2014 United States Senate election in Kentucky
| |||||||||||||||||
Turnout | 46.27% | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |||||||||||||||||
McConnell: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Grimes: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
|
Elections in Kentucky |
---|
Government |
The 2014 United States Senate election in Kentucky took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Kentucky, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Republican Senator Mitch McConnell, the Senate Minority Leader, ran for re-election to a sixth term.[1] He faced Democratic nominee and Kentucky Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes and Libertarian nominee David Patterson in the general election.
The race was initially seen as a possible pickup opportunity for Democrats, largely due to McConnell's unpopularity among Kentucky voters.[2] By election day, however, both The Cook Political Report and the Rothenberg Political Report considered Republicans to be favored.[3][4] McConnell ultimately defeated Grimes by a landslide margin[5] of 56.2% to 40.7%.
Republican primary
[edit]Immediately after a secret recording of Mitch McConnell and his campaign staff was released to Mother Jones, McConnell expressed concerns about what he saw as a threat from the left. David Adams, a Kentucky Tea Party activist who was seeking a Republican opponent to McConnell, told The New York Times that McConnell's fears about "threats from the left" were misplaced. Adams said: "It's going to come from the right. The fact that he's coming unglued about this thing should make clear to observers that he may not be ready for the challenge that lies ahead."[6]
McConnell won the primary with 60.2% of the vote.[7] According to analysis by the University of Minnesota, this is the lowest voter support for a Kentucky U.S. Senator in a primary by either party since 1938.[8]
Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Matt Bevin, businessman[9]
- Brad Copas, former National Guardsman[10]
- Mitch McConnell, incumbent U.S. senator[1]
- Chris Payne, party promoter[10][11]
- Shawna Sterling, doctoral student[12][13][14]
Withdrew
[edit]Declined
[edit]- Andy Barr, U.S. representative[17][18]
- Ernie Fletcher, former governor of Kentucky and former U.S. representative[19]
- Brett Guthrie, U.S. representative[20]
- John Kemper, candidate for state auditor in 2011[21][22]
- Thomas Massie, U.S. representative[23]
Endorsements
[edit]Public figures
- Wendy Caswell, founder and president of the Louisville Tea Party[24]
- Mandy Connell, conservative talk radio personality [25]
- Tom Dupree, WLAP Radio[26]
- Larry Forgy, former Republican national committeeman and 1995 Republican nominee for Governor of Kentucky[27]
- John Kemper, former Republican nominee for Kentucky State Auditor and conservative activist[22]
- Mark Levin, conservative talk radio host[28]
- Angela Minter, Executive Director of Sisters for Life[29]
Organizations
- FreedomWorks[30]
- Gun Owners of America[31]
- Louisville Tea Party[32]
- Madison Project PAC[33]
- Northern Kentucky Right to Life[34]
- Republican Liberty Caucus[35]
- Right Wing News[36]
- Senate Conservatives Fund[37]
- Take Back Kentucky[38]
- Tea Party Patriots[39]
- United Kentucky Tea Party[40]
Elected officials
- James Comer, Kentucky Commissioner of Agriculture[41]
- Mike Huckabee, former governor of Arkansas and candidate for President of the United States in 2008[42]
- Anne Northup, former U.S. representative (R-KY)[43]
- Rand Paul, U.S. senator (R-KY)[44]
- Rick Perry, Governor of Texas and 2012 presidential candidate[45]
- Pat Toomey, U.S. senator (R-PA)[46]
Organizations
- American Chemistry Council[47]
- NRA Political Victory Fund[48][49]
- TheTeaParty.net[50]
Elected officials
- Ernie Fletcher, former Governor of Kentucky and former U.S. Representative[19]
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mitch McConnell |
Matt Bevin |
Brad Copas |
Chris Payne |
Shawna Sterling |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wenzel Strategies[51] | July 23–24, 2013 | 302 | ± 5.6% | 58.9% | 19.9% | — | — | — | 21.2% |
Voter/Consumer Research ^[52] | August 18–20, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 68% | 21% | — | — | — | 8% |
Lake Research Partners[53] | October 24–29, 2013 | 603 | ± 4% | 50% | 17% | — | — | — | 33% |
Public Policy Polling[54] | December 12–15, 2013 | 540 | ± 4.2% | 53% | 26% | — | — | — | 21% |
Gravis Marketing[55] | January 2, 2014 | 683 | ± 4% | 53% | 31% | — | — | — | 16% |
Bluegrass Poll[56] | January 30 – February 4, 2014 | 404 | ± 4.9% | 55% | 29% | — | — | — | 15% |
Wenzel Strategies[57] | February 8–11, 2014 | 377 | ± 5.03% | 58.5% | 17.4% | — | — | — | 24.1% |
Public Opinion Strategies[58] | February 24–26, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 61% | 23% | — | — | — | 16% |
Gravis Marketing[59] | April 15–17, 2014 | 638 | ± 4% | 51% | 34% | — | — | — | 15% |
NBC News/Marist[60] | April 30 – May 6, 2014 | 760 | ± 3.6% | 55% | 22% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 17% |
Gravis Marketing[61] | May 12, 2014 | 629 | ± 4% | 48% | 34% | — | — | — | 18% |
Bluegrass Poll[62] | May 14–16, 2014 | 605 | ± 4% | 55% | 35% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% |
- ^ Internal poll for Mitch McConnell campaign
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mitch McConnell |
Someone more conservative |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[63] | December 7–9, 2012 | 395 | ± 4.9% | 50% | 35% | 15% |
Public Policy Polling[64] | April 5–7, 2013 | 320 | ± 5.5% | 46% | 32% | 22% |
Public Policy Polling[54] | December 12–15, 2013 | 540 | ± 4.2% | 39% | 42% | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mitch McConnell |
John Calipari |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[55] | January 2, 2014 | 683 | ± 4% | 59% | 26% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mitch McConnell |
Thomas Massie |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[63] | December 7–9, 2012 | 395 | ± 4.9% | 66% | 18% | 16% |
Public Policy Polling[64] | April 5–7, 2013 | 320 | ± 5.5% | 56% | 18% | 27% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mitch McConnell (incumbent) | 213,753 | 60.19% | |
Republican | Matt Bevin | 125,787 | 35.42% | |
Republican | Shawna Sterling | 7,214 | 2.03% | |
Republican | Chris Payne | 5,338 | 1.51% | |
Republican | Brad Copas | 3,024 | 0.85% | |
Total votes | 355,116 | 100.00% |
Democratic primary
[edit]In late 2012 and early 2013, media speculation focused on the possibility of a challenge to incumbent Mitch McConnell from actress and Tennessee resident Ashley Judd,[66] who was raised in Kentucky. Judd later announced that she would not seek the Democratic nomination. On April 9, Mother Jones magazine released a tape of a private meeting between McConnell and, allegedly, his aides reviewing opposition research and tactics to use against Judd. At the February strategy session, McConnell referred to the early stages of his re-election bid as the "Whac-A-Mole period of the campaign," and he and aides discussed attacking Judd's religious views as well as her struggle with depression.[67][68]
Alison Lundergan Grimes, the sitting secretary of state, entered the primary race with the encouragement of former president Bill Clinton, a friend of Grimes's father, former Kentucky politician Jerry Lundergan.[69] On May 20, 2014, she won the Democratic primary with 77% of the vote.[70][71] Her father's involvement in the campaign was noted as a factor in the race because of his personal political history and fundraising connections.[72][73]
Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Burrel Farnsley, perennial candidate[10][74]
- Alison Lundergan Grimes, Secretary of State of Kentucky[75]
- Greg Leichty, professor at the University of Louisville[76]
- Tom Recktenwald, former Catholic school teacher[10]
Withdrew
[edit]- Ed Marksberry, contractor and nominee for Kentucky's 2nd congressional district in 2010 (ran as an independent before dropping out entirely)[77][78]
Declined
[edit]- Jerry Abramson, Lieutenant Governor of Kentucky and former mayor of Louisville[79]
- Matthew Barzun, United States ambassador to the United Kingdom and former United States ambassador to Sweden[80]
- Steve Beshear, Governor of Kentucky[81]
- John Young Brown III, former secretary of state of Kentucky and candidate for Lieutenant Governor of Kentucky in 2007[82]
- Ben Chandler, former U.S. representative[82][83][84]
- Jack Conway, Attorney General of Kentucky and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010[85]
- Adam Edelen, State Auditor of Kentucky[86]
- Greg Fischer, Mayor of Louisville[87]
- Tom FitzGerald, executive director of the Kentucky Resources Council[88]
- Heather French Henry, former Miss America[89]
- Bill Garmer, attorney, former chairman of the Kentucky Democratic Party[90]
- Gill Holland, film producer and environmental activist[82]
- Ashley Judd, actress and political activist[91]
- Crit Luallen, former state auditor[92]
- Daniel Mongiardo, former lieutenant governor of Kentucky and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2004[93]
- Dennis Parrett, state senator[20]
- Greg Stumbo, Speaker of the Kentucky House of Representatives and former attorney general of Kentucky[94]
- John Yarmuth, U.S. representative[95]
Endorsements
[edit]Elected officials
- Jerry Abramson, Lieutenant Governor of Kentucky and former mayor of Louisville[96]
- Steve Beshear, Governor of Kentucky[97]
- Julian Carroll, state senator and former governor of Kentucky[97]
- Bill Clinton, former president of the United States[98]
- Hillary Clinton, former U.S. secretary of state
- Martha Layne Collins, former governor of Kentucky[97]
- Jack Conway, former attorney general of Kentucky
- Wendell Ford, former U.S. senator and former governor of Kentucky[98][99]
- Greg Fischer, Mayor of Louisville
- Terry McAuliffe, Governor of Virginia[100]
- Paul E. Patton, former governor of Kentucky[101]
- Jody Richards, state representative and former speaker of the Kentucky House of Representatives[101]
- Debbie Stabenow, U.S. senator from Michigan[102]
- Greg Stumbo, Speaker of the Kentucky House of Representatives and former attorney general of Kentucky[98]
- John Yarmuth, U.S. representative[98]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator from Massachusetts[103]
Newspapers
Public figures
- Madeleine Albright, former United States secretary of state and former United States ambassador to the United Nations[104]
- James Carville, political commentator and media personality[105]
- Heather French Henry, former Miss America[106]
- Ashley Judd, actress and political activist[107]
- Jeffrey Katzenberg, CEO of DreamWorks Animation[108]
- Lilly Ledbetter, activist and namesake of the Lilly Ledbetter Fair Pay Act of 2009[109]
- will.i.am, hip-hop artist[110]
Organizations
- American Sunrise PAC[111]
- Council for a Livable World[112]
- Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee[113]
- EMILY's List[114]
- Kentucky Education Association[115]
- Kentucky Professional Firefighters Association[116]
- Kentucky State AFL-CIO[117]
- National Education Association[115]
- United Mine Workers of America[118]
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jerry Abramson |
Matthew Barzun |
Jack Conway |
Adam Edelen |
Greg Fischer |
Alison Lundergan Grimes |
Ashley Judd |
John Yarmuth |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[63] | December 7–9, 2012 | 585 | ± 4.1% | 16% | 1% | 15% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 29% | 9% | — | 15% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Alison Lundergan Grimes | 307,821 | 76.47% | |
Democratic | Greg Leichty | 32,602 | 8.10% | |
Democratic | Burrel Farnsley | 32,310 | 8.03% | |
Democratic | Tom Recktenwald | 29,791 | 7.40% | |
Total votes | 402,524 | 100.00% |
Libertarian primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- David Patterson, police officer[119]
Results
[edit]Patterson won the Libertarian primary on March 1, 2014. While he ran unopposed, all Libertarian Party candidates must defeat "none of the above" (NOTA) in the primary operated by the Libertarian Party of Kentucky.[120] He became an official ballot-listed candidate on August 11 after submitting over 9,100 signatures.[121]
Independents
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Mike Maggard (write-in)[122]
- Robert Ransdell (write-in), white supremacist and Neo-Nazi campaigner[123][124]
- Shawna Sterling (write-in), unsuccessful Republican candidate for the seat[125]
Withdrew
[edit]- Ed Marksberry, contractor and Democratic nominee for Kentucky's 2nd congressional district in 2010[78][126]
General election
[edit]Debates
[edit]- Complete video of debate, October 13, 2014
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[3] | Lean R | November 3, 2014 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[127] | Likely R | November 3, 2014 |
Rothenberg Political Report[128] | Likely R | November 3, 2014 |
Real Clear Politics[129] | Lean R | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mitch McConnell (R) |
Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) |
David Patterson (L) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[63] | December 7–9, 2012 | 1,266 | ± 2.8% | 47% | 40% | — | — | 13% |
Public Policy Polling[64] | April 5–7, 2013 | 1,052 | ± 3% | 45% | 41% | — | — | 14% |
Public Policy Polling[130] | May 23–24, 2013 | 556 | ± 4.2% | 45% | 45% | — | — | 10% |
Wenzel Strategies[131] | June 1–2, 2013 | 623 | ± 3.9% | 47% | 40% | — | — | 14% |
Public Policy Polling[132] | July 19–21, 2013 | 1,210 | ± 2.8% | 44% | 45% | — | — | 11% |
Wenzel Strategies[51] | July 23–24, 2013 | 624 | ± 3.9% | 48% | 40% | — | — | 12% |
Lake Research Partners[133] | August 5–15, 2013 | 5,000 | ± 1.4% | 40% | 46% | — | — | 14% |
Public Policy Polling[134] | October 14–15, 2013 | 1,193 | ± 2.8% | 43% | 45% | — | — | 12% |
Lake Research Partners[53] | October 24–29, 2013 | 603 | ± 4% | 37% | 37% | — | 6% | 19% |
DFM Research[135] | October 21–29, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 41% | 40% | — | — | 19% |
Public Policy Polling[54] | December 12–15, 2013 | 1,509 | ± 2.5% | 43% | 42% | — | — | 15% |
Gravis Marketing[136] | January 2, 2014 | 1,153 | ± 4% | 42% | 37% | — | 8%[137] | 13% |
Public Policy Polling[138] | January 24–26, 2014 | 882 | ± ?% | 45% | 44% | — | — | 11% |
Rasmussen Reports[139] | January 29–30, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 42% | 42% | — | 6% | 10% |
Bluegrass Poll[140] | January 30 – February 4, 2014 | 1,082 | ± 3% | 42% | 46% | — | — | 12% |
Wenzel Strategies[57] | February 8–11, 2014 | 1,002 | ± 3.06% | 43% | 42% | — | — | 15% |
Public Policy Polling[141] | April 1–2, 2014 | 663 | ± 4% | 44% | 45% | — | — | 11% |
New York Times/Kaiser Family[142] | April 8–15, 2014 | 891 | ± ? | 44% | 43% | — | 3% | 11% |
Gravis Marketing[59] | April 15–17, 2014 | 1,359 | ± 3% | 43% | 36% | — | 9%[137] | 12% |
Hickman Analytics[143] | April 24–30, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 46% | 45% | — | — | 9% |
NBC News/Marist[60] | April 30 – May 6, 2014 | 2,353 | ± 2% | 46% | 45% | — | 1% | 8% |
Bluegrass Poll[62] | May 14–16, 2014 | 1,782 | ± 2.1% | 42% | 43% | 4% | 4%[137] | 7% |
Wenzel Strategies[144] | May 23–24, 2014 | 608 | ± 3.95% | 47% | 44% | — | — | 8% |
Rasmussen Reports[145] | May 28–29, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 48% | 41% | — | 5% | 7% |
Magellan Strategies[146] | June 4–5, 2014 | 808 | ± 3.45% | 46% | 49% | — | — | 5% |
Public Policy Polling[147] | June 20–22, 2014 | 682 | ± 3.8% | 46% | 48% | — | — | 6% |
Gravis Marketing[148] | July 17–20, 2014 | 1,054 | ± 3% | 45% | 45% | — | — | 10% |
SurveyUSA[149] | July 18–23, 2014 | 604 | ± 4.1% | 41% | 39% | 7% | — | 13% |
47% | 45% | — | — | 8% | ||||
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[150] | July 5–24, 2014 | 1,546 | ± 4.2% | 49% | 45% | — | 2% | 4% |
Wenzel Strategies[151] | August 6, 2014 | ? | ± ? | 47% | 44% | 4% | — | 5% |
48% | 44% | — | — | 8% | ||||
Public Policy Polling[152] | August 7–10, 2014 | 991 | ± 3.1% | 44% | 40% | 7% | — | 9% |
47% | 42% | — | — | 11% | ||||
Bluegrass Poll[153] | August 25–27, 2014 | 569 | ± 4.2% | 46% | 42% | 5% | — | 8% |
CNN/ORC[154] | August 28 – September 1, 2014 | 671 | ± 4% | 50% | 46% | — | 1% | 3% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[155] | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 2,130 | ± 3% | 47% | 42% | — | 2% | 9% |
Rasmussen Reports[145] | September 1–2, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 46% | 41% | — | 7% | 6% |
Public Opinion Strategies[156] | September 1–3, 2014 | 600 LV | ± 4% | 47% | 42% | 4% | — | 7% |
NBC News/Marist[157] | September 2–4, 2014 | 691 LV | ± 3.7% | 47% | 39% | 8% | <1% | 6% |
1,184 RV | ± 2.8% | 45% | 38% | 9% | <1% | 8% | ||
Magellan Strategies[158] | September 4–7, 2014 | 742 LV | ± 3.6% | 50% | 42% | 6% | — | 2% |
Mellman Group*[159] | September 4–7, 2014 | 800 LV | ± 3.5% | 42% | 43% | — | — | 15% |
Ipsos[160] | September 8–12, 2014 | 944 LV | ± 3.6% | 46% | 42% | — | 5% | 6% |
1,755 RV | ± 2.7% | 36% | 38% | — | 9% | 17% | ||
ccAdvertising[161] | September 9–16, 2014 | 2,282 | ± ? | 42% | 33% | — | — | 25% |
Gravis Marketing[162] | September 13–16, 2014 | 839 | ± 3% | 51% | 41% | — | — | 8% |
Mellman Group*[163] | September 19–27, 2014 | 1,800 | ± 2.3% | 40% | 42% | 3% | — | 16% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[164] | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 1,689 | ± 3% | 47% | 41% | 2% | 1% | 9% |
Bluegrass Poll[165] | September 29 – October 2, 2014 | 632 | ± 4% | 44% | 46% | 3% | — | 7% |
Fox News[166] | October 4–7, 2014 | 706 | 3.5% | 45% | 41% | 3% | 3% | 8% |
Gravis Marketing[167] | October 11–12, 2014 | 1,020 | ± 3% | 50% | 47% | — | — | 3% |
Rasmussen Reports[145] | October 15–16, 2014 | 1,000 | ± 3% | 52% | 44% | 2% | — | 2% |
WKU/Big Red Poll[168] | October 6–19, 2014 | ? LV | ± ?% | 45% | 42% | 5% | — | 8% |
601 RV | ± 4% | 45% | 40% | 5% | — | 9% | ||
SurveyUSA/Bluegrass Poll[169] | October 15–19, 2014 | 655 | ± 3.9% | 44% | 43% | 5% | — | 8% |
Voter Consumer Research^[170] | October 16–19, 2014 | 815 | ± 3.5% | 49% | 41% | 3% | — | 7% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[164] | October 16–23, 2014 | 1,502 | ± 4% | 45% | 39% | 2% | 0% | 14% |
Public Opinion Strategies[171] | October 25–27, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 50% | 43% | 4% | 0% | 3% |
SurveyUSA/Bluegrass Poll[172] | October 26–30, 2014 | 597 | ± 4.1% | 48% | 43% | 3% | — | 6% |
Public Policy Polling[173] | October 26–30, 2014 | 556 LV | ± 4.2% | 50% | 41% | 5% | <1% | 3% |
894 RV | ± 3.3% | 49% | 39% | 6% | <1% | 6% | ||
NBC News/Marist[174] | October 26–30, 2014 | 556 | ± 4.2% | 50% | 41% | 5% | <1% | 3% |
894 | ± 3.3% | 49% | 39% | 6% | <1% | 6% | ||
Public Policy Polling[173] | October 30 – November 1, 2014 | 1,503 | ± 2.5% | 50% | 42% | 3% | — | 5% |
53% | 44% | — | — | 4% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Matt Bevin (R) |
Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) |
David Patterson (L) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wenzel Strategies[51] | July 23–24, 2013 | 624 | ± 3.9% | 35% | 30% | — | — | 36% |
Lake Research Partners[53] | October 24–29, 2013 | 603 | ± 4% | 20% | 38% | — | — | 42% |
Public Policy Polling[54] | December 12–15, 2013 | 1,509 | ± 2.5% | 39% | 38% | — | — | 24% |
Bluegrass Poll[175] | January 30 – February 4, 2014 | 1,082 | ± 3% | 38% | 43% | — | — | 19% |
Wenzel Strategies[57] | February 8–11, 2014 | 1,002 | ± 3.06% | 36% | 39% | — | — | 25% |
New York Times/Kaiser Family[142] | April 8–15, 2014 | 891 | ± ? | 35% | 41% | — | 4% | 19% |
Gravis Marketing[59] | April 15–17, 2014 | 1,359 | ± 3% | 32% | 37% | — | 7% | 25% |
NBC News/Marist[60] | April 30 – May 6, 2014 | 2,353 | ± 2% | 37% | 46% | — | 1% | 15% |
Bluegrass Poll[62] | May 14–16, 2014 | 1,782 | ± 2.1% | 38% | 41% | 5% | 4%[137] | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mitch McConnell (R) |
Jerry Abramson (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[63] | December 7–9, 2012 | 1,266 | ± 2.8% | 47% | 43% | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mitch McConnell (R) |
Matthew Barzun (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[63] | December 7–9, 2012 | 1,266 | ± 2.8% | 48% | 37% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mitch McConnell (R) |
Ben Chandler (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[64] | April 5–7, 2013 | 1,052 | ± 3% | 46% | 41% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mitch McConnell (R) |
Jack Conway (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[63] | December 7–9, 2012 | 1,266 | ± 2.8% | 47% | 43% | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mitch McConnell (R) |
Adam Edelen (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[63] | December 7–9, 2012 | 1,266 | ± 2.8% | 48% | 36% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mitch McConnell (R) |
Greg Fischer (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[63] | December 7–9, 2012 | 1,266 | ± 2.8% | 46% | 41% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mitch McConnell (R) |
Tom FitzGerald (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wenzel Strategies[131] | June 1–2, 2013 | 623 | ± 3.9% | 47% | 30% | 24% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mitch McConnell (R) |
Heather French Henry (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wenzel Strategies[131] | June 1–2, 2013 | 623 | ± 3.9% | 46% | 40% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mitch McConnell (R) |
Ashley Judd (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[63] | December 7–9, 2012 | 1,266 | ± 2.8% | 47% | 43% | 10% |
Harper Polling[176] | February 11–12, 2013 | 850 | ±3.36% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mitch McConnell (R) |
Ed Marksberry (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[64] | April 5–7, 2013 | 1,052 | ± 3% | 46% | 35% | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mitch McConnell (R) |
John Yarmuth (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[63] | December 7–9, 2012 | 1,266 | ± 2.8% | 48% | 38% | 14% |
- ^ Internal poll for McConnell campaign
- * Internal Poll for Grimes campaign
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mitch McConnell (incumbent) | 806,787 | 56.19% | +3.22% | |
Democratic | Alison Lundergan Grimes | 584,698 | 40.72% | −6.31% | |
Libertarian | David M. Patterson | 44,240 | 3.08% | N/A | |
n/a | Write-ins | 143 | 0.01% | N/A | |
Total votes | 1,453,868 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
Republican hold |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
[edit]- Bourbon (largest city: Paris)
- Carroll (largest city: Carrollton)
- Breathitt (largest city: Jackson)
- Carter (largest city: Grayson)
- Hancock (largest city: Hawesville)
- Magoffin (largest city: Salyersville)
- Powell (largest city: Stanton)
- Trimble (largest city: Bedford)
- Webster (largest city: Providence)
- McLean (largest city: Livermore)
- Morgan (largest city: West Liberty)
- Harrison (largest city: Cynthiana)
- Knott (largest municipality: Hindman)
- Pike (largest municipality: Pikeville)
- Henderson (largest city: Henderson)
- Letcher (largest city: Jenkins)
- Muhlenberg (largest city: Central City)
- Floyd (largest municipality: Prestonburg)
- Greenup (largest city: Flatwoods)
- Fulton (largest city: Fulton)
- Fleming (largest city: Flemingsburg)
- Lincoln (largest city: Stanford)
By congressional district
[edit]McConnell won 5 of 6 congressional districts.[178]
District | McConnell | Grimes | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 61.73% | 35.14% | Ed Whitfield |
2nd | 58.83% | 37.83% | Brett Guthrie |
3rd | 41.11% | 56.94% | John Yarmuth |
4th | 61.08% | 35.6% | Thomas Massie |
5th | 65.24% | 31.42% | Hal Rogers |
6th | 50.55% | 46.0% | Andy Barr |
See also
[edit]References
[edit]- ^ a b Raju, Manu (December 20, 2010). "Mitch McConnell plans power plays against Democrats". Politico. Retrieved May 19, 2011.
- ^ Preston, Mark (September 3, 2014). "CNN Poll: McConnell holds slim edge in biggest Senate race of 2014". CNN. Retrieved September 4, 2014.
- ^ a b "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- ^ "Senate Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. September 4, 2014. Archived from the original on September 4, 2014. Retrieved September 4, 2014.
- ^ "Mitch McConnell Wins Re-Election, A.P. Says, as Republicans Make Election Day Push". The New York Times. November 4, 2014. Retrieved November 4, 2014.
- ^ Wheaton, Sarah (April 9, 2013). "F.B.I. Looking Into Allegations That McConnell's Campaign Was Wiretapped". New York Times. Retrieved May 10, 2013.
- ^ "2014 Kentucky Senate Primaries Results". Politico. August 28, 2014. Retrieved September 4, 2014.
- ^ Ostermeier, Eric (May 20, 2014). "McConnell Records Weakest Kentucky US Senate Incumbent Primary Victory in 75+ Years". Smart Politics. Archived from the original on July 6, 2015. Retrieved July 12, 2015.
- ^ "Lou. businessman, Matt Bevin, to enter Ky. US Senate race". Whas11.com. July 19, 2013. Retrieved July 22, 2013.
- ^ a b c d Gerth, Joseph (January 28, 2014). "Candidate filings: Republicans look to take over Kentucky House". Richmond Register. Retrieved January 29, 2014.
- ^ "How To Make A Mockery Of The Senate Race". Louisville Telegraph. January 28, 2014. Archived from the original on February 1, 2014. Retrieved January 28, 2014.
- ^ "U.S. Senator: Shawna Sterling". The Jessamine Journal. April 2, 2014. Archived from the original on October 9, 2014. Retrieved October 9, 2014.
- ^ "Interview with U.S. Senate Candidate Shawna Sterling". WBKO. April 22, 2014. Archived from the original on October 14, 2014. Retrieved October 9, 2014.
- ^ "This Kentucky GOP Senate Candidate's Bizarre Website Is Perfect". Mediaite. April 23, 2014. Retrieved October 9, 2014.
- ^ Weber, Don (November 27, 2013). "On his 90th birthday Gurley L. Martin files challenge to McConnell". Mycn2.com. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
- ^ Alessi, Ryan (January 21, 2013). "McConnell has one fewer Republican to run against in the May 20 primary: Gurley Martin is out". Mycn2.com. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
- ^ Alessi, Ryan (April 15, 2013). "cn|2 Pure Politics - Andy Barr opens re-election bid by raising $361K in first quarter". Mycn2.com. Retrieved July 18, 2013.
- ^ Alessi, Ryan (July 12, 2013). "cn|2 Pure Politics - Barr maintains pace with another $360K; Has nearly $580K as 6th District begins heating up". Mycn2.com. Retrieved July 18, 2013.
- ^ a b Storm, Nick (November 12, 2012). "cn|2 Pure Politics - Fmr. Gov. Fletcher doesn't foresee strong opposition to McConnell; Says Beshear doing a 'good job'". Mycn2.com. Retrieved June 14, 2013.
- ^ a b Finley, Marty (January 13, 2013). "Guthrie, Parrett not interested in challenging McConnell in 2014". The News-Enterprise. Archived from the original on October 31, 2014. Retrieved January 14, 2013.
- ^ Raju, Manu (January 28, 2013). "Democrats, tea party unite vs. Mitch McConnell". Politico. Retrieved January 28, 2013.
- ^ a b "Former Republican Nominee for KY State Auditor John Kemper Endorses Matt Bevin". Matt Bevin for US Senate. November 7, 2013. Archived from the original on January 24, 2014. Retrieved January 21, 2014.
- ^ Nocera, Kate (January 16, 2013). "Kentucky lawmaker earns name for himself by voting 'no'". Politico. Retrieved April 9, 2013.
- ^ "Louisville Tea Party Founder and President Endorses Matt Bevin for United States Senate". Matt Bevin for US Senate. August 29, 2013. Archived from the original on January 24, 2014. Retrieved January 21, 2014.
- ^ "Campaign Overnight: GOP Divisions on Display at CPAC Day One". The Hill. March 6, 2014. Retrieved March 6, 2014.
- ^ "Matt Gets Endorsement from WLAP's Tom Dupree". Matt Bevin for U. S. Senate. October 7, 2013. Archived from the original on February 19, 2014. Retrieved January 21, 2014.
- ^ "Old guard Republican Larry Forgy endorses Louisville businessman Matt Bevin for US Senate". Archived from the original on November 12, 2013.
- ^ "Mark Levin Rips Sen McConnell, Endorses His Primary Challenger Matt Bevin".
- ^ "Bevin Campaign Announces Key Pro-Life Endorsement". Bevin Campaign. January 20, 2014. Archived from the original on January 24, 2014. Retrieved January 21, 2014.
- ^ "FreedomWorks endorses Matt Bevin for U. S. Senate". January 22, 2014. Retrieved January 22, 2014.
- ^ "GOA Endorses Matt Bevin for U.S. Senate". GOA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 3, 2013. Retrieved December 11, 2013.
- ^ "Receiving Louisville Tea Party Nod, Matt Bevin says Mitch McConnell 'Afraid' to Debate". WFPL News. March 20, 2014. Retrieved March 22, 2014.
- ^ "Press Release: Madison Project PAC Endorses Matt Bevin for Senate in Kentucky". Madison Project. July 29, 2013. Archived from the original on October 20, 2013. Retrieved October 30, 2013.
- ^ "NKY Right to Life Endorses Bevin". The Enquirer. March 21, 2014. Retrieved March 22, 2014.
- ^ "RLC Endorses Bevin in Kentucky US Senate Race". January 21, 2014. Retrieved January 26, 2014.
- ^ "Right Wing News Endorses Matt Bevin for Senate in Kentucky". Right Wing News. February 4, 2014. Retrieved February 4, 2014.
- ^ "McConnell challenger nabs big endorsement". TheHill. October 18, 2013. Retrieved October 30, 2013.
- ^ "'Take Back Kentucky' Unanimously Endorses Matt Bevin". Matt Bevin for U. S. Senate. October 1, 2013. Archived from the original on January 24, 2014. Retrieved January 21, 2014.
- ^ "Tea Party Patriots Endorse Bevin". March 21, 2014. Retrieved March 22, 2014.
- ^ "The United Kentucky Tea Party Endorses Matt Bevin for United States Senate". The Hill. July 24, 2013. Archived from the original on January 24, 2014. Retrieved January 21, 2014.
- ^ Gerth, Joseph (July 27, 2013). "Sen. Mitch McConnell endorsed by Agriculture Commissioner James Comer". The Courier-Journal. Retrieved July 30, 2013.
- ^ Jaffe, Alexandra (August 29, 2013). "Sen. McConnell nabs Huckabee endorsement". The Hill. Archived from the original on January 29, 2014. Retrieved January 29, 2014.
- ^ Pitts, Jacqueline (August 30, 2013). "Looking ahead at Grimes, McConnell brings out prominent women to criticize Democrats' approach". cn2 Pure Politics. Retrieved January 29, 2014.
- ^ Costa, Robert (November 26, 2021). "McConnell gets hearty endorsement from Rand Paul". Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved June 7, 2024.
- ^ "TeamMitch.com: Texas Governor Rick Perry Endorses Mitch McConnell". Archived from the original on July 4, 2014. Retrieved July 6, 2014.
- ^ Mortiere, Alexander Bolton and Patrick (November 10, 2013). "Ky. race fractures conservatives". The Hill. Retrieved June 7, 2024.
- ^ "Mitch McConnell gets boost from chemistry group - James Hohmann and Manu Raju". Politico.Com. August 14, 2013. Retrieved October 30, 2013.
- ^ "Kentucky Grades & Endorsements". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 4, 2014. Retrieved February 15, 2023.
- ^ Chris Gentilviso (April 12, 2014). "The NRA Puts Its Support Behind Mitch McConnell". The Huffington Post. Archived from the original on April 13, 2014. Retrieved April 14, 2014.
- ^ "Targeted tea party group endorses Mitch McConnell - Manu Raju". Politico.Com. May 14, 2013. Retrieved October 30, 2013.
- ^ a b c Wenzel Strategies
- ^ Voter/Consumer Research ^ Archived October 29, 2013, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ a b c Lake Research Partners
- ^ a b c d Public Policy Polling
- ^ a b Gravis Marketing Archived January 16, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Bluegrass Poll Archived February 25, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ a b c Wenzel Strategies
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies
- ^ a b c Gravis Marketing
- ^ a b c NBC News/Marist
- ^ Gravis Marketing
- ^ a b c Bluegrass Poll
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Public Policy Polling
- ^ a b c d e Public Policy Polling
- ^ a b "2014 Primary Election Unofficial Results". Kentucky Secretary of State. Retrieved June 4, 2014.
- ^ Roller, Emma (December 5, 2012). "Celebrities And The Senate: Would Ashley Judd Stand A Chance?". NPR.
- ^ Corn, David (April 9, 2013). "Secret Tape: McConnell and Aides Weighed Using Judd's Mental Health and Religion as Political Ammo". Mother Jones.
- ^ Madison, Lucy (April 9, 2013). "McConnell aides secretly taped ripping Ashley Judd". CBS News.
- ^ Lee, Kristen (March 20, 2013). "Move over Ashley Judd: Bill Clinton reportedly courting another Democrat for Kentucky Senate race". New York Daily News. Retrieved September 4, 2014.
- ^ "Kentucky - Summary Vote Results". Associated Press. May 21, 2014. Retrieved September 4, 2014.
- ^ "Kentucky Primary Results: Mitch McConnell, Alison Lundergan Grimes Win Nominations". Huffington Post. May 20, 2014. Retrieved September 4, 2014.
- ^ Newton-Small, Jay (February 14, 2014). "Father of McConnell Foe is Both Asset and Risk in Kentucky". Time. Retrieved September 4, 2014.
- ^ Gerth, Joseph (September 22, 2013). "Ky. Senate candidate's dad brings connections, baggage". USA Today. Retrieved September 4, 2014.
- ^ Brammer, Jack (January 13, 2014). "Another Democrat files to enter U.S. Senate race". Bluegrass Politics. Retrieved January 28, 2014.
- ^ "Grimes To Run Against McConnell In 2014 Senate Race". LEX18.com. July 1, 2013. Archived from the original on July 4, 2013. Retrieved July 1, 2013.
- ^ Isham, Simon (June 19, 2013). "U of L professor announces bid for U.S. Senate". The Louisville Cardinal. Retrieved June 19, 2013.
- ^ Storm, Nick (December 12, 2012). "Former Democratic congressional candidate Marksberry to challenge McConnell in 2014". Pure Politics with Ryan Alessi. cn|2. Retrieved January 2, 2013.
- ^ a b Alessi, Ryan (September 23, 2013). "Ed Marksberry to drop out of Democratic U.S. Senate primary to run as independent". Pure Politics with Ryan Alessi. cn|2. Retrieved September 23, 2013.
- ^ Arnold, Joe (November 27, 2012). "One-on-one with Lt. Governor Jerry Abramson, NO on Senate, Maybe on Governor's race". WHAS11.com. Retrieved April 9, 2013.
- ^ Bailey, Philip M. (July 9, 2013). "Louisville Businessman Matthew Barzun Selected as U.S. Ambassador to Britain". WFPL News. Retrieved July 31, 2013.
- ^ Alessi, Ryan (October 28, 2011). "Steve Beshear says this campaign is his last and will serve full term if re-elected". Pure Politics. cn|2. Retrieved October 22, 2012.
- ^ a b c "The Kentucky Democrat: The 2014 U.S. Senate Race for Kentucky". Kydem.blogspot.com. November 8, 2012. Retrieved July 9, 2013.
- ^ Loftus, Tom (March 29, 2013). "Alison Lundergan Grimes, Ben Chandler called possible candidates to face Sen. Mitch McConnell". The Courier-Journal. Retrieved April 9, 2013.
- ^ Blake, Aaron (February 25, 2013). "Top Kentucky Dem predicts Ashley Judd will run for Senate". The Washington Post. Retrieved April 9, 2013.
- ^ Alessi, Ryan (December 19, 2011). "The Chatter: Jack Conway says no to 2014 Senate run; state Senate candidate McDaniel raises $25K". Pure Politics. cn|2. Retrieved October 22, 2012.
- ^ "Mitch McConnell Prepared for 2014 Campaign". Roll Call. April 27, 2012. Retrieved April 28, 2012.
- ^ Bullard, Gabe (January 4, 2013). "Mayor Greg Fischer 'Leaning Toward' Running for Second Term". WFPL News. Louisville Public Media. Retrieved February 16, 2013.
- ^ "Attorney FitGerald out of US Senate contest". North Jersey. July 4, 2013. Retrieved July 4, 2013.
- ^ heather Henry (July 1, 2013). "Heather French Henry, Miss America 2000: A Word About the US Senate Race". Heatherfrenchhenry.blogspot.com. Retrieved July 9, 2013.
- ^ Brammer, Jack (July 1, 2013). "Grimes will challenge McConnell for U.S. Senate seat in 2014". Kentucky.com. Retrieved July 2, 2013.
- ^ Cillizza, Chris (March 27, 2013). "Ashley Judd is not running for Senate". Washington Post. Retrieved April 9, 2013.
- ^ Storm, Nick (July 20, 2012). "After outlining goals to improve Kentucky, Luallen says she's still mulling run for governor". Pure Politics. cn|2. Retrieved October 22, 2012.
- ^ Brammer, Jack (November 30, 2012). "Mongiardo considers running for governor". Politics and Government. Kentucky.com. Retrieved January 2, 2013.
- ^ Colston, Kenny (November 19, 2012). "Kentucky Legislative Leader Squashes Rumors of Judd Senate Bid". WKU Public Radio. WKU Public Radio (part of the NPR Digital Network). Retrieved January 2, 2013.
- ^ Joseph, Cameron (November 30, 2012). "Rep. Yarmuth won't run against Sen. McConnell". The Hill. Capitol Hill Publishing Corp., a subsidiary of News Communications, Inc. Retrieved January 2, 2013.
- ^ Gerth, Joseph (July 31, 2013). "Alison Lundergan Grimes blasts Mitch McConnell at campaign rollout". The Courier-Journal. Retrieved July 31, 2013.
- ^ a b c Gerth, Joseph (July 9, 2013). "Gov. Steve Beshear pledges support for Alison Lundergan Grimes". The Courier-Journal. Retrieved July 31, 2013.
- ^ a b c d Jaffe, Alexandra (July 30, 2013). "Grimes launches Ky. Senate campaign with elaborate event". The Hill. Retrieved July 31, 2013.
- ^ Alison Lundergan Grimes [@@AlisonForKY] (July 26, 2013). "Ahead of our campaign kick off on July 30th, I'm proud to announce the endorsement of Sen. Wendell Ford" (Tweet). Retrieved September 4, 2013 – via Twitter.
- ^ "KY-Sen: Gov. Terry McAuliffe (D. VA) Fundraises For Alison Lundergan Grimes". Daily KOS. May 28, 2014. Retrieved June 12, 2014.
- ^ a b Rust, Erik (August 1, 2013). "Lundergan Grimes Kicks Off Senate Bid in Lexington". SurfKY. Archived from the original on October 12, 2013. Retrieved August 1, 2013.
- ^ Gerth, Joseph (February 14, 2014). "Debbie Stabenow to stump for Alison Grimes". Courier Journal. Archived from the original on March 25, 2014. Retrieved March 25, 2014.
- ^ Youngman, Sam (June 12, 2014). "Elizabeth Warren to campaign in Kentucky for Alison Lundergan Grimes". Lexington Herald-Leader. Retrieved June 12, 2014.
- ^ Rick Howlett (August 26, 2014). "Former U.S. Secretary of State Albright Endorses Grimes in Senate Bid". WFPL. Archived from the original on August 27, 2014. Retrieved August 26, 2014.
- ^ "KY-Sen: James Carville Jumps In To Help Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) Beat Mitch McConnell (R)". Daily KOS. January 8, 2014. Retrieved April 3, 2014.
- ^ Storm, Nick (July 3, 2013). "Heather French Henry says Grimes will be an 'excellent candidate' against a 'formidable McConnell'". cn|2. Retrieved August 1, 2013.
- ^ Dunkley, Gabrielle (July 2, 2013). "Ashley Judd Endorses Alison Lundergan Grimes For Senate". Huffington Post. Retrieved July 31, 2013.
- ^ Daunt, Tina (September 3, 2013). "Jeffrey Katzenberg Throws Political Might Behind Effort to Unseat Mitch McConnell". The Hollywood Reporter. Retrieved September 4, 2013.
- ^ James Arkin (November 26, 2013). "Lilly Ledbetter Endorses Alison Lundergan Grimes for Senate". WFPL News Louisville. Retrieved November 26, 2013.
- ^ James Arkin (September 5, 2013). "Reports: will.i.am for g.r.i.m.e.s". Politico.Com. Retrieved October 30, 2013.
- ^ "Alison Lundergan Grimes". American Sunrise PAC. 2014. Archived from the original on April 7, 2014. Retrieved April 3, 2014.
- ^ "Alison Lundergan Grimes". Council for a Livable World. 2014. Archived from the original on February 9, 2014. Retrieved April 3, 2014.
- ^ "Kentucky". Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. 2014. Archived from the original on August 25, 2014. Retrieved June 12, 2014.
- ^ "EMILY's List Endorses Alison Lundergan Grimes for Senate in Kentucky". EMILY's List. August 21, 2013. Archived from the original on November 5, 2013. Retrieved November 5, 2013.
- ^ a b "Grimes picks up education association endorsements". The Times Tribune. January 24, 2014. Retrieved January 24, 2014.
- ^ "Grimes Gets Endorsement of KY Firefighters". WBKO. August 28, 2013. Archived from the original on November 5, 2013. Retrieved November 5, 2013.
- ^ Bruce Schreiner (November 5, 2013). "Mitch McConnell, Alison Lundergan Grimes clash over right-to-work measure". Courier Journal. Archived from the original on November 6, 2013. Retrieved November 5, 2013.
- ^ Timothy Cama (August 4, 2014). "Miners union endorses Grimes in Kentucky". The Hill. Retrieved September 12, 2014.
- ^ "Libertarian candidate enters Senate race in Kentucky". Archived from the original on October 19, 2013. Retrieved August 26, 2013.
- ^ "The Constitution of the Libertarian Party of Kentucky". Archived from the original on September 13, 2014. Retrieved September 13, 2014.
- ^ "Libertarian David Patterson Files 9,100 Signatures To Get Onto Kentucky Ballot For Senate". August 12, 2014. Retrieved September 13, 2014.
- ^ "Information for Mike Maggard, Candidate for United States Senator". Kentucky Secretary of State. Retrieved October 9, 2014.
- ^ "Neo-Nazi candidate for Senate stirs controversy". The Courier-Journal. September 25, 2014. Retrieved October 9, 2014.
- ^ "Longtime Neo-Nazi Robert Ransdell Running For U.S. Senate". Southern Poverty Law Center. September 18, 2014. Retrieved October 9, 2014.
- ^ "Information for Shawna Sterling, Candidate for United States Senator". Kentucky Secretary of State. Archived from the original on October 14, 2014. Retrieved October 9, 2014.
- ^ Youngman, Sam (July 16, 2014). "Independent Ed Marksberry stops gathering signatures for U.S. Senate run". Lexington Herald-Leader. Retrieved July 16, 2014.
- ^ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 3, 2014. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- ^ "2014 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- ^ "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ a b c Wenzel Strategies
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Lake Research Partners
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ DFM Research
- ^ Gravis Marketing
- ^ a b c d Ed Marksberry (I)
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Bluegrass Poll Archived February 25, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ a b New York Times/Kaiser Family
- ^ Hickman Analytics
- ^ Wenzel Strategies
- ^ a b c Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Magellan Strategies Archived June 16, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Gravis Marketing
- ^ SurveyUSA Archived August 8, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
- ^ Wenzel Strategies
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Bluegrass Poll Archived February 2, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ CNN/ORC
- ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies
- ^ NBC News/Marist
- ^ Magellan Strategies
- ^ Mellman Group*
- ^ Ipsos
- ^ ccAdvertising
- ^ Gravis Marketing
- ^ Mellman Group*
- ^ a b CBS News/NYT/YouGov
- ^ Bluegrass Poll
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Gravis Marketing
- ^ WKU/Big Red Poll
- ^ SurveyUSA/Bluegrass Poll
- ^ Voter Consumer Research^
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies
- ^ SurveyUSA/Bluegrass Poll
- ^ a b Public Policy Polling
- ^ NBC News/Marist
- ^ Bluegrass Poll Archived February 25, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Harper Polling
- ^ "2014 General Election Results" (PDF). elect.ky.gov. Kentucky State Board of Elections.
- ^ "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 11, 2020.