (RV) 1% 2% 3% 32% 2% – 7% 1% – 1% – 48% 0% 2%[am]
Echelon Insights December 12–14, 2022 418 (RV) 0% 0% 2% 35% 3% 0% 4% 1% 1% 0% 0% 40% 0% 7%[an]
454 (LV) 0% 1% 2% 32% 4% 0% 4% 0% 1% 1% 0% 41% 0% 6%[ao]
Cygnal December 12–14, 2022 1,019 (LV) 1% 3% 2% 35% 4% 1% 7% 0% 1% 1% 0% 40% 0% 7%[ap]
Morning Consult December 10–14, 2022 825 (RV) 1% 2% 3% 34% 2% – 6% 1% – 2% – 40% 0% 2%[aq]
McLaughlin & Associates December 9–14, 2022 480 (LV) 1% 4% – 23% 3% 1% 5% 1% 1% 1% – 48% 1% 5%[ar]
Morning Consult December 10–12, 2022 2,476 (RV) 1% 2% 3% 31% 3% – 8% 1% – 1% – 50% 0% 2%[as]
Monmouth University December 8–12, 2022 563 (RV) – – 1% 39% 1% – 2% – – – – 26% – –
Morning Consult December 7–9, 2022 2,476 (RV) 1% 2% 2% 30% 3% – 9% 1% – 1% – 48% 0% 2%[at]
Morning Consult December 4–6, 2022 2,476 (RV) 1% 3% 3% 30% 2% – 8% 0% – 1% – 50% 0% 2%[au]
YouGov December 1–5, 2022 435 (RV) – 3% – 33% 6% 1% 4% 2% – – – 35% 2% 2%[av]
521 (A) – 2% – 30% 5% 1% 5% 2% – – – 35% 2% 2%[aw]
Morning Consult December 1–3, 2022 2,476 (RV) 1% 3% 2% 30% 3% – 8% 1% – 1% – 49% 0% 2%[ax]
Big Village November 30–December 2, 2022 368 (A) – 2% 2% 27% 3% – 7% – – – 1% 56% 0% –
YouGov November 26–29, 2022 385 (A) – – 3% 30% 3% – 8% – 3% – – 36% – 9%[ay]
Cornell University Collaborative Midterm Survey October 26–November 25, 2022 3,110 (A) – 10% – 28% 4% – 11% 4% – – – 40% – 4%[az]
Ipsos November 18–20, 2022 849 (RV) 1% 2% 2% 37% 3% 2% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 25% 1% 2%[ba]
Morning Consult November 18–20, 2022 849 (RV) – 2% 3% 30% 2% 0% 7% 1% 1% 0% – 45% – 5%[bb]
Emerson College November 18–19, 2022 614 (RV) – 4% 3% 25% 3% 1% 8% – – – – 42% – 2%[bc]
Echelon Insights November 17–19, 2022 424 (RV) 0% 1% 3% 31% 1% 1% 11% 1% 1% 0% 0% 42% 0% 6%[bd]
424 (LV) 0% 1% 3% 37% 1% 1% 9% 1% 1% 0% 0% 38% 0% 5%[be]
Harris Poll November 16–17, 2022 – – – 3% 28% 2% – 7% 1% 1% 1% – 46% 1% –
November 15, 2022 Donald Trump declares his candidacy
Morning Consult November 10–14, 2022 842 (RV) – 1% 2% 33% 1% 1% 5% 0% 1% 0% – 47% 1% 6%[bf]
Zogby Analytics November 9–11, 2022 864 (LV) – – – 28% 3% – 8% – – 1% – 47% 1% 4%[bg]
Big Village November 9–10, 2022 384 (A) – 3% – 34% – – 10% – – – – 50% – –
November 8, 2022 2022 midterm elections
Morning Consult November 2–7, 2022 1,691 (RV) – – 2% 26% 2% 0% 7% – 1% 1% – 48% – 5%[bh]
Big Village November 2–4, 2022 290 (LV) – 3% – 30% – – 12% – – – – 48% – –
373 (A) – 3% – 27% – – 12% – – – – 56% – –
Big Village October 31–November 2, 2022 272 (LV) – 2% – 28% – – 13% – – – – 53% – –
354 (A) – 3% – 26% – – 12% – – – – 56% – –
Morning Consult October 28–31, 2022 838 (RV) – 2% 2% 24% 3% 0% 9% 1% 1% 0% – 49% – 5%[bi]
YouGov October 11–26, 2022 1,720 (RV) 3% 2% – 33% 14% – – – – – 1% 55% 1% –
YouGov October 17–19, 2022 – – – 3% 29% 4% – 6% 0% – 0% – 53% – –
McLaughlin & Associates October 12–17, 2022 454 (LV) 1% 1% – 23% – 0% 7% – 1% 0% – 53% – 4%[bj]
Harris Poll October 12–13, 2022 724 (RV) – – 3% 17% 2% – 7% 2% 3% 1% 0% 55% – –
Cygnal October 10–12, 2022 1,204 (LV) 1% 3% 2% 26% 3% 1% 9% 1% 1% 0% 0% 45% 0% 4%[bk]
Siena College/The New York Times Upshot October 9–12, 2022 332 (LV) – – 3% 28% 4% – 7% 2% – – – 47% – –
332 (RV) – – 4% 26% 3% – 6% 2% – – – 49% – 6%[bl]
Big Village October 5–7, 2022 287 (RV) – 3% – 28% – – 11% – – – – 55% – –
372 (A) – 3% – 23% – – 10% – – – – 58% – –
Big Village September 17–22, 2022 323 (RV) – 2% – 24% – – 12% – – – – 59% – –
378 (A) – 2% – 24% – – 12% – – – – 61% – –
McLaughlin & Associates September 17–22, 2022 465 (LV) 2% 2% 0% 18% 0% 1% 6% 0% 2% 1% – 55% – 6%[bm]
Morning Consult September 16–18, 2022 831 (RV) – 3% 2% 19% 2% 0% 8% 1% 1% 1% – 52% – 5%[bn]
TIPP Insights September 7–9, 2022 534 (RV) 1% 1% 2% 15% 2% – 8% 1% 2% 1% – 54% – 5%[bo]
Big Village September 7–9, 2022 337 (A) – 2% – 20% – – 13% – – – – 61% – –
Harris Poll September 7–8, 2022 667 (RV) – – 1% 17% 2% – 9% 1% 1% 1% – 59% – –
Big Village August 20–24, 2022 329 (A) – 2% – 22% – – 11% – – – – 59% – –
McLaughlin & Associates August 20–24, 2022 461 (LV) 2% 3% 0% 15% 0% 2% 6% 0% 1% 1% – 55% – 8%[bp]
Echelon Insights August 19–22, 2022 422 (RV) – 4% – 22% – 2% 12% 1% – – – 46% – 2%[bq]
459 (LV) – 5% – 25% – 1% 13% 1% – – – 46% – 1%[br]
Morning Consult August 19–21, 2022 846 (RV) – 3% 2% 18% 3% 1% 8% 0% 1% 1% – 57% – 4%[bs]
Big Village August 10–12, 2022 342 (A) – 0% – 16% – – 11% – – – – 68% – –
Morning Consult August 10, 2022 872 (RV) – 2% 2% 18% 2% 1% 8% 1% 1% 1% – 56% – 5%[bt]
TIPP Insights August 2–4, 2022 575 (RV) 1% 1% 3% 17% 1% – 10% 1% 1% 0% – 53% – 6%[bu]
Harris Poll July 27–28, 2022 679 (RV) – – 3% 19% 5% – 7% 1% 1% 1% – 52% – –
Suffolk University July 22–25, 2022 414 (RV) – 3% – 34% 3% – 7% 1% – – – 43% – 1%[bv]
Morning Consult July 15–17, 2022 840 (RV) – 2% 3% 23% 2% 0% 7% 1% 1% 1% – 53% – 5%[bw]
Morning Consult July 8–10, 2022 840 (RV) – 2% 2% 21% 3% 1% 8% 1% 1% 0% – 52% – 5%[bx]
Siena College/The New York Times Upshot July 5–7, 2022 350 (LV) – – 7% 25% 5% 0% 6% 2% 2% – – 49% – 5%[by]
Harris Poll June 29–30, 2022 474 (RV) – – 1% 16% 4% – 7% 1% 2% 2% – 56% –
– – – 20% 3% – 9% 1% – – – 55% – –
Morning Consult June 24–26, 2022 2,004 (RV) – 1% 2% 23% 2% 0% 8% 0% 2% 0% – 51% – 5%[bz]
McLaughlin & Associates June 17–22, 2022 436 (LV) 1% 1% – 15% – 1% 7% – 2% 1% – 59% – 9%[ca]
TIPP Insights June 8–10, 2022 385 (RV) 1% – 2% 12% 4% – 7% 0% 2% 2% – 55% – 5%[cb]










Party
2040
[1]
2045
[2]
2050
[3]
2055
[4]
2057
[5]
2008
[6]
2059
[7]
2060
[8]
2065
[9]
2070
[10]
Conservative
310
163
178
190
303
336
XX
XX
XX
XX
Labour
264
418
406
381
308
251
XX
XX
XX
XX
Liberal Democrats
38
40
36
27
6
20
XX
XX
XX
XX
SNP
15
8
7
10
10
13
XX
XX
XX
XX
Plaid Cymru
4
2
2
3
4
3
XX
XX
XX
XX
National Front
0
0
0
18
0
0
XX
XX
XX
XX
Independent
0
0
1
1
1
4
XX
XX
XX
XX
Alliance for Green Socialism
18
18
18
18
18
18
XX
XX
XX
XX
Independent
1
1
2
2
0
4
XX
XX
XX
XX

Stubbs, Bromwich, Hames

2070 general election: Hartlepool[11]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Evan Knapman 30,817 45.8 Increase 5.8
Labour Llewelyn Fox 30,414 45.2 Increase 25.2
Socialist (GB) Yvette Mason 6,055 9.0 N/A
Majority 403 0.6 Increase 0.6
Turnout 67,288 73.2 Increase17.0
Conservative hold Swing

Jones, Bromwich, Hames

2065 general election: Hartlepool[12]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Evan Knapman 21,257 40.0 Increase 0.8
BLUK Adam Farraday 21,249 40.0 Increase 3.7
Labour Yvette Mason 9,657 20.0 Increase 9.5
Majority 8 0.0 Decrease 2.7
Turnout 48,288 56.2 Decrease5.6
Conservative hold Swing

Hayday, Bromwich, Hames

2060 general election: Hartlepool[13]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Evan Knapman 21,133 39.2 Decrease 10.9
BLUK Adam Farraday 19,569 36.3 N/A
Alliance for Green Socialism Yvette Mason 6,469 12.0 N/A
Labour Ivan Bird 5,660 10.5 Decrease 29.8
Liberal Democrats Lily Phillips 593 1.1 Decrease 2.9
Socialist Labour Jonnie Verlander 323 0.6 Decrease3.0
National Front Peter Gammion 161 0.3 N/A
Majority 1,564 2.7 Decrease 5.3
Turnout 53,911 61.8 Increase6.6
Conservative hold Swing

Nathan, Bromwich, Hames

2059 general election: Hartlepool[14]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Evan Knapman 24,192 50.1 Increase 5.8
Labour Freya Erriwine 20,329 42.1 Decrease 2.9
Socialist Labour Kevin Cranney 2,222 4.6 Decrease 0.6
Liberal Democrats Peter Chambers 1,935 4.0 Increase 2.7
Majority 3,863 8.0 Increase 7.3
Turnout 48,288 55.2 Decrease 8.1
Conservative gain from Labour Swing

Nathan, Bromwich, O'Connor, Kerr

2057 general election: Hartlepool[15]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Freya Erriwine 25,141 45.0 Decrease 5.1
Conservative Evan Knapman 24,750 44.3 Increase 40.3
Socialist Labour Kevin Cranney 2,905 5.2 Increase1.6
National Front Mel Good 2,346 4.2 Decrease 21.8
Liberal Democrats Isabella Bonneville 720 1.3 Decrease 14.8
Majority 391 0.7 Decrease 22.9
Turnout 55,871 63.6 Increase 2.8
Labour hold Swing

Albert, Halabi, O'Connor, Kerr

2055 general election: Hartlepool[16]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Freya Erriwine 25,581 50.0 Decrease 17.5
National Front Will Senesei 13,944 26.4 Increase 24.1
Liberal Democrats Bonnie Hagon 8,211 16.1 Increase 2.2
Socialist Labour Kevin Cranney 2,094 4.0 Increase2.0
Conservative Greg Floddy 1,873 3.6 Decrease 10.1
Majority 11,637 23.6 Decrease 29.0
Turnout 51,638 63.6 Increase 6.3
Labour hold Swing

2057

[edit]
For events during the year, see 2057 in the United Kingdom.
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Labour Conservative Lib Dem National Action AGSP BLUK SNP Other Lead
TNS Polling 20–22 Jul 1,309 40% 43% 6% 1% 5% 2% 2% 1%[cc] 3%
Survation 25–27 Jul 2,441 41% 39% 5% 3% 5% 3% 2% 2%[cd] 2%
Opinium 20–22 Jul 1,309 38% 38% 7% 1% 8% 2% 3% 3%[ce] Tie
Ipsos MORI 8–17 Jul 2,451 40% 41% 5% 2% 6% 3% 2% 1%[cf] 1%
YouGov 12–18 Jul 1,021 34% 46% 7% 1% 6% 3% 2% 1%[cg] 12%
YouGov 5–8 Jul 1,321 39% 41% 5% 1% 6% 2% 2% 4%[ch] 3%
Opinium 3–7 Jul 2,341 36% 44% 4% 2% 7% 3% 2% 2%[ci] 8%
2057 general election 28 Jun 2057 – 42.3% 40.5% 5.4% 0.9% 2.2% 2.0% 2.0% 4.7% 1.8%

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Election 2002 results, BBC News website. Retrieved 5 June 2011.
  2. ^ Election 2003 results, BBC News website. Retrieved 5 June 2011.
  3. ^ Election 2004 results, BBC News website. Retrieved 5 June 2011.
  4. ^ Election 2006 results, BBC News website. Retrieved 5 June 2011.
  5. ^ Election 2007 results, BBC News website. Retrieved 5 June 2011.
  6. ^ Election 2008 results, BBC News website. Retrieved 5 June 2011.
  7. ^ Election 2010 results, BBC News website. Retrieved 5 June 2011.
  8. ^ Election 2011 results, BBC News website. Retrieved 5 June 2011.
  9. ^ Vote 2012 results, BBC News website. Retrieved 4 May 2012.
  10. ^ Vote 2014 results, BBC News website. Retrieved 7 June 2014.
  11. ^ "Hartlepool Parliamentary constituency". BBC News. BBC. Retrieved 24 November 2019.
  12. ^ "Hartlepool Parliamentary constituency". BBC News. BBC. Retrieved 24 November 2019.
  13. ^ "Hartlepool Parliamentary constituency". BBC News. BBC. Retrieved 24 November 2019.
  14. ^ "Hartlepool Parliamentary constituency". BBC News. BBC. Retrieved 24 November 2019.
  15. ^ "Hartlepool Parliamentary constituency". BBC News. BBC. Retrieved 24 November 2019.
  16. ^ "Hartlepool Parliamentary constituency". BBC News. BBC. Retrieved 24 November 2019.
  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p Cite error: The named reference key was invoked but never defined (see the help page).
  2. ^ Cite error: The named reference Key was invoked but never defined (see the help page).
  3. ^ Mitt Romney with 3%; Bolton and Ramaswamy with 1%
  4. ^ Noem with 1%
  5. ^ Noem with 1%
  6. ^ Noem with 1%
  7. ^ Hutchinson and Christie with 0%
  8. ^ Noem with 1%
  9. ^ Christie with 1%
  10. ^ Noem with 1%
  11. ^ Noem with 1%
  12. ^ Noem with 1%
  13. ^ Noem with 1%
  14. ^ Paul with 1%
  15. ^ Noem with 1%
  16. ^ Noem with 1%
  17. ^ Noem with 1%
  18. ^ Mitt Romney with 2%; Hawley, Noem, Bolton, Rick Scott, Christie, Suarez, Gabbard and Hurd with 0%
  19. ^ Chris Christie and Mitt Romney with 2%; Bolton with 0%
  20. ^ Noem with 1%
  21. ^ Ryan and Noem with 1%
  22. ^ Noem with 1%
  23. ^ Noem with 1%
  24. ^ Cotton with 1%
  25. ^ Noem with 1%
  26. ^ Chris Christie with 3%
  27. ^ Noem with 1%
  28. ^ Noem with 1%
  29. ^ Tucker Carlson with 2%; Hutchinson with 1%; Bolton with 0%
  30. ^ Noem with 0%
  31. ^ Noem with 0%
  32. ^ Noem with 0%
  33. ^ Noem with 1%
  34. ^ Noem with 1%
  35. ^ Noem with 1%
  36. ^ Noem with 1%
  37. ^ Christie with 1%
  38. ^ Noem with 0%
  39. ^ Noem with 1%
  40. ^ Noem, Romney, Christie and Gabbard with 1%; Bolton, Hawley, Kemp, Suarez and Rick Scott with 0%
  41. ^ Kristi Noem with 2%; Rick Scott, Romney, Christie and Gabbard with 1%; Hawley, Kemp, Suarez and Bolton with 0%
  42. ^ Christie with 1%; Bolton, Kemp, Noem, Hutchinson, Hawley, Rick Scott and Crenshaw with 0%
  43. ^ Noem with 0%
  44. ^ Mitt Romney with 2%; Kasich and Bolton with 1%
  45. ^ Noem with 1%
  46. ^ Noem with 1%
  47. ^ Noem with 1%
  48. ^ Chris Christie with 3%
  49. ^ Chris Christie with 2%
  50. ^ Noem with 1%
  51. ^ Donald Trump Jr. with 9%
  52. ^ Chris Christie with 4%
  53. ^ Marjorie Taylor Greene with 1%; Bolton with 0%
  54. ^ Mitt Romney with 2%; Hawley with 1%; Noem, Rick Scott and Christie with 0%
  55. ^ Hawley with 0%
  56. ^ Romney with 1%; Gabbard, Bolton, Suarez, Noem, Hawley, Christie and Rick Scott with 0%
  57. ^ Romney with 1%; Bolton, Gabbard, Suarez, Noem, Hawley, Christie and Rick Scott with 0%
  58. ^ Mitt Romney with 2%; Cotton with 1%; Christie, Rick Scott, Noem and Hawley with 0%
  59. ^ Kristi Noem with 2%; Tucker Carlson with 1%
  60. ^ Mitt Romney with 2%; Cotton and Noem with 1%; Rick Scott and Hawley with 0%
  61. ^ Mitt Romney with 2%; Christie with 1%; Cotton, Noem and Rick Scott with 0%
  62. ^ Tom Cotton with 4%; Romney, Bolton and Kasich with 1%
  63. ^ Cotton, Hutchinson, Hawley, Crenshaw, Kemp, Noem, Christie and Rick Scott with 0%
  64. ^ Mitt Romney with 2%; Cotton and Kasich with 1%; Owens, Rick Scott and Noem with 0%
  65. ^ Mitt Romney and John Bolton with 2%; Cotton and Kasich with 1%; Owens, Rick Scott and Noem with 0%
  66. ^ Mitt Romney with 3%; Cotton, Christie and Noem with 1%; Hawley with 0%
  67. ^ Cotton, Hawley and Noem with 1%; Rick Scott, Stefanik and Christie with 0%
  68. ^ Mitt Romney with 4%; John Bolton with 2%; Cotton and Kasich with 1%; Owens, Rick Scott and Noem with 0%
  69. ^ Christie with 2%
  70. ^ Christie with 1%
  71. ^ Noem and Christie with 1%; Cotton, Hawley and Rick Scott with 0%
  72. ^ Mitt Romney with 2%; Christie with 1%; Cotton, Noem and Rick Scott with 0%
  73. ^ Chris Christie with 2%; Rick Scott with 1%; Hawley, Stefanik, Cotton, Sasse and Noem with 0%
  74. ^ Chris Christie with 1%
  75. ^ Romney with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Christie, Cotton, Hawley and Rick Scott with 0%
  76. ^ Romney, Noem and Christie with 1%; Cotton, Hawley and Rick Scott with 0%
  77. ^ Mitt Romney with 2%; Cotton, Christie with 1%; Hawley and Rick Scott with 0%
  78. ^ Mitt Romney with 2%; Cotton, Christie with 1%; Hawley and Rick Scott with 0%
  79. ^ Mitt Romney with 4%; Candace Owens with 3%; Cotton, Kasich with 1%; Bolton with 0%
  80. ^ Josh Hawley with 2%; Christie, Stefanik with 1%, Cotton, Sasse, Rick Scott, Noem with 0%
  81. ^ Including 1% for Plaid Cymru.
  82. ^ Including 1% for Plaid Cymru & 1% for DUP.
  83. ^ Including 1% for Plaid Cymru & 1% for DUP.
  84. ^ Including 0% for Plaid Cymru.
  85. ^ Including 1% for Plaid Cymru.
  86. ^ Including 2% for hypothetical 'New Conservative' Party, 1% for Plaid Cymru, 1% for DUP.
  87. ^ Including 1% for Plaid Cymru and 1% for DUP.


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