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Opinion polling for the 2005 Portuguese legislative election

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In the run up to the 2005 Portuguese legislative election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 17 March 2002, to the day the next election was held, on 20 February 2005.

Nationwide polling

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Graphical summary

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Polling

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Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded but both are displayed in bold. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication.

Date Released Polling Firm PS PSD CDS–PP CDU BE Others Lead
20 Feb 2005 2005 legislative election 45.0
121 seats
28.8
75 seats
7.2
12 seats
7.5
14 seats
6.4
8 seats
5.1
0 seats
16.2
20 Feb (20:00) Exit Poll - RTP1
Universidade Católica
45.0–49.0
124 / 136
25.0–29.0
62 / 70
5.0–7.0
7 / 10
6.0–8.0
10 / 14
6.0–8.0
10 / 14
20.0
20 Feb (20:00) Exit Poll - SIC
Eurosondagem
46.9–50.7
123 / 130
23.3–27.1
65 / 75
6.1–7.9
9 / 13
7.5–9.3
14 / 16
6.1–7.9
8 / 9
23.6
20 Feb (20:00) Exit Poll - TVI
Intercampus
44.2–48.2
117 / 127
26.1–30.1
68 / 78
5.5–8.1
8 / 14
6.4–9.0
12 / 18
5.1–7.7
6 / 12
18.1
Exit polls
18 Feb 2005 Aximage 46.8 29.6 7.3 7.0 5.5 3.8 17.2
18 Feb 2005 Marktest 46.0 26.8 7.5 8.9 7.7 3.1 19.2
18 Feb 2005 Eurosondagem 45.0 30.6 7.7 7.7 5.7 3.3 14.4
18 Feb 2005 IPOM 46.0 30.0 8.0 6.0 7.0 3.0 16.0
18 Feb 2005 Intercampus 45.9 30.3 7.1 7.6 5.2 3.9 15.6
17 Feb 2005 TNS/Euroteste 39.0 28.0 7.0 6.0 6.0 14.0 11.0
17 Feb 2005 Universidade Católica 46.0 31.0 6.0 7.0 7.0 3.0 15.0
12 Feb 2005 Eurosondagem 44.4 31.3 7.4 6.9 6.4 3.6 13.1
11 Feb 2005 Aximage 44.7 27.4 6.4 7.1 4.8 9.6 17.3
4 Feb 2005 IPOM 49.0 31.0 8.0 6.0 5.0 1.0 18.0
4 Feb 2005 Aximage 43.5 29.3 7.0 5.6 3.5 11.1 14.2
3 Feb 2005 Intercampus 46.5 31.6 4.8 8.1 4.5 4.5 14.9
29 Jan 2005 Eurosondagem 46.1 32.1 7.0 6.6 4.6 3.6 14.0
28 Jan 2005 Marktest 45.1 27.7 6.3 7.7 8.1 5.1 17.5
28 Jan 2005 Aximage 43.3 27.4 6.3 5.8 5.0 12.2 15.9
28 Jan 2005 Universidade Católica 46.0 28.0 6.0 8.0 8.0 4.0 18.0
27 Jan 2005 TNS/Euroteste 40.0 32.0 6.0 4.0 5.0 13.0 8.0
21 Jan 2005 Aximage 42.8 28.7 7.1 6.2 4.3 10.9 14.1
15 Jan 2005 Eurosondagem 45.7 32.5 6.5 6.5 5.7 3.1 13.2
10 Jan 2005 Aximage 45.6 27.5 6.6 6.6 3.4 10.3 18.1
8 Jan 2005 Eurosondagem 46.0 33.0 6.9 6.3 4.5 3.3 18.1
27 Nov 2004 Universidade Católica 46.0 35.0 3.0 7.0 6.0 3.0 11.0
Nov 2004 Marktest 49.3 32.4 2.1 6.4 5.8 4.0 16.9
Oct 2004 Marktest 49.3 28.4 3.3 8.2 6.7 4.1 20.9
14 Sep 2004 Aximage 38.0 33.1 4.6 4.1 3.0 17.2 4.9
Sep 2004 Marktest 46.4 34.5 1.6 8.8 5.4 3.3 11.9
16 Jul 2004 Aximage 39.5 31.7 4.2 4.8 3.5 16.3 7.8
Jul 2004 Marktest 45.4 36.8 2.7 6.3 5.7 3.1 8.6
21 Jun 2004 Aximage 42.8 30.3 4.7 6.4 3.3 12.5 12.5
Jun 2004 Marktest 47.6 29.9 2.6 5.5 10.0 4.4 17.7
13 Jun 2004 2004 EP election 44.5 33.3 9.1 4.9 8.2 11.2
1 Jun 2004 Aximage 40.0 29.8 4.9 6.4 4.4 14.5 10.2
May 2004 Marktest 43.5 36.5 1.5 5.2 6.3 7.0 7.0
24 Apr 2004 Aximage 40.1 30.6 5.6 5.3 2.4 16.0 9.5
Apr 2004 Marktest 41.9 36.5 2.6 7.3 6.9 4.8 5.4
20 Mar 2004 Aximage 38.2 31.7 5.5 6.8 5.2 12.6 6.5
Mar 2004 Marktest 43.9 34.9 3.8 6.9 5.7 4.8 9.0
Feb 2004 Marktest 42.2 38.7 2.3 6.6 6.4 3.8 3.5
17 Jan 2004 Aximage 38.6 36.5 4.4 4.6 3.8 12.1 2.1
17 Jan 2004 Eurosondagem 35.2 34.2 5.5 4.9 4.5 15.7 1.0
Jan 2004 Universidade Católica 44.0 34.0 4.0 7.0 7.0 4.0 10.0
Jan 2004 Marktest 40.0 35.1 1.9 9.5 7.8 5.7 4.9
21 Dec 2003 Aximage 35.5 29.4 5.2 6.5 5.2 18.2 6.1
23 Nov 2003 Aximage 38.5 34.4 2.7 5.9 3.7 14.8 4.1
Nov 2003 Marktest 38.8 35.9 5.9 9.0 5.2 5.2 2.9
20 Oct 2003 Aximage 36.7 34.4 4.6 24.3 2.3
Oct 2003 Marktest 37.4 43.6 3.7 6.4 5.5 3.4 6.2
6 Sep 2003 Aximage 34.6 38.4 4.8 4.7 17.5 3.8
Sep 2003 Marktest 42.8 37.6 4.1 5.0 6.2 4.3 5.2
Jul 2003 Marktest 36.1 43.3 5.5 6.6 4.7 3.8 7.2
24 Jun 2003 Aximage 40.7 38.6 3.9 5.6 2.6 8.6 2.1
Jun 2003 Marktest 36.0 40.9 7.7 6.7 4.7 4.0 4.9
22 May 2003 Aximage 38.8 37.5 3.5 4.9 4.2 11.1 1.3
19 May 2003 Universidade Católica 44.8 35.6 2.7 7.0 6.5 3.4 9.2
May 2003 Marktest 40.8 40.4 5.2 5.4 4.4 3.8 0.4
Apr 2003 Aximage 40.6 33.2 4.7 7.3 14.2 7.4
Apr 2003 Marktest 45.2 34.7 5.5 6.7 4.0 3.9 10.5
28 Mar 2003 Marktest 44.6 36.2 6.2 4.6 4.6 3.8 8.4
Mar 2003 Aximage 46.3 31.2 22.5 15.1
Feb 2003 Aximage 42.6 33.8 23.6 8.8
Feb 2003 Marktest 41.6 36.3 6.0 7.2 4.9 4.0 5.3
Jan 2003 Aximage 41.2 36.0 4.1 4.9 4.4 9.4 5.2
Jan 2003 Marktest 42.3 38.7 4.8 5.0 5.6 3.6 3.6
Nov 2002 Marktest 43.3 36.4 6.5 6.4 4.6 2.8 6.9
Oct 2002 Marktest 37.9 41.8 5.7 7.5 3.3 3.8 3.9
Sep 2002 Marktest 40.0 37.8 8.3 6.1 3.8 4.0 2.2
8 Aug 2002 Eurosondagem 38.0 31.6 8.7 5.2 3.4 13.1 6.4
Jul 2002 Marktest 41.4 39.0 7.0 5.1 3.8 3.7 2.4
Jun 2002 Marktest 39.8 37.5 6.0 7.5 5.4 3.8 2.3
May 2002 Marktest 37.0 39.0 8.6 6.1 4.8 4.5 2.0
17 Mar 2002 2002 legislative election 37.8
96 seats
40.2
105 seats
8.7
14 seats
6.9
12 seats
2.7
3 seats
3.7
3 seats
2.4

References

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