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Theodor Landscheidt

Landscheidt Minimum

Since the 1970’s, climatologist Dr. Theodor Landscheidt showed interest ^[1] in solar science. His interest came primarily from his study of cycle phenomena and as such became interested in solar cycles. ^[2] The sunspot cycle and solar flares were originally studied and even related to the baryocentric motion of the sun caused by the center of gravity changing over time due to the planets movement.

In 1999 Landscheidt looked at Paul Jose’s work , ^[3] from 1965 where the Jovian opposition was related to the baryocentric motion of the Sun. This 179 year cycle came to be known as the Jose Cycle. It was from this analysis that Landscheidt first hypothesized that the Sun would enter Maunder Minimum type conditions in the early 21st century.^[4]

In 2003, Landscheidt published his paper, ‘New Little Ice Age Instead of Global Warming’, ^[5] that refined his study of the sun’s baryocentric motion to the Gleissberg cycle which takes into account all the planets effect on the sun. It is here that he proposed the mechanism by which the motion of the planets affected Solar Activity. He calculated the change in torque on the sun caused by the planets over time and theorized this accelerated and decelerated the solar transport in the solar core which in turn affected the solar activity which manifested itself in sun spots. He theorized the process would start in 1990 and that solar cycle 24 would be of Maunder Minimum character (30 to 50 Wolf number) and a number of solar cycles after with the Deep Minimum occurring in 2030. At this time Climate Scientists which were becoming known as Global Warming Skeptics found the work compelling enough to propose this Minimum be called the Landscheidt Minimum[7].

Work following Landscheidt’s on the baryocentric motion of the sun and its influence on solar activity has been reinforced with work by other scientists [8] [9] including NASA scientist, Ching-Cheh Hung , in his paper “Apparent Relations Between Solar Activity and Solar Tides Caused by the Planets” ^[6] Here, it is proposed that Solar Cycle 24 will be extremely low as well. The connection to Earth’s Climate in Landscheidt’s "Planets => Sun => Earth" ‘physical model’ is the remaining controversy that is not generally accepted in the scientific community. Landscheidt did discuss this issue in a 1998 paper, “Solar Activity : A Dominant Factor in Climate Dynamics”^[7], where he proposed reasons why Solar Irradiance and heat transfer vary with Solar Cycles and cause variation in the Earth’s Climate.

Despite this part of his physical model not being accepted, by using his understanding, he gained notoriety in forecasting ENSO events like El Nino’s and La Nina’s 3 years in advance ^[8] with greater rigor than the composite statistical regression models used by NOAA which have difficulty forecasting 6 months into the future [10].

Theodor Landscheidt

Theodor Landscheidt (born in 1927 in Bremen, Germany, died on May 20, 2004) was a German judge, astrologer and climatologist. He graduated from Gottingen University in 1955 after studying jurisprudence, astronomy, the natural sciences, philosophy and languages of which he could speak German, English, French, Spanish and a little Russian. After graduation he pursued independent interdisciplinary research into astronomy, geophysics, and solar science.[11]

Dr. Landscheidt forecasted a minimum of solar activity around 2030. Geophysicists-climatologs from different countries have suggested this period would then be identified as "Landscheidt Minimum". Since solar extrema are also assumed to cause climatic extrema, his work on solar cycles is cited by global warming skeptics [12] to argue that observed warming is not anthroprogenic and will soon be reversed.

In 1983 he founded and financed the Schroeter Institute for Research in Cycles of Solar Activity in Lilienthal, near Bremen [13].

Awards

In 1992 he received an award from the Edward R. Dewey Institute of Cycle Research, California, in recognition of "outstanding accomplishments in the field of Solar Cycle Research", and for "many contributions to the study of solar-terrestrial cycles. [14] Landscheidt also received the Marc Edmund Jones Award which is considered one of the most prestigious awards in astrology. [15]

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References

^ Landscheidt, T. Gibt es einen Zusammenhang zwischen dem Alter kosmischer Körper und Systeme und ihrem spezifischen Volumen? - Abh. naturw. Verein Bremen, Seite 203-225, Bremen, 15 März 1970[1]
^ Landscheidt, T. Swinging sun, 79-year cycle, and climatic change. J. interdiscipl. Cycle Res. 12, 3-19, 1981.[ http://bourabai.narod.ru/landscheidt/swinging.htm]
^ Jose, Paul D. Sun’s Motion and Sunspots (1965) The Astronomical Journal, Vol. 70, Number 3, April 1965; P. 193-200)[2]
^ Landscheidt, T. Extrema in sunspot cycle linked to Sun's motion. - Solar Physics 189, 413 - 424, 1999.[ http://bourabai.narod.ru/landscheidt/extrema.htm]
^ Landscheidt, T. New Little Ice Age instead of global warming. Energy and Environment 14, 327-350. – 2003[3]
^ Hung, Ching-Cheh (2007) Apparent Relations Between Solar Activity and Solar Tides Caused by the Planets (NASA/TM—2007-214817) Glenn Research Center, Cleveland, Ohio July 2007[4]
^ Landscheidt, T. (1998) Solar Activity : A Dominant Factor in Climate Dynamics. -1998[5]
^ Landscheidt, T. Solar forcing of El Niño and La Niña. European Space Agency (ESA) Special Publication 463, 135-140, 2000[6]