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German state election
Next Bavarian state election|
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Party
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CSU
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FW
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AfD
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Last election
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85 seats, 37.0%
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37 seats, 15.8%
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32 seats, 14.6%
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Party
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Greens
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SPD
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Last election
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32 seats, 14.4%
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17 seats, 8.4%
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Elections to the Landtag of Bavaria will be held in 2028.
Polling firm[1]
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Fieldwork date
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Sample size
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CSU
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FW
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AfD
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Grüne
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SPD
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FDP
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Linke
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BSW
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Others
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Lead
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Civey
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9–16 Aug 2024
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5,002
|
42
|
13
|
14
|
11
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8
|
3
|
1
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–
|
8
|
28
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Forsa
|
22 Jul – 2 Aug 2024
|
1,036
|
43
|
12
|
13
|
11
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8
|
2
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–
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4
|
7
|
30
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Civey
|
11–18 Jul 2024
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5,004
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42
|
13
|
14
|
11
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8
|
3
|
1
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–
|
8
|
28
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Civey
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7–14 Jun 2024
|
5,004
|
41
|
13
|
14
|
13
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8
|
3
|
1
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–
|
7
|
27
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Civey
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3–10 May 2024
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5,005
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41
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14
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14
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13
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7
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3
|
1
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–
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7
|
27
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GMS
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30 Apr – 6 May 2024
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1,023
|
41
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15
|
11
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13
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7
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2
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2
|
3
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6
|
26
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Civey
|
4–11 Apr 2024
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5,002
|
42
|
14
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13
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13
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7
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–
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–
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–
|
11
|
28
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Civey
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8–15 Mar 2024
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5,001
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42
|
14
|
13
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14
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7
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2
|
1
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–
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7
|
28
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Civey
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9–16 Feb 2024
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5,001
|
40
|
13
|
14
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14
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8
|
–
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–
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–
|
11
|
26
|
GMS
|
31 Jan – 5 Feb 2024
|
1,018
|
42
|
15
|
13
|
12
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6
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2
|
1
|
3
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6
|
27
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Infratest dimap
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11–15 Jan 2024
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1,161
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40
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13
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15
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13
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7
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3
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–
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–
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9
|
25
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Civey
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4–11 Jan 2024
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5,000
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41
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13
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14
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14
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8
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–
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–
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–
|
10
|
27
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GMS
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27 Dec – 2 Jan 2024
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1,002
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41
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16
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14
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13
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6
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3
|
1
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–
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6
|
25
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Civey
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8–15 Dec 2023
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4,999
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41
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13
|
14
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14
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8
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–
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–
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–
|
10
|
27
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Civey
|
10–17 Nov 2023
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5,001
|
40
|
13
|
13
|
14
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9
|
3
|
2
|
–
|
6
|
26
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2023 state election
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8 Oct 2023
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–
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37.0
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15.8
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14.6
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14.4
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8.4
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3.0
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1.5
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–
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5.3
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21.2
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State elections | |
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Local elections | |
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Referendums | |
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