Opinion polling for the 2011 Scottish Parliament election
In the run-up to the 2011 Scottish Parliament election, several polling organisations carried out public opinion polling in regards to voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed below. The first figure for each party is for the 1st, first-past-the-post (constituency) vote; the second figure is for the 2nd, proportional representation (regional) vote.
ARPO, ICM, Ipsos MORI, Populus, TNS-BMRB (formerly TNS System Three) and YouGov were members of the British Polling Council, and abided by its disclosure rules. Progressive Partnership-Scottish Opinion and Panelbase, although members of the Market Research Society, were not members of the BPC and did not publish detailed methodology and findings.
Graphical summary
[edit]The constituency vote is shown as semi-transparent lines, while the regional vote is shown in full lines.
Constituency vote
[edit]Graphical summary
[edit].png)
Poll results
[edit]| Constituency vote (FPTP) | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm/Client | Survey end date | SNP | Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Others | ||||
| 2011 Scottish Parliament election | 45.39% | 31.69% | 13.91% | 7.93% | 1.8% | |||||
| YouGov | 4 May 2011 | 42% | 35% | 11% | 8% | |||||
| TNS-BMRB/STV | 3 May 2011 | 45% | 27% | 15% | 10% | |||||
| YouGov/Scotland on Sunday | 29 April 2011 | 42% | 34% | 12% | 7% | 5% | ||||
| YouGov/Scotland on Sunday | 21 April 2011 | 45% | 32% | 10% | 8% | 4% | ||||
| YouGov/Scotland on Sunday | 15 April 2011 | 40% | 37% | 11% | 8% | 4% | ||||
| Scottish Opinion/Sunday Mail | 9 April 2011 | 46% | 36% | 9% | 6% | |||||
| panelbase/The Sunday Times | 4 April 2011 | 37% | 37% | 13% | 8% | |||||
| YouGov/The Scotsman (tables) | 28 March 2011 | 40% | 39% | 11% | 5% | 5% | ||||
| TNS-BMRB/STV | 27 March 2011 | 37% | 38% | 15% | 7% | 3% | ||||
| YouGov | 18 March 2011 | 38% | 41% | 10% | 6% | 5% | ||||
| ICM/SNP | 15 March 2011 | 35% | 39% | 12% | 10% | - | ||||
| Scottish Opinion/Mail on Sunday | 13 March 2011 | 37% | 43% | 11% | 5% | 4% | ||||
| TNS-BMRB/Herald | 2 March 2011 | 29% | 44% | 12% | 11% | - | ||||
| YouGov/Greens | 22 February 2011 | 32% | 41% | 15% | 8% | 4% | ||||
| Ipsos MORI | 14 February 2011 | 37% | 36% | 13% | 10% | 4% | ||||
| TNS-BMRB/Herald | 10 January 2011 | 33% | 49% | 9% | 7% | 2% | ||||
| Ipsos MORI | 26 November 2010 | 31% | 41% | 13% | 11% | 5% | ||||
| YouGov/Scotsman | 21 October 2010 | 34% | 40% | 14% | 8% | 5% | ||||
| YouGov/Mail on Sunday | 3 September 2010 | 29% | 39% | 16% | 11% | 5% | ||||
| TNS-BMRB | 31 August 2010 | 32% | 42% | 12% | 12% | 2% | ||||
| Ipsos MORI | 19 August 2010 | 34% | 37% | 11% | 13% | 4% | ||||
| YouGov/SNP | 18 August 2010 | 35% | 36% | 14% | 12% | 3% | ||||
| TNS-BMRB/Herald | 3 August 2010 | 32% | 46% | 10% | 11% | 2% | ||||
| TNS-BMRB/Herald | 1 June 2010 | 29% | 45% | 13% | 11% | 2% | ||||
| YouGov/Scotsman | 4 May 2010 | 34% | 31% | 14% | 17% | 4% | ||||
| YouGov/Scotland on Sunday | 30 April 2010 | 31% | 33% | 13% | 18% | 5% | ||||
| Populus/Times | 26 April 2010 | 31% | 30% | 12% | 23% | 4% | ||||
| YouGov/Sky News | 23 April 2010 | 34% | 31% | 12% | 19% | 5% | ||||
| ARPO/Greens | 19 April 2010 | 27% | 31% | 19% | 19% | 4% | ||||
| YouGov/Scotland on Sunday | 16 April 2010 | 30% | 34% | 14% | 16% | 5% | ||||
| YouGov/Scotland on Sunday | 26 March 2010 | 34% | 31% | 14% | 14% | 7% | ||||
| YouGov/Scotland on Sunday | 26 February 2010 | 28% | 33% | 16% | 16% | 6% | ||||
| Ipsos MORI | 21 February 2010 | 36% | 29% | 14% | 15% | 6% | ||||
| TNS-BMRB/Herald | 4 February 2010 | 35% | 37% | 13% | 12% | 3% | ||||
| YouGov/SNP | 13 January 2010 | 35% | 32% | 14% | 13% | 7% | ||||
| Ipsos MORI | 23 November 2009 | 36% | 32% | 12% | 12% | 8% | ||||
| YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 20 November 2009 | 32% | 33% | 14% | 15% | 6% | ||||
| TNS-BMRB/Herald | 3 November 2009 | 40% | 32% | 13% | 11% | 5% | ||||
| YouGov/Greens | 28 October 2009 | 34% | 31% | 16% | 14% | 5% | ||||
| YouGov/SNP | 2 September 2009 | 36% | 28% | 16% | 14% | 7% | ||||
| Ipsos MORI/Holyrood Magazine | 31 August 2009 | 38% | 25% | 15% | 15% | 6% | ||||
| YouGov/Mail on Sunday | 28 August 2009 | 34% | 27% | 16% | 16% | 6% | ||||
| YouGov/Daily Mail | 26 August 2009 | 33% | 31% | 16% | 16% | 5% | ||||
| TNS-BMRB/STV | 29 June 2009 | 39% | 32% | 12% | 11% | 7% | ||||
| YouGov/Sunday Times | 4 June 2009 | 39% | 26% | 14% | 14% | 7% | ||||
| TNS System Three/Sunday Herald | 28 April 2009 | 32% | 36% | 19% | 9% | 4% | ||||
| YouGov/SNP | 22 April 2009 | 37% | 30% | 15% | 13% | 5% | ||||
| YouGov/Sunday Times | 13 March 2009 | 35% | 34% | 14% | 12% | 4% | ||||
| YouGov/Sunday Times | 30 January 2009 | 38% | 32% | 13% | 12% | 5% | ||||
| 2007 Scottish Parliament election | 32.9% | 32.2% | 16.6% | 16.2% | ||||||
Regional vote
[edit]Graphical summary
[edit].png)
Poll results
[edit]| Regional vote (AMS) | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm/Client | Survey end date | SNP | Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Green | Others | |||
| 2011 Scottish Parliament election | 44.04% | 26.31% | 12.36% | 5.2% | 4.38% | |||||
| YouGov | 4 May 2011 | 35% | 32% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 3% | |||
| TNS-BMRB/STV | 3 May 2011 | 38% | 25% | 16% | 9% | 8% | 4% | |||
| YouGov/Scotland on Sunday | 29 April 2011 | 35% | 33% | 12% | 6% | 7% | 7% | |||
| YouGov/Scotland on Sunday | 21 April 2011 | 39% | 29% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 5% | |||
| YouGov/Scotland on Sunday | 15 April 2011 | 35% | 33% | 12% | 7% | 6% | 7% | |||
| Scottish Opinion/Sunday Mail | 9 April 2011 | 38% | 37% | 10% | 9% | 5% | ||||
| panelbase/Sunday Times | 4 April 2011 | 37% | 32% | 11% | 7% | 5% | ||||
| YouGov/Scotsman (tables) | 28 March 2011 | 32% | 39% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 6% | |||
| TNS-BMRB/STV | 27 March 2011 | 35% | 35% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 3% | |||
| YouGov | 18 March 2011 | 32% | 39% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 7% | |||
| ICM/SNP | 15 March 2011 | 34% | 37% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 7% | |||
| Scottish Opinion/Mail on Sunday | 13 March 2011 | 37% | 44% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 2% | |||
| TNS-BMRB/Herald | 2 March 2011 | 29% | 39% | 11% | 10% | 6% | 5% | |||
| YouGov/Greens | 22 February 2011 | 26% | 40% | 15% | 7% | 6% | 5% | |||
| Ipsos MORI | 14 February 2011 | 35% | 33% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 3% | |||
| TNS-BMRB/Herald | 10 January 2011 | 33% | 47% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 2% | |||
| Ipsos MORI | 26 November 2010 | 32% | 36% | 12% | 8% | - | 10% | |||
| YouGov/Scotsman | 21 October 2010 | 31% | 36% | 15% | 8% | 6% | 4% | |||
| YouGov/Mail on Sunday | 3 September 2010 | 26% | 36% | 15% | 12% | 6% | 5% | |||
| TNS-BMRB | 31 August 2010 | 30% | 42% | 11% | 12% | 3% | 3% | |||
| Ipsos MORI | 19 August 2010 | 29% | 38% | 12% | 12% | - | - | |||
| TNS-BMRB/Herald | 3 August 2010 | 30% | 42% | 11% | 12% | 3% | 2% | |||
| TNS-BMRB/Herald | 1 June 2010 | 28% | 41% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 3% | |||
| YouGov/Scotsman | 4 May 2010 | 29% | 30% | 15% | 16% | 5% | 5% | |||
| YouGov/Scotland on Sunday | 30 April 2010 | 26% | 32% | 15% | 17% | 6% | 5% | |||
| Populus/Times | 26 April 2010 | 29% | 30% | 12% | 22% | 3% | 3% | |||
| YouGov/Sky News | 23 April 2010 | 29% | 28% | 13% | 18% | 6% | 6% | |||
| ARPO/Greens | 19 April 2010 | 27% | 21% | 15% | 21% | 8% | 7% | |||
| YouGov/Scotland on Sunday | 16 April 2010 | 27% | 31% | 15% | 17% | 5% | 5% | |||
| YouGov/Scotland on Sunday | 26 March 2010 | 30% | 31% | 14% | 13% | 5% | 7% | |||
| YouGov/Scotland on Sunday | 26 February 2010 | 26% | 31% | 17% | 14% | 7% | 6% | |||
| TNS-BMRB/Herald | 4 February 2010 | 30% | 37% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 3% | |||
| YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 20 November 2009 | 29% | 30% | 14% | 14% | 6% | 8% | |||
| TNS-BMRB/Herald | 3 November 2009 | 37% | 29% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 6% | |||
| YouGov/Greens | 28 October 2009 | 29% | 29% | 16% | 14% | 6% | 6% | |||
| YouGov/SNP | 2 September 2009 | 30% | 26% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 9% | |||
| YouGov/Mail on Sunday | 28 August 2009 | 30% | 26% | 16% | 16% | 7% | 5% | |||
| YouGov/Daily Mail | 26 August 2009 | 27% | 28% | 17% | 15% | 6% | 7% | |||
| TNS-BMRB/STV | 29 June 2009 | 39% | 29% | 10% | 12% | 5% | 5% | |||
| YouGov/Sunday Times | 4 June 2009 | 34% | 26% | 14% | 13% | 7% | 7% | |||
| TNS System Three/Sunday Herald | 28 April 2009 | 40% | 30% | 13% | 10% | 4% | 7% | |||
| YouGov/SNP | 22 April 2009 | 37% | 28% | 15% | 13% | - | 7% | |||
| YouGov/Sunday Times | 13 March 2009 | 30% | 32% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 7% | |||
| YouGov/Sunday Times | 30 January 2009 | 34% | 28% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 7% | |||
| 2007 Scottish Parliament election | 31.0% | 29.2% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 4.0% | |||||