2018 United States Senate election in Nevada
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Turnout | 62.26% | ||||||||||||||||
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Rosen: 40–50% 50–60%
60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Heller: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Nevada |
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Nevada portal |
The 2018 United States Senate election in Nevada took place November 6, 2018, to elect one of two U.S. senators from Nevada. Incumbent Republican senator Dean Heller lost re-election to a second full term, being defeated by Democratic nominee Jacky Rosen.
Heller had considered a bid for Nevada governor but instead announced he would run for reelection to a second full term. This was the only Republican-held U.S. Senate seat up for election in 2018 in a state Hillary Clinton won in the 2016 presidential election, and one of two Democratic flips in the 2018 U.S. Senate elections.[1][2] Rosen's victory marked the first time that Nevada had been represented by two women in the United States Senate, and the first time a Democrat had won the Class 1 Senate seat in Nevada since 1994 (as well as the first time both Senate seats were held by Democrats since 2001). Heller was the only Republican incumbent to lose a Senate seat in 2018; he later unsuccessfully ran in the 2022 Republican primary for Governor of Nevada.
The candidate filing deadline was March 16, 2018, and the primary election was held on June 12.[3]
Background
[edit]Nevada is a swing state that once leaned slightly rightward, having voted for George W. Bush twice. But since 2008 it has seen the opposite trend, giving Barack Obama a seven-point victory in 2012 while simultaneously electing Heller to the Senate by one point. Obama also carried Nevada in 2008 by a 12.5% margin. In 2016, the state shifted rightward again, still voting for Hillary Clinton, but only by two points, although Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto managed to win the seat of retiring Democratic Senate leader Harry Reid. Because of the consistent swing nature of the state, many cited Heller as the most vulnerable incumbent Republican in the U.S. Senate up for reelection in 2018, a year with few Republicans in that position; President Donald Trump even warned that if Heller failed to vote to pass the GOP Health care bill to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act, he could well lose his seat in the next election.[4][5]
At the end of September 2018, the Brett Kavanaugh Supreme Court nomination became a major element of the campaign. Heller made noncommittal remarks[6] and a significant campaign was deployed to criticize his support for Kavanaugh.[7][8]
Rosen is only the 37th sitting House freshman to win a Senate election, the first female representative to do so, and the first one-term House Democrat to become a senator-elect since James Abourezk in 1972.[9]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Sherry Brooks
- Sarah Gazala, teacher[10]
- Vic Harrell
- Tom Heck
- Dean Heller, incumbent U.S. Senator[11]
Withdrew
[edit]- Danny Tarkanian, businessman, former attorney and perennial candidate (ran for NV-03 and lost)[12][13]
Declined
[edit]- Mark Amodei, U.S. Representative (ran for re-election and won)[14][15]
Endorsements
[edit]Federal officials
- Mike Pence, 48th Vice President of the United States (2017-2021)[16]
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017-2021)[17]
U.S. Senators
- Susan Collins, U.S. Senator from Maine (1997-present)[18]
- David Perdue, U.S. Senator from Georgia (2015-2021)[19]
U.S. Representatives
- Cresent Hardy, U.S. Representative from Nevada's 4th congressional district (2015-2017)[20]
- Joe Heck, U.S. Representative from Nevada's 3rd congressional district (2011-2017) and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016[20]
Governors
- Brian Sandoval, 29th Governor of Nevada (2011-2019)[20]
State officials
- Becky Harris, Chairwoman of the Nevada Gaming Control Board (2018-2019)
- Mark Hutchison, 34th Lieutenant Governor of Nevada (2015-2019)[21]
- Brian Krolicki, 33rd Lieutenant Governor of Nevada (2007-2015)[20]
State senators
- Heidi Gansert, state senator from the 15th district (2016-present)[20]
- Pete Goicoechea, state senator from the 19th district (2013-present)[20]
- Joe Hardy, state senator from the 12th district (2010-present)[20]
- Ben Kieckhefer, state senator from the 16th district (2010-2021)[20]
- Michael Roberson, state senator from the 20th district (2011-2018)[20]
- James Settelmeyer, state senator from the 17th district (2010-present)[20]
State assembly members
- Chris Edwards, state assemblyman from the 19th district (2014-2020)[20]
- John Hambrick, state assemblyman from the 2nd district (2008-2020)[20]
- Al Kramer, state assemblyman from the 40th district (2016-2020)[20]
- Lisa Krasner, state assemblywoman from the 26th district (2016-present)[20]
- Keith Pickard, state assemblyman from the 22nd district (2016-2020)[20]
- Robin Titus, state assemblywoman from the 38th district (2014-present)[20]
- Jill Tolles, state assemblywoman from the 25th district (2016-present)[20]
- Jim Wheeler, Nevada Assembly Minority Leader (2017-2019), state assemblyman from the 39th district (2013-present)[20]
- Melissa Woodbury, state assemblywoman from the 23rd district (2008-2018)[20]
Local officials
- Marsha Berkbigler, Washoe County Commissioner[20]
- Charlene Bybee, Sparks City Councilwoman[20]
- Demar Dahl, Elko County Commissioner[20]
- Vaughn Hartung, Washoe County Commissioner[20]
- Bob Lucey, Washoe County Commissioner[20]
- Barry Penzel, Douglas County Commissioner[20]
- Bruce L. Woodbury, Clark County Commissioner (1981-2009)[20]
Individuals
- Stephen Cloobeck, businessman and major Democratic Party donor[22]
- Peter Guzman, president of the Latin Chamber of Commerce[23]
- Steve Wynn, Wynn Resorts Ltd. CEO and Republican National Committee Finance Chairman[21]
Groups
- Nevada Republican Party[21]
- Nevada Law Enforcement Coalition[24]
- National Federation of Independent Business[25]
- National Right to Life[26]
- NRA Political Victory Fund[27][28]
- Laborers Union Local 872[29]
Federal officials
- Steve Bannon, Senior Counselor to the President (2017) and Executive Chairperson of Breitbart News[30][31]
Governors
- Sarah Palin, 9th Governor of Alaska (2006-2009), Republican nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2008[32]
Polling
[edit]with Danny Tarkanian
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dean Heller |
Danny Tarkanian |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JMC Analytics[33] | October 24–26, 2017 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 38% | 44% | 17% |
JMC Analytics[34] | August 24–25, 2017 | 700 | ± 3.7% | 31% | 39% | 31% |
The Tarrance Group (R-Heller)[35] | August 14–16, 2017 | 300 | ± 5.8% | 55% | 33% | 12% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Dean Heller (incumbent) | 99,509 | 69.97% | |
Republican | Tom Heck | 26,296 | 18.49% | |
Republican | None of These Candidates | 5,978 | 4.20% | |
Republican | Sherry Brooks | 5,145 | 3.62% | |
Republican | Sarah Gazala | 4,011 | 2.82% | |
Republican | Vic Harrell | 1,282 | 0.90% | |
Total votes | 142,221 | 100.00% |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Danny Burleigh
- David Drew Knight
- Sujeet "Bobby" Mahendra, businessman and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016[37]
- Allen Rheinhart, civil rights activist (Black Lives Matter), candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016
- Jacky Rosen, U.S. Representative for NV-03[38]
- Jesse Sbaih, attorney and candidate for NV-03 in 2016[39]
Declined
[edit]- Stephen Cloobeck, businessman (endorsed Heller)[40][41][42]
- Aaron Ford, Majority Leader of the Nevada Senate (ran for Attorney General and won)[41][43]
- Steven Horsford, former U.S. Representative (ran for NV-04 and won)[41]
- Ruben Kihuen, U.S. Representative (endorsed Rosen)[41][44]
- Kate Marshall, former state treasurer, nominee for Secretary of State in 2014 and nominee for NV-02 in 2011 (ran for Lieutenant Governor and won)[45][46]
- Rory Reid, former chairman of the Clark County Commission, nominee for governor in 2010 and son of former U.S. Senator Harry Reid[47][48]
- Dina Titus, U.S. Representative and nominee for governor in 2006 (ran for re-election and won)[41][49][50]
- Steve Wolfson, Clark County District Attorney (ran for re-election and won)[51][52]
Endorsements
[edit]Federal officials
- Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009-2017)[53]
U.S. Senators
- Kamala Harris, U.S. Senator from California (2017-2021)
- Maggie Hassan, U.S. Senator from New Hampshire (2017-present)[54]
- Catherine Cortez Masto, U.S. Senator from Nevada (2017-present)[55]
- Jeff Merkley, U.S. Senator from Oregon (2009-present)[56]
- Patty Murray, U.S. Senator from Washington (1993-present)[57]
- Harry Reid, Senate Majority Leader (2007-2015), U.S. Senator from Nevada (1987-2017)[58]
- Chris Van Hollen, U.S. Senator from Maryland (2017-present)[59]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2013-present)[60]
U.S. Representatives
- Ruben Kihuen, U.S. Representative from Nevada's 4th congressional district (2017-2019)[44]
- Kyrsten Sinema, U.S. Representative from Arizona's 9th congressional district (2013-2019), nominee for U.S. Senate in Arizona in 2018[61]
Labor unions
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters Joint Council 42[62]
- National Education Association[63]
- Nevada State AFL-CIO[64]
- Nevada State Education Association[65]
- Service Employees International Union Nevada Local 1107[66]
Organizations
- Council for a Livable World[67]
- Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee[68]
- EMILY's List[69]
- End Citizens United[70]
- Human Rights Campaign[71]
- League of Conservation Voters Action Fund[72]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[73]
- National Organization for Women[74]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[75]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[76]
- Sierra Club Toiyabe Chapter[77]
Websites and newspapers
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jacky Rosen | 110,567 | 77.11% | |
Democratic | None of These Candidates | 10,078 | 7.03% | |
Democratic | David Knight | 6,346 | 4.43% | |
Democratic | Allen Rheinhart | 4,782 | 3.33% | |
Democratic | Jesse Sbaih | 4,540 | 3.17% | |
Democratic | Bobby Mahendra | 3,835 | 2.67% | |
Democratic | Danny Burleigh | 3,244 | 2.26% | |
Total votes | 143,392 | 100.00% |
Independents
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]General election
[edit]Debates
[edit]- Complete video of debate, October 19, 2018
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[81] | Tossup | October 26, 2018 |
Inside Elections[82] | Tilt D (flip) | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[83] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
CNN[84] | Tossup | October 30, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[85] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[86] | Tossup | October 26, 2018 |
Fox News[87] | Tossup | October 30, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight[88] | Tossup | November 6, 2018 |
Endorsements
[edit]Federal officials
- Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. Senator from Delaware (1973–2009)[89]
- Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. Senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[53]
U.S. Senators
- Cory Booker, U.S. Senator from New Jersey (2013–present)[90]
- Dick Durbin, Senate Minority Whip (2015–2021), U.S. Senator from Illinois (1997–present) and former U.S. Representative from Illinois's 20th congressional district (1983–1997)[91]
- Kirsten Gillibrand, U.S. Senator from New York (2009–present) and former U.S. Representative from New York's 20th congressional district (2007–2009)[92]
- Kamala Harris, U.S. Senator from California (2017–2021), former California Attorney General (2011–2017)
- Maggie Hassan, U.S. Senator from New Hampshire (2017–present) and former Governor of New Hampshire (2013–2017)[54]
- Mazie Hirono, U.S. Senator from Hawaii (2013–present) and former U.S. Representative from Hawaii's 2nd congressional district (2007–2013)[93]
- Catherine Cortez Masto, U.S. Senator from Nevada (2017–present) and former Nevada Attorney General (2007–2015)[55]
- Jeff Merkley, U.S. Senator from Oregon (2009–present)[56]
- Patty Murray, U.S. Senator from Washington (1993–present)[57]
- Harry Reid, Senate Majority Leader (2007–2015), U.S. Senator from Nevada (1987–2017)[58]
- Bernie Sanders, U.S. Senator from Vermont (2007–present) and former U.S. Representative from Vermont's at-large congressional district (1991–2007) (Independent)
- Brian Schatz, U.S. Senator from Hawaii (2012–present) and former Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii (2010–2012)[94]
- Chris Van Hollen, U.S. Senator from Maryland (2017–present) and former U.S. Representative from Maryland's 8th congressional district (2003–2017)[59]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2013–present)[60]
U.S. Representatives
- Ruben Kihuen, U.S. Representative from Nevada's 4th congressional district (2017–2019)[44]
- Terri Sewell, U.S. Representative from Alabama's 7th congressional district (2011–present)[95]
- Kyrsten Sinema, U.S. Representative from Arizona's 9th congressional district (2013–2019), nominee for U.S. Senate in Arizona in 2018[61]
Individuals
- Brandon Flowers, singer[96]
- Jimmy Kimmel, talk show host[96]
- Cecile Richards, activist[97]
- Adam Rippon, figure skater[98]
- Amy Siskind, activist and writer[99]
- Amy Schumer, actress[100]
Labor unions
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters Joint Council 42[62]
- National Education Association[63]
- Nevada State AFL-CIO[64]
- Nevada State Education Association[65]
- Service Employees International Union Nevada Local 1107[66]
- United Automobile Workers[101]
Organizations
- Alliance for Retired Americans[102]
- Council for a Livable World[67]
- Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee[68]
- EMILY's List[69]
- End Citizens United[70]
- Feminist Majority Political Action Committee [103]
- Human Rights Campaign[71]
- League of Conservation Voters Action Fund[72]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[73]
- National Organization for Women[74]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[75]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[76]
- Population Connection[104]
- Rachel's Action Network [105]
- Sierra Club Toiyabe Chapter[106]
Websites and newspapers
Federal officials
- Mike Pence, 48th Vice President of the United States (2017–2021), former Governor of Indiana (2013–2017) and former U.S. Representative from Indiana's 6th congressional district (2003–2013) and 2nd district (2001–2003)[16]
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[17]
U.S. Senators
- John Boozman, U.S. Senator from Arkansas (2011–present) and former U.S. Representative from Arkansas's 3rd congressional district (2001–2011)[107]
- Susan Collins, U.S. Senator from Maine (1997–present)[18]
- Cory Gardner, U.S. Senator from Colorado (2015–2021) and former U.S. Representative from Colorado's 4th congressional district (2011–2015)[108]
- Lindsey Graham, U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2003–present) and former U.S. Representative from South Carolina's 3rd congressional district (1995–2003)[108]
- David Perdue, U.S. Senator from Georgia (2015–2021)[19]
- Thom Tillis, U.S. Senator from North Carolina (2015–present)[109]
Governors
- Brian Sandoval, 29th Governor of Nevada (2011–2019)[20]
State officials
- Becky Harris, Chairwoman of the Nevada Gaming Control Board (2018–2019)
- Mark Hutchison, 34th Lieutenant Governor of Nevada (2015–2019)[21]
- Brian Krolicki, 33rd Lieutenant Governor of Nevada (2007–2015)[20]
State senators
- Heidi Gansert, state senator from the 15th district (2016-present)[20]
- Pete Goicoechea, state senator from the 19th district (2013-present)[20]
- Joe Hardy, state senator from the 12th district (2010-present)[20]
- Ben Kieckhefer, state senator from the 16th district (2010-2021)[20]
- Michael Roberson, state senator from the 20th district (2011-2018)[20]
- James Settelmeyer, state senator from the 17th district (2010-present)[20]
State assembly members
- Chris Edwards, state assemblyman from the 19th district (2014-2020)[20]
- John Hambrick, state assemblyman from the 2nd district (2008-2020)[20]
- Al Kramer, state assemblyman from the 40th district (2016-2020)[20]
- Lisa Krasner, state assemblywoman from the 26th district (2016-present)[20]
- Keith Pickard, state assemblyman from the 22nd district (2016-2020)[20]
- Robin Titus, state assemblywoman from the 38th district (2014-present)[20]
- Jill Tolles, state assemblywoman from the 25th district (2016-present)[20]
- Jim Wheeler, Nevada Assembly Minority Leader (2017-2019), state assemblyman from the 39th district (2013-present)[20]
- Melissa Woodbury, state assemblywoman from the 23rd district (2008-2018)[20]
Local officials
- Marsha Berkbigler, Washoe County Commissioner[20]
- Charlene Bybee, Sparks City Councilwoman[20]
- Demar Dahl, Elko County Commissioner[20]
- Vaughn Hartung, Washoe County Commissioner[20]
- Bob Lucey, Washoe County Commissioner[20]
- Barry Penzel, Douglas County Commissioner[20]
- Bruce L. Woodbury, Clark County Commissioner (1981-2009)[20]
Individuals
- Stephen Cloobeck, businessman and major Democratic Party donor[22]
- Peter Guzman, president of the Latin Chamber of Commerce[23]
- Donald Trump Jr., businessman and son of U.S. President Donald Trump[110]
- Steve Wynn, Wynn Resorts Ltd. CEO and Republican National Committee Finance Chairman[21]
Organizations
- Laborers Union Local 872[29]
- National Federation of Independent Business[25]
- National Right to Life[26]
- Nevada Law Enforcement Coalition[24]
- Nevada Republican Party[21]
- NRA Political Victory Fund[27][28]
Newspapers
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of October 17, 2018 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate (party) | Total receipts | Total disbursements | Cash on hand |
Dean Heller (R) Incumbent | $14,525,094 | $12,538,859 | $2,211,457 |
Jacky Rosen (D) | $21,571,221 | $20,817,629 | $768,851 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[112] |
Polling
[edit]Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dean Heller (R) |
Jacky Rosen (D) |
Tim Hagan (L) |
None of these |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HarrisX[113] | November 3–5, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
HarrisX[114] | November 2–4, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 46% | – | – | – | – |
Emerson College[115] | November 1–4, 2018 | 1,197 | ± 3.0% | 45% | 49% | – | – | 3% | 4% |
HarrisX[116] | November 1–3, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | – | – | – | – |
HarrisX[117] | October 31 – November 2, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
HarrisX[118] | October 30 – November 1, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 43% | – | – | – | – |
Trafalgar Group (R)[119] | October 29 – November 1, 2018 | 2,587 | ± 1.9% | 49% | 46% | – | – | 2% | 3% |
HarrisX[120] | October 29–31, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | – | – | – | – |
HarrisX[121] | October 24–30, 2018 | 1,400 | ± 2.6% | 43% | 46% | – | – | – | – |
CNN/SSRS[122] | October 24–29, 2018 | 622 LV | ± 4.8% | 45% | 48% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 1% |
807 RV | ± 4.2% | 41% | 44% | 4% | 8% | 0% | 3% | ||
Gravis Marketing[123] | October 24–26, 2018 | 773 | ± 3.5% | 45% | 47% | – | – | – | 7% |
Ipsos[124] | October 12–19, 2018 | 1,137 | ± 3.0% | 47% | 41% | – | – | 8% | 4% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care)[125] | October 15–16, 2018 | 648 | ± 3.9% | 46% | 48% | – | – | – | 7% |
Vox Populi Polling[126] | October 13–15, 2018 | 614 | ± 3.7% | 49% | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Emerson College[127] | October 10–12, 2018 | 625 | ± 4.2% | 48% | 41% | – | – | 3% | 8% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College[128] | October 8–10, 2018 | 642 | ± 4.0% | 47% | 45% | – | – | 1% | 7% |
NBC News/Marist[129] | September 30 – October 3, 2018 | 574 LV | ± 5.5% | 44% | 42% | 8% | 2% | <1% | 4% |
46% | 44% | – | 5% | 1% | 4% | ||||
780 RV | ± 4.5% | 42% | 41% | 8% | 3% | <1% | 6% | ||
45% | 43% | – | 6% | 1% | 6% | ||||
Kaiser Family Foundation/SSRS[130] | September 19 – October 2, 2018 | 513 | ± 5.0% | 45% | 44% | – | – | 4% | 7% |
CNN/SSRS[131] | September 25–29, 2018 | 693 LV | ± 4.6% | 43% | 47% | 4% | 5% | 0% | 1% |
851 RV | ± 4.1% | 40% | 43% | 5% | 10% | 0% | 2% | ||
Ipsos[132] | September 7–17, 2018 | 1,039 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 43% | – | – | 4% | 8% |
Gravis Marketing[133] | September 11–12, 2018 | 700 | ± 3.7% | 45% | 47% | – | – | – | 8% |
Suffolk University[134][a] | September 5–10, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 41% | 42% | 2% | 2% | 4%[135] | 9% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care)[136] | August 20–21, 2018 | 528 | ± 4.3% | 43% | 48% | – | – | – | – |
Suffolk University[137] | July 24–29, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 41% | 40% | 2% | 5% | 3%[138] | 9% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[139] | June 11 – July 2, 2018 | 1,097 | ± 5.5% | 45% | 48% | – | – | – | 7% |
Gravis Marketing[140] | June 23–26, 2018 | 630 | ± 3.9% | 41% | 45% | – | – | – | 14% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Health Care Voter)[141] | April 30 – May 1, 2018 | 637 | ± 3.9% | 42% | 44% | – | – | – | 14% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[142] | April 2–23, 2018 | 1,332 | ± 5.0% | 44% | 50% | – | – | – | 6% |
The Mellman Group[143] | April 12–19, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 40% | 39% | – | – | – | 21% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care)[144] | March 15–17, 2018 | 720 | ± 3.7% | 39% | 44% | – | – | – | 17% |
Public Policy Polling[145] | June 23–25, 2017 | 648 | ± 3.9% | 41% | 42% | – | – | – | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dean Heller (R) |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D-Our Lives on the Line)[146] | July 26–27, 2017 | 847 | ± 3.6% | 31% | 50% | 18% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Save My Care)[147] | June 13–14, 2017 | 706 | ± 3.4% | 39% | 46% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care)[144] | March 15–17, 2018 | 720 | ± 3.7% | 41% | 47% | 12% |
with Dina Titus
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dean Heller (R) |
Dina Titus (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Anzalone Liszt Grove Research[148] | June 23–29, 2017 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jacky Rosen | 490,071 | 50.41% | +5.70% | |
Republican | Dean Heller (incumbent) | 441,202 | 45.38% | −0.49% | |
None of These Candidates | 15,303 | 1.57% | -2.97% | ||
Independent | Barry Michaels | 9,269 | 0.95% | N/A | |
Libertarian | Tim Hagan | 9,196 | 0.95% | N/A | |
Independent American | Kamau Bakari | 7,091 | 0.73% | −4.16% | |
Total votes | 972,132 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
Heller carried 15 of Nevada's 17 county-level jurisdictions, but Rosen carried the two largest, Clark (home to Las Vegas) and Washoe (home to Reno). She won Clark County by over 92,000 votes, almost double her statewide margin of over 48,900 votes.[150]
By county
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Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic |
By congressional district
[edit]Rosen won 3 of 4 congressional districts.[151]
District | Rosen | Heller | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 63.77% | 31.62% | Dina Titus |
2nd | 42.53% | 53.19% | Mark Amodei |
3rd | 50.39% | 45.95% | Susie Lee |
4th | 51.44% | 44.06% | Steven Horsford |
Notes
[edit]- ^ Archived December 18, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
References
[edit]- ^ Hagar, Ray (May 5, 2016). "Sen. Heller Considers Run For Governor In 2018". Nevada News & Views. Retrieved November 25, 2016.
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- ^ "United States Senate election in Nevada, 2018 - Ballotpedia". Retrieved March 3, 2017.
- ^ Cillizza, Chris (July 19, 2017). "Donald Trump threatened Dean Heller on health care. Heller was sitting next to him". CNN. Retrieved July 20, 2017.
- ^ Stahl, Jeremy (July 19, 2017). "Trump Threatens Sen. Dean Heller at Lunch, May Have Found Trumpcare Patsy". Slate. ISSN 1091-2339. Retrieved July 20, 2017.
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- ^ Hellmann, Jessie (October 4, 2018). "Planned Parenthood targets Dean Heller on Kavanaugh comments in ad". The Hill. Retrieved October 5, 2018.
- ^ Ostermeier, Eric (July 27, 2017). "Jacky Rosen's Historic 2018 US Senate Bid". Smart Politics. Archived from the original on November 24, 2018.
- ^ "GAZALA, SARAH - Candidate overview". FEC.gov.
- ^ Howell Jr., Tom (December 29, 2016). "Sen. Dean Heller rules out Nevada governor bid, will seek re-election in 2018". The Washington Times. Retrieved December 29, 2016.
- ^ Messerly, Megan (August 8, 2017). "Tarkanian announces bid for U.S. Senate, says will challenge Heller in Republican primary in 2018". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved August 8, 2017.
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- ^ a b "Mike Pence returning to Nevada to campaign for Dean Heller". Las Vegas Review-Journal. March 1, 2018.
- ^ a b Shaw, Adam (June 22, 2018). "Trump travels to Las Vegas to back Sen. Heller amid push to expand GOP's hold on Senate". Fox News. Retrieved June 22, 2018.
- ^ a b "Sharks circle around Dean Heller". CNN. June 28, 2017.
- ^ a b Bluestein, Greg (August 24, 2018). "David Perdue aims to shore up embattled Senate candidates". Politically Georgia.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax "Lt. Governor Hutchison: Pleased to Announce Our Campaign Co-Chairs". Heller for Senate. January 5, 2018. Archived from the original on January 9, 2018. Retrieved January 8, 2018.
- ^ a b c d e f "Key Republicans Throw Support Behind Heller". Las Vegas Review-Journal. August 27, 2017.
- ^ a b "This potential Democratic gubernatorial candidate just endorsed Nevada's GOP senator for re-election". Daily Kos. April 26, 2017.
- ^ a b Giwargis, Ramona (May 9, 2018). "Campaign 2018: Hispanic activists show support for Dean Heller". Las Vegas Review-Journal. Retrieved May 10, 2018.
- ^ a b Giwargis, Ramona (July 26, 2018). "Dean Heller lands law enforcement union endorsement". Las Vegas Review-Journal.
- ^ a b "Small Business Endorses U.S. Senator Dean Heller for Re-election". NFIB. August 6, 2018. Archived from the original on August 7, 2018.
- ^ a b "National Right to Life Endorses Dean Heller". Heller for Senate. February 15, 2018. Archived from the original on August 14, 2018. Retrieved August 14, 2018.
- ^ a b "Your Freedom is Under Attack! Vote On or Before November 6th!". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on August 16, 2023. Retrieved August 16, 2023.
The NRA Political Victory Fund (NRA-PVF) has endorsed Dean Heller for U.S. Senate.
- ^ a b Associated Press (May 22, 2018). "NRA Endorses Dean Heller, 3 Republicans Running for US House". U.S. News & World Report. Archived from the original on August 14, 2018.
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- ^ JMC Analytics
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- ^ a b "Nevada Primary Election 2018 - U.S. Senate". nvsos.gov.
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- ^ Messerly, Megan (July 6, 2017). "Rosen officially announces Senate bid, says Reid encouraged her to run". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved July 6, 2017.
- ^ Lochhead, Colton (April 28, 2017). "Henderson attorney wants to challenge for Dean Heller's Senate seat". Las Vegas Review-Journal. Retrieved May 1, 2017.
- ^ Ralston, Jon (December 1, 2016). "One person who is mulling a run for Senate (and maybe gov) is Stephen Cloobeck". Twitter. Retrieved December 2, 2016.
- ^ a b c d e Ralston, Jon (February 8, 2017). "Democrats salivating about beating Heller, have everything but a candidate". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved February 10, 2017.
- ^ Ralston, Jon (April 26, 2017). "Cloobeck, huge Democratic donor and potential gov candidate, to endorse Heller". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved April 26, 2017.
- ^ Snyder, Riley (September 12, 2017). "Democratic Senate Leader Aaron Ford announces attorney general bid, setting up likely race to replace Laxalt". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved September 12, 2017.
- ^ a b c Kihuen, Ruben (July 6, 2017). "I'm very proud to support you, my friend". Twitter. Retrieved July 6, 2017.
- ^ Ralston, Jon (April 25, 2017). "Marshall: I'm considering a U.S. Senate bid". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved April 26, 2017.
- ^ Valley, Jackie (September 13, 2017). "Former state Treasurer Kate Marshall announces her bid for lieutenant governor". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved September 13, 2017.
- ^ Kamisar, Ben (November 16, 2016). "10 Senate seats that could flip in 2018". The Hill. Retrieved November 28, 2016.
- ^ Railey, Kimberly (February 8, 2017). "At this early point in @SenDeanHeller's reelex, Dems are unsure how deeply Harry Reid will get involved". Twitter. Retrieved February 8, 2017.
- ^ Hagar, Ray (March 30, 2017). "Titus 'thinking about' run against Heller in 2018". Las Vegas Sun. Retrieved April 3, 2017.
- ^ Martin, Gary (September 27, 2017). "Titus skips Senate race, will run for re-election to Congress". Las Vegas Review-Journal. Retrieved September 27, 2017.
- ^ Rindels, Michelle (March 29, 2017). "Clark Co DA Steve Wolfson says he's been approached to run vs Heller in '18. But says "I'm continuing discussions" on what he might run for". Twitter. Retrieved April 3, 2017.
- ^ Lochhead, Colton (August 16, 2017). "Clark County DA Steve Wolfson announces re-election bid". Las Vegas Review-Journal. Retrieved August 16, 2017.
- ^ a b Barack Obama [@BarackObama] (August 1, 2018). "Today I'm proud to endorse such a wide and impressive array of Democratic candidates – leaders as diverse, patriotic, and big-hearted as the America they're running to represent:" (Tweet). Retrieved August 1, 2018 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b "NV-Sen: Sen. Maggie Hassan (D. NH) Helps Jacky Rosen (D) Increase The Number Of Women In The Senate". Daily Kos. January 4, 2018.
- ^ a b Masto, Catherine Cortez (July 6, 2017). "Today, I'm proud to endorse @RosenforNevada as Nevada's next U.S. Senator. Jacky's the fighter NV families need". Twitter. Retrieved August 12, 2017.
- ^ a b "AZ & NV-Sen: Sen. Jeff Merkley (D. OR) Helps These Two Women Take Back The U.S. Senate". Daily Kos. December 13, 2017.
- ^ a b "TX, NV & AZ-Sen: Sen. Patty Murray (D. WA) Helps Democrats Make Big Gains In The West". Daily Kos. December 26, 2017.
- ^ a b Debenedetti, Gabriel; Everett, Burgess (October 24, 2017). "Reid gone from D.C. — but still pulling strings". POLITICO.
- ^ a b Kamisar, Ben (July 6, 2017). "Senate Dem campaign arm backs Harry Reid's pick for Nevada seat". The Hill. Retrieved August 12, 2017.
- ^ a b "NV-Sen: Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D. MA) Helps Jacky Rosen (D) Win A Democratic Senate Majority". Daily Kos. February 27, 2018.
- ^ a b "AZ, TX & NV-Sen: Kyrsten Sinema (D) Helps Her Fellow Democrats Make Big Gains In The West". Daily Kos. December 19, 2017.
- ^ a b "Teamsters Joint Council 42 Political Endorsements". Teamsters JC 42.
- ^ a b "NEA Fund - Recommended Candidates". neafund.org. Archived from the original on August 1, 2018. Retrieved April 28, 2018.
- ^ a b McAllister, Rusty (April 20, 2018). "Nevada State AFL-CIO Statewide Endorsements" (PDF). Nevada State AFL-CIO. Archived from the original (PDF) on April 24, 2018. Retrieved April 24, 2018.
- ^ a b Murillo, Jr., Ruben (March 1, 2018). "Nevada State Education Association Endorses Jacky Rosen for U.S. Senate" (PDF). NSEA. Nevada State Education Association. Archived from the original (PDF) on April 28, 2018. Retrieved April 28, 2018.
- ^ a b Blue, Luisa; Springer, Debbie (February 28, 2018). "SEIU Nevada Local 1107 Endorses Jacky Rosen for U.S. Senate". SEIU Nevada.
- ^ a b "WI & NV-Sen: Council For A Livable World Endorses Tammy Baldwin (D) & Jacky Rosen (D)". Daily Kos. November 19, 2017.
- ^ a b Van Hollen, Chris (July 6, 2017). "DSCC Endorses Jacky Rosen In NV Senate Campaign - DSCC: Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee". DSCC: Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. Archived from the original on April 28, 2018. Retrieved April 28, 2018.
- ^ a b Schriock, Stephanie (July 7, 2017). "EMILY's List Endorses Jacky Rosen for U.S. Senate in Nevada". EMILY'S List.
- ^ a b Tiffany Muller (August 3, 2017). "End Citizens United Endorses Jacky Rosen for U.S. Senate". End Citizens United.
- ^ a b "HRC Endorses Jacky Rosen of Nevada for U.S. Senate". Retrieved December 3, 2017.
- ^ a b "LCV Action Fund Endorses Jacky Rosen for U.S. Senate - League of Conservation Voters". League of Conservation Voters. August 2, 2017.
- ^ a b "NARAL Endorses Jacky Rosen for U.S. Senate". Retrieved August 13, 2017.
- ^ a b "Federal Endorsements by the NOW PAC". National Organization for Women Political Action Committees. August 23, 2017. Archived from the original on April 26, 2019. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
- ^ a b Dison, Denis (July 13, 2018). "NRDC Action Fund endorses Rosen in Nevada Senate race". Natural Resources Defense Council. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
- ^ a b Laguens, Dawn (April 17, 2018). "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Nevada's Jacky Rosen for U.S. Senate". Planned Parenthood Action.
- ^ "2018 Endorsements". Sierra Club. December 7, 2017. Archived from the original on July 12, 2018. Retrieved May 30, 2018.
- ^ a b "Daily Kos endorses Nevada Democrat Jacky Rosen to oust the most spineless member of the U.S. Senate". Daily Kos. March 29, 2018.
- ^ "Nevada Secretary of State : 2018 Filed Candidates - Non-Judicial". nvsos.gov. Retrieved March 16, 2018.
- ^ Barry Michaels (August 9, 2017). "Barry Michaels U.S. Senate Nevada 2018 - Challenges Federal Gun Control Act". EIN Presswire. Retrieved September 11, 2017.
- ^ "2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
- ^ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
- ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Senate". Center for Politics. Retrieved April 8, 2018.
- ^ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- ^ "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 18, 2018.
- ^ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Fox News. Retrieved July 10, 2018.
- ^ "2018 Midterm Election Forecast: Senate - Nevada". FiveThirtyEight. October 29, 2018.
- ^ Catherine Cortez Masto [@CatherineForNV] (October 20, 2018). "Proud to join @JoeBiden in Las Vegas to get out the vote for @RosenforNevada @nvdems today! I need Jacky by my side in the Senate & all of the fantastic dems running to fight for NV families. We have the power to take back the agenda. Make a plan to vote: http://votenvdems.com" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ Jacky Rosen. "There are just 17 DAYS until Nevadans head to the polls. @CoryBooker is #ReadyForRosen". Twitter.
- ^ Dick Durbin. "Nevada is one of the most critical battlegrounds in the country. Support @RosenForNevada and help #FlipTheSenate". Twitter.
- ^ Kirsten Gillibrand. "For Democrats to take back the Senate in November, we must elect @RosenforNevada. But President Trump is in NV today to campaign for her right-wing opponent, so #TodayWeAct to make an impact where we can in a race this tight – and this important. Here are 3 ways to get involved". Twitter.
- ^ NV Dems. ""You make a difference. Every time you make a phone call, every time you knock on a door, you have the chance to get one more voter for Jacky and Susie!" Senator @maziehirono is right". Twitter.
- ^ Brian Schatz. "Donald Trump is coming to Nevada this weekend to campaign, and I would like for us to raise money for Jacky Rosen in response. The race is very very very close. Please do what you can and thank you". Twitter.
- ^ Terri Sewell. "Speaking at a Sheppard's Breakfast in Las Vegas with my friends and colleagues @RosenforNevada, and @StevenHorsford! #BlueWaveComing2018". Twitter.
- ^ a b Jacky Rosen. "You won't want to miss our Get Out the Vote Rally to Protect our Health Care on Friday with @JimmyKimmel, @BrandonFlowers, and @KamalaHarris". Twitter.
- ^ Jacky Rosen. "Thank you for your support, @CecileRichards!". Twitter.
- ^ Adam Rippon. "Hey Nevadans! YOU have the power to make change by getting out and voting tomorrow for @RosenForNevada and @nvdems! #RiseNVote #ProudToVoteEarly". Twitter.
- ^ Siskind, Amy [@Amy_Siskind] (October 8, 2018). "END Mitch McConnell's reign of terror. Donate/volunteer for these close senate races: Jacky Rosen, NV Phil Bredesen, TN Claire McCaskill, MO Bill Nelson, FL Joe Donnelly, IN Heidi Heitkamp, ND Beto O'Rourke, TX Kyrsten Sinema, AZ Tammy Baldwin, WI" (Tweet). Retrieved October 20, 2018 – via Twitter.
- ^ Amy Schumer. "News". Twitter.
- ^ "Nevada". Official UAW Endorsements. United Automobile Workers.
- ^ "Retiree Group Endorses Jacky Rosen for U.S. Senate - Retired Americans". Retired Americans. September 19, 2018. Archived from the original on October 20, 2018. Retrieved October 29, 2018.
- ^ "Jacky Rosen – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org.
- ^ "Population Connection Action Fund Endorsements". Population Connection. Archived from the original on April 5, 2018. Retrieved October 27, 2018.
- ^ "Endorsed Candidates | Rachel's Action Network". rachelsactionnetwork.org.
- ^ "2018 Endorsements". Sierra Club. December 7, 2017. Archived from the original on July 12, 2018. Retrieved May 30, 2018.
- ^ John Boozman. "I'm proud to serve with @DeanHeller in the Senate. Working with him on the #Veterans' Affairs committee, I know Dean cares deeply about ensuring our nation lives up to the promises made to those who have served & sacrificed for America and he'll continue that fight if re-elected". Twitter.
- ^ a b Dean Heller. "Looking forward to having Senator @LindseyGrahamSC and @SenCoryGardner here in Nevada!". Twitter.
- ^ Thom Tillis. ".@DeanHeller has been a staunch champion for our veterans as a member of the Senate VA Committee. His opponent just voted against government funding for veterans' benefits". Twitter.
- ^ Donald Trump Jr. "It's simple - A vote for liberal Jacky Rosen is a vote to turn Nevada into California. Nevada patriots - Get out the vote on Tuesday for @Deanheller! #MAGA #NVSEN". Twitter.
- ^ "EDITORIAL: Return Dean Heller to the US Senate". Las Vegas Review-Journal. October 19, 2018.
- ^ "Campaign finance data". Retrieved October 31, 2018.
- ^ HarrisX
- ^ HarrisX
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ HarrisX
- ^ HarrisX
- ^ HarrisX
- ^ Trafalgar Group (R)
- ^ HarrisX
- ^ HarrisX
- ^ CNN/SSRS
- ^ Gravis Marketing Archived November 5, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Ipsos
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care)
- ^ Vox Populi Polling
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ NYT Upshot/Siena College
- ^ NBC News/Marist
- ^ Kaiser Family Foundation/SSRS
- ^ CNN/SSRS
- ^ Ipsos
- ^ Gravis Marketing
- ^ Suffolk University Archived December 18, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Barry Michaels (I) and Kamau Bakari (AI) with 2%
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care)
- ^ Suffolk University Archived July 31, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Barry Michaels (I) with 2%, Kamau Bakari (AI) with 1%, other with 0%
- ^ SurveyMonkey/Axios
- ^ Gravis Marketing
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D-Health Care Voter)
- ^ SurveyMonkey/Axios
- ^ The Mellman Group
- ^ a b Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care)
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D-Our Lives on the Line) Archived December 15, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D-Save My Care)
- ^ Anzalone Liszt Grove Research
- ^ "U.S. Senate - Nevada General Election 2018". silverstateelection.com. Archived from the original on August 2, 2019. Retrieved December 2, 2018.
- ^ "Nevada | Full Senate results". cnn.com.
- ^ "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 11, 2020.
External links
[edit]- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at OpenSecrets
Official campaign websites