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Ja Ela Polling Division

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Ja Ela
Polling Division
Location of Ja Ela
Coordinates: 7°04′11″N 79°54′40″E / 7.069842°N 79.910999°E / 7.069842; 79.910999
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceWestern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictGampaha Electoral District
Area
 • Total
67.13 km2 (25.92 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
201,521
 • Density3,002/km2 (7,780/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-02I

The Ja Ela Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Gampaha Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Ja Ela has matched the final country result 9 out of 9 times. Hence, Ja Ela is a Perfect Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Ja Ela Gampaha Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 0.36% SLPP 6.75%
2015 NDF NDF 2.11% NDF 0.45%
2010 UPFA UPFA 3.38% UPFA 0.52%
2005 UPFA UPFA 2.84% UPFA 1.46%
1999 PA PA 0.27% PA 4.76%
1994 PA PA 0.99% PA 1.26%
1988 UNP SLFP 4.32% UNP 1.39%
1982 UNP UNP 5.38% UNP 3.39%
Matches/Mean MAE 8/8 7/8 2.46% 8/8 2.50%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Ja Ela[4] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 71,690 58.76% 855,870 59.28% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 41,649 34.14% 494,671 34.26% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 5,556 4.55% 61,760 4.28% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,575 1.29% 20,227 1.40% 295,797 2.23%
NPP 1,527 1.25% 11,272 0.78% 49,655 0.37%
Valid Votes 121,997 98.69% 1,443,800 98.92% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 1,625 1.31% 15,751 1.08% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 123,622 80.71% 1,459,551 83.31% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 153,164 1,751,892 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Ja Ela[5] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 58,669 52.01% 669,007 49.83% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 53,481 47.41% 664,347 49.49% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 647 0.57% 9,142 0.68% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 112,797 98.62% 1,342,496 98.92% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 1,584 1.38% 14,647 1.08% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 114,381 79.52% 1,357,143 80.77% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 143,843 1,680,263 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Ja Ela[6] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 56,726 58.31% 718,716 61.66% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 39,701 40.81% 434,506 37.28% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 852 0.88% 12,426 1.07% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 97,279 99.29% 1,165,648 99.24% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 692 0.71% 8,960 0.76% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 97,971 76.65% 1,174,608 78.03% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 127,821 1,505,363 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Ja Ela[7] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 46,950 51.96% 596,698 54.78% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 42,606 47.15% 481,764 44.23% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 806 0.89% 10,815 0.99% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 90,362 98.93% 1,089,277 98.94% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 973 1.07% 11,724 1.06% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 91,335 78.04% 1,101,001 79.17% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 117,040 1,390,691 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Ja Ela[8] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 44,098 56.64% 532,796 56.58% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 29,726 38.18% 353,969 37.59% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 3,089 3.97% 40,472 4.30% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 939 1.21% 14,382 1.53% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 77,852 97.79% 941,619 97.84% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,759 2.21% 20,768 2.16% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 79,611 76.49% 962,387 77.12% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 104,076 1,247,860 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Ja Ela[9] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 44,166 63.80% 550,654 64.74% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 24,260 35.04% 288,608 33.93% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 804 1.16% 11,256 1.32% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 69,230 98.38% 850,518 98.48% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,141 1.62% 13,137 1.52% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 70,371 72.32% 863,655 74.16% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 97,305 1,164,625 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Ja Ela[10] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 30,021 52.54% 350,092 48.08% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 25,357 44.37% 355,553 48.83% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 1,766 3.09% 22,467 3.09% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 57,144 98.19% 728,112 98.63% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 1,052 1.81% 10,108 1.37% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 58,196 71.35% 738,220 74.93% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 81,566 985,206 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Ja Ela[11] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 32,420 58.20% 365,847 52.50% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 21,074 37.83% 301,808 43.31% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,683 3.02% 23,701 3.40% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 532 0.95% 5,491 0.79% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 55,709 99.13% 696,847 99.15% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 488 0.87% 5,992 0.85% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 56,197 80.71% 702,839 82.70% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 69,624 849,896 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Ja Ela has matched the final country result 7 out of 7 times. Hence, Ja Ela is a Perfect Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Ja Ela Gampaha Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UNP UNP 2.92% UNP 2.48%
2010 UPFA UPFA 5.82% UPFA 3.72%
2004 UPFA UPFA 2.16% UPFA 3.53%
2001 UNP UNP 1.58% UNP 1.75%
2000 PA PA 1.43% PA 1.62%
1994 PA PA 1.33% PA 3.53%
1989 UNP UNP 6.90% UNP 6.30%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/7 7/7 3.16% 7/7 3.28%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Ja Ela[14] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 51,807 49.89% 577,004 47.17% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 43,051 41.46% 549,958 44.96% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 8,333 8.02% 87,880 7.18% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 651 0.63% 8,332 0.68% 81,501 0.73%
Valid Votes 103,842 95.88% 1,223,174 95.51% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 4,283 3.95% 56,246 4.39% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 108,301 75.29% 1,280,647 78.21% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 143,843 1,637,537 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Ja Ela[15] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 43,920 56.82% 589,476 63.40% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 26,397 34.15% 266,523 28.67% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 6,544 8.47% 69,747 7.50% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 436 0.56% 3,985 0.43% 19,003 0.24%
Valid Votes 77,297 94.80% 929,731 94.83% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 4,208 5.16% 50,234 5.12% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 81,537 63.79% 980,467 65.06% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 127,821 1,506,969 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Ja Ela[16] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 42,453 50.66% 509,963 51.52% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 34,248 40.87% 367,572 37.14% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 6,009 7.17% 102,516 10.36% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,083 1.29% 9,691 0.98% 57,229 0.62%
Valid Votes 83,793 96.52% 989,742 95.96% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,997 3.45% 41,462 4.02% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 86,813 76.45% 1,031,464 77.72% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 113,559 1,327,145 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Ja Ela[17] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 38,219 45.57% 437,289 43.94% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 34,522 41.16% 428,780 43.08% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 9,856 11.75% 113,990 11.45% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,273 1.52% 15,171 1.52% 137,826 1.54%
Valid Votes 83,870 97.08% 995,230 96.30% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,524 2.92% 38,187 3.70% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 86,394 78.68% 1,033,417 80.36% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 109,799 1,285,973 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Ja Ela[18] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 38,150 47.55% 470,018 48.87% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 33,089 41.24% 378,328 39.34% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 6,198 7.72% 73,110 7.60% 518,725 6.03%
SU 2,180 2.72% 20,297 2.11% 127,859 1.49%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 622 0.78% 19,956 2.08% 319,123 3.71%
Valid Votes 80,239 N/A 961,709 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Ja Ela[19] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 40,838 55.44% 509,030 56.79% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 31,851 43.24% 375,631 41.91% 3,498,370 44.04%
SLPF 970 1.32% 11,627 1.30% 90,078 1.13%
Valid Votes 73,659 96.63% 896,288 96.39% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,567 3.37% 33,553 3.61% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 76,226 78.34% 929,841 79.65% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 97,305 1,167,469 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Ja Ela[20] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 34,415 61.53% 385,733 54.14% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 19,230 34.38% 294,490 41.34% 1,785,369 31.90%
USA 1,901 3.40% 21,665 3.04% 141,983 2.54%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 390 0.70% 10,549 1.48% 67,723 1.21%
Valid Votes 55,936 95.49% 712,437 95.64% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,640 4.51% 32,497 4.36% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 58,576 73.12% 744,934 76.82% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 80,113 969,658 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Ja Ela Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (92.3%) . In comparison, the Gampaha Electoral District (which contains the Ja Ela Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (90.5%) [1]

Ethnicity in Ja Ela[1]

  Sinhalese (92.3%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (4.0%)
  Other (2.0%)
  Burgher (1.7%)

Religion

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The Ja Ela Polling Division has a Roman Catholic plurality (49.4%) and a significant Buddhist population (43.6%) . In comparison, the Gampaha Electoral District (which contains the Ja Ela Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (71.3%) and a significant Roman Catholic population (19.5%) [1]

Religion in Ja Ela[1]

  Roman Catholic (49.4%)
  Buddhist (43.6%)
  Other Christian (3.8%)
  Hindu (2.1%)
  Muslim (1.0%)
  Other (0.1%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ja Ela and the Gampaha Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ja Ela and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ja Ela and the Gampaha Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ja Ela and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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