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2014 United States Senate election in North Carolina

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2014 United States Senate election in North Carolina
← 2008 November 4, 2014 (2014-11-04) 2020 →
 
Nominee Thom Tillis Kay Hagan
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 1,423,259 1,377,651
Percentage 48.82% 47.26%
Tillis:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Hagan:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:       No Vote:      
U.S. senator before election

Kay Hagan
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Thom Tillis
Republican

Elections in North Carolina
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The 2014 United States Senate election in North Carolina took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of North Carolina, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primary took place on May 6, 2014.

Incumbent Democratic senator Kay Hagan ran for re-election to a second term in office and lost to Republican Thom Tillis, Speaker of the North Carolina House of Representatives by about 45,000 votes and a margin of 1.6%.[1] This made the election the second-closest race of the 2014 Senate election cycle, behind only the election in Virginia.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Kay Hagan, incumbent U.S. senator[2][3]
  • Ernest T. Reeves,[4] retired U.S. Army captain[5]
  • Will Stewart, small business owner[6]

Withdrew

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary election results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kay Hagan (incumbent) 372,209 77.16%
Democratic Will Stewart 66,903 13.87%
Democratic Ernest T. Reeves 43,257 8.97%
Total votes 482,369 100.00%

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

The eight Republican candidates on the 2014 U.S. Senate primary ballot were the most in party history in North Carolina, more than the seven on the ballot in the 2002 Republican primary won by Elizabeth Dole.[10]

Declared

[edit]

Withdrew

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Greg Brannon

Politicians

Political figures

Organisations

Mark Harris
Jim Snyder
Thom Tillis

Organizations

Politicians

State legislators

Polling

[edit]

Primary

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Ted
Alexander 		Alex
Bradshaw 		Greg
Brannon 		Heather
Grant 		Mark
Harris 		Edward
Kryn 		Jim
Snyder 		Thom
Tillis 		Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[53] February 6–9, 2014 305 ± 5.6% 10% — 13% 13% 8% 2% — 20% 34%
American Insights[54] February 11–15, 2014 168 ± 7.6% — — 4% 4% 7% — — 11% 74%
Public Policy Polling[53] March 6–9, 2014 392 ± 5% 7% 6% 14% 11% 7% 1% 4% 14% 36%
SurveyUSA[55] March 17–19, 2014 405 ± 5% 7% 4% 15% 11% 6% 3% 4% 28% 23%
SurveyUSA[56] March 19–23, 2014 405 ± 5% 1% 2% 13% 5% 9% 0% 5% 27% 38%
SurveyUSA[57] March 27–31, 2014 433 ± 4.8% 6% 1% 15% 6% 11% 2% 3% 23% 34%
Public Policy Polling[58] April 3–6, 2014 314 ± 5.5% 6% 5% 15% 7% 11% 1% 2% 18% 34%
SurveyUSA[59] April 16–22, 2014 392 ± 5% 1% 1% 20% 2% 15% 2% 2% 39% 19%
Public Policy Polling[58] April 26–28, 2014 694 ± 3.7% 2% 1% 20% 5% 11% 2% 3% 46% 12%
Public Policy Polling[60] May 3–4, 2014 925 ± 3.2% 2% 0% 28% 4% 15% 1% 1% 40% 11%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Phil
Berger 		Greg
Brannon 		Jim
Cain 		Renee
Ellmers 		Bill
Flynn 		Virginia
Foxx 		Heather
Grant 		Mark
Harris 		Thom
Tillis 		Lynn
Wheeler 		Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[61] June 12–14, 2013 374 ± 5.1% 11% 7% 8% 9% — 23% — 4% 9% 3% 27%
Public Policy Polling[62] July 12–14, 2013 373 ± 5.1% 11% 7% 11% 11% — 16% — 1% 5% 3% 35%
22% — — 18% — — — — 21% — 39%
— — — 25% — — — — 32% — 43%
Public Policy Polling[63] August 8–11, 2013 344 ± 5.3% 9% 7% 9% — — 18% 4% 4% 8% 2% 40%
22% — — — — — — — 23% — 56%
Public Policy Polling[64] September 6–9, 2013 311 ± 5.6% 13% 6% 11% — — — 8% 5% 12% 2% 43%
Public Policy Polling[65] November 8–11, 2013 498 ± 4.4% — 11% — — — — 8% 14% 20% — 47%
Public Policy Polling[66] December 5–8, 2013 529 ± 4.3% — 11% — — 8% — 11% 12% 13% — 44%
Public Policy Polling[67] January 9–12, 2014 575 ± 4.1% — 11% — — 7% — 11% 8% 19% — 44%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Phil
Berger 		Cherie
Berry 		Greg
Brannon 		Renee
Ellmers 		Terry
Embler 		Dan
Forest 		Virginia
Foxx 		George
Holding 		Patrick
McHenry 		Thom
Tillis 		Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[68] February 7–10, 2013 518 ± 4.3% 7% 18% 5% 10% 1% — 18% 3% 10% 3% 27%
Public Policy Polling[69] March 7–10, 2013 530 ± 4.3% 8% 12% 4% 10% 1% 18% 13% — 7% 2% 24%
Public Policy Polling[70] April 11–14, 2013 468 ± 4.5% 11% 18% 6% 12% 1% — 13% — — 7% 32%
Public Policy Polling[71] May 17–20, 2013 366 ± 5.1% 10% 14% 7% 10% — — 15% — — 6% 38%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Phil
Berger 		Renee
Ellmers 		Virginia
Foxx 		George
Holding 		Richard
Hudson 		Patrick
McHenry 		Mark
Meadows 		Sue
Myrick 		Robert
Pittenger 		Thom
Tillis 		Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[72] December 6–9, 2012 462 ± 4.6% — 11% 17% 9% 6% 13% 4% 14% — 2% 25%
Public Policy Polling[73] January 10–13, 2013 449 ± 4.6% 5% 11% 21% 2% 5% 15% — — 6% 2% 33%

Runoff

Hypothetical runoff polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Greg
Brannon 		Thom
Tillis 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[58] April 26–28, 2014 694 ± 3.7% 32% 50% 18%
Public Policy Polling[60] May 3–4, 2014 925 ± 3.2% 40% 46% 14%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Mark
Harris 		Thom
Tillis 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[58] April 26–28, 2014 694 ± 3.7% 27% 53% 20%
Public Policy Polling[60] May 3–4, 2014 925 ± 3.2% 34% 49% 16%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Tillis
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Brannon
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Harris
  •   30–40%
Republican primary election results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Thom Tillis 223,174 45.68%
Republican Greg Brannon 132,630 27.15%
Republican Mark Harris 85,727 17.55%
Republican Heather Grant 22,971 4.70%
Republican Jim Snyder 9,414 1.93%
Republican Ted Alexander 9,258 1.89%
Republican Alex Lee Bradshaw 3,528 0.72%
Republican Edward Kryn 1,853 0.38%
Total votes 488,555 100.00%

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Libertarian primary election results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Sean Haugh 1,226 60.69%
Libertarian Tim D'Annunzio 794 39.31%
Total votes 2,020 100.00%

Other parties

[edit]

Certified write-in candidates

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Outside spending

[edit]

In July 2014, Jim Morrill of The Charlotte Observer calculated that as of the end of June, more than $26 million had been spent by outside advocacy groups on the election, with $17 million of it attacking Hagan or supporting Tillis and less than $9 million supporting Hagan or attacking Tillis. By contrast, outside groups spent $25 million during the entire 2008 election. He reported that only $11.4 million had been reported to the FEC, with the rest of the "dark money" coming from groups that did not have to disclose their donors. 27% of the money spent supporting Tillis came from groups required to disclose their donors whereas 69% of the money supporting Hagan did so.[78]

OpenSecrets placed the final cost of outside spending at $8.5 million for Hagan and $35.5 million attacking Tillis, and $13.7 million for Tillis and $20.9 million attacking Hagan, placing the totals by candidate at $44 million for Hagan, and $34.6 million for Tillis.[79]

Debates

[edit]

Three televised debates between the candidates were held: the first on September 3 moderated by Norah O'Donnell of CBS, the second on October 7 moderated by George Stephanopoulos of ABC, and the third (the only one to feature Sean Haugh) on October 9 moderated by Jon Evans of WECT-TV.[80]

Video of the first debate is available here, with the second here and the third here.

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[81] Tossup November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[82] Lean D November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[83] Tossup November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[84] Tossup November 3, 2014

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Kay
Hagan (D) 		Thom
Tillis (R) 		Sean
Haugh (L) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[72] December 6–9, 2012 578 ± 4.1% 48% 38% — — 14%
Public Policy Polling[73] January 10–13, 2013 608 ± 4% 47% 37% — — 16%
Public Policy Polling[68] February 7–10, 2013 600 ± 4% 46% 38% — — 16%
Public Policy Polling[69] March 7–10, 2013 611 ± 4% 50% 36% — — 14%
Public Policy Polling[70] April 11–14, 2013 601 ± 4% 49% 39% — — 11%
Public Policy Polling[71] May 17–20, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 48% 41% — — 11%
Public Policy Polling[61] June 12–14, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 45% 40% — — 15%
Public Policy Polling[62] July 12–14, 2013 600 ± 4% 49% 38% — — 12%
Public Policy Polling[63] August 8–11, 2013 600 ± 4% 47% 39% — — 14%
Public Policy Polling[64] September 6–9, 2013 600 ± 4% 51% 36% — — 14%
Public Policy Polling[85] October 4–6, 2013 746 ± ?% 47% 40% — — 13%
Public Policy Polling[65] November 8–11, 2013 701 ± 4% 44% 42% — — 14%
Public Policy Polling[66] December 5–8, 2013 1,281 ± 2.7% 44% 42% — — 14%
Public Policy Polling[67] January 9–12, 2014 1,384 ± 2.6% 42% 43% — — 15%
Harper Polling[86] January 20–21, 2014 778 ± 3.51% 44% 44% — — 12%
Rasmussen Reports[87] January 22–23, 2014 500 ± 4.5% 40% 47% — 3% 10%
Public Policy Polling[53] February 6–9, 2014 708 ± 3.7% 40% 42% — — 17%
American Insights[54] February 11–15, 2014 611 ± 4% 38% 35% — — 26%
Hickman Analytics[88] February 17–20, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 45% 41% — — 13%
Public Policy Polling[89] March 6–9, 2014 884 ± 3.3% 45% 43% — — 13%
SurveyUSA[57] March 27–31, 2014 1,489 ± 2.6% 45% 46% — — 9%
Public Policy Polling[58] April 3–6, 2014 740 ± 3.6% 43% 41% — — 16%
New York Times/Kaiser Family[90] April 8–15, 2014 900 ± ? 42% 40% — 5% 14%
Magellan Strategies[91] April 14–15, 2014 804 ± 3.46% 43% 43% — 8% 6%
Rasmussen Reports[92] May 7–8, 2014 750 ± 4% 44% 45% — 5% 7%
Public Policy Polling[93] May 9–11, 2014 877 ± 3.3% 38% 36% 11% — 15%
41% 41% — — 18%
Civitas Institute[94] May 20–22, 2014 600 ± 4% 36% 39% 8% — 15%
41% 46% — — 12%
Magellan Strategies[95] June 5–8, 2014 700 ± 3.7% 47% 46% — — 7%
Public Policy Polling[96] June 12–15, 2014 1,076 ± 3% 39% 34% 11% — 16%
42% 38% — — 20%
Civitas Institute[97] June 18–19 & 22, 2014 600 ± 4% 42% 36% 9% — 12%
47% 43% — — 9%
Public Policy Polling[98] July 17–20, 2014 1,062 ± 3% 41% 34% 8% — 16%
42% 39% — — 19%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[99] July 5–24, 2014 2,678 ± 3.5% 44% 45% — 2% 7%
Gravis Marketing[100] July 22–27, 2014 1,380 ± 3% 44% 41% — — 15%
Civitas Institute[101] July 28–29, 2014 600 ± 4% 41% 39% 7% — 12%
43% 45% — — 10%
Rasmussen Reports[102] August 5–6, 2014 750 ± 4% 40% 45% — 6% 9%
Public Policy Polling[103] August 14–17, 2014 856 ± 3.4% 42% 38% 8% — 13%
43% 42% — — 14%
Suffolk University[104] August 16–19, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 45.4% 43% 5.2% — 6.4%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[105] August 18 – September 2, 2014 2,059 ± 3% 42% 43% 5% 0% 10%
Garin-Hart-Yang[106] September 3–6, 2014 802 ± 3.5% 48% 45% — — 7%
Elon University[107] September 5–9, 2014 629 LV ± 3.91% 44.9% 40.8% — 9.1% 5.2%
983 RV ± 3.13% 42.7% 36.8% — 10.7% 9.8%
American Insights[108] September 5–10, 2014 459 ± 4.6% 46% 36% 6% — 13%
Rasmussen Reports[109] September 8–10, 2014 1,000 ± 4% 45% 39% — 6% 9%
Civitas Institute[110] September 9–10, 2014 490 ± 4.5% 46% 43% 5% — 6%
47% 46% — — 7%
Public Policy Polling[111] September 11–14, 2014 1,266 ± 2.8% 44% 40% 5% — 11%
46% 42% — — 12%
Fox News[112] September 14–16, 2014 605 ± 4% 41% 36% 6% — 13%
High Point University[113] September 13–18, 2014 410 ± 5% 42% 40% 6% — 12%
Global Strategy Group[114] September 16–18, 2014 600 ± 4.9% 45% 41% 5% — 9%
Gravis Marketing[115] September 22–23, 2014 860 ± 3% 46% 42% — — 12%
CNN/ORC[116] September 22–25, 2014 595 LV ± 4% 46% 43% 7% — 4%
860 ± 3.5% 46% 39% 9% — 6%
Civitas[117] September 25, 27–28, 2014 600 ± 4% 46% 41% 4% 1% 8%
860 ± 3.5% 50% 43% — — 8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[118] September 20 – October 1, 2014 2,002 ± 3% 46% 45% 2% 1% 6%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[119] September 25 – October 1, 2014 1,000 ± 2.09% 45% 41% — 14%
NBC News/Marist[120] September 27 – October 1, 2014 665 LV ± 3.8% 44% 40% 7% <1% 9%
1,132 RV ± 2.9% 42% 37% 8% 1% 12%
Morey Group[121] October 1–6, 2014 956 ± 3.2% 40.1% 37.8% — 2% 20.2%
Suffolk University[122] October 4–7, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 46.8% 45.4% 4.4% — 3.4%
Rasmussen Reports[123] October 6–7, 2014 970 ± 3% 48% 46% — 2% 4%
High Point University[124] September 30 – October 2 and October 4–9, 2014 584 ± 4.1% 39.5% 40.4% 7% — 13%
SurveyUSA[125] October 10–12, 2014 554 ± 4.2% 44% 41% 7% — 8%
45% 46% — — 9%
Civitas Institute[126] October 15–18, 2014 600 ± 4% 41% 42% 6% — 11%
44% 44% — — 12%
Gravis Marketing[127] October 16–18, 2014 1,022 ± 3% 43% 48% — — 9%
Public Policy Polling[128] October 16–18, 2014 780 ± 3.5% 46% 43% 5% — 7%
47% 44% — — 8%
SurveyUSA[129] October 16–20, 2014 568 ± 4.2% 46% 43% 6% — 5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[118] October 16–23, 2014 1,910 ± 4% 44% 41% 2% 0% 13%
NBC News/Marist[130] October 19–23, 2014 756 LV ± 3.6% 43% 43% 7% <1% 6%
1,070 RV ± 3% 42% 40% 8% 1% 9%
SurveyUSA[131] October 21–25, 2014 802 ± 4% 44% 44% 5% 3% 5%
Elon University[132] October 21–25, 2014 687 LV ± 3.74% 44.7% 40.7% — 6.3% 6.6%
996 RV ± 3.11% 44.8% 37.5% — 7.7% 8.5%
Monmouth University[133] October 23–26, 2014 432 ± 4.7% 48% 46% 1% — 4%
Vox Populi[134] October 26–27, 2014 615 ± 3.95% 43% 48% — — 9%
Public Policy Polling[135] October 28–29, 2014 657 ± ? 47% 46% 4% — 3%
Rasmussen Reports[123] October 28–29, 2014 982 ± 3% 47% 46% — 3% 3%
CNN/ORC[136] October 27–30, 2014 559 LV ± 4% 48% 46% 4% — 2%
896 RV ± 3.5% 47% 41% 8% — 4%
Fox News[137] October 28–30, 2014 909 ± 3% 43% 42% 4% 1% 9%
Harper Polling[138] October 28–30, 2014 511 ± 4.34% 44% 46% 6% — 4%
45% 48% — — 7%
Civitas Institute[139] October 29–30, 2014 600 ± 4% 41% 41% 6% — 10%
45% 44% — — 11%
Gravis Marketing[140] October 29–30, 2014 1,006 ± 3% 46% 47% — — 8%
YouGov[141] October 25–31, 2014 1,727 ± 3% 44% 41% — 3% 12%
Public Policy Polling[142] October 30–31, 2014 738 ± ? 46% 45% 4% — 5%
Public Policy Polling[143] November 1–3, 2014 1,333 ± 2.7% 46% 44% 5% — 6%
48% 46% — — 6%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Kay
Hagan (D) 		Ted
Alexander (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[53] February 6–9, 2014 708 ± 3.7% 38% 45% 17%
Public Policy Polling[89] March 6–9, 2014 884 ± 3.3% 43% 45% 12%
SurveyUSA[57] March 27–31, 2014 1,489 ± 2.6% 44% 46% 10%
Public Policy Polling[58] April 3–6, 2014 740 ± 3.6% 42% 43% 15%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Kay
Hagan (D) 		Phil
Berger (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[73] January 10–13, 2013 608 ± 4% 47% 38% 15%
Public Policy Polling[68] February 7–10, 2013 600 ± 4% 49% 38% 13%
Public Policy Polling[69] March 7–10, 2013 611 ± 4% 51% 37% 12%
Public Policy Polling[70] April 11–14, 2013 601 ± 4% 48% 39% 13%
Public Policy Polling[71] May 17–20, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 46% 42% 12%
Public Policy Polling[61] June 12–14, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 44% 40% 17%
Public Policy Polling[62] July 12–14, 2013 600 ± 4% 49% 39% 12%
Public Policy Polling[63] August 8–11, 2013 600 ± 4% 47% 39% 14%
Public Policy Polling[64] September 6–9, 2013 600 ± 4% 53% 36% 11%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Kay
Hagan (D) 		Cherie K.
Berry (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[68] February 7–10, 2013 600 ± 4% 46% 38% 16%
Public Policy Polling[69] March 7–10, 2013 611 ± 4% 50% 38% 12%
Public Policy Polling[70] April 11–14, 2013 601 ± 4% 46% 41% 13%
Public Policy Polling[71] May 17–20, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 45% 45% 9%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Kay
Hagan (D) 		Alex
Bradshaw (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[89] March 6–9, 2014 884 ± 3.3% 43% 43% 14%
Public Policy Polling[58] April 3–6, 2014 740 ± 3.6% 41% 42% 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Kay
Hagan (D) 		Greg
Brannon (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[68] February 7–10, 2013 600 ± 4% 48% 35% — 17%
Public Policy Polling[69] March 7–10, 2013 611 ± 4% 51% 36% — 13%
Public Policy Polling[70] April 11–14, 2013 601 ± 4% 49% 36% — 15%
Public Policy Polling[71] May 17–20, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 49% 40% — 11%
Public Policy Polling[61] June 12–14, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 44% 40% — 15%
Public Policy Polling[62] July 12–14, 2013 600 ± 4% 49% 39% — 12%
Public Policy Polling[63] August 8–11, 2013 600 ± 4% 47% 38% — 15%
Public Policy Polling[64] September 6–9, 2013 600 ± 4% 52% 36% — 12%
Public Policy Polling[85] October 4–6, 2013 746 ± ?% 46% 40% — 14%
Public Policy Polling[65] November 8–11, 2013 701 ± 4% 43% 44% — 14%
Public Policy Polling[66] December 5–8, 2013 1,281 ± 2.7% 43% 45% — 11%
Public Policy Polling[67] January 9–12, 2014 1,384 ± 2.6% 41% 43% — 16%
Rasmussen Reports[87] January 22–23, 2014 500 ± 4.5% 39% 43% 4% 14%
Public Policy Polling[53] February 6–9, 2014 708 ± 3.7% 40% 43% — 17%
American Insights[54] February 11–15, 2014 611 ± 4% 38% 36% — 26%
Public Policy Polling[89] March 6–9, 2014 884 ± 3.3% 43% 43% — 14%
SurveyUSA[57] March 27–31, 2014 1,489 ± 2.6% 45% 47% — 9%
Public Policy Polling[58] April 3–6, 2014 740 ± 3.6% 40% 42% — 18%
New York Times/Kaiser Family[90] April 8–15, 2014 900 ± ? 41% 39% 4% 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Kay
Hagan (D) 		James P.
Cain (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[71] May 17–20, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 48% 41% 11%
Public Policy Polling[61] June 12–14, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 46% 38% 16%
Public Policy Polling[62] July 12–14, 2013 600 ± 4% 49% 36% 15%
Public Policy Polling[63] August 8–11, 2013 600 ± 4% 46% 39% 14%
Public Policy Polling[64] September 6–9, 2013 600 ± 4% 50% 37% 13%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Kay
Hagan (D) 		Renee
Ellmers (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[72] December 6–9, 2012 578 ± 4.1% 45% 39% 19%
Public Policy Polling[73] January 10–13, 2013 608 ± 4% 46% 40% 14%
Public Policy Polling[68] February 7–10, 2013 600 ± 4% 47% 38% 15%
Public Policy Polling[69] March 7–10, 2013 611 ± 4% 49% 36% 15%
Public Policy Polling[70] April 11–14, 2013 601 ± 4% 48% 40% 12%
Public Policy Polling[71] May 17–20, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 48% 39% 12%
Public Policy Polling[61] June 12–14, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 46% 39% 15%
Public Policy Polling[62] July 12–14, 2013 600 ± 4% 49% 36% 14%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Kay
Hagan (D) 		Terry
Embler (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[68] February 7–10, 2013 600 ± 4% 48% 33% 20%
Public Policy Polling[69] March 7–10, 2013 611 ± 4% 52% 33% 15%
Public Policy Polling[70] April 11–14, 2013 601 ± 4% 47% 37% 16%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Kay
Hagan (D) 		Bill
Flynn (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[66] December 5–8, 2013 1,281 ± 2.7% 43% 45% 12%
Public Policy Polling[67] January 9–12, 2014 1,384 ± 2.6% 42% 44% 15%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Kay
Hagan (D) 		Dan
Forest (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[69] March 7–10, 2013 611 ± 4% 50% 40% 11%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Kay
Hagan (D) 		Virginia
Foxx (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[72] December 6–9, 2012 578 ± 4.1% 49% 39% 12%
Public Policy Polling[73] January 10–13, 2013 608 ± 4% 47% 40% 13%
Public Policy Polling[68] February 7–10, 2013 600 ± 4% 48% 38% 15%
Public Policy Polling[69] March 7–10, 2013 611 ± 4% 49% 37% 14%
Public Policy Polling[70] April 11–14, 2013 601 ± 4% 48% 39% 13%
Public Policy Polling[71] May 17–20, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 49% 42% 10%
Public Policy Polling[61] June 12–14, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 46% 39% 15%
Public Policy Polling[62] July 12–14, 2013 600 ± 4% 49% 37% 13%
Public Policy Polling[63] August 8–11, 2013 600 ± 4% 48% 39% 13%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Kay
Hagan (D) 		Heather
Grant (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[63] August 8–11, 2013 600 ± 4% 47% 37% 16%
Public Policy Polling[64] September 6–9, 2013 600 ± 4% 48% 36% 15%
Public Policy Polling[65] November 8–11, 2013 701 ± 4% 43% 40% 17%
Public Policy Polling[66] December 5–8, 2013 1,281 ± 2.7% 43% 43% 14%
Public Policy Polling[67] January 9–12, 2014 1,384 ± 2.6% 41% 42% 17%
Public Policy Polling[53] February 6–9, 2014 708 ± 3.7% 39% 41% 20%
Public Policy Polling[89] March 6–9, 2014 884 ± 3.3% 43% 42% 15%
SurveyUSA[57] March 27–31, 2014 1,489 ± 2.6% 44% 46% 10%
Public Policy Polling[58] April 3–6, 2014 740 ± 3.6% 39% 43% 19%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Kay
Hagan (D) 		Mark
Harris (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[71] May 17–20, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 46% 40% 13%
Public Policy Polling[61] June 12–14, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 46% 37% 17%
Public Policy Polling[62] July 12–14, 2013 600 ± 4% 49% 35% 15%
Public Policy Polling[63] August 8–11, 2013 600 ± 4% 46% 37% 16%
Public Policy Polling[64] September 6–9, 2013 600 ± 4% 50% 36% 14%
Public Policy Polling[85] October 4–6, 2013 746 ± ?% 46% 38% 16%
Public Policy Polling[65] November 8–11, 2013 701 ± 4% 43% 41% 16%
Public Policy Polling[66] December 5–8, 2013 1,281 ± 2.7% 43% 43% 14%
Public Policy Polling[67] January 9–12, 2014 1,384 ± 2.6% 41% 43% 16%
Harper Polling[86] January 20–21, 2014 778 ± 3.51% 44% 40% 15%
Public Policy Polling[53] February 6–9, 2014 708 ± 3.7% 40% 42% 18%
American Insights[54] February 11–15, 2014 611 ± 4% 39% 35% 26%
Public Policy Polling[89] March 6–9, 2014 884 ± 3.3% 43% 43% 14%
SurveyUSA[57] March 27–31, 2014 1,489 ± 2.6% 43% 47% 10%
Public Policy Polling[58] April 3–6, 2014 740 ± 3.6% 40% 44% 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Kay
Hagan (D) 		George
Holding (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[72] December 6–9, 2012 578 ± 4.1% 48% 39% 13%
Public Policy Polling[73] January 10–13, 2013 608 ± 4% 45% 37% 18%
Public Policy Polling[68] February 7–10, 2013 600 ± 4% 46% 36% 19%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Kay
Hagan (D) 		Edward
Kryn (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[53] February 6–9, 2014 708 ± 3.7% 40% 40% 20%
Public Policy Polling[89] March 6–9, 2014 884 ± 3.3% 43% 41% 16%
Public Policy Polling[58] April 3–6, 2014 740 ± 3.6% 40% 41% 19%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Kay
Hagan (D) 		Patrick
McHenry (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[72] December 6–9, 2012 578 ± 4.1% 48% 40% 12%
Public Policy Polling[73] January 10–13, 2013 608 ± 4% 45% 39% 16%
Public Policy Polling[68] February 7–10, 2013 600 ± 4% 45% 40% 15%
Public Policy Polling[69] March 7–10, 2013 611 ± 4% 49% 39% 12%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Kay
Hagan (D) 		Sue
Myrick (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[72] December 6–9, 2012 578 ± 4.1% 45% 44% 11%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Kay
Hagan (D) 		Robert
Pittenger (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[73] January 10–13, 2013 608 ± 4% 46% 38% 16%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Kay
Hagan (D) 		Jim
Snyder (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[89] March 6–9, 2014 884 ± 3.3% 42% 43% 15%
Public Policy Polling[58] April 3–6, 2014 740 ± 3.6% 41% 41% 18%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Kay
Hagan (D) 		Lynn
Wheeler (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[61] June 12–14, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 45% 36% 19%
Public Policy Polling[62] July 12–14, 2013 600 ± 4% 49% 34% 17%
Public Policy Polling[63] August 8–11, 2013 600 ± 4% 47% 36% 17%
Public Policy Polling[64] September 6–9, 2013 600 ± 4% 48% 35% 17%

Results

[edit]
2014 United States Senate election in North Carolina[144]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Thom Tillis 1,423,259 48.82% +4.64%
Democratic Kay Hagan (incumbent) 1,377,651 47.26% −5.39%
Libertarian Sean Haugh 109,100 3.74% +0.57%
Write-in 5,271 0.18% +0.14%
Total votes 2,915,281 100.00% N/A
Republican gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
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[edit]
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