2025 Kosovan parliamentary election
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All 120 seats in the Assembly 61 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Kosovo on 9 February 2025.[1]
Background
[edit]In the 2021 elections Lëvizja Vetëvendosje (LVV) won 58 seats.[2] They created a coalition with minority parties to form a Government.[3]
Electoral system
[edit]The 120 members of the Assembly of Kosovo are elected by open list proportional representation, with 20 seats reserved for national minorities.[4] An electoral threshold of 5% is in place for non-minority parties. Seats are allocated using the Webster/Sainte-Laguë method.[5] To form a government, a party or coalition must have a majority of 61 MPs out of 120 seats in the Assembly of Kosovo.
Campaign
[edit]Parties and Coalitions
[edit]Government Parties
[edit]On August governing parties of Vetëvendosje, Guxo! and Alternativa announced that they would once again run inside the same electoral list, with incumbent Prime Minister Albin Kurti presumably leading the list.[6] Although initial reports suggested that Guxo! and Alternativa preferred a formal coalition.[7]
Opposition Parties
[edit]On 27th March 2024 the Democratic Party of Kosovo (PDK) announced that Bedri Hamza, mayor of South Mitrovica and Former Minister of Finance, would be its candidate for Prime Minister.[8] The move to nominate Hamza has been speculated as an attempt to focus the campaign on the Economy, which has seen stagnation under the new government.[9] On November 3rd during the convention of PDK, Hamza announced their slogan would be "Kosova mundet më mirë"(Kosovo can do better). Hamza also announced his plans and projects for governing Kosovo, with the economy being the main point of his program.[10]
On December 2023 the Democratic League of Kosovo (LDK) published it's program from the upcoming election dubbed "Rruga e re" ("The New Road", "The New Path" or "The New Way").[11] On July 2024 LDK and PSHDK, a Christian minority party in Kosovo, announced that they would run together in the same electoral list.[12] Lumir Abdixhiku is it's candidate for Prime Minister, serving as leader of LDK since 2021.
On January 2024 opposition parties Alliance for the Future of Kosovo (AAK), Social Democratic Initiative (NISMA) and Conservative List of Kosovo (LKK) announced they would run together in a coalition lead by leader of AAK and former Prime Minister, Ramush Haradinaj.[13] According to the Social Democratic Party of Kosovo (PSD) it too was offered to join this coalition but rejected it due to ideological differences.[14] The coalition was made official on August 2024[15] and soon after, the coalition published their program which focuses more on foreign relations and Kosovo's aspiration to join NATO and EU.[16]
The New Kosovo Alliance (AKR) and the Justice Party (PD) along with assembly members of ruling LVV[17] announced the creation of the "Family List" Coalition.[18] The coalition was formed as opposition to the government attempt to increase LGBTQ rights in Kosovo, specifically the proposed Civil Code which would've legalized same-sex civil unions.[19]
Campaign Issues
[edit]Economy
[edit]Dialogue with Serbia
[edit]International Standing
[edit]Corruption and Organized Crime
[edit]Education and Healthcare
[edit]Opinion polls
[edit]National polls
[edit]| Pollster | Date | LVV | LDK | PDK | AAK-NISMA-CL (Coalition) | Family List Coalition | SL | Other | Abstention | Lead | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVV | A | Guxo | AAK | NISMA | CLK | AKR | PD | ||||||||
| UBO | 3–15 June 2024 | 49.6 | – | 0.7 | 15.5 | 17.0 | 8.6 | – | – | 3.0 | 7.4 | 2.6 | 32.6 | ||
| Albanian Post | 1-10 June 2024 | 41.1 | – | – | 19.2 | 19.6 | 5.8 | – | – | – | 5.1 | 9.2 | 21.5 | ||
| ISRN | 6 May 2024 | 38 | – | 1.5 | 18.2 | 17.2 | 12.4 | 1.7 | – | – | 3.7 | 2.2 | 19.8 | ||
| UBO | 5 April 2024 | 49.5 | – | 0.6 | 16 | 17.1 | 6.9 | – | – | 5.6 | 4.3 | – | 32.4 | ||
| PIPOS | 22 February 2024 | 40.9 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 21.5 | 20.4 | 9.0 | – | – | – | 0.4 | 4.6 | 19.4 | ||
| UBO | 16–23 December 2023 | 48.5 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 17.9 | 18.2 | 6.8 | 1.5 | – | – | – | 3.2 | 3.0 | – | 30.3 |
| UBO | 23 December 2022 | 42.6 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 19.8 | 19 | 7.3 | 2 | – | 0.2 | – | 4.3 | 3.4 | – | 22.8 |
| PIPOS | December 2022 | 35.5 | – | 1 | 22.2 | 21.5 | 6 | 2.4 | – | 0.4 | – | – | 0.2 | – | 13.3 |
| UBO | September 2022 | 37.3 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 22.3 | 21.7 | 7.7 | 1.2 | – | 0.3 | – | 5.1 | 2.1 | – | 15 |
| PIPOS | August 2022 | 33.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 21.6 | 18.3 | 10.1 | 1.5 | – | 0.2 | – | – | – | – | 11.6 |
| PIPOS | 7 July 2022 | 38.1 | – | 1.2 | 25.1 | 21.3 | 11.9 | 2.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13 |
| UBO | 18 June 2022 | 39.6 | – | 1.3 | 20.3 | 21.9 | 6.7 | 1.9 | – | – | – | 4.2 | 3.5 | – | 17.7 |
| UBO | May 2022 | 38.3 | – | – | 17.7 | 19.7 | 6.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 18.6 |
| UBO | 7–15 March 2022 | 41.9 | – | 1.1 | 19.4 | 21.6 | 7.2 | 1 | – | 0.4 | – | 4.2 | 2.8 | – | 20.3 |
| PIPOS | 12 February 2022 | 34.7 | – | – | 24.1 | 21.3 | 7.7 | 0.4 | – | – | – | – | 0.5 | – | 10.6 |
| 2021 election | 14 February 2021 | 50.3 | 12.73 | 17.01 | 7.2 | 2.52 | – | 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩 𝘓𝘋𝘒 | – | 5.09 | – | – | 33.29 | ||
Seat projections
[edit]The projections below are calculated according to the opinion polls from above.
| Date | LVV | LDK | PDK | AAK | SL | Other | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 2024 | 55 | 17 | 19 | 9[b] | 10 | 10 | 36 |
| 49 | 22 | 23 | 6[b] | 10 | 10 | 26 | |
| May 2024 | 45 | 21 | 20 | 14[b] | 10 | 10 | 24 |
| April 2024 | 56 | 18 | 19 | 7[b] | 10 | 10 | 37 |
| February 2024 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 10[b] | 10 | 10 | 22 |
| December 2023 | 53 | 20 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 33 |
| January 2023 | 48 | 22 | 22 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 26 |
| December 2022 | 42 | 26 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 16 |
| September 2022 | 42 | 25 | 24 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 17 |
| August 2022 | 40 | 26 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 14 |
| July 2022 | 40 | 26 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 14 |
| June 2022 | 44 | 23 | 25 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 19 |
| May 2022 | 47 | 21 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 23 |
| March 2022 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 22 |
| February 2022 | 40 | 27 | 24 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 13 |
Leadership approval
[edit]| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Sample size |
Vjosa Osmani | Albin Kurti | Lumir Abdixhiku | Memli Krasniqi | Ramush Haradinaj | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos. | Neg. | Net | Pos. | Neg. | Net | Pos. | Neg. | Net | Pos. | Neg. | Net | Pos. | Neg. | Net | |||
| 6-27 May 2024 | UBO | 1,200 | 64% | 30% | +34% | 59% | 35% | +24% | 35% | 54% | -19% | 28% | 63% | -35% | 21% | 66% | -45% |
| Pollster | Date | Kurti | Abdixhiku | Krasniqi | Hamza | Haradinaj | Limaj | Osmani | Pacolli | Kusari-Lila | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albanian Post | June 2024 | 56.4 | 40.5 | 28.9 | 43.7 | 25.4 | – | 67.8 | – | – | – [c] |
| 45.6 | 18.6 | – | 20.5 | 6.2 | – | – | – | – | 25.1 | ||
| PIPOS | February 2024 | 3.07 | 2.13 | 2.05 | – | 1.89 | 1.65 | 3.06 | – | – | 0.01 |
| PIPOS | December 2022 | 26.7 | 20 | 17 | – | 7.2 | 2.9 | 11.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 6.7 |
| PIPOS | August 2022 | 2.98 | 2.92 | 2.60 | – | 2.38 | 2.13 | 3.37 | 2.33 | 2.31 | 0.39 |
| PIPOS | February 2022 | 28.9 | 18.6 | 13.3 | – | 6.2 | 1.5 | 7.3 | 0.5 | – | 10.3 |
Albin Kurti
[edit]The polls below asked voters for their opinion of Albin Kurti, prime minister of Kosovo since March 2021.
| Pollster | Date | Approve | Disapprove | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNDP | 25 July 2024 | 58.3 | 41.7 | 16.6 |
| UNDP | 28 February 2024 | 48.9 | 51.1 | -2.6 |
| UNDP | 25 April 2023 | 51.5 | 48.5 | 3.0 |
Glauk Konjufca
[edit]The polls below asked voters for their opinion of Glauk Konjufca, chairman of Assembly of the Republic of Kosovo since March 2021.
| Pollster | Date | Approve | Disapprove | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNDP | 25 July 2024 | 64.4 | 35.6 | 28.8 |
| UNDP | 28 February 2024 | 52.2 | 47.8 | 4.7 |
| UNDP | 25 April 2023 | 58.3 | 41.7 | 16.6 |
Notes
[edit]References
[edit]- ^ "Presidentja Osmani nxjerr dekretin: Zgjedhjet e rregullta parlamentare mbahen më 9 shkurt 2025". Telegrafi (in Albanian). 2024-08-16. Retrieved 2024-08-16.
- ^ ndi.org
- ^ prishtinainsight.com
- ^ Kosovo IFES
- ^ Law No. 03/L-073 on General Elections in the Republic of Kosovo, Article 111.2
- ^ "Nuk bënë koalicion, por Guxo dhe Alternativa do të garojnë bashkë me LVV-në". Telegrafi (in Albanian). 2024-08-30. Retrieved 2024-11-23.
- ^ "Guxo dhe Alternativa kërkojnë koalicion parazgjedhor, LVV ende pa përgjigje". Telegrafi (in Albanian). 2024-08-27. Retrieved 2024-11-23.
- ^ "Bedri Hamza, kandidat i PDK-së për postin e kryeministrit". Radio Evropa e Lirë (in Albanian). 2024-03-27. Retrieved 2024-11-23.
- ^ "Kandidatura e Bedri Hamzës për kryeministër, analisti Arifi: PDK e zgjodhi me qëllim të fokusimit në temat ekonomike". Telegrafi (in Albanian). 2024-03-31. Retrieved 2024-11-23.
- ^ "Konventa e PDK-së – Krejt çka premtoi Bedri Hamza | Albanian Post". albanianpost.com. Retrieved 2024-11-23.
- ^ "Abdixhiku shpalos sot 100 projektet e "Rrugës së Re"". Nacionale. Retrieved 2024-11-23.
- ^ "LDK dhe PSHDK arrijnë marrëveshje, do të garojnë me një listë zgjedhore". KosovaPress.com. Retrieved 2024-11-23.
- ^ "Nënshkruhet marrëveshja e koalicionit AAK-Nisma dhe Lista Konservatore, Haradinaj: Bashkë të dalim nga gjendja e rënduar e cila po ndikon te të gjithë". Telegrafi (in Albanian). 2024-02-16. Retrieved 2024-11-23.
- ^ Dakaj, Shkodrane (2024-01-18). "PSD: Refuzuam ftesën e AAK-së për t'iu bashkuar koalicionit". Raporto Korrupsionin! KALLXO.com. Retrieved 2024-11-23.
- ^ "Bëhen të ditura gjashtë koalicione parazgjedhore". Telegrafi (in Albanian). 2024-08-30. Retrieved 2024-11-23.
- ^ Jashari, Gojart (2024-11-05). "Programi i koalicionit AAK-Nisma: Anëtarësim direkt në NATO, paga mesatare jo nën 1000 euro". Paparaci. Retrieved 2024-11-23.
- ^ G.U (2024-08-30). "Konfirmohet koalicioni mes PD-së dhe AKR-së". Klan Kosova (in Albanian). Retrieved 2024-11-23.
- ^ G.U (2024-08-30). "Konfirmohet koalicioni mes PD-së dhe AKR-së". Klan Kosova (in Albanian). Retrieved 2024-11-23.
- ^ "Kosovë: Dështon miratimi në parim i Projektkodit Civil". Voice of America (in Albanian). 2022-03-16. Retrieved 2024-11-23.
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