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Next Trinidad and Tobago general election

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Next Trinidad and Tobago general election

← 2020 By 2025

All 41 seats in the House of Representatives
21 seats needed for a majority
 
Leader Keith Rowley Kamla Persad-Bissessar
Party PNM UNC
Last election 49.05%, 22 seats 47.14%, 19 seats
Current seats 22 19
Seats needed Steady Increase 2


Incumbent Prime Minister

Keith Rowley
PNM



General elections will be held in Trinidad and Tobago by 2025 to elect 41 members to the 13th Trinidad and Tobago Republican Parliament. It will be the 100th anniversary of general elections in the country.

Electoral system

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The 41 members of the House of Representatives are elected by first-past-the-post voting in single-member constituencies. Registered voters must be 18 years and over, must reside in an electoral district/constituency for at least two months prior to the qualifying date, be a citizen of Trinidad and Tobago or a Commonwealth citizen residing legally in Trinidad and Tobago for a period of at least one year.

If one party obtains a majority of seats, then that party is entitled to form the Government, with its leader as Prime Minister. If the election results in no single party having a majority, then there is a hung parliament. In this case, the options for forming the Government are either a minority government or a coalition government.[1]

Parties and candidates

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Political parties registered with the Elections and Boundaries Commission (EBC) can contest the general election as a party.[2]

The leader of the party commanding a majority of support in the House of Representatives is the person who is called on by the president to form a government as Prime Minister, while the leader of the largest party or coalition not in government becomes the Leader of the Opposition.[3]

Opinion polls

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The North American Caribbean Teachers Association (NACTA) based in New York (led by political analyst Vishnu Bisram), pollster Nigel Henry's Solution by Simulation and pollster Louis Bertrand's H.H.B (H.H.B) & Associates have commissioned opinion polling for the next general election sampling the electorates' opinions.

Graphical summary

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Seat projections

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Date Pollster Sample size PNM UNC Other Legislative majority
9 Sep 2024 NACTA/Newday[4] 490 25 16 0 5
9 Sep 2024 Five dissident UNC MPs reshuffled in the House of Representatives[5][6]
17 Jun 2024 2024 Local Government By-Elections: PNM wins Lengua/Indian Walk, breaking the 2023 Trinidadian local election tie with the UNC for the seat and number of councillors elected islandwide, UNC retains control of Quinam/Morne Diablo
15 Jun 2024 2024 United National Congress internal election: Opposition Leader Kamla Persad-Bissessar retains leadership of the UNC with 76.47% of the vote.
14 August 2023 PNM ties in number of councillors and corporations won with the UNC in the 2023 Trinidadian local elections
12 August 2023 The Tobago People's Party is formed comprising all ex-PDP Tobago House of Assembly members, besides PDP leader Watson Duke, leaving Duke as the sole PDP member of the THA
26 Jun 2023 UNC and NTA form an alliance to contest the 2023 Trinidadian local elections[7]
20 Jan 2023 2023 Trinidad and Tobago presidential election; Christine Kangaloo is elected president, suceeding Paula-Mae Weekes
Nov-Dec 2022 2022 People's National Movement leadership election: Prime Minister Keith Rowley retains leadership of the PNM with 92.46% of the vote.
24 Apr 2022 2022 Tobago Council of the PNM election; Ancil Dennis succeeds Tracy Davidson-Celestine as PNM Tobago leader
6 Dec 2021 January 2021 Tobago House of Assembly election: PDP wins a historic landslide victory, ending 21 consecutive years of PNM rule, Farley Chavez Augustine replaces Ancil Dennis as Chief Secretary of Tobago
21 Oct 2021 UNC motion to impeach President Paula-Mae Weekes fails[8]
25 Jan 2021 PNM and PDP win an equal number of seats in the January 2021 Tobago House of Assembly election
10 Aug 2020 2020 general election 22 19 0 3


Notes

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References

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  1. ^ "Trinidad and Tobago Parliament". www.ttparliament.org. Retrieved 2021-08-09.
  2. ^ "Assigning Political Party Symbols". Trinidad and Tobago Elections And Boundaries Commission. Archived from the original on 5 September 2020. Retrieved 21 August 2020.
  3. ^ "Glossary of Parliamentary Terms". Trinidad and Tobago Parliament. Archived from the original on 31 January 2020. Retrieved 20 August 2020.
  4. ^ Tack, Clint Chan (2024-09-10). "NACTA: PNM holds early advantage ahead of election". Trinidad and Tobago Newsday. Retrieved 2024-09-26.
  5. ^ "UNC dissidents shuffled in House". www.guardian.co.tt. Retrieved 2024-09-27.
  6. ^ RAMDASS, ANNA (2024-09-09). "UNC dissidents have been 'politically distanced'". Trinidad Express Newspapers. Retrieved 2024-09-27.
  7. ^ "UNC-NTA alliance can give PNM edge - CNC3". 2023-06-28. Retrieved 2024-09-27.
  8. ^ Singh, Renu-ka. "Motion to remove President fails". www.guardian.co.tt. Retrieved 2024-09-27.