Jump to content

2015 United Kingdom general election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
(Redirected from UK General Election 2015)

2015 United Kingdom general election

← 2010 7 May 2015 2017 →

All 650 seats in the House of Commons[1]
326 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered46,354,197
Turnout30,697,525
66.4%[2] (Increase1.3 pp)
  First party Second party
 
David Cameron official.jpg
Ed Miliband election infobox.jpg
Leader David Cameron Ed Miliband
Party Conservative Labour
Leader since 6 December 2005 25 September 2010
Leader's seat Witney Doncaster North
Last election 306 seats, 36.1% 258 seats, 29.0%
Seats won 330 232
Seat change Increase 24 Decrease 26
Popular vote 11,334,726 9,347,324
Percentage 36.9% 30.4%
Swing Increase 0.8 pp Increase 1.5 pp

  Third party Fourth party
 
First Minister Nicola Sturgeon official portrait (cropped).jpg
Nick Clegg official portrait.jpg
Leader Nicola Sturgeon Nick Clegg
Party SNP Liberal Democrats
Leader since 14 November 2014 18 December 2007
Leader's seat Did not stand[n 1] Sheffield Hallam
Last election 6 seats, 1.7% 57 seats, 23.0%
Seats won 56 8
Seat change Increase 50 Decrease 49
Popular vote 1,454,436 2,415,862
Percentage 4.7% 7.9%
Swing Increase 3.1 pp Decrease 15.2 pp

Colours denote the winning party, as shown in the main table of results.
† Figure does not include the Speaker of the House of Commons John Bercow, who was included in the Conservative seat total by some media outlets.

Composition of the House of Commons after the election

Prime Minister before election

David Cameron
Conservative

Prime Minister after election

David Cameron
Conservative

The 2015 United Kingdom general election was held on Thursday, 7 May 2015 to elect 650 members of Parliament (MPs) to the House of Commons. The Conservative Party, led by prime minister David Cameron, won a unexpected majority victory of ten seats; they had been leading a coalition government with the Liberal Democrats. It was the last general election to be held before the UK voted to leave the European Union (EU) in June 2016.

Opinion polls and political commentators had wildly predicted that the election would result in a second consecutive hung parliament whose composition would be similar to the one elected at the previous general election in 2010. Potential coalitions and agreements between parties were intensively discussed; as a result, smaller parties received much more attention during the campaign than in previous UK elections. However, opinion polls underestimated the Conservatives, as they won 330 of the 650 seats and 36.9 per cent of the vote, giving them a small overall majority.

The opposition Labour Party, led by Ed Miliband, saw a small increase in its share of the vote to 30.4 per cent, but it won 26 fewer seats than in 2010, giving them 232 MPs. This was the fewest seats the party had won since the 1987 general election, when it had 229 MPs returned. Labour lost significant ground in Scotland to the Scottish National Party (SNP) who enjoyed a huge surge, winning 56 of the 59 Scottish seats, becoming the third-largest party in the House of Commons and the largest party in Scotland, knocking Labour from the status which it had held since 1964.

The Liberal Democrats, junior coalition partners led by Deputy Prime Minister Nick Clegg, suffered heavy losses, losing 49 of their 57 seats. Returning just eight MPs, it was their worst result since their formation in 1988. Cabinet ministers Vince Cable, Ed Davey, and Danny Alexander lost their seats, whilst Clegg only narrowly held his own seat. The UK Independence Party (UKIP) received 12.6 per cent of the vote, displacing the Liberal Democrats as the third-placed party in terms of popular vote, but won only one seat: Clacton, which they had gained at a by-election six months earlier. They failed to retain their other seat gained in a by-election, Rochester and Strood, and the party's leader, Nigel Farage, ran in South Thanet but narrowly fell short of winning the seat. The Green Party of England and Wales won its highest ever vote share of 3.8 per cent, and their only MP, Caroline Lucas, retained her seat, Brighton Pavilion.[3]

In Northern Ireland, the Democratic Unionist Party remained the largest party, the Ulster Unionist Party returned to the Commons with two seats after a five-year absence, and the Alliance Party lost its only seat of Belfast East, represented by Naomi Long for the party, despite an increase in their vote share.

Following the election, Miliband and Clegg resigned their leaderships. Jeremy Corbyn succeeded Miliband as Leader of the Labour Party, while Tim Farron succeeded Clegg as Leader of the Liberal Democrats.

Despite speculation before the election that it would herald a new era of multi-party politics in the UK, it ended-up being the antithesis, marking a return to traditional two-party politics seen throughout the second half of the 20th century; Conservative–Labour domination would continue until the 2024 election. The SNP began a nine-year domination of Scottish Westminster seats. Charles Kennedy, who served as the leader of the Liberal Democrats from 1999 to 2006, made his last public appearance during the election campaign, in which he lost his seat; he died on 1 June 2015.

Notable MPs who retired at this election included former prime minister and Labour leader Gordon Brown, former Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling, former leader of the opposition and Conservative leader William Hague, and former leader of the Liberal Democrats Menzies Campbell. Notable newcomers to the House of Commons included future prime minister and Labour leader Keir Starmer; future prime minister, Conservative leader and Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunak, who also succeeded Hague as MP for Richmond (Yorks); future deputy prime minister and deputy Labour leader Angela Rayner and future SNP Commons leader Ian Blackford. Another future prime minister and Conservative leader, Boris Johnson, who had previously left Parliament in 2008 so he could serve as the mayor of London, returned to Parliament as MP for Uxbridge and South Ruislip.

It was the first of three general elections to be held under the rules of the Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011. Local elections took place in most areas of England on the same day and is to date the most recent general election to coincide with local elections.

Election process

[edit]

The Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011 led to the dissolution of the 55th Parliament on 30 March 2015 and the scheduling of the election on 7 May.[4] There were local elections on the same day in all of England, with the exception of Greater London. No elections were scheduled to take place in Scotland, Wales, or Northern Ireland.

All British, Irish, and Commonwealth citizens over the age of 18 and residing in the UK who were not in prison or a mental hospital or a fugitive on the date of the election were permitted to vote. In British general elections, voting takes place in all constituencies in the United Kingdom to elect Members of Parliament to the House of Commons, the lower house of Parliament in the UK. Each constituency elects one MP using the first-past-the-post voting system. If one party obtains a majority (326) of the 650 seats, then that party is entitled to form the government. If no party has a majority, then there is what is known as a hung parliament. In this case, the options for forming the Government are either a minority government (where one party governs alone despite not having the majority of the seats) or a coalition government (where one party governs alongside party in order to get a majority of seats).[5]

Although the Conservative Party planned for the number of constituencies to be reduced from 650 to 600, through the Sixth Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies under the Parliamentary Voting System and Constituencies Act 2011, the review of constituencies and reduction in seats was delayed by the Electoral Registration and Administration Act 2013.[6][7][8][9] The next boundary review was set to take place in 2018, so the 2015 general election was contested using the same constituencies and boundaries as in 2010. Of the 650 constituencies, 533 were in England, 59 were in Scotland, 40 were in Wales and 18 were in Northern Ireland.

In addition, the 2011 Act mandated a referendum in 2011 on changing from the first-past-the-post voting system to an alternative vote system for general elections. The Conservative–Liberal Democrat coalition government agreed to holding a referendum.[10] The referendum was held in May 2011 and resulted in the retention of the existing voting system. Before the previous general election the Liberal Democrats had pledged to change the voting system, and the Labour Party had pledged to hold a referendum on any such change.[11] The Conservatives, however, promised to keep the first-past-the-post system, but to reduce the number of constituencies to 600. Liberal Democrats' plan was to reduce the number of MPs to 500, and for them to be elected using a proportional vote system.[12][13]

The Government increased the amount of money that parties and candidates were allowed to spend on campaigning during the election by 23%, a move decided against the advice of the Electoral Commission.[14] The election saw the first cap on spending by parties in individual constituencies during the 100 days before Parliament's dissolution on 30 March: £30,700, plus a per-voter allowance of 9p in county constituencies and 6p in borough seats. An additional voter allowance of more than £8,700 is available after the dissolution of Parliament. In total, parties spent £31.1m in the 2010 general election, of which the Conservative Party spent 53%, the Labour Party spent 25% and the Liberal Democrats 15%.[15] This was also the first UK general election to use individual rather than household voter registration.

Date of the election

[edit]
A church used as a polling station in Bath on 7 May 2015.

An election is called following the dissolution of the Parliament of the United Kingdom. The 2015 general election was the first to be held under the provisions of the Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011. Prior to this, the power to dissolve Parliament was a royal prerogative, exercised by the sovereign on the advice of the prime minister. Under the provisions of the Septennial Act 1715, as amended by the Parliament Act 1911, an election had to be announced on or before the fifth anniversary of the beginning of the previous parliament, barring exceptional circumstances. No sovereign had refused a request for dissolution since the beginning of the 20th century, and the practice had evolved that a prime minister would typically call a general election to be held at a tactically convenient time within the final two years of a Parliament's lifespan, to maximise the chance of an electoral victory for their party.[16]

Prior to the 2010 general election, Labour and the Liberal Democrats pledged to introduce fixed-term elections.[11] As part of the Conservative–Liberal Democrat coalition agreement, the Cameron ministry agreed to support legislation for fixed-term Parliaments, with the date of the next general election being 7 May 2015.[17] This resulted in the Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011, which removed the prime minister's power to advise the monarch to call an early election. The Act only permits an early dissolution if Parliament votes for one by a two-thirds supermajority, or if a majority of MPs pass a vote of no confidence and no new government is subsequently formed within 14 days.[18] However, the prime minister had the power, by order made by Statutory Instrument under section 1(5) of the Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011, to fix the polling day to be up to two months later than 7 May 2015. Such a Statutory Instrument must be approved by each House of Parliament. Under section 14 of the Electoral Registration and Administration Act 2013, the Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011 was amended to extend the period between the dissolution of Parliament and the following general election polling day from 17 to 25 working days. This had the effect of moving forward the date of the dissolution of the Parliament to 30 March 2015.[4]

Timetable

[edit]

The key dates were:

Monday 30 March Dissolution of Parliament and the start of campaigning.
Saturday 2 May Deadline to file nomination papers, to register to vote, and to request a postal vote.[19]
Thursday 7 May Date of the election.
Friday 8 May The Conservative Party wins the election with a majority of 10 seats.
Monday 18 May New Parliament meets for the first time to elect a Speaker.
Wednesday 27 May State Opening of Parliament, 2015.

MPs not standing for re-election

[edit]

While at the previous election there had been a record 149 MPs not standing for re-election,[20] the 2015 election saw 89 MPs standing down.[21] Out of these MPs, 37 were Conservatives, 37 were Labour, 10 were Liberal Democrats, 3 were Independents, 1 was Sinn Féin and 1 was Plaid Cymru. The highest-profile members of parliament leaving were: Gordon Brown, the former Prime Minister, and William Hague, the former Leader of the Conservative Party and Leader of the Opposition.[22] Alongside Brown and Hague, 17 former cabinet ministers stood down at the election, including Stephen Dorrell, Jack Straw, Alistair Darling, David Blunkett, Sir Malcolm Rifkind and Dame Tessa Jowell.[22] The highest-profile Liberal Democrat to stand down was their former leader Sir Menzies Campbell, while the longest-serving MP, Sir Peter Tapsell, also retired, having served as an MP continuously since 1966, or for 49 years.[22]

Contesting political parties and candidates

[edit]
A sign in Woking showing opening hours of polling stations, including the advice that people queuing outside polling stations at 10.00 pm "will be entitled to apply for a ballot paper".

Overview

[edit]

On 9 April 2015, the deadline for standing for the general election, there were 464 political parties registered with the Electoral Commission. Candidates who did not belong to a party were either labelled as an Independent or not labelled at all.

The Conservative Party and the Labour Party had been the two biggest parties since 1922. Every prime minister to serve since 1935 had been the leader of the Conservatives or Labour. Opinion polls had predicted that the two parties would receive a combined total of anywhere between 65% and 75% of votes, and would receive anywhere between 80% and 85% of the seats;[23][24] and that, as such, the leader of one of the two parties would become the Prime Minister (David Cameron of the Conservatives or Ed Miliband of Labour) after the election. The Liberal Democrats had been the third largest party in the UK for many years; but as described by various political commentators, other parties had risen relative to the Liberal Democrats since the 2010 election.[25][26] In order to emphasise this, The Economist stated that "the familiar three-party system of the Tories, Labour, and the Lib Dems appears to be breaking down with the rise of UKIP, the Greens and the SNP." Ofcom ruled that the major parties in Great Britain were the Conservatives, Labour, the Liberal Democrats and UKIP, the SNP a major party in Scotland, and Plaid Cymru a major party in Wales.[27] The BBC's guidelines were similar but removed UKIP from their list of major parties, and instead stated that UKIP should be given "appropriate levels of coverage in output to which the largest parties contribute and, on some occasions, similar levels of coverage".[28][29] Seven parties participated in the election leadership debates: Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, UKIP, SNP, PC and Green.[30] Northern Ireland's political parties were not included in any debates, despite the DUP, a party based in Northern Ireland, being the fourth largest party in the UK going into the election.

National

[edit]
The Conservative Prime Minister David Cameron stood for a second term in office.
Ed Miliband was leader of the opposition and leader of the Labour Party after winning a leadership election against his brother David Miliband.
Nick Clegg and the Liberal Democrats showed a great fall in the polls after entering a coalition government with the Conservatives.
UK Independence Party leader Nigel Farage stood in the South Thanet constituency.
Nicola Sturgeon was the fifth First Minister of Scotland and the leader of the Scottish National Party, in office since 2014. She is the first woman to hold either position.
Natalie Bennett, leader of the Green Party of England and Wales, contested Holborn and St Pancras.

Several parties operate in specific regions only. The main national parties, standing in most seats across all of the country, are listed below in order of the number of seats that they contested:

  • Conservative Party: The Conservative Party was the senior party in the 2010–15 coalition government, having won the most seats (306) at the 2010 election. The party stood in 647 seats (every seat except for two in Northern Ireland and the Speaker's seat).
  • Labour Party: Labour had been in power from 1997 to 2010. The party was Her Majesty's Most Loyal Opposition after the 2010 election, having won 258 seats. It stood in 631 constituencies,[n 2] missing only the Speaker's seat, and all seats in Northern Ireland.
  • Liberal Democrats: The Liberal Democrats were the junior members of the 2010–15 coalition government, having won 57 seats. They contested 631 seats, and like Labour, only not contesting the Speaker's seat and all seats in Northern Ireland.
  • UK Independence Party (or UKIP): UKIP won the fourth most votes at the 2010 election, but failed to win any seats. They went into the election with two seats; due to having won two by-elections.[n 3] They also won the most votes of any British party at the 2014 European election. It contested 624 seats across the United Kingdom.[n 4]
  • Green Party: The Green Party went into the election with only one seat. However, they won the fourth-most votes in the 2014 European election. In 2010, Caroline Lucas became the party's first ever MP. In this election they received 3.8% of the vote. This made them the sixth largest party in terms of how many people voted for them. They stood in 573 seats.

Minor parties

[edit]

Dozens of minor parties stood in this election. The Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition stood 135 candidates and was the only minor party to have more than forty candidates.[31] The Respect Party, who came into the election with one MP who was elected at the 2012 Bradford West by-election, stood four candidates. The British National Party, who finished fifth with 1.9% of the vote and stood 338 candidates at the 2010 general election, stood only eight candidates this year following a collapse in their support.[32] Seven hundred fifty-three other candidates stood at the general election, including Independents and candidates from other parties.[32]

Northern Ireland

[edit]

The main parties in Northern Ireland in order of their number of seats were:

  • Democratic Unionist Party (DUP): the DUP won eight seats in 2010, making it the largest party in Northern Ireland and the fourth biggest in the UK. The party also won the 2011 Northern Ireland Assembly election, and came in second out of the Northern Irish parties at the 2014 European election. It contested 16 of the 18 Northern Irish constituencies, having entered into an electoral pact to abstain from the two other seats with the Ulster Unionist Party.
  • Sinn Féin: Sinn Féin won the most votes in Northern Ireland in 2010, but came second in the number of seats, winning five. They came second at the 2011 Northern Ireland Assembly election and they came in first out of the Northern Irish parties in the 2014 European election. In the House of Commons Sinn Féin are abstentionists, and so they have never taken up the seats that they have won there. The party also operates in Ireland, where it does take seats in parliament. It stood in all 18 Northern Irish constituencies.
  • Social Democratic and Labour Party (or the SDLP): The SDLP third in terms of both votes and seats in the 2010 general election and 2011 Northern Ireland Assembly election, and fourth in the 2014 European election. Going into this election, the party had three MPs. The SDLP has a relationship with the Labour Party, with the SDLP's MPs generally following the Labour whip. In the case of a hung parliament, the party would have entered into a confidence-and-supply-agreement with the party.[33] They contested all 18 Northern Irish constituencies at the election.
  • Ulster Unionist Party (or the UUP): in 2010 the UUP entered an electoral alliance with the Conservative Party, and finished fourth in terms of votes in Northern Ireland, but won no seats. The party has one MEP, having placed third in the 2014 European elections. They came fourth in the 2011 Northern Ireland Assembly election. The UUP contested 15 of the 18 Northern Irish seats; the party did not run in two seats because of its electoral pact with the DUP, and also did not nominate a candidate against former party member, Sylvia Hermon.[34]
  • Alliance Party of Northern Ireland: The Alliance Party had one MP going into this election, Naomi Long, who had been elected for the first time in 2010. They came fifth in the 2010 election by vote share. They have a relationship with the Liberal Democrats. However, Long sat on the opposition benches in the Commons and not with the Liberal Democrats on the government benches. The party contested all 18 Northern Irish constituencies in 2015.

Smaller parties in Northern Ireland included the Traditional Unionist Voice, who won no seats at this election but had one member of the Northern Ireland Assembly, the Conservatives and UKIP (both are major parties in the rest of the UK, but are minor parties here).[35]

Scotland

[edit]
  • Scottish National Party (or the SNP): The SNP only contested seats in Scotland and stood in all 59 Scottish constituencies. The party received the second most votes in Scotland and the sixth most overall in 2010, winning six seats. It won the 2011 election to the Scottish Parliament and had a surge of support since the Scottish independence referendum in September 2014, in which it was the main political party behind the losing Yes campaign.[36] Most projections suggested that it would be the third-largest party overall after the 2015 election, in terms of seats won, overtaking the Liberal Democrats.[24]

Smaller parties in Scotland include the Scottish Libertarian Party, but none of the smaller parties make much of an impact in general elections in Scotland.

Wales

[edit]

Wales has a number of smaller parties which, again, do not tend to make much impact in the general elections. In 2015, the Labour Party continued to dominate Welsh politics at the general elections.

Pacts and possible coalitions

[edit]

Coalitions have been rare in the United Kingdom, because the system of first-past-the-post voting has usually led to one party winning an overall majority in the Commons. However, with the outgoing Government being a coalition and with opinion polls not showing a large or consistent lead for any one party, there was much discussion about possible post-election coalitions or other arrangements, such as confidence and supply agreements.[37]

Some UK political parties that only stand in part of the country have reciprocal relationships with parties standing in other parts of the country. These include:

  • Labour (in Great Britain) and SDLP (in Northern Ireland)
  • Liberal Democrats (in Great Britain) and Alliance (in Northern Ireland)
  • SNP (in Scotland) and Plaid Cymru (in Wales)
    • Plaid Cymru also recommended supporters in England to vote Green,[38] while the SNP leader Nicola Sturgeon said she would vote for Plaid Cymru were she in Wales, and Green were she in England.[39] However, Sturgeon also said that, if their candidate was the most progressive, she would vote for Labour were she in England.[40]
  • Green Party of England and Wales (in England and Wales), Scottish Greens (in Scotland) and the Green Party in Northern Ireland (in Northern Ireland)

On 17 March 2015 the Democratic Unionist Party and the Ulster Unionist Party agreed an election pact, whereby the DUP would not stand candidates in Fermanagh and South Tyrone (where Michelle Gildernew, the Sinn Féin candidate, won by only four votes in 2010) and in Newry and Armagh. In return the UUP would stand aside in Belfast East and Belfast North. The SDLP rejected a similar pact suggested by Sinn Féin to try to ensure that an agreed nationalist would win that constituency.[41][42][43] The DUP also called on voters in Scotland to support whichever pro-Union candidate was best placed to beat the SNP.[44]

Candidates

[edit]

The deadline for parties and individuals to file candidate nomination papers to the acting returning officer (and the deadline for candidates to withdraw) was 4 p.m. on 9 April 2015.[45][46][47][48] The total number of candidates was 3,971; the second-highest number in history, slightly down from the record 4,150 candidates at the last election in 2010.[32][49]

There were a record number of female candidates standing in terms of both absolute numbers and percentage of candidates: 1,020 (26.1%) in 2015, up from 854 (21.1%) in 2010.[32][49] The proportion of female candidates for major parties ranged from 41% of Alliance Party candidates to 12% of UKIP candidates.[50] According to UCL's Parliamentary Candidates UK project[51] the major parties had the following percentages of black and ethnic minority candidates: the Conservatives 11%, the Liberal Democrats 10%, Labour 9%, UKIP 6%, the Greens 4%.[52] The average age of the candidates for the seven major parties was 45.[51]

The youngest candidates were all aged 18: Solomon Curtis (Labour, Wealden); Niamh McCarthy (Independent, Liverpool Wavertree); Michael Burrows (UKIP, Inverclyde); Declan Lloyd (Labour, South East Cornwall); and Laura-Jane Rossington (Communist Party, Plymouth Sutton and Devonport).[53][54][55] The oldest candidate was Doris Osen, 84, of the Elderly Persons' Independent Party (EPIC), who contested Ilford North.[54] Other candidates aged over 80 included three long-serving Labour MPs standing for re-election: Sir Gerald Kaufman (aged 84; Manchester Gorton), Dennis Skinner (aged 83; Bolsover) and David Winnick (aged 81; Walsall North). Following his re-election, Kaufman became Father of the House, an honorary title he held until his death in early 2017.

Several candidates, including two each for Labour[56][57] and UKIP,[58][59] were suspended from their respective parties after nominations were closed. Independent candidate Ronnie Carroll died after nominations were closed.[60]

Campaign

[edit]

By party

[edit]

Conservative

[edit]

In late 2014, six months before the election, the Conservatives decided to target Lib Dem seats as well as defending their own seats and targeting Conservative–Labour marginals, which ultimately contributed to their victory.[61] In 2015 David Cameron launched the Conservative formal campaign in Chippenham on 30 March.[62] Throughout the campaign the Conservatives played on fears of a Labour–SNP coalition following the Scottish independence referendum the year before.[63]

Labour

[edit]

The Labour campaign was launched on 27 March at Olympic Park in London.[64][65] Ed Miliband's EdStone was a major feature of the campaign which was covered by the media.[66] Deputy Leader of the Labour Party Harriet Harman embarked on a pink bus tour as part of her Woman to Woman campaign.[67]

Issues

[edit]

Constitutional affairs

[edit]

The Conservative manifesto committed to "a straight in-out referendum on our membership of the European Union by the end of 2017".[68] Labour did not support this, but did commit to an EU membership referendum if any further powers were transferred to the European Union.[69] The Lib Dems also supported the Labour position, but explicitly supported the UK's continuing membership of the EU.

The election was the first following the 2014 Scottish independence referendum. None of the three major party manifestos supported a second referendum and the Conservative manifesto stated that "the question of Scotland's place in the United Kingdom is now settled". In the run-up to the election, David Cameron coined the phrase "Carlisle principle" for the idea that checks and balances are required to ensure that devolution to Scotland has no adverse effects on other parts of the United Kingdom.[70][71] The phrase references a fear that Carlisle, being the English town closest to the Scottish border, could be affected economically by preferential tax rates in Scotland.

Government finance

[edit]

The deficit, who was responsible for it and plans to deal with it were a major theme of the campaign. While some smaller parties opposed austerity,[72] the Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrats, UKIP and the Greens all supported some further cuts, albeit to different extents.

Conservative campaigning sought to blame the deficit on the previous Labour government. Labour, in return, sought to establish their fiscal responsibility. With the Conservatives also making several spending commitments (e.g., on the NHS), commentators talked of the two main parties' "political crossdressing", each trying to campaign on the other's traditional territory.[73]

Possibility of a hung parliament

[edit]

Hung parliaments have been unusual in British political history since the Second World War, but as the outgoing Government were a coalition and opinion polls were not showing a large or consistent lead for any one party, it was widely expected and predicted throughout the election campaign that no party would gain an overall majority, which could have led to a new coalition or other arrangements such as confidence and supply agreements.[74][75] This was also associated with a rise in multi-party politics, with increased support for UKIP, the SNP and the Greens.

Avatar of David Cameron
Avatar of David Cameron
David Cameron
@David_Cameron
Twitter logo, a stylized blue bird

Britain faces a simple and inescapable choice – stability and strong Government with me, or chaos with Ed Miliband: https://facebook.com/DavidCameronOfficial/posts/979082725449379

4 May 2015[76]

The question of what the different parties would do in the likely event of an inconclusive result dominated much of the campaign. Smaller parties focused on the power this would bring them in negotiations; Labour and the Conservatives both insisted that they were working towards winning overall majorities, while they were also reported to be preparing for the possibility of a second election later in the year.[77] In practice, Labour were prepared to make a "broad" offer to the Liberal Democrats in the event of a hung parliament.[78]

Most predictions saw Labour as having more potential support in parliament than the Conservatives, with several parties, notably the SNP, having committed to preventing a Conservative government.[79][80] The Conservatives claimed a hung parliament with Labour as the largest party would result in a "coalition of chaos", and David Cameron tweeted that the electoral choice was one between "stable and strong government with me, or chaos with Ed Miliband".[81][82] Due to the substantial political turmoil in Britain in the years following the 2015 election, the tweet became infamous.[82]

Conservative campaigning sought to highlight what they described as the dangers of a minority Labour administration supported by the SNP. This proved effective at dominating the agenda of the campaign[78] and at motivating voters to support them.[83][84][85][86] The surprise Conservative victory was "widely put down to the success of the anti-Labour/SNP warnings", according to a BBC article[87] and others.[88] Labour, in reaction, produced ever stronger denials that they would co-operate with the SNP after the election.[78] The Conservatives and Lib Dems both also rejected the idea of a coalition with the SNP.[89][90][91] This was particularly notable for Labour, to whom the SNP had previously offered support: their manifesto stated that "the SNP will never put the Tories into power. Instead, if there is an anti-Tory majority after the election, we will offer to work with other parties to keep the Tories out".[92][93] SNP leader Nicola Sturgeon later confirmed in the Scottish leaders' debate on STV that she was prepared to "help make Ed Miliband prime minister".[94] However, on 26 April, Miliband ruled out a confidence and supply arrangement with the SNP too.[95] Miliband's comments suggested to many that he was aiming to form a minority government.[96][97]

The Liberal Democrats said that they would talk first to whichever party won the most seats.[98] They later campaigned on being a stabilising influence should either the Conservatives or Labour fall short of a majority, with the slogan "We will bring a heart to a Conservative Government and a brain to a Labour one".[99]

Both Labour and the Liberal Democrats ruled out coalitions with UKIP.[100] Ruth Davidson, leader of the Scottish Conservatives, asked about a deal with UKIP in the Scottish leaders' debate, replied: "No deals with UKIP." She continued that her preference and the Prime Minister's preference in a hung parliament was for a minority Conservative government.[101] UKIP said they could have supported a minority Conservative government through a confidence and supply arrangement in return for a referendum on EU membership before Christmas 2015.[102] They also spoke of the DUP joining UKIP in this arrangement.[103] UKIP and the DUP said they would work together in Parliament.[104] The DUP welcomed the possibility of a hung parliament and the influence that this would bring them.[77] The party's deputy leader, Nigel Dodds, said they could work with the Conservatives or Labour, but that they were "not interested in a full-blown coalition government".[105] Their leader, Peter Robinson, said that the DUP would talk first to whichever party wins the most seats.[106] The DUP said they wanted, for their support, a commitment to 2% defence spending, a referendum on EU membership, and a reversal of the under-occupation penalty. They opposed the SNP being involved in government.[107][108] The UUP also indicated that they would not work with the SNP if it wanted another independence referendum in Scotland.[109]

The Deputy Prime Minister and leader of the Liberal Democrats, Nick Clegg, warned against a potential 'Blukip' coalition (Conservatives, UKIP and by extension the DUP) with a spoof website highlighting imaginary policies from this prospective coalition, such as reinstating the death penalty, scrapping all benefits for under-25s and charging for hospital visits.[110] Additionally, issues were raised about the continued existence of the BBC, as the DUP, UKIP and Conservatives had made a number of statements criticising the institution,[111] and support for same-sex marriage.[112][113]

The Green Party of England & Wales, Plaid Cymru and the SNP all ruled out working with the Conservatives, and agreed to work together "wherever possible" to counter austerity.[114][115][72] Each would also make it a condition of any agreement with Labour that Trident nuclear weapons were not replaced; the Green Party of England and Wales stated that "austerity is a red line".[116] Both Plaid Cymru and the Green Party stated a preference for a confidence and supply arrangement with Labour, rather than a coalition.[116][117] The leader of the SDLP, Alasdair McDonnell, said: "We will be the left-of-centre backbone of a Labour administration" and that "the SDLP will categorically refuse to support David Cameron and the Conservative Party".[118] Sinn Féin reiterated their abstentionist stance.[77] In the event, the Conservatives did, against expectations, secure a small overall majority, rendering most of the speculation and positioning moot.

Television debates

[edit]
Cameron speaks at Bloomberg in 2013. His promise to hold a referendum on leaving the EU helped him to win a majority at the 2015 election but would eventually lead to his resignation little more than a year later.

The first series of televised leaders' debates in the United Kingdom was held in the previous election. Returning major party leaders Cameron and Clegg participated, as did then-prime minister Gordon Brown, who did not seek re-election in his constituency in 2015. Following much debate and various proposals,[119][120] a seven-way ITV debate with the leaders of Labour, the Conservatives, Liberal Democrats, UKIP, Greens, SNP and Plaid Cymru was held on 2 April.[121] with a series of other debates involving some of the parties.

A five-way BBC debate with the Labour, UKIP, Green, SNP and Plaid Cymru leaders was held on 16 April. The other parties criticised Cameron's absence from the debate.[122] Finally, a Question Time special was broadcast on 30 April, featuring Cameron, Miliband and Clegg. Other party leaders – Sturgeon, Wood and Farage – were given about half an hour to answer questions from an audience in Ask... programs. Ask Nicola Sturgeon, Ask Leanne Wood and Ask Nigel Farage were broadcast on BBC1 afterwards.[123]

Endorsements

[edit]

Various newspapers, organisations and individuals endorsed parties or individual candidates for the election. For example, the main national newspapers gave the following endorsements:

National daily newspapers

[edit]
Newspaper Main endorsement Secondary endorsement(s) Notes Link
Daily Express UK Independence Party Conservative Party Endorsed UKIP, and by extension whichever other parties were promising a referendum on the UK's membership of the EU. [1]
Daily Mail Conservative Party UK Independence Party Endorsed the Conservatives. Encouraged anti-Labour tactical voting. [2]
Liberal Democrats
Daily Mirror Labour Party Liberal Democrats Endorsed Labour. Supported tactically voting for the Liberal Democrats against the Conservatives in marginal seats. [3] [4]
Daily Telegraph Conservative Party None Endorsed the Conservatives. Discouraged voting for UKIP on the basis it could split the anti-Labour vote. [5]
Financial Times Conservative Party Liberal Democrats Endorsed a Conservative-led coalition. [6]
The Guardian Labour Party Green parties Endorsed Labour. Encouraged anti-Conservative tactical voting, supporting Greens and Liberal Democrats where they were the main opposition to the Conservatives. [7]
Liberal Democrats
The Independent Liberal Democrats Conservative Party Endorsed a second term of the Conservative–Liberal Democrat coalition. [8] [9]
Metro None None Did not endorse any party.
The Sun Conservative Party Liberal Democrats Endorsed the Conservatives. Encouraged anti-Labour tactical voting, supporting the Liberal Democrats where they were the main opposition to Labour. [10]
The Times Conservative Party Liberal Democrats Endorsed a second term of the Conservative–Liberal Democrat coalition. [11]

National Sunday newspapers

[edit]
Newspaper Party endorsed Link
Independent on Sunday None [12]
Mail on Sunday Conservative Party [13]
The Observer Labour Party [14]
Sunday Express UK Independence Party [15]
Sunday Mirror Labour Party [16]
Sunday Telegraph Conservative Party [17]
Sunday Times Conservative Party [18]

Media coverage

[edit]

Despite speculation that 2015 would be the 'social media election', traditional media, particularly broadcast media, remained more influential than new digital platforms.[124][125][126] A majority of the public (62%) reported that TV coverage had been most influential for informing them during the election period, especially televised debates between politicians.[127] Newspapers were next most influential, with the Daily Mail influencing people's opinions most (30%), followed by The Guardian (21%) and The Times (20%).[127] Online, major media outlets—like BBC News, newspaper websites, and Sky News—were most influential.[127] Social media was regarded less influential than radio and conversations with friends and family.[127]

During the campaign, TV news coverage was dominated by horse race journalism, focusing on the how close Labour and the Conservatives were according to the polls, and speculation on possible coalition outcomes.[128] There were concerns this 'meta-coverage' was pushing policy issues to the sideline.[128][129][130] Policy received less than half of election news airtime across all five main TV broadcasters (BBC, ITV, Channel 4, Channel 5, and Sky) during the first five weeks of the campaign.[128] When policy was addressed, the majority of the news agenda in both broadcast and print media favoured the Conservatives,[129][131][132][133] focusing on the economy, tax, and constitutional matters (e.g. the possibility of a Labour-SNP coalition government),[133][131] with the economy dominating the news every week of the campaign.[132] On TV, these topics made up 43% of all election news coverage;[133] within the papers, nearly a third (31%) of all election-related articles were on the economy alone.[134] Within reporting and comment about the economy, newspapers prioritised the Conservative Party's angles (i.e., spending cuts (1,351 articles), economic growth (921 articles), reducing the deficit (675 articles)) over Labour's (i.e., Zero-hour contracts (445 articles), mansion tax (339 articles), non-domicile status (322 articles)).[134] Less attention was given to policy areas that might have been problematic for the Conservatives, like the NHS or housing (policy topics favoured by Labour)[133] or immigration (favoured by UKIP).[131]

Reflecting on analysis carried out during the election campaign period, David Deacon of Loughborough University's Communication Research Centre said there was "aggressive partisanship [in] many section of the national press" which could be seen especially in the "Tory press".[129] Similarly, Steve Barnett, Professor of Communications at the University of Westminster, said that, while partisanship has always been part of British newspaper campaigning, in this election it was "more relentless and more one-sided" in favour of the Conservatives and against Labour and the other parties.[126] According to Bart Cammaerts of the Media and Communications Department at the London School of Economics, during the campaign "almost all newspapers were extremely pro-Conservative and rabidly anti-Labour".[135] 57.5% of the daily newspapers backed the Conservatives, 11.7% Labour, 4.9% UKIP, and 1.4% backed a continuation of the incumbent Conservative–Liberal Democrat coalition government;[136] 66% of Sunday national newspapers backed the Conservatives.[137] Of newspaper front-page lead stories, the Conservatives received 80 positive splashes and 26 negative; Labour received 30 positive against 69 negative.[132] Print media was hostile towards Labour at levels "not seen since the 1992 general election",[131][135][138][139] when Neil Kinnock was "attacked hard and hit below the belt repeatedly".[135] Roy Greenslade described the newspaper coverage of Labour as "relentless ridicule".[140] Of the leader columns in The Sun 95% were anti-Labour.[139] The SNP also received substantial negative press in English newspapers: of the 59 leader columns about the SNP during the election, one was positive.[132] The Daily Mail ran a headline suggesting SNP leader Nicola Sturgeon was "the most dangerous woman in Britain"[131][141] and, at other times, called her a "glamorous power-dressing imperatrix" and said that she "would make Hillary Clinton look human".[134] While the Scottish edition of The Sun encouraged people north of the border to vote for the SNP, the English edition encouraged people to vote for the Conservatives in order to "stop the SNP running the country".[142] The negative coverage of the SNP increased towards the end of the election campaign.[125] While TV news airtime given to quotations from politicians was more balanced between the two larger parties (Con: 30.14%; Lab: 27.98%), more column space in newspapers was dedicated to quotes from Conservative politicians (44.45% versus 29.01% for Labour)[125]—according to analysts, the Conservatives "benefitted from a Tory supporting press in away the other leaders did not".[125] At times, the Conservatives worked closely with newspapers to co-ordinate their news coverage.[134] For example, The Daily Telegraph printed a letter purportedly sent directly to the paper from 5,000 small business owners; the letter had been organised by the Conservatives and prepared at Conservative Campaign Headquarters.[134]

According to researchers at Cardiff University and Loughborough University, TV news agendas focused on Conservative campaign issues partly because of editorial choices to report on news originally broken in the right-leaning press but not that broken in the left-leaning press.[133][129][128] Researchers also found that the most airtime was given to Conservative politicians, especially in Channel 4's and Channel 5's news coverage, where they received more than a third of speaking time.[128][143] Only ITV gave more airtime to Labour spokespeople (26.9% compared with 25.1% for the Conservatives).[143] Airtime given to the two main political leaders, Cameron (22.4%) and Miliband (20.9%), was more balanced than that given to their parties.[143]

Smaller parties—especially the SNP[143]—received unprecedented levels of media coverage because of speculation about a minority or coalition government.[131][133] The five most prominent politicians were David Cameron (Con) (15% of TV and press appearances), Ed Miliband (Lab) (14.7%), Nick Clegg (Lib Dem) (6.5%), Nicola Sturgeon (SNP) (5.7%), and Nigel Farage (UKIP) (5.5%).[131][133] However, according to analysts from Loughborough University Communication Research Centre, "the big winners of the media coverage were the Conservatives. They gained the most quotation time, the most strident press support, and coverage focused on their favoured issues (the economy and taxation, rather than say the NHS)".[125]

Other than politicians, 'business sources' were the most frequently quoted in the media. On the other hand, trade union representatives, for example, received very little coverage, with business representatives receiving seven times more coverage than unions.[129] Former prime minister Tony Blair was also in the top ten most prominent politicians (=9), warning against the possibility of the UK leaving the EU.[131]

Opinion polling

[edit]
  Conservative
  Labour
  Liberal Democrats
  UKIP
  Greens

Throughout most of the 2010–2015 Parliament, Labour held a consistent polling lead over the Conservatives. Labour overtook the Conservatives at the end of 2010 – benefiting from a collapse in Liberal Democrat support – holding a small lead throughout 2011.[144] Following a brief tightening in early 2012, Labour opened up a wider lead as the Conservatives suffered a slump, partially due to rising UKIP support.[145] UKIP passed the Liberal Democrats – whose ratings were still stagnant – as the third-placed party at the start of 2013. Following this, Labour's lead dipped a little as UKIP also gained support from them.[146]

Labour's lead gradually declined throughout 2014, largely attributed to increases in support for the SNP and the Green Party, as the Conservatives remained relatively level. Liberal Democrat support continued to fall, dipping into single-digits. UKIP won the most seats at the European elections in June 2014, receiving 26.6% of the vote. Though their support in the polls for Westminster never reached this level, it did rise up to over 15% through the year.[147] The Scottish independence referendum was also held in 2014; despite the 'no' vote winning, support for the Scottish National Party rose quickly after the referendum. In Wales, where polls were less frequent, the decline in Labour's lead was smaller,[148] while UKIP and Plaid Cymru made gains.[147]

Early 2015 saw the gap between Labour and the Conservatives continue to tighten, and by the start of the campaign at the end of March, the two parties were in a dead heat.[149] Polling during the campaign itself remained relatively static, with the Labour and Conservative parties both polling between 33 and 34% and neither able to establish a consistent lead.[150] Support for the Green Party and UKIP showed slight drops, while Liberal Democrat support slightly rose up to around 9%.[151] In Scotland, support for the SNP continued to grow with polling figures in late March reaching 54%, with the Labour vote continuing to decline accordingly,[152] while Labour retained their (reduced) lead in Wales.[148] The final polls showed a mixture of small Conservative and Labour leads and ties with both between 31 and 36%, UKIP on 11–16%, the Lib Dems on 8–10%, the Greens on 4–6%, and the SNP on 4–5% of the national vote.[153]

Projections one month before the vote

[edit]

The first-past-the-post system used in UK general elections means that the number of seats won is not exactly relative to vote share.[154] Thus, several approaches were used to convert polling data and other information into seat predictions. The table below lists some of the predictions. Some predictions cover Northern Ireland, with its distinct political culture, while others do not. Parties are sorted by current number of seats in the House of Commons.

Parties ElectionForecast (Newsnight / FiveThirtyEight)[155]
as of 9 April 2015
Electoral Calculus[156]
as of 12 April 2015
Elections Etc.[157]
as of 3 April 2015
The Guardian[158]
as of 12 April 2015
May2015.com[159](New Statesman)
as of 12 April 2015
Spreadex[160]
as of 15 April 2015
Sporting Index[161]
as of 12 April 2015
First Past the Post[162]
as of 12 April 2015
Conservatives
284
278
289
281
271
282–287
267
283
Labour Party 274
284
266 271
277
271–276
272
279
SNP 41 48 49 50 54 42–45 42 38
Liberal Democrats 28 17 22 29 26 23–26 25 28
Plaid Cymru 2 3 3 3 3.8 3 3
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
UKIP 1 2 5 4 3 3.5–5.5 6 7
Others 19[163] 18[164] 18[165] 19[166] 19.3[167]
Overall result Hung
Parliament

(Con 42 seats short)
Hung
Parliament

(Lab 42 seats short)
Hung
Parliament

(Con 37 seats short)
Hung
Parliament

(Con 45 seats short)
Hung
Parliament

(Lab 49 seats short)
Hung
Parliament

(Con 39–44 seats short)
Hung
Parliament

(Lab 54 seats short)
Hung
Parliament

(Con 43 seats short)

Final projections before the vote

[edit]
Parties ElectionForecast (Newsnight / FiveThirtyEight)[168][169]

as of 7 May 2015

Electoral Calculus[170]

as of 7 May 2015

Elections Etc.[171]

as of 7 May 2015

The Guardian[172]

as of 7 May 2015

May2015.com[173]

(New Statesman)as of 7 May 2015

Spreadex

as of 7 May 2015[174]

Sporting Index[175]

as of 7 May 2015

First Past the Post[176]

as of 7 May 2015

Conservatives
278
280
285
273
273
288
286
279
Labour Party 267 274 262
273
268 266 269 270
SNP 53 52 53 52 56 48 46 49
Liberal Democrats 27 21 25 27 28 25.5 26.5 25
Plaid Cymru 4 3 3 3 3 4 3 3
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1
UKIP 1 1 3 3 2 3 3 4
Others 19[177] 18[178] 1[179] 18[180] 19[181] 19.7[182]
Overall result Hung
Parliament

(Con 48 seats short)
Hung
Parliament

(Con 46 seats short)
Hung
Parliament

(Con 41 seats short)
Hung Parliament
(Con & Lab both 53 seats short)
Hung
Parliament

(Con 53 seats short)
Hung
Parliament

(Con 38 seats short)
Hung
Parliament

(Con 40 seats short)
Hung
Parliament

(Con 47 seats short)

Exit poll

[edit]

An exit poll, collected by Ipsos MORI and GfK on behalf of the BBC, ITN and Sky News, was published at 10 pm at the end of voting. It interviewed around 22,000 people across a sample of 133 constituencies:[183]

Parties Seats Change
Conservative Party 316 Increase 10
Labour Party 239 Decrease 19
Scottish National Party 58 Increase 52
Liberal Democrats 10 Decrease 47
UK Independence Party 2 Increase 2
Green Party 2 Increase 1
Others 23 N/A
Hung Parliament
(Conservatives 10 seats short of overall majority)

This predicted the Conservatives to be 10 seats short of an absolute majority, although with the 5 predicted Sinn Féin MPs not taking their seats, it was likely to be enough to govern – although Sinn Féin eventually only won 4 seats.[184]

The exit poll was markedly different from pre-election polls,[185] which had been fairly consistent; this led many pundits and MPs to speculate that the exit poll was inaccurate, and that the final result would have the two main parties closer to each other. Former Liberal Democrat leader Paddy Ashdown vowed to "eat his hat" and former Labour "spin doctor" Alastair Campbell promised to "eat his kilt" if the exit poll was right.[186]

As it turned out, the results were even more favourable to the Conservatives than the poll predicted, with the Conservatives obtaining 330 seats, an absolute majority.[187] Ashdown and Campbell were presented with hat- and kilt-shaped cakes (labelled "eat me") on BBC Question Time on 8 May.[186]

Opinion polling inaccuracies and scrutiny

[edit]
Polling results for the 2015 UK general election, compared to the actual result

With the eventual outcome in terms of both votes and seats varying substantially from the bulk of opinion polls released in the final months before the election, the polling industry received criticism for their inability to predict what was a surprisingly clear Conservative victory. Several theories were put forward to explain the inaccuracy of the pollsters: one was that there had simply been a very late swing to the Conservatives, with Survation claiming that 13% of voters made up their minds in the final days and 17% on the day of the election.[188] Survation also claimed that a poll they carried out a day before the election gave the Conservatives 37% and Labour 31%, though they said they did not release the poll (commissioned by the Daily Mirror) on the concern that it was too much of an outlier with other poll results.[189]

However, it was reported that pollsters had in fact picked up a very late swing to Labour immediately prior to polling day, not the Conservatives.[190] It was reported after the election that private pollsters working for the two largest parties actually gathered more accurate results, with Labour's pollster James Morris claiming that the issue was largely to do with surveying technique.[191] Morris claimed that telephone polls that immediately asked for voting intentions tended to get a high "Don't know" or anti-government reaction, whereas longer telephone conversations conducted by private polls that collected other information such as views on the leaders' performances placed voters in a much better mode to give their true voting intentions.[citation needed] Another theory was that 'shy Tories' did not want to openly declare their intention to vote Conservative to pollsters – this was the case in 1992, the last time pollsters significantly missed.[192] A final theory was the 'Lazy Labour' factor, which claimed that Labour voters tend to not vote on polling day whereas Conservative voters have a much higher turnout.[193]

The British Polling Council announced an inquiry into the substantial variance between the opinion polls and the actual election result.[194][195] The inquiry published preliminary findings in January 2016, concluding that "the ways in which polling samples are constructed was the primary cause of the polling miss".[196] Their final report was published in March 2016.[197] The British Election Study team suggested that weighting error appeared to be the cause.[198]


Results

[edit]
Result by countries and English regions

After all 650 constituencies had been declared, the results were:[199]

Party Leader MPs Votes
Of total Of total
Conservative Party David Cameron 330 50.8%
330 / 650
11,299,609 36.8%
Labour Party Ed Miliband 232 35.7%
232 / 650
9,347,273 30.4%
Scottish National Party Nicola Sturgeon 56 8.6%
56 / 650
1,454,436 4.7%
Liberal Democrats Nick Clegg 8 1.2%
8 / 650
2,415,916 7.9%
Democratic Unionist Party Peter Robinson 8 1.2%
8 / 650
184,260 0.6%
Sinn Féin Gerry Adams 4 0.6%
4 / 650
176,232 0.6%
Plaid Cymru Leanne Wood 3 0.5%
3 / 650
181,704 0.6%
Social Democratic & Labour Party Alasdair McDonnell 3 0.5%
3 / 650
99,809 0.3%
Ulster Unionist Party Mike Nesbitt 2 0.3%
2 / 650
114,935 0.4%
UK Independence Party Nigel Farage 1 0.2%
1 / 650
3,881,099 12.6%
Green Party of England and Wales Natalie Bennett 1 0.2%
1 / 650
1,111,603 3.8%
Speaker John Bercow 1 0.2%
1 / 650
34,617 0.1%[200]
Independent Unionist Sylvia Hermon 1 0.2%
1 / 650
17,689 0.06%[201]

The following table shows final election results as reported by BBC News[202] and The Guardian.[203]

e • d Summary[a] of the May 2015 House of Commons of the United Kingdom results
Political party Leader MPs Votes
Candidates[204] Total Gained Lost Net Of total (%) Total Of total (%) Change[b] (%)
Conservative[c] David Cameron 647 330 35 11 +24 50.8 11,299,609 36.8 +0.7
Labour Ed Miliband 631 232 22 48 −26 35.7 9,347,273 30.4 +1.5
UKIP Nigel Farage 624 1 1 0 +1 0.2 3,881,099 12.6 +9.5
Liberal Democrats Nick Clegg 631 8 0 49 −49 1.2 2,415,916 7.9 −15.1
SNP Nicola Sturgeon 59 56 50 0 +50 8.6 1,454,436 4.7 +3.1
Green Natalie Bennett England & Wales
Patrick Harvie / Maggie Chapman Scotland
Steven Agnew Northern Ireland
575 1 0 0 0 0.2 1,157,630 3.8 +2.8
DUP Peter Robinson 16 8 1 1 0 1.2 184,260 0.6 0.0
Plaid Cymru Leanne Wood 40 3 0 0 0 0.5 181,704 0.6 0.0
Sinn Féin Gerry Adams 18 4 0 1 −1 0.6 176,232 0.6 0.0
UUP Mike Nesbitt 15 2 2 0 +2 0.3 114,935 0.4 [d]
SDLP Alasdair McDonnell 18 3 0 0 0 0.5 99,809 0.3 0.0
Independent 170 1 0 0 0 0.2 98,711 0.3
Alliance David Ford 18 0 0 1 −1 0 61,556 0.2 +0.1
TUSC Dave Nellist 128 0 0 0 0 0 36,490 0.1 +0.1
Speaker John Bercow 1 1 0 0 0 0.2 34,617 0.1 0.0
NHA[e] Richard Taylor & Clive Peedell 13 0 0 0 0 0 20,210 0.1 0.0
TUV Jim Allister 7 0 0 0 0 0 16,538 0.1 0.0
Respect George Galloway 4 0 0 0 0 0 9,989 0.0 −0.1
CISTA Paul Birch 34 0 0 0 0 0 8,419 0.0 New
People Before Profit Collective 1 0 0 0 0 0 7,854 0.0 0.0
Yorkshire First Richard Carter 14 0 0 0 0 0 6,811 0.0 New
English Democrat Robin Tilbrook 35 0 0 0 0 0 6,531 0.0 −0.2
Mebyon Kernow Dick Cole 6 0 0 0 0 0 5,675 0.0 0.0
Lincolnshire Independent Marianne Overton 5 0 0 0 0 0 5,407 0.0 0.0
Liberal Steve Radford 4 0 0 0 0 0 4,480 0.0 0.0
Monster Raving Loony Alan "Howling Laud" Hope 27 0 0 0 0 0 3,898 0.0 0.0
Independent Save Withybush Save Lives Chris Overton 1 0 0 0 0 0 3,729 0.0 New
Socialist Labour Arthur Scargill 8 0 0 0 0 0 3,481 0.0 0.0
CPA Sidney Cordle 17 0 0 0 0 0 3,260 0.0 0.0
Christian[f] Jeff Green 9 0 0 0 0 0 3,205 0.0 −0.1
No description[g] 0 0 0 0 0 3,012 0.0
Workers' Party John Lowry 5 0 0 0 0 0 2,724 0.0 0.0
North East Hilton Dawson 4 0 0 0 0 0 2,138 0.0 0.0
Poole People Mike Howell 1 0 0 0 0 0 1,766 0.0 New
BNP Adam Walker 8 0 0 0 0 0 1,667 0.0 −1.9
Residents for Uttlesford John Lodge 1 0 0 0 0 0 1,658 0.0 New
Rochdale First Party Farooq Ahmed 1 0 0 0 0 0 1,535 0.0 New
Communist[h] Robert David Griffiths 9 0 0 0 0 0 1,229 0.0 New
Pirate Laurence Kaye 6 0 0 0 0 0 1,130 0.0 0.0
National Front Kevin Bryan 7 0 0 0 0 0 1,114 0.0 0.0
Communities United Kamran Malik 5 0 0 0 0 0 1,102 0.0 New
Reality Mark "Bez" Berry 3 0 0 0 0 0 1,029 0.0 New
The Southport Party David Cobham 1 0 0 0 0 0 992 0.0 New
All People's Party Prem Goyal 4 0 0 0 0 0 981 0.0 New
Peace John Morris 4 0 0 0 0 0 957 0.0 New
Bournemouth Independent Alliance David Ross 1 0 0 0 0 0 903 0.0 New
Socialist (GB) Collective 10 0 0 0 0 0 899 0.0 New
Scottish Socialist Executive Committee 4 0 0 0 0 0 875 0.0 0.0
Alliance for Green Socialism Mike Davies 4 0 0 0 0 0 852 0.0 0.0
Your Vote Could Save Our Hospital Sandra Allison 1 0 0 0 0 0 849 0.0 New
Wigan Independents Gareth Fairhurst 1 0 0 0 0 0 768 0.0 New
Animal Welfare Vanessa Hudson 4 0 0 0 0 0 736 0.0 0.0
Something New James Smith 2 0 0 0 0 0 695 0.0 New
Consensus Helen Tyrer 1 0 0 0 0 0 637 0.0 New
National Liberal National Council 2 0 0 0 0 0 627 0.0 New
Independents Against Social Injustice Steve Walmsley 1 0 0 0 0 0 603 0.0 New
Independence from Europe Mike Nattrass 5 0 0 0 0 0 578 0.0 New
Whig Waleed Ghani 4 0 0 0 0 0 561 0.0 New
Guildford Greenbelt Group Susan Parker 1 0 0 0 0 0 538 0.0 New
Class War Ian Bone 7 0 0 0 0 0 526 0.0 New
Above and Beyond Mark Flanagan 5 0 0 0 0 0 522 0.0 New
Northern Mark Dawson 5 0 0 0 0 0 506 0.0 New
Workers Revolutionary Sheila Torrance 7 0 0 0 0 0 488 0.0 0.0
Left Unity Kate Hudson 3 0 0 0 0 0 455 0.0 New
Liberty GB Paul Weston 3 0 0 0 0 0 418 0.0 New
People First Collective 1 0 0 0 0 0 407 0.0 New
Other parties[i] 0 0 0 0 0 7,284 0.0
Total 3,921 650 30,697,525
  1. ^ 66 parties are grouped together as 'other parties'. None of those parties contested more than 2 constituencies, or received more than 300 votes
  2. ^ This column shows the change in vote share percentage from the 2010 general election to the 2015 general election. It does not account for by-elections.
  3. ^ BBC News includes the Speaker of the House of Commons, John Bercow, in the MP tally and the vote tally for the Conservatives. See About these results, BBC News (30 April 2015). In this table, however, the Speaker, who usually does not vote in the Commons, is listed separately, and his seat and the 34,617 votes he received have been removed from the Conservative tally.
  4. ^ The UUP did not run itself in 2010; instead, it ran candidates under the Ulster Conservatives and Unionists banner.
  5. ^ BBC News lists the National Health Action Party together with Independent Community & Health Concern (formerly known as Independent Kidderminster Hospital and Health Concern), as the smaller was affiliated with the larger, for a total of 20,210 votes. The Guardian lists each party separately, Health Concern having received 7,211 and National Health Action having received 12,999 of the 20,210 total votes the BBC attributes to the National Health Action Party.
  6. ^ The BBC groups together the votes under the Scottish Christian Party (1,467 votes); Christian Party (1,040 votes); and Christian (698 votes) labels, for a total of 3,205 votes. The Guardian lists these designations separately.
  7. ^ Candidates who do not specify a party or Independent are categorised as No description
  8. ^ The Guardian lists the vote totals for the designation "Communist" (555 votes), Communist Party of Britain (275 votes), Communist Party (263 votes), and Scottish Communist Party (136 votes) separately. In this table, these designations are grouped into a single Communist tally for a total of 1,229 votes.
  9. ^ 66 parties, none of which contested more than 2 constituencies, each with under 300 votes
Vote share
Conservative
36.8%
Labour
30.4%
UK Independence
12.6%
Liberal Democrat
7.9%
Scottish National
4.7%
Green
3.8%
Democratic Unionist
0.6%
Sinn Fein
0.6%
Plaid Cymru
0.4%
UUP
0.4%
SDLP
0.3%
Others
2.1%
Parliamentary seats
Conservative
50.8%
Labour
35.7%
Scottish National
8.6%
Liberal Democrat
1.2%
Democratic Unionist
1.2%
Sinn Fein
0.6%
Plaid Cymru
0.5%
SDLP
0.5%
UUP
0.3%
UK Independence
0.2%
Green
0.2%
Independent
0.2%
Speaker
0.2%


The disproportionality of parliament in the 2015 election was 15.04 according to the Gallagher Index, mainly between the UKIP and Conservative Parties.

Geographic voting distribution

[edit]

One result of the 2015 general election was that a different political party won the popular vote in each of the countries of the United Kingdom.[205] This was reflected in terms of MPs elected: The Conservatives won in England with 319 MPs out of 533 constituencies,[206] the SNP won in Scotland with 56 out of 59,[207] Labour won in Wales with 25 out of 40,[208] and the Democratic Unionist Party won in Northern Ireland with 8 out of 18.[209]

Outcome

[edit]
UKIP vote share by constituency

Despite most opinion polls predicting that the Conservatives and Labour were neck and neck, the Conservatives secured a surprise victory after having won a clear lead over their rivals and incumbent Prime Minister David Cameron was able to form a majority single-party government with a working majority of 12 (in practice increased to 15 due to Sinn Féin's four MPs' abstention). Thus the result bore resemblance to 1992.[210] The Conservatives gained 38 seats while losing 10, all to Labour; Employment Minister Esther McVey, in Wirral West, was the most senior Conservative to lose her seat. Cameron became the first Prime Minister since Lord Salisbury in 1900 to increase his popular vote share after a full term, and is sometimes credited as being the only Prime Minister other than Margaret Thatcher (in 1983) to be re-elected with a greater number of seats for his party after a 'full term'[n 5].[211]

A map of the results, showing each constituency as a hexagon of equal size, with the black lines showing separations in regions

The Labour Party polled below expectations, winning 30.4% of the vote and 232 seats, 24 fewer than its previous result in 2010—even though in 222 constituencies there was a Conservative-to-Labour swing, as against 151 constituencies where there was a Labour-to-Conservative swing.[212] Its net loss of seats were mainly a result of its resounding defeat in Scotland, where the Scottish National Party took 40 of Labour's 41 seats, unseating key politicians such as shadow Foreign Secretary Douglas Alexander and Scottish Labour leader Jim Murphy. Labour gained some seats in London and other major cities, but lost a further nine seats to the Conservatives, recording its lowest share of the seats since the 1987 general election.[213] Ed Miliband subsequently tendered his resignation as Labour leader.

The Scottish National Party had a stunning election, rising from just 6 seats to 56 – winning all but 3 of the constituencies in Scotland and securing 50% of the popular vote in Scotland.[207] They recorded a number of record breaking swings of over 30% including the new record of 39.3% in Glasgow North East. They also won the seat of former Prime Minister Gordon Brown, overturning a majority of 23,009 to win by a majority of 9,974 votes and saw Mhairi Black, then a 20-year-old student, defeat Labour's Shadow Foreign Secretary Douglas Alexander with a swing of 26.9%.

The Liberal Democrats, who had been in government as coalition partners, suffered the worst defeat they or the previous Liberal Party had suffered since the 1970 general election.[214] Winning just eight seats, the Liberal Democrats lost their position as the UK's third party and found themselves tied in fourth place with the Democratic Unionist Party of Northern Ireland in the House of Commons, with Nick Clegg being one of the few MPs from his party to retain his seat. The Liberal Democrats gained no seats, while losing 49 in the process—of them, 27 to the Conservatives, 12 to Labour, and 10 to the SNP. The party also lost their deposit in 341 seats, the same number as in every general election from 1979 to 2010 combined.

The UK Independence Party (UKIP) was only able to hold one of its two seats, Clacton, gaining no new ones despite increasing its vote share to 12.9% (the third-highest share overall). Party leader Nigel Farage, having failed to win the constituency of South Thanet, tendered his resignation, although this was rejected by his party's executive council and he stayed on as leader.

In Northern Ireland, the Ulster Unionist Party returned to the Commons with two MPs after a five-year absence, gaining one seat from the Democratic Unionist Party and one from Sinn Féin, while the Alliance Party lost its only Commons seat to the DUP, despite an increase in total vote share.[215]

Voter demographics

[edit]

Ipsos MORI

[edit]

Ipsos MORI polling after the election suggested the following demographic breakdown:

The 2015 UK General Election vote in Great Britain[216]
Social group Con Lab UKIP Lib Dem Green Others Lead
Total vote 38 31 13 8 4 6 7
Gender
Male 38 30 14 8 4 6 8
Female 37 33 12 8 4 6 4
Age
18–24 27 43 8 5 8 9 16
25–34 33 36 10 7 7 7 3
35–44 35 35 10 10 4 6 0
45–54 36 33 14 8 4 5 3
55–64 37 31 14 9 2 7 6
65+ 47 23 17 8 2 3 24
Men by Age
18–24 32 41 7 4 8 8 9
25–34 35 32 11 9 6 7 3
35–54 38 32 12 8 4 6 6
55+ 40 25 19 8 2 6 15
Women by Age
18–24 24 44 10 5 9 8 20
25–34 31 40 9 5 8 7 9
35–54 32 35 12 9 4 8 3
55+ 45 27 13 9 2 4 18
Social class
AB 45 26 8 12 4 5 19
C1 41 29 11 8 4 7 12
C2 32 32 19 6 4 7 0
DE 27 41 17 5 3 7 14
Men by social class
AB 46 25 10 11 3 5 21
C1 42 27 12 8 4 7 15
C2 30 32 21 5 4 8 2
DE 26 40 18 4 3 9 14
Women by social class
AB 44 28 6 12 5 5 16
C1 41 31 10 8 5 5 10
C2 34 33 17 7 4 5 1
DE 28 42 16 5 3 6 14
Housing tenure
Owned 46 22 15 9 2 6 24
Mortgage 39 31 10 9 3 8 8
Social renter 18 50 18 3 3 8 32
Private renter 28 39 11 6 9 7 11
Ethnic group
White 39 28 14 8 4 7 11
BME 23 65 2 4 3 3 44

YouGov

[edit]

YouGov polling after the election suggested the following demographic breakdown:

The 2015 UK general election vote in Great Britain[217][218]
Social group Con Lab UKIP Lib Dem SNP Green Plaid Others Lead
Total vote 38 31 13 8 5 4 1 2 7
Gender
Male 37 29 15 8 5 4 1 2 8
Female 38 33 12 8 4 4 0 2 5
Age
18–29 32 36 9 9 5 7 1 2 4
30–39 36 34 10 8 5 5 0 2 2
40–49 33 33 14 7 5 4 1 2 0
50–59 36 32 16 7 5 3 1 2 4
60+ 45 25 16 7 3 2 0 2 20
Men by Age
18–29 34 31 10 10 5 6 1 2 3
30–39 38 31 11 8 5 5 1 1 7
40–49 34 31 16 7 6 4 1 2 3
50–59 33 31 18 7 6 3 1 2 2
60+ 44 24 18 7 4 2 0 1 20
Women by Age
18–29 29 41 7 8 4 8 1 2 12
30–39 33 37 9 8 5 5 0 2 4
40–49 33 36 12 7 5 4 1 2 3
50–59 38 32 14 7 4 3 0 2 6
60+ 46 25 14 8 3 2 0 2 21
Social class
AB 44 28 9 10 4 4 1 2 16
C1 38 30 11 9 5 5 1 2 8
C2 36 31 17 6 5 3 1 2 5
DE 29 37 18 6 5 3 0 2 8
Highest educational level
GCSE or lower 38 30 20 5 3 2 0 2 8
A-Level 37 31 11 8 6 5 1 2 6
University 35 34 6 11 5 6 1 2 1
Other 41 27 13 8 5 3 0 2 14
DK/refused 32 33 18 4 6 3 0 4 1
Housing status
Own outright 47 23 15 8 3 2 0 1 24
Mortgage 42 29 12 8 4 3 0 2 13
Social housing 20 45 18 5 7 3 0 1 25
Private rented 34 32 12 9 4 7 0 1 2
Don't know 31 38 10 8 4 6 0 3 7
Work sector
Private sector 43 26 14 7 4 4 0 2 17
Public sector 33 36 11 9 5 4 1 2 3
Household income
Under £20,000 29 36 17 7 5 4 1 2 7
£20,000-£39,999 37 32 14 8 4 4 0 1 5
£40,000-£69,999 42 29 10 9 5 4 1 1 13
£70,000+ 51 23 7 10 4 3 0 1 28
Newspaper
Daily Express 51 13 27 5 2 1 0 1 38
Daily Mail 59 14 19 5 1 1 0 2 45
Daily Mirror/Daily Record 11 67 9 5 6 2 0 1 56
Daily Star 25 41 26 3 3 1 0 2 16
The Sun 47 24 19 4 4 1 0 1 23
The Daily Telegraph 69 8 12 8 0 1 0 1 61
The Guardian 6 62 1 11 3 14 1 2 56
The Independent 17 47 4 16 3 11 1 1 30
The Times 55 20 6 13 1 3 1 2 35

Gender

[edit]

The election led to an increase in the number of female MPs, to 191 (29% of the total, including 99 Labour; 68 Conservative; 20 SNP; 4 other) from 147 (23% of the total, including 87 Labour; 47 Conservative; 7 Liberal Democrat; 1 SNP; 5 other). As before the election, the region with the largest proportion of women MPs was North East England.[219]

Votes, of total, by party

  Conservative (36.8%)
  Labour (30.4%)
  UKIP (12.6%)
  SNP (4.7%)
  Green (3.8%)
  DUP (0.6%)
  Plaid Cymru (0.6%)
  Sinn Féin (0.6%)
  UUP (0.4%)
  SDLP (0.3%)
  Other (1.3%)

MPs, of total, by party

  Conservative (50.8%)
  Labour (35.7%)
  SNP (8.6%)
  DUP (1.2%)
  Sinn Féin (0.6%)
  Plaid Cymru (0.5%)
  UUP (0.3%)
  Green (0.2%)
  Speaker (0.2%)
  UKIP (0.2%)

Open seats changing hands

[edit]
Party Candidate Incumbent Constituency Defeated by Party
Labour Richard Baker Frank Doran Aberdeen North Kirsty Blackman SNP
Liberal Democrats Steve Bradley Don Foster Bath Ben Howlett Conservative
Liberal Democrats Julie Pörksen Alan Beith Berwick-upon-Tweed Anne-Marie Trevelyan Conservative
Liberal Democrats Lauren Keith Sarah Teather Brent Central Dawn Butler Labour
Labour Michael Marra Jim McGovern Dundee West Chris Law SNP
Labour Ricky Henderson Alistair Darling Edinburgh South West Joanna Cherry SNP
Independent Karen Whitefield (Lab) Eric Joyce (elected as Labour)[n 6] Falkirk John McNally SNP
Labour Melanie Ward Lindsay Roy Glenrothes Peter Grant SNP
Liberal Democrats Christine Jardine Malcolm Bruce Gordon Alex Salmond SNP
Labour Liz Evans Martin Caton Gower Byron Davies Conservative
Liberal Democrats Lisa Smart Andrew Stunell Hazel Grove William Wragg Conservative
Conservative Graham Cox Mike Weatherley Hove Peter Kyle Labour
Labour Kenny Selbie Gordon Brown Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath Roger Mullin SNP
Liberal Democrats Vikki Slade Annette Brooke Mid Dorset and North Poole Michael Tomlinson Conservative
Labour Kenny Young David Hamilton Midlothian Owen Thompson SNP
Liberal Democrats Tim Brett Menzies Campbell North East Fife Stephen Gethins SNP
Liberal Democrats Josh Mason Ian Swales Redcar Anna Turley Labour Co-operative
Liberal Democrats David Rendel David Heath Somerton and Frome David Warburton Conservative
Labour Rowenna Davis John Denham Southampton Itchen Royston Smith Conservative
Labour Johanna Boyd Anne McGuire Stirling Steven Paterson SNP
Liberal Democrats Rachel Gilmour Jeremy Browne Taunton Deane Rebecca Pow Conservative

Seats which changed allegiance

[edit]

111 seats changed hands compared to the result in 2010 plus three by-election gains reverted to the party that won the seat at the last general election in 2010 (Bradford West, Corby and Rochester and Strood).

General election records broken in 2015

[edit]

Youngest elected MP

[edit]

Largest swing

[edit]

Lowest winning vote share

[edit]

Aftermath

[edit]

Resignations

[edit]

On 8 May, three party leaders announced their resignations within an hour of each other:[224] Ed Miliband (Labour) and Nick Clegg (Liberal Democrat) resigned due to their parties' worse-than-expected results in the election, although both had been re-elected to their seats in Parliament.[225][226][227][228] Nigel Farage (UKIP) offered his resignation because he had failed to be elected as MP for Thanet South, but said he might re-stand in the resulting leadership election. However, on 11 May, the UKIP executive rejected his resignation on the grounds that the election campaign had been "a great success",[229] and Farage agreed to continue as party leader.[230]

Alan Sugar, a Labour peer in the House of Lords, also announced his resignation from the Labour Party for running what he perceived to be an anti-business campaign.[231]

In response to Labour's poor performance in Scotland, Scottish Labour leader Jim Murphy initially resisted calls for his resignation by other senior party members. Despite surviving a no-confidence vote by 17–14 from the party's national executive, Murphy announced he would step down as leader on or before 16 May.[232]

Financial markets

[edit]

Financial markets reacted positively to the result, with the pound sterling rising against the Euro and US dollar when the exit poll was published, and the FTSE 100 stock market index rising 2.3% on 8 May. The BBC reported: "Bank shares saw some of the biggest gains, on hopes that the sector will not see any further rises in levies. Shares in Lloyds Banking Group rose 5.75% while Barclays was 3.7% higher", adding: "Energy firms also saw their share prices rise, as Labour had wanted a price freeze and more powers for the energy regulator. British Gas owner Centrica rose 8.1% and SSE shares were up 5.3%." BBC economics editor Robert Peston noted: "To state the obvious, investors love the Tories' general election victory. There are a few reasons. One (no surprise here) is that Labour's threat of breaking up banks and imposing energy price caps has been lifted. Second is that investors have been discounting days and weeks of wrangling after polling day over who would form the government – and so they are semi-euphoric that we already know who's in charge. Third, many investors tend to be economically Conservative and instinctively Conservative."[233]

Electoral reform

[edit]

The disparity between the numbers of votes and the number of seats obtained by the smaller parties gave rise to increased calls for replacement of the 'first-past-the-post' voting system with a more proportional system. For example, UKIP had 3.9 million votes per seat, whereas SNP had just 26,000 votes per seat, about 150 times greater representation for each vote cast. UKIP stood in 10 times as many seats as the SNP. Noting that UKIP's 13% share of the overall votes cast had resulted in the election of just one MP, Nigel Farage argued that the UK's voting system needed reforming, saying: "Personally, I think the first-past-the-post system is bankrupt."[234]

Re-elected Green Party MP Caroline Lucas agreed, saying: "The political system in this country is broken [...] It's ever clearer tonight that the time for electoral reform is long overdue, and it's only proportional representation that will deliver a Parliament that is truly legitimate and better reflects the people it is meant to represent."[235]

Daily Telegraph investigation of abuse of Wikipedia

[edit]

Following the election, The Daily Telegraph detailed changes to Wikipedia pages made from computers with IP addresses inside Parliament raising suspicion that "MPs or their political parties deliberately hid information from the public online to make candidates appear more electable to voters" and a deliberate attempt to hide embarrassing information from the electorate.[236]

Telegraph Media Group fined

[edit]

On 21 December 2015, the UK Information Commissioner's Office fined the Telegraph Media Group £30,000 for sending 'hundreds of thousands of emails on the day of the general election urging readers to vote Conservative ... in a letter from Daily Telegraph editor Chris Evans, attached to the paper's usual morning e-bulletin'. The ICO concluded that subscribers had not expressed their consent to receive this kind of direct marketing.[237]

Election petition

[edit]

Four electors from Orkney and Shetland lodged an election petition on 29 May 2015 attempting to unseat Alistair Carmichael and force a by-election[238][239] over what became known as 'Frenchgate'.[240] The issue centred around the leaking of a memo from the Scotland Office about comments allegedly made by the French ambassador Sylvie Bermann about Nicola Sturgeon, claiming that Sturgeon had privately stated she would "rather see David Cameron remain as PM", in contrast to her publicly stated opposition to a Conservative government.[241] The veracity of the memo was quickly denied by the French ambassador, French consul general and Sturgeon.[242] At the time of the leak, Carmichael denied all knowledge of the leaking of the memo in a television interview with Channel 4 News.[243] but after the election Carmichael accepted the contents of the memo were incorrect, admitted that he had lied, and that he had authorised the leaking of the inaccurate memo to the media after a Cabinet Office enquiry identified Carmichael's role in the leak. On 9 December, an Election Court decided that although he had told a "blatant lie" in a TV interview, it had not been proven beyond reasonable doubt that he had committed an "illegal practice" under the Representation of the People Act[244] and he was allowed to retain his seat.[245]

Party election spending investigations

[edit]

At national party level, the Electoral Commission fined the three largest parties for breaches of spending regulations, levying the highest fines since its foundation:[246] £20,000 for Labour in October 2016,[247] £20,000 for the Liberal Democrats in December 2016,[248] and £70,000 for the Conservative Party in March 2017.[249][246]

The higher fine for the Conservatives reflected both the extent of the wrongdoing (which extended to the 2014 parliamentary by-elections in Clacton, Newark and Rochester and Strood) and 'the unreasonable uncooperative conduct by the Party'.[250][246] The commission also found that the Party Treasurer, Simon Day, may not have fulfilled his obligations under the Political Parties, Elections and Referendums Act 2000 and referred him for investigation to the Metropolitan Police Service.[251]

At constituency level, related alleged breaches of spending regulations led to 'unprecedented'[249] police investigations for possible criminal conduct of between 20 and 30 Conservative Party MPs. On 9 May 2017, the Crown Prosecution Service decided not to prosecute the vast majority of suspects, saying that "in order to bring a charge, it must be proved that a suspect knew the return was inaccurate and acted dishonestly in signing the declaration. Although there is evidence to suggest the returns may have been inaccurate, there is insufficient evidence to prove to the criminal standard that any candidate or agent was dishonest."[252] On 2 June 2017, charges were brought under the Representation of the People Act 1983 against Craig Mackinlay, who was elected Conservative MP for South Thanet in 2015, his agent Nathan Gray, and a party activist, Marion Little.[253][254] Appearing at Westminster Magistrates' Court on 4 July 2017, the three pleased not guilty and were released on unconditional bail pending an appearance at Southwark Crown Court on 1 August 2017.[255][256] The investigation of Party Treasurer Simon Day remained ongoing.[257]

In 2016–18, the European Parliament found that UKIP had unlawfully spent over €173,000 of EU funding on the party's 2015 UK election campaign, via the Alliance for Direct Democracy in Europe and the affiliated Institute for Direct Democracy. The Parliament required the repayment of the mis-spent funds and denied the organisations some other funding.[258][259][260] It also found that UKIP MEPs had unlawfully spent EU money on other assistance for national campaigning purposes during 2014–16 and docked their salaries to recoup the mis-spent funds.[261][262][263]

See also

[edit]

Footnotes

[edit]
  1. ^ SNP party leader Nicola Sturgeon, a Member of the Scottish Parliament and First Minister of Scotland, participated in some of the main UK-wide televised debates, but did not stand for a Commons seat at this election. Angus Robertson, MP for Moray at the time, was the leader of the SNP delegation to the House of Commons.
  2. ^ After nominations had closed and ballot papers were printed, the Labour candidate in Banff and Buchan, Sumon Hoque, was suspended from the Labour Party when he was charged with multiple driving offences, and the Labour candidate in Wellingborough, Richard Garvie, was also suspended after a conviction for fraud.
  3. ^ Former Conservative MP Douglas Carswell crossed to UKIP, then forced a by-election at Clacton. Mark Reckless did likewise at Rochester and Strood.
  4. ^ After nominations had closed and ballot papers were printed, two UKIP candidates were suspended from the party for offensive comments.
  5. ^ In the 20th century so few Parliaments lasted the full five-year term that some commentators regarded four years as being a 'full term', thus calling the 1979–83 Parliament a 'full term'
  6. ^ Joyce was a member of the Labour Party until his resignation from the party in 2012 in the aftermath of an assault.

References

[edit]
  1. ^ UK 2015 general election results in full The Guardian (retrieved 5 May 2024)
  2. ^ "The May 2015 UK elections: Report on the administration of the 7 May 2015 elections, including the UK Parliamentary general election" (PDF). p. 3. Archived (PDF) from the original on 22 February 2017. Retrieved 15 May 2016.
  3. ^ Bawden, Tom (8 May 2015). "A victorious Caroline Lucas has perfectly summed up how negative our politics is". The Independent. Archived from the original on 19 December 2019. Retrieved 9 May 2015.
  4. ^ a b "General election timetable 2015". Parliament of the United Kingdom. Archived from the original on 18 January 2021. Retrieved 8 December 2014.
  5. ^ Another hung Parliament: what next?. YouTube. 18 March 2015.
  6. ^ "Closure of 2013 Review". Boundary Commission for England. Archived from the original on 23 June 2013. Retrieved 22 September 2013.
  7. ^ "Sixth Periodic Review – Index". Boundary Commission for Scotland. Archived from the original on 21 September 2013. Retrieved 22 September 2013.
  8. ^ "The Boundary Commission for Northern Ireland". The Boundary Commission for Northern Ireland. Archived from the original on 5 January 2021. Retrieved 8 February 2013.
  9. ^ "Statement Regarding the 2013 Review of Parliamentary Constituencies". Boundary Commission for Wales. 31 January 2013. Archived from the original on 21 September 2013. Retrieved 8 February 2013.
  10. ^ "Full text: Conservative-LibDem deal". BBC News. 12 May 2010. Archived from the original on 9 December 2020. Retrieved 3 May 2013.
  11. ^ a b "Where They Stand: Guide to party election policies". BBC News. 26 March 2010. Archived from the original on 17 March 2017. Retrieved 5 September 2014.
  12. ^ "How Strong Is the Case for Reducing the Number of MPs?" (PDF). Democratic Audit. Archived (PDF) from the original on 1 October 2020. Retrieved 7 September 2013.
  13. ^ "Q&A – Boundary Changes". BBC News. 29 January 2013. Archived from the original on 12 November 2020. Retrieved 8 September 2013.
  14. ^ "Tories accused of 'trying to buy election' with 23% hike to campaign spending". The Guardian. 13 December 2014. Archived from the original on 9 January 2020. Retrieved 18 December 2014.
  15. ^ "2015 election campaign officially begins on Friday". BBC News. 18 December 2014. Archived from the original on 1 December 2020. Retrieved 18 December 2014.
  16. ^ Twentieth-Century British Political Facts 1900–2000, by David Butler and Gareth Butler (Macmillan Press 2000 ISBN 0-333-77222-9), page 451 Use of Royal Power
  17. ^ "Full text of the Conservative – Liberal Democrat coalition deal". The Guardian. London, UK. 12 May 2010. Archived from the original on 21 February 2021. Retrieved 12 May 2010.
  18. ^ "House of Commons Debate 5 July 2010 c 23". Parliament of the United Kingdom. 5 July 2010. Archived from the original on 24 February 2021. Retrieved 8 September 2013.
  19. ^ "Research Paper 07/31: Election Timetables" (PDF). House of Commons Library. Archived from the original (PDF) on 24 February 2009.
  20. ^ "A post-war record for MPs standing down". BBC News. 2 December 2009. Archived from the original on 2 April 2019. Retrieved 20 December 2019.
  21. ^ "MPs Standing Down in 2015". Parliamentary Candidates.org. Archived from the original on 28 April 2015. Retrieved 1 May 2015.
  22. ^ a b c "Farewell to William Hague – and the 85 other MPs standing down". BBC News. 26 March 2015. Archived from the original on 29 March 2015. Retrieved 1 May 2015.
  23. ^ "Who is ahead in the polls?". New Statesman. Archived from the original on 27 April 2015. Retrieved 29 April 2015.
  24. ^ a b "Can any party win a majority?". New Statesman. Archived from the original on 21 April 2015. Retrieved 29 April 2015.
  25. ^ "May2015's 100-graph guide to the election – every issue covered". May2015: 2015 General Election Guide. Archived from the original on 27 March 2015. Retrieved 7 March 2015.
  26. ^ Nardelli, Alberto (28 January 2015). "Election polls point to Tory-Labour tie and three-party alliance". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 21 March 2015. Retrieved 7 March 2015.
  27. ^ "Review of Ofcom list of major political parties for elections taking place on 7 May 2015" (PDF). OFCOM. Archived (PDF) from the original on 2 April 2015. Retrieved 16 March 2015.
  28. ^ "BBC Election Guidelines" (PDF). BBC. Archived (PDF) from the original on 2 April 2015. Retrieved 29 March 2015.
  29. ^ "BBC – Trust approves the BBC's guidelines for its coverage of the May 2015 election – BBC Trust". Archived from the original on 24 September 2015. Retrieved 29 March 2015.
  30. ^ "Cameron denies 'running scared' of TV election debates". BBC News. 5 March 2015. Archived from the original on 7 March 2015. Retrieved 7 March 2015.
  31. ^ "Party co-founded by Bob Crow to launch manifesto". ITV.com. Archived from the original on 27 April 2015. Retrieved 26 April 2015.
  32. ^ a b c d Eardley, Nick (22 April 2015). "Election 2015: The candidates in numbers". BBC News. Archived from the original on 29 September 2018. Retrieved 21 June 2018.
  33. ^ McDonald, Henry (15 November 2014). "Northern Ireland: SDLP rules out general election pact with Sinn Féin". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 23 November 2016. Retrieved 13 December 2016.
  34. ^ Ulster Unionist Party to back Lady Sylvia Hermon in North Down Archived 26 September 2015 at the Wayback Machine Ulster Unionist Party, 25 February 2015
  35. ^ Ukip fills a vacuum left by Westminster parties in Northern Ireland Archived 26 September 2015 at the Wayback Machine New Statesmen, 27 October 2015
  36. ^ "Voter Trends in 2014 and lessons for the 2015 General Election". Second reading. Archived from the original on 1 April 2015. Retrieved 13 January 2015.
  37. ^ "Here's what we already know about the 24 hours after the election". May2015: 2015 General Election Guide. Archived from the original on 4 March 2015. Retrieved 7 March 2015.
  38. ^ Williamson, David (28 January 2015). "Plaid Cymru urges supporters living in England to vote Green". walesonline. Archived from the original on 18 February 2015. Retrieved 7 March 2015.
  39. ^ "Politics Live – 16 March". BBC News. Archived from the original on 21 November 2018. Retrieved 21 June 2018.
  40. ^ "Last Leg Meets Nicola Sturgeon – The Last Leg". YouTube. The Last Leg. 1 May 2015. Archived from the original on 28 May 2021. Retrieved 9 January 2020.
  41. ^ "Arlene Foster says DUP and UUP in election pact talks". BBC News. 21 February 2015. Archived from the original on 1 March 2015. Retrieved 7 March 2015.
  42. ^ "SDLP rejects call for electoral pact with Sinn Fein". The Belfast Telegraph. Archived from the original on 9 February 2015. Retrieved 10 January 2015.
  43. ^ "Election 2015: SDLP reject Sinn Féin proposal for pact". BBC News. 18 March 2015. Archived from the original on 10 October 2018. Retrieved 21 June 2018.
  44. ^ Watt, Nicholas (26 April 2015). "Conservative Party is losing our support over Scotland, warns DUP". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 25 September 2015. Retrieved 25 September 2015.
  45. ^ "General Election 2015 timetable". Parliament of the United Kingdom. Archived from the original on 28 July 2014. Retrieved 5 September 2014.
  46. ^ "Election 2015: Scottish nominations close". BBC News. 9 April 2015. Archived from the original on 2 October 2018. Retrieved 21 June 2018.
  47. ^ "List of General Election candidates published". UTV. 9 April 2015. Archived from the original on 28 April 2015.
  48. ^ "General Election nominations close". The Belfast Telegraph. 9 April 2015. Archived from the original on 16 April 2015. Retrieved 9 April 2015.
  49. ^ a b "Google Sheets – create and edit spreadsheets online, for free". Archived from the original on 25 April 2015. Retrieved 18 April 2015.
  50. ^ Warnes, Sophie; Scott, Patrick (27 March 2015). "General Election 2015: Where are all the female candidates?". The Mirror. Archived from the original on 11 December 2018. Retrieved 4 April 2018.
  51. ^ a b Parliamentary Candidates UK Archived 10 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine, School of Public Policy, University College London. Retrieved 25 September 2015.
  52. ^ Fathan, Matt (22 April 2015). "General Election 2015: Natalie Bennett admits the Green party has a problem over its lack of black and ethnic minority candidates". The Independent. Archived from the original on 26 September 2015. Retrieved 17 September 2017.
  53. ^ Woods, Lauren (3 April 2015). "Meet the 18-year-old girl standing in Liverpool against Labour". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 6 April 2017. Retrieved 13 December 2016.
  54. ^ a b Merrill, James; De Caria, Federica (22 March 2014). "Election 2015: Meet the top 12 wacky candidates seeking your vote in May". The Independent. Archived from the original on 20 September 2017. Retrieved 17 September 2017.
  55. ^ "Communist Party launches election manifesto". BBC News. 21 April 2015. Archived from the original on 3 October 2018. Retrieved 21 June 2018.
  56. ^ Gosling, Francesce (30 April 2015). "Labour's candidate for Wellingborough and Rushden Richard Garvie suspended after conviction for fraud". Northampton Chronicle & Echo. Archived from the original on 18 May 2015. Retrieved 2 May 2015.
  57. ^ "Labour candidate Sumon Hoque appears at Aberdeen Sheriff Court – Aberdeen & North". STV News. Archived from the original on 18 May 2015. Retrieved 2 May 2015.
  58. ^ "UKIP candidate Jack Sen suspended over Jewish slur tweet". BBC News. 1 May 2015. Archived from the original on 15 August 2018. Retrieved 21 June 2018.
  59. ^ Rawlinson, Kevin (5 May 2015). "Ukip candidate suspended for threatening to 'put a bullet in' Tory rival". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 10 May 2017. Retrieved 13 December 2016.
  60. ^ "Ronnie Carroll: Former Eurovision singer and election candidate dies". BBC News. 13 April 2015. Archived from the original on 21 October 2018. Retrieved 21 June 2018.
  61. ^ "The Conservatives: Their Sweetest Victory?". Retrieved 9 August 2023.
  62. ^ "David Cameron launches election campaign with swipes at Ed Miliband". The Guardian. 30 March 2015. Retrieved 17 December 2022.
  63. ^ Wintour, Patrick (17 April 2015). "David Cameron warns of Labour-SNP 'coalition of chaos'". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 9 August 2023.
  64. ^ "Election 2015: Labour manifesto at-a-glance". BBC News. 13 April 2015. Retrieved 17 December 2022.
  65. ^ "Miliband launches election campaign – full speech". LabourList. 27 March 2015. Retrieved 17 December 2022.
  66. ^ Holehouse, Matthew; Rothwell, James (3 May 2015). "Ed Miliband's manifesto monolith 'is a Kinnock moment'". Daily Telegraph.
  67. ^ "Harriet Harman's pink bus tour gets off to a bumpy start". The Guardian. 11 February 2015. Retrieved 17 December 2022.
  68. ^ "Timeline: Campaigns for a European Union referendum". BBC News. 21 May 2015. Archived from the original on 11 January 2021. Retrieved 14 February 2021.
  69. ^ "Labour manifesto 2015 – the key points". The Guardian. 13 April 2015. Archived from the original on 13 February 2021. Retrieved 14 February 2021.
  70. ^ Misenti, Jeff (20 April 2015). "General Election 2015: David Cameron challenges SNP over devolution with the "Carlisle Principle"". CityAM. Archived from the original on 28 May 2021. Retrieved 1 April 2021.
  71. ^ "Video: 'Carlisle principle' would look into devolution effects – BelfastTelegraph.co.uk". 5 March 2016. Archived from the original on 5 March 2016. Retrieved 1 April 2021.
  72. ^ a b "SNP, Plaid Cymru and the Greens: Austerity Has Failed. Time for a New Approach to Politics". Archived from the original on 20 January 2015.
  73. ^ "The Cross Dressers". The Economist. 18 April 2015. Archived from the original on 20 June 2017. Retrieved 17 September 2017.
  74. ^ Newsnight, BBC2, 5 January 2015
  75. ^ "Here's what we already know about the 24 hours after the election". May2015: 2015 General Election Guide. Archived from the original on 28 May 2021. Retrieved 7 March 2015.
  76. ^ Cameron, David [@David_Cameron] (4 May 2015). "Britain faces a simple and inescapable choice – stability and strong Government with me, or chaos with Ed Miliband" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  77. ^ a b c "Hung parliament predictions harden, coalition recedes – Gary Gibbon on Politics". 27 January 2015. Archived from the original on 14 May 2015. Retrieved 7 March 2015.
  78. ^ a b c "The undoing of Ed Miliband – and how Labour lost the election". The Guardian. 3 June 2015. Archived from the original on 6 June 2015. Retrieved 11 July 2016.
  79. ^ "Election 2015: Polls suggest Ed Miliband is likely to become Prime Minister". May2015. Archived from the original on 5 May 2015. Retrieved 6 May 2015.
  80. ^ Rentoul, John (22 March 2015). "The Tories are on to a loser if the election comes down to horse trading". The Independent. Archived from the original on 20 June 2017. Retrieved 17 September 2017.
  81. ^ "David Cameron warns of Labour-SNP 'coalition of chaos'". TheGuardian.com. 17 April 2015.
  82. ^ a b "Boris Johnson bets on reviving fears of a 'coalition of chaos'". Financial Times. 30 June 2022.
  83. ^ Causes and implications of the Liberal Democrats' 2015 election result Archived 31 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine, inside-politics.org, 23 May 2015. Retrieved 25 September 2015.
  84. ^ Andrew Marr, Why pundits got it wrong and what parties should do next Archived 2 June 2015 at the Wayback Machine, New Statesman. Retrieved 25 September 2015.
  85. ^ Labour lost this election before the campaign even started Archived 8 July 2017 at the Wayback Machine, The Guardian, 8 May 2015. Retrieved 25 September 2015.
  86. ^ The Nick Clegg catastrophe Archived 8 September 2016 at the Wayback Machine, The Guardian, 24 June 2015. Retrieved 25 September 2015.
  87. ^ "The SNP and fox-hunting in England and Wales". BBC News. 14 July 2015. Archived from the original on 19 November 2018. Retrieved 21 June 2018.
  88. ^ Fear of SNP won election for David Cameron Archived 15 July 2015 at the Wayback Machine, The Courier. Retrieved 25 September 2015.
  89. ^ "Clegg dismisses any coalition deal with Labour involving SNP". Financial Times. 24 April 2015. Archived from the original on 26 April 2015. Retrieved 25 April 2015.
  90. ^ "Election 2015: Coalition must not be held hostage – Clegg". BBC News. 25 April 2015. Archived from the original on 22 October 2018. Retrieved 21 June 2018.
  91. ^ "Campaign countdown: Wednesday 11 March". BBC News. Archived from the original on 11 October 2018. Retrieved 21 June 2018.
  92. ^ "stronger for scotland" (PDF). scottish national party. Archived from the original (PDF) on 26 April 2015. Retrieved 20 April 2015.
  93. ^ "Ed Miliband rules out SNP coalition after election". BBC News. 16 March 2015. Archived from the original on 22 November 2018. Retrieved 21 June 2018.
  94. ^ Sparrow, Andrew (7 April 2015). "Scottish leaders' debate: Sturgeon hints at second independence referendum after 2016 – as it happened". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 7 July 2017. Retrieved 13 December 2016.
  95. ^ Watt, Nicholas (26 April 2015). "Ed Miliband rules out 'confidence and supply' deal with SNP". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 18 May 2015. Retrieved 4 May 2015.
  96. ^ Hutton, Robert (4 May 2015). "Miliband to Dare Others to Vote Down Labour Minority Government". Bloomberg. Archived from the original on 9 May 2015. Retrieved 6 May 2015.
  97. ^ Swinford, Steven; Holehouse, Matthew (4 May 2015). "Ed Miliband's plot to become Prime Minister – even if he does not win the election". The Daily Telegraph. London. Archived from the original on 5 May 2015. Retrieved 6 May 2015.
  98. ^ "The Liberal Democrats – some considerations on negotiations (Part One) – Westminster Advisers". 5 February 2015. Archived from the original on 18 February 2015. Retrieved 7 March 2015.
  99. ^ Clegg, Nick (6 May 2015). "Election 2015: We will bring a heart to a Tory Government and a brain to a Labour one". The Independent. London, UK. Archived from the original on 9 March 2017. Retrieved 17 September 2017.
  100. ^ Sparrow, Andrew (18 January 2015). "Nick Clegg's interview on the Andrew Marr show – as it happened". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 25 April 2015. Retrieved 7 March 2015.
  101. ^ "Scotland Debates". STV STV Player. Archived from the original on 15 April 2015. Retrieved 8 April 2015.
  102. ^ Wigmore, Tom (7 January 2015). "The rise of the "anti-Ukip" party: how the Greens are hammering Labour". New Statesman. Archived from the original on 9 January 2015. Retrieved 9 January 2015.
  103. ^ "UKIP's Nigel Farage offers post-election deal with Tories". BBC News. 15 March 2015. Archived from the original on 23 June 2018. Retrieved 21 June 2018.
  104. ^ "Ukip launches 10 Westminster hopefuls and pledges DUP link-up". newsletter.co.uk. Archived from the original on 21 March 2015. Retrieved 20 March 2015.
  105. ^ "DUP leader Nigel Dodds: "We can do business with Miliband"". 11 February 2015. Archived from the original on 21 March 2015. Retrieved 7 March 2015.
  106. ^ "The Queen's Speech is set for May 27 – this is what will happen before then". May2015: 2015 General Election Guide. Archived from the original on 6 April 2015. Retrieved 3 April 2015.
  107. ^ Newsnight, BBC 2, 12 March 2015.
  108. ^ "Election Live – 12 April". BBC. Archived from the original on 22 October 2018. Retrieved 21 June 2018.
  109. ^ "Election 2015: Tax cuts top Ulster Unionist manifesto". BBC News. 17 April 2015. Archived from the original on 31 May 2015. Retrieved 18 April 2015.
  110. ^ Cromie, Claire (16 April 2015). "Nick Clegg warns of rightwing 'Blukip' alliance of DUP, Ukip and the Conservatives". The Belfast Telegraph. Archived from the original on 10 April 2016. Retrieved 29 March 2016.
  111. ^ Stone, Jon (28 April 2015). "Tory coalition with DUP and Ukip could spell the end of the BBC as we know it". The Belfast Telegraph. Archived from the original on 10 April 2016. Retrieved 29 March 2016.
  112. ^ Dunne, Ciara (16 March 2015). "An alliance with the DUP will be a harder bargain than either Labour or the Tories think". New Statesman. Archived from the original on 8 April 2016. Retrieved 29 March 2016.
  113. ^ Stroude, Will (5 May 2015). "Owen Jones warns of 'homophobic' DUP holding influence over future government". Attitude Magazine. Archived from the original on 8 March 2016. Retrieved 12 January 2016.
  114. ^ Perraudin, Frances (16 December 2014). "SNP, Plaid Cymru and Greens plan to join forces against austerity". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 25 February 2017. Retrieved 13 December 2016.
  115. ^ "SNP, Plaid & Greens: A new approach to politics". Archived from the original on 9 January 2015.
  116. ^ a b Wintour, Patrick (18 January 2015). "Green party outlines plan for basic citizen's income for all adults". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 24 April 2015. Retrieved 7 March 2015.
  117. ^ Riley-Smith, Ben (29 January 2015). "Scrap Trident, ditch Barnett, reverse the cuts – the price of power for Miliband and Cameron in a hung parliament". The Daily Telegraph. London. Archived from the original on 21 February 2015. Retrieved 7 March 2015.
  118. ^ Rentoul, John (5 April 2015). "General Election 2015: Rainbow coalition, here we come, as the parties cosy up". The Independent. Archived from the original on 13 September 2017. Retrieved 17 September 2017.
  119. ^ "Will There Be Election Debates in 2015, And Who Will Fight Them?". 23 October 2012. Archived from the original on 19 May 2014. Retrieved 7 January 2013.
  120. ^ "TV election debates: DUP to seek judicial review of BBC's decision". BBC News. 19 February 2015. Archived from the original on 13 March 2015. Retrieved 7 March 2015.
  121. ^ Election TV debate: Parties claim spoils after seven-way battle Archived 22 November 2018 at the Wayback Machine BBC News, 3 April 2015
  122. ^ Sparrow, Andrew (16 April 2015). "BBC election debate live: Miliband spurns Sturgeon coalition pitch". the Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 5 October 2024.
  123. ^ "Leaders grilled on post-election deals in Question Time special". BBC News. 30 April 2015. Retrieved 5 October 2024.
  124. ^ C. Byrne, 'Getting Engaged? The Relationship between Traditional, New Media, and the Electorate during the 2015 UK General Election Archived 3 August 2019 at the Wayback Machine' (November 2015). Reuters Institute for the Study of Journalism
  125. ^ a b c d e D. Deacon, J. Downey, J. Stanyer and D. Wring, 'News media performance in the 2015 General Election campaign' in D. Jackson and E. Thorsen (eds) UK Election Analysis 2015: Media, Voters and the Campaign Archived 11 July 2020 at the Wayback Machine (May 2015). Centre for the Study of Journalism, Culture and Community
  126. ^ a b S. Barnett, 'Four reasons why a partisan press helped win it for the Tories' in D. Jackson and E. Thorsen (eds) UK Election Analysis 2015: Media, Voters and the Campaign Archived 11 July 2020 at the Wayback Machine (May 2015). Centre for the Study of Journalism, Culture and Community
  127. ^ a b c d E. Thelwell, 'Election 2015: TV debates 'most influential' for voters Archived 3 December 2018 at the Wayback Machine' (09/05/15) on BBC News
  128. ^ a b c d e S. Cushion and R. Sambrook 'The 'horse-race' contest dominated TV news election coverage' in D. Jackson and E. Thorsen (eds) UK Election Analysis 2015: Media, Voters and the Campaign Archived 11 July 2020 at the Wayback Machine (May 2015). Centre for the Study of Journalism, Culture and Community
  129. ^ a b c d e D. Deacon, 'The Conservatives have scant grounds for complaint about the 2015 media election Archived 25 December 2018 at the Wayback Machine' (29/05/15) on the Centre for Research in Communication and Culture blog
  130. ^ S. Cushion and R. Sambrook, 'TV news focuses on election race at expense of policy issues Archived 25 December 2018 at the Wayback Machine' (07/05/15) on The Guardian
  131. ^ a b c d e f g h D. Wring and S. Ward, 'Exit Velocity: The Media Election' (2015) in Britain Votes
  132. ^ a b c d M. Moore et al., 'Election Unspun: Political parties, the press, and Twitter during the 2015 UK election campaign' (2015) for Media Standards Trust, King's College London, and the Policy Institute at King's
  133. ^ a b c d e f g S. Cushion and R. Sambrook, 'How TV news let the Tories fight the election on their own terms Archived 25 December 2018 at the Wayback Machine' (15/05/15) in The Guardian
  134. ^ a b c d e M. Moore et al., UK election 2015: Setting the agenda (October 2015). Centre for the Study of Media, Communication and Power, King's College London
  135. ^ a b c Bart Cammaerts, 'Did Britain's right-wing newspapers win the election for the Tories? Archived 25 December 2018 at the Wayback Machine' (13/05/18) on LSE's British Politics and Policy blog
  136. ^ D. Ponsford and W. Turvill, 'UK daily newspaper market backs Tories over Labour by a margin of five to one Archived 25 December 2018 at the Wayback Machine' (06/05/15) in Press Gazette
  137. ^ W. Turvill, '66 per cent of UK Sunday newspaper market backs Tories, versus 33 per cent of public in opinion polls Archived 25 December 2018 at the Wayback Machine (05/05/15) in Press Gazette
  138. ^ A. Sedghi, 'National newspapers more critical of Labour than any other party Archived 25 December 2018 at the Wayback Machine' (06/05/15) in The Guardian
  139. ^ a b J. Plunkett and A. Sedghi, 'Sun has torn into Ed Miliband even more viciously than it hit Neil Kinnock Archived 25 December 2018 at the Wayback Machine' (06/05/15) on The Guardian
  140. ^ Roy Greenslade, 'Yes, rightwing newspaper coverage did cause Ed Miliband's downfall Archived 25 December 2018 at the Wayback Machine' (11/05/15) in The Guardian
  141. ^ E. Hormer, 'Politics as usual: women, media and the UK general election 2015 Archived 25 December 2018 at the Wayback Machine' (17/06/15) on Oxpol
  142. ^ S. Carrell, ''Two-faced' Sun attacked for backing SNP in Scotland and Tories elsewhere Archived 25 December 2018 at the Wayback Machine' (30/04/15) on The Guardian
  143. ^ a b c d S. Cushion and R. Sambrook, 'Channels 4 and 5 giving Tories more airtime than other broadcasters Archived 25 December 2018 at the Wayback Machine (24/04/15) on The Guardian
  144. ^ "end of year roundup labour". UK Polling Report. Archived from the original on 31 December 2014. Retrieved 2 January 2015.
  145. ^ "Happy New Year". UK Polling Report. Archived from the original on 31 December 2014. Retrieved 2 January 2015.
  146. ^ "Six Public Opinion Trends from 2013". UK Polling Report. Archived from the original on 5 May 2015. Retrieved 5 May 2015.
  147. ^ a b "Six opinion poll findings from 2014". UK Polling Report. Archived from the original on 5 May 2015. Retrieved 5 May 2015.
  148. ^ a b Scully, Roger (27 April 2015). "What the Welsh Polls Say (and have said)". Elections in Wales. Archived from the original on 7 May 2015. Retrieved 5 May 2015.
  149. ^ "Eight Weeks to go". UK Polling Report. Archived from the original on 18 May 2015. Retrieved 5 May 2015.
  150. ^ Jones, Ian (30 April 2015). "How the polls have behaved during the campaign". UK General Election 2015. Archived from the original on 18 May 2015. Retrieved 5 May 2015.
  151. ^ "The Static Campaign". UK Polling Report. Archived from the original on 1 May 2015. Retrieved 5 May 2015.
  152. ^ Johnson, Simon (29 April 2015). "Poll: SNP on course for clean sweep in Scotland". The Daily Telegraph. London. Archived from the original on 5 May 2015. Retrieved 5 May 2015.
  153. ^ Clark, Tom (7 May 2015). "Labour has one-point lead over Tories in final Guardian/ICM poll". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 18 May 2015. Retrieved 7 May 2015.
  154. ^ "Would you like 5 million votes and 4 seats, or 1 million votes and 56 seats?". May2015: 2015 General Election Guide. Archived from the original on 27 February 2015. Retrieved 7 March 2015.
  155. ^ Hanretty, Chris. "ElectionForecast.co.uk". electionforecast.co.uk. Archived from the original on 7 May 2015.
  156. ^ "Electoral Calculus". electoralcalculus.co.uk. Archived from the original on 24 July 2017. Retrieved 16 January 2015.
  157. ^ "Elections Etc". Archived from the original on 7 February 2015. Retrieved 16 January 2015.
  158. ^ "Election 2015: The Guardian poll projection". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 2 April 2015. Retrieved 3 April 2015.
  159. ^ "Seat Calculator". May2015: 2015 General Election Guide. Archived from the original on 6 February 2015. Retrieved 16 January 2015.
  160. ^ "Political Spread Betting – General Election Preview, Most Seats 15th April 2015". www.spreadex.com. 15 April 2015. Archived from the original on 14 July 2020. Retrieved 14 July 2020.
  161. ^ "Politics Spread Betting – UK General Election: Seats Markets". Sporting Index. Archived from the original on 9 May 2015. Retrieved 16 January 2015.
  162. ^ "First Past the Post". Archived from the original on 22 November 2018. Retrieved 22 April 2019.
  163. ^ DUP on 8; others (NI) on 7; SDLP on 3; others (GB) on 1.
  164. ^ Includes Northern Irish seats.
  165. ^ Includes Northern Irish seats.
  166. ^ Respect on 1; other 18 are Northern Irish seats.
  167. ^ DUP on 8.7; Sinn Féin on 4.5; SDLP on 2.7; Independent Unionist on 1; Speaker on 1; UUP on 0.9; Respect on 0.5
  168. ^ Hanretty, Chris. "ElectionForecast.co.uk". electionforecast.co.uk. Archived from the original on 7 May 2015.
  169. ^ "U.K. General Election Predictions". FiveThirtyEight. 30 March 2015. Archived from the original on 7 April 2015. Retrieved 10 April 2015.
  170. ^ "Electoral Calculus". electoralcalculus.co.uk. Archived from the original on 24 July 2017. Retrieved 16 January 2015.
  171. ^ "Elections Etc". 7 May 2015. Archived from the original on 9 May 2015. Retrieved 7 May 2015.
  172. ^ "Election 2015: The Guardian poll projection". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 11 May 2015. Retrieved 7 May 2015.
  173. ^ "Seat Calculator". May2015: 2015 General Election Guide. Archived from the original on 6 February 2015. Retrieved 16 January 2015.
  174. ^ "Political Spread Betting – General Election Preview, Most Seats 6th May 2015". www.spreadex.com. 6 May 2015. Archived from the original on 14 July 2020. Retrieved 14 July 2020.
  175. ^ "Politics Spread Betting – UK General Election: Seats Markets". Sporting Index. Archived from the original on 9 May 2015. Retrieved 16 January 2015.
  176. ^ "First Past the Post". Archived from the original on 22 November 2018. Retrieved 22 April 2019.
  177. ^ DUP on 8; Sinn Féin on 5; SDLP on 3; UUP on 1; Independent Unionist on 1 (Sylvia Hermon); Speaker on 1.
  178. ^ Includes Northern Irish seats.
  179. ^ GB forecast only.
  180. ^ Includes Northern Irish seats.
  181. ^ Respect on 1; other 18 are Northern Irish seats
  182. ^ DUP on 8.7; Sinn Féin on 4.7; SDLP on 2.7; Independent Unionist on 1 (Sylvia Hermon); Speaker on 1; UUP on 1; Respect on 0.6.
  183. ^ Cowling, David (3 May 2015). "Election 2015: The highs and lows of election exit polls". BBC News. Archived from the original on 5 May 2015. Retrieved 7 May 2015.
  184. ^ "Election results: Conservatives win majority". BBC News. 8 May 2015. Archived from the original on 11 January 2021. Retrieved 21 June 2018.
  185. ^ Election 2015, BBC
  186. ^ a b General Election 2015: Paddy Ashdown handed chocolate hat on Question Time, then Alastair Campbell receives edible kilt Archived 26 September 2015 at the Wayback Machine The Independent, 8 May 2015
  187. ^ Kirkup, James; Coles, Malcolm; Bennett, Asa; Henderson, Barney; Walton, Gregory (8 May 2015). "UK election results – what does it all mean? As it happened". The Daily Telegraph. London. Archived from the original on 4 May 2019. Retrieved 26 May 2015.
  188. ^ "Where's the late swing? " ComRes". comres.co.uk. Archived from the original on 25 September 2015. Retrieved 14 May 2015.
  189. ^ "Survation alleges it called the British General Election 2015 results accurately, didn't publish". Business Insider. 12 May 2015. Archived from the original on 18 May 2015. Retrieved 14 May 2015.
  190. ^ "Europe – UK election: Final polls show late surge for Labour, but hung parliament still likely". France 24. 7 May 2015. Archived from the original on 10 May 2015. Retrieved 14 May 2015.
  191. ^ "Late swing? Labour's private polls showed Tories ahead before Christmas". New Statesman. 11 May 2015. Archived from the original on 15 May 2015. Retrieved 14 May 2015.
  192. ^ Shriver, Lionel (12 May 2015). "If you want more accurate polls, stop shaming shy Tories". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 31 December 2016. Retrieved 13 December 2016.
  193. ^ Election 2015: who voted for whom Archived 9 March 2017 at the Wayback Machine, The Guardian, 22 May 2015. Retrieved 25 September 2015.
  194. ^ General Election: 7 May 2015 Archived 8 November 2020 at the Wayback Machine British Polling Council, 8 May 2015
  195. ^ "Election 2015: Inquiry into opinion poll failures". BBC News. 8 May 2015. Archived from the original on 11 October 2018. Retrieved 21 June 2018.
  196. ^ "General Election Opinion Poll Inquiry releases preliminary findings". 19 January 2016.
  197. ^ "Report of the Inquiry into the 2015 British general election opinion polls" (PDF). 1 March 2016. Archived (PDF) from the original on 15 September 2016. Retrieved 15 September 2016.
  198. ^ "Missing non-voters and mis-weighted samples". British Election Study. Archived from the original on 13 February 2016. Retrieved 23 February 2016.
  199. ^ "2015 UK general election results". Th3 Electoral Commission. Archived from the original on 23 June 2017. Retrieved 14 June 2017.
  200. ^ "Speaker's results: Election 2015". BBC News. Archived from the original on 13 April 2019. Retrieved 25 September 2015.
  201. ^ "BBC News election results". Archived from the original on 25 September 2015. Retrieved 25 September 2015.
  202. ^ "Election 2015 - Results". BBC News.
  203. ^ Osborn, Matt; Clarke, Sean; Franklin, Will; Straumann, Ralph. "UK 2015 general election results in full". The Guardian.
  204. ^ "Number of known 2015 candidates per party". Your Next MP. Retrieved 12 May 2015.
  205. ^ Pollwatch: Winning the Disunited Kingdom Archived 4 March 2016 at the Wayback Machine By Tom Mludzinski, Head of Political Polling, COMRES. Retrieved 2 January 2016
  206. ^ Results England Archived 15 July 2018 at the Wayback Machine BBC. Retrieved 28 December 2015
  207. ^ a b Results Scotland Archived 5 April 2018 at the Wayback Machine BBC. Retrieved 28 December 2015
  208. ^ Results Wales Archived 10 October 2018 at the Wayback Machine BBC. Retrieved 28 December 2015
  209. ^ Results Northern Ireland Archived 28 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine BBC. Retrieved 28 December 2015
  210. ^ Parker, George (8 May 2015). "It is 1992 all over again for David Cameron's Conservatives". Financial Times. Archived from the original on 10 May 2015. Retrieved 9 May 2015.
  211. ^ "Cameron Promises Britain 'Something Special'". Sky News. 8 May 2015. Archived from the original on 23 December 2015. Retrieved 5 January 2016.
  212. ^ Piggott, Gareth (19 May 2015). "The 2015 election – the numbers behind the result". data.london.gov.uk. Archived from the original on 19 April 2016. Retrieved 12 April 2016.
  213. ^ "Live election results". The Guardian. 7 May 2015. Archived from the original on 13 September 2019. Retrieved 8 May 2015.
  214. ^ Oakeshott, Matthew (9 May 2015). "Our democracy has been shown up. We must now work to change it". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 6 April 2017. Retrieved 13 December 2016.
  215. ^ "Election 2015: UUP win two seats and make biggest gain". BBC News. 8 May 2015. Archived from the original on 3 October 2018. Retrieved 21 June 2018.
  216. ^ "How Britain voted in 2015", Ipsos MORI, 26 August 2015". Archived from the original on 4 January 2018. Retrieved 3 January 2018.
  217. ^ "Election 2015: How Britain Really Voted", YouGov, 8 June 2015". Archived from the original on 7 September 2015.
  218. ^ "Survey Report" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on 10 October 2016. Retrieved 11 July 2016.
  219. ^ Election 2015: Number of women in Parliament rises by a third Archived 4 May 2018 at the Wayback Machine, BBC News, 8 May 2015.
  220. ^ MacAskill, Ewen; Ratcliffe, Rebecca (8 May 2015). "Mhairi Black: the 20-year-old who beat a Labour heavyweight". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 5 March 2016. Retrieved 24 January 2016.
  221. ^ "Election 2015: SNP wins 56 of 59 seats in Scots landslide". BBC News. 8 May 2015. Archived from the original on 21 May 2015. Retrieved 21 June 2018.
  222. ^ Lowry, Ben (9 May 2015). "McDonnell won S.Belfast with lowest ever vote share by a UK MP". The News Letter. Archived from the original on 31 January 2016. Retrieved 24 January 2016.
  223. ^ McBride, Sam (6 June 2017). "MP who won despite 75% of voters voting against him 'confident'". inews.co.uk. Archived from the original on 28 May 2021. Retrieved 21 January 2021.
  224. ^ Bloom, Dan (8 May 2015). "52 minutes that shook Britain: Miliband, Clegg and Farage all resign in election bloodbath". Mirror. Archived from the original on 10 May 2015. Retrieved 9 May 2015.
  225. ^ Staff (8 May 2015). "Labour election results: Ed Miliband resigns as leader". BBC News. Archived from the original on 8 May 2015. Retrieved 8 May 2015.
  226. ^ Staff (8 May 2015). "Election results: Nick Clegg resigns after Lib Dem losses". BBC News. Archived from the original on 15 May 2015. Retrieved 25 September 2015.
  227. ^ "Ed Miliband to step down as Labour leader". The Guardian. 8 May 2015. Archived from the original on 9 May 2015. Retrieved 8 May 2015.
  228. ^ "Election 2015 Live: Nick Clegg resigns as Lib Dem leader after 'heartbreaking result'". The Guardian. 8 May 2015. Archived from the original on 14 May 2015. Retrieved 8 May 2015.
  229. ^ "UKIP Rejects Nigel Farage's Resignation". Sky News. Archived from the original on 12 May 2015. Retrieved 11 May 2015.
  230. ^ "Nigel Farage to remain Ukip leader after resignation rejected". ITV News. Archived from the original on 16 October 2015. Retrieved 11 May 2015.
  231. ^ Gayle, Damien (11 May 2015). "Alan Sugar resigns from Labour party over 'shift to left'". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 1 December 2016. Retrieved 13 December 2016.
  232. ^ "Scottish Labour leader Jim Murphy to resign". BBC News. 16 May 2015. Archived from the original on 19 November 2018. Retrieved 21 June 2018.
  233. ^ Peston, Robert (8 May 2015). "Shares and pound surge on election outcome". BBC News. Archived from the original on 8 May 2015. Retrieved 8 May 2015.
  234. ^ Staff (8 May 2015). "Nigel Farage resigns as UKIP leader as the party vote rises". BBC News. Archived from the original on 8 May 2015. Retrieved 8 May 2015.
  235. ^ Staff (8 May 2015). "Election 2015: Greens' Caroline Lucas wins in Brighton". BBC News. Archived from the original on 8 May 2015. Retrieved 8 May 2015.
  236. ^ Riley-Smith, Ben (26 May 2015). "Expenses and sex scandal deleted from MPs' Wikipedia pages by computers inside Parliament". The Daily Telegraph. London, UK. Archived from the original on 29 May 2015. Retrieved 30 May 2015.
  237. ^ 'ICO fines Telegraph Media Group for election day email campaign Archived 31 December 2017 at the Wayback Machine' (21 December 2015).
  238. ^ Carmichael facing legal challenge as campaigners raise £43,000 Archived 6 July 2015 at the Wayback Machine the Herald, 29 May 2015
  239. ^ "Alistair Carmichael legal campaign reaches £60,000 target". BBC News. 9 June 2015. Archived from the original on 11 June 2015. Retrieved 3 July 2015.
  240. ^ Mundell criticised for refusing to say what he knew of 'Frenchgate' memo Archived 6 January 2016 at the Wayback Machine The Herald (Glasgow). Retrieved 10 November 2015
  241. ^ John, Simon (3 April 2015). "Nicola Sturgeon secretly backs David Cameron". The Daily Telegraph. Archived from the original on 21 April 2015. Retrieved 26 May 2015.
  242. ^ Settle, Michael (23 May 2015). "Carmichael caught in his own tangled web of deceit". The Herald. Glasgow. Archived from the original on 26 May 2015. Retrieved 23 May 2015.
  243. ^ "Carmichael: Sturgeon memo could have come from anywhere in government". Channel 4. 5 April 2015. Archived from the original on 23 May 2015. Retrieved 11 July 2016.
  244. ^ "Alistair Carmichael case: Legal bid to oust Lib Dem MP fails". BBC News. 9 December 2015. Archived from the original on 9 December 2015. Retrieved 9 December 2015.
  245. ^ "Alistair Carmichael: election court throws out attempt to unseat MP". The Guardian. 9 December 2015. Archived from the original on 10 December 2015. Retrieved 9 December 2015.
  246. ^ a b c Laura Hughes, 'Conservatives fined £70,000 and MP reported to the police following an investigation into election campaign expenses Archived 28 May 2021 at the Wayback Machine', The Daily Telegraph (16 March 2017).
  247. ^ Jessica Elgot, 'Labour fined £20,000 for undeclared election spending including for Ed Stone Archived 25 April 2017 at the Wayback Machine', The Guardian (25 October 2016).
  248. ^ Rowena Mason, 'Lib Dems fined £20,000 for undeclared election spending Archived 25 April 2017 at the Wayback Machine', The Guardian (25 October 2016).
  249. ^ a b Ed Howker and Guy Basnett, 'The inside story of the Tory election scandal Archived 25 April 2017 at the Wayback Machine', The Guardian (23 March 2017).
  250. ^ The Electoral Commission, 'Investigation in respect of the Conservative and Unionist Party campaign spending returns for the 2014 European Parliamentary Election, and 2015 UK Parliamentary General Election, and in respect of the 2014 parliamentary by-elections in Clacton, Newark and Rochester and Strood Archived 15 April 2017 at the Wayback Machine' (16 March 2017), quoting p. 38.
  251. ^ The Electoral Commission, 'Investigation in respect of the Conservative and Unionist Party campaign spending returns for the 2014 European Parliamentary Election, and 2015 UK Parliamentary General Election, and in respect of the 2014 parliamentary by-elections in Clacton, Newark and Rochester and Strood Archived 15 April 2017 at the Wayback Machine' (16 March 2017), §§10–11.
  252. ^ 'CPS statement on election expenses Archived 13 May 2017 at the Wayback Machine' (10 May 2017).
  253. ^ "CPS statement on election expenses CPS statement on election expenses". Archived from the original on 5 June 2017. Retrieved 2 June 2017.
  254. ^ "Tory candidate charged over expenses". BBC News. 2 June 2017. Archived from the original on 6 April 2019. Retrieved 9 March 2019.
  255. ^ "Tory MP Craig Mackinlay appears in court over election expenses". 4 July 2017. Archived from the original on 23 June 2018. Retrieved 1 June 2018.
  256. ^ Topping, Alexandra (4 July 2017). "Tory MP Craig Mackinlay denies election spending charges". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 2 August 2017. Retrieved 2 August 2017.
  257. ^ Rowena Mason, Anushka Asthana and Rajeev Syal, 'Tory candidates did nothing wrong on election expenses, May claims Archived 2 August 2017 at the Wayback Machine', The Guardian (10 May 2017).
  258. ^ Rankin, Jennifer (21 November 2016). "Ukip-controlled European group misspent €500,000". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Archived from the original on 5 June 2019. Retrieved 5 April 2020.
  259. ^ Rankin, Jennifer (9 February 2018). "Ukip group fails in bid to restore EU funding amid fraud inquiry". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Archived from the original on 5 June 2019. Retrieved 5 April 2020.
  260. ^ Rankin, Jennifer (30 May 2018). "Defunct Eurosceptic party linked to Ukip asked to repay €1.1m". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Archived from the original on 5 June 2019. Retrieved 5 April 2020.
  261. ^ Rankin, Jennifer (1 February 2017). "Nigel Farage among Ukip MEPs accused of misusing EU funds". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Archived from the original on 5 June 2019. Retrieved 5 April 2020.
  262. ^ Rankin, Jennifer (12 January 2018). "Nigel Farage has MEP salary docked to recoup misspent EU funds". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 5 June 2019. Retrieved 5 June 2019.
  263. ^ Rankin, Jennifer (12 January 2018). "Nigel Farage has MEP salary docked to recoup misspent EU funds". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Archived from the original on 5 June 2019. Retrieved 5 April 2020.
[edit]

Polls and forecasts

[edit]

Constitutional issues

[edit]

News sites

[edit]

Manifestos

[edit]

Boundary Commissions

[edit]

Results

[edit]