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2007 Valencian regional election

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2007 Valencian regional election
← 2003 27 May 2007 2011 →
All 99 seats in the Corts Valencianes
50 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered3,491,365 Green arrow up2.0%
Turnout2,448,830 (70.1%)
Red arrow down1.4 pp
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Francisco Camps Joan Ignasi Pla Glòria Marcos
Party PP PSPV–PSOE Compromís PV
Leader since 10 July 2002 24 September 2000 26 January 2007
Leader's seat Valencia Valencia Valencia
Last election 48 seats, 47.2% 35 seats, 36.0% 6 seats, 11.0%[a]
Seats won 54 38 7
Seat change Green arrow up6 Green arrow up3 Green arrow up1
Popular vote 1,277,458 838,987 195,116
Percentage 52.5% 34.5% 8.0%
Swing Green arrow up5.3 pp Red arrow down1.5 pp Red arrow down3.0 pp
Election result by constituency
President before election

Francisco Camps
PP

Elected President

Francisco Camps
PP

The 2007 Valencian regional election was held on Sunday, 27 May 2007, to elect the 7th Corts of the Valencian Community. All 99 seats in the Corts were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

As in the three previous elections, the People's Party (PP) with an increased absolute majority of seats, as well as winning an absolute majority of votes, the first and only time to date the party has reached this threshold, and only the second time since 1983 that any party has achieved this feat. The PP increased its vote share by more than 5% and gained six of the additional ten seats in the parliament, enlarged as a result of 2006 amendments to the regional Statute of Autonomy, all but ensuring incumbent president Francisco Camps's re-election for a second term in office. The Socialist Party of the Valencian Country (PSPV–PSOE) gained three seats despite seeing its vote share decrease by one point. This came as a result of the enlarged parliament, but the new election defeat and the below-expectations result for the party led to PSPV leader Joan Ignasi Pla to announce that he would step down as party secretary-general in the next congress.

The Valencian Nationalist Bloc (Bloc), whose performance in the previous election brought it within 0.3% of reaching the five percent threshold, had formed an electoral alliance with United Left of the Valencian Country (EUPV) under the name Commitment for the Valencian Country (CPV). This combined list, which also included smaller Green and left-wing groups, saw the Bloc gain its first seat representation in the Corts, though the combined vote for both EUPV and Bloc was considerably lesser than what both had polled separately in 2003.

Overview

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Electoral system

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The Corts Valencianes were the devolved, unicameral legislature of the Valencian autonomous community, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Valencian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1]

Voting for the Corts was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Valencian Community and in full enjoyment of their political rights. The 99 members of the Corts Valencianes were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied regionally. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Alicante, Castellón and Valencia, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 20 seats and the remaining 39 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the seat-to-population ratio in any given province did not exceed three times that of any other).[1][2]

Election date

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The term of the Corts Valencianes expired four years after the date of their previous election, with elections to the Corts being fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 25 May 2003, setting the election date for the Corts on Sunday, 27 May 2007.[1][2][3]

The Corts Valencianes could not be dissolved before the date of expiry of parliament. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Corts were to be automatically dissolved and a snap election called.[1]

Parties and candidates

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The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[2][3]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

Candidacy Parties and
alliances 		Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Ref.
Votes (%) Seats
PP
List
 Francisco Camps Conservatism
Christian democracy 		47.17% 48 checkY
PSPV–PSOE
List
 Joan Ignasi Pla Social democracy 35.96% 35 ☒N
Compromís PV
List
 Glòria Marcos Valencian nationalism
Eco-socialism
Green politics 		11.04%[a] 6 ☒N

Opinion polls

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The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

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The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 50 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Corts Valencianes (45 until 11 April 2006).

Color key:

  Exit poll

Voting preferences

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The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Victory preferences

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The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Victory likelihood

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The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Preferred President

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The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Valencian Government.

Predicted President

[edit]

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become president of the Valencian Government.

Results

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Overall

[edit]
← Summary of the 27 May 2007 Corts Valencianes election results →
Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Total +/−
People's Party (PP) 1,277,458 52.52 +5.35 54 +6
Socialist Party of the Valencian Country (PSPV–PSOE) 838,987 34.49 –1.47 38 +3
Commitment for the Valencian Country (Compromís PV)1 195,116 8.02 –3.02 7 +1
Valencian Union–The Eco-pacifist Greens (UV–LVEP) 22,789 0.94 –2.04 0 ±0
Valencian Coalition (CVa) 17,331 0.71 New 0 ±0
Republican Left of the Valencian Country (ERPV) 11,686 0.48 +0.17 0 ±0
Social Democratic Party (PSD) 10,187 0.42 New 0 ±0
Spain 2000 (E–2000) 5,934 0.24 +0.13 0 ±0
Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE) 4,088 0.17 +0.01 0 ±0
United for Valencia (UxV) 2,559 0.11 New 0 ±0
Authentic Phalanx (FA) 2,493 0.10 ±0.00 0 ±0
Humanist Party (PH) 2,039 0.08 –0.03 0 ±0
Movement for People's Unity–Republicans (MUP–R) 1,531 0.06 New 0 ±0
Liberal Centre (CL) 1,511 0.06 New 0 ±0
Renewal Liberal Centre (CLR) 1,461 0.06 New 0 ±0
Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE–JONS) 1,018 0.04 New 0 ±0
Liberal Democratic Centre (CDL) 785 0.03 New 0 ±0
National Democracy (DN) 706 0.03 ±0.00 0 ±0
Liberal Centrist Union (UCL) 427 0.02 New 0 ±0
Blank ballots 34,348 1.41 –0.14
Total 2,432,454 99 +10
Valid votes 2,432,454 99.33 –0.02
Invalid votes 16,376 0.67 +0.02
Votes cast / turnout 2,448,830 70.14 –1.37
Abstentions 1,042,535 29.86 +1.37
Registered voters 3,491,365
Sources[4][5][6][7]
Footnotes:
Popular vote
PP
 
 52.52%
PSPV–PSOE
 
 34.49%
Compromís PV
 
 8.02%
Others
 
 3.56%
Blank ballots
 
 1.41%
Seats
PP
 
 54.54%
PSPV–PSOE
 
 38.38%
Compromís PV
 
 7.07%

Distribution by constituency

[edit]
Constituency PP PSPV CPV
% S % S % S
Alicante 51.8 19 36.6 14 6.8 2
Castellón 49.3 12 38.0 10 7.8 2
Valencia 53.6 23 32.5 14 8.8 3
Total 52.5 54 34.5 38 8.0 7
Sources[6][7]

Aftermath

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Investiture
Francisco Camps (PP)
Ballot → 25 June 2007
Required majority → 50 out of 99 checkY
Yes
  • • PP (54)
54 / 99
No
44 / 99
Abstentions
0 / 99
Absentees
0 / 99
Sources[7]

Notes

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  1. ^ a b Results for Entesa (6.35%, 6 seats) and BNV–EV (4.69%, 0 seats) in the 2003 election.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar Within CPV.

References

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Opinion poll sources
  1. ^ "Sólo Navarra y Baleares podrían cambiar de gobierno, según el sondeo de RTVE y FORTA". Europa Press (in Spanish). 27 May 2007.
  2. ^ "Una enquesta encarregada per una fundació afí al PSPV apunta que el PP perdrà la majoria absoluta a les Corts". VilaWeb (in Catalan). 18 May 2007.
  3. ^ "El PP pierde la mayoría absoluta según un sondeo de la Universitat". El País (in Spanish). 19 May 2007.
  4. ^ "Rajoy saca peor nota que Zapatero en los bastiones electorales del PP". El País (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
  5. ^ "Camps consolida la hegemonía del PP en la Comunidad Valenciana". El País (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
  6. ^ "El PP perdería la mayoría absoluta y el PSPV podría gobernar con el respaldo de Compromís". Levante-EMV (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
  7. ^ "El PP pierde la mayoría absoluta y podría gobernar un tripartito". Levante-EMV (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
  8. ^ "Vuelco electoral en Navarra, Baleares y Canarias y aplastante victoria del PP en Madrid". Terra (in Spanish). 17 May 2007. Archived from the original on 20 May 2007. Retrieved 19 December 2021.
  9. ^ "Encuestas autonómicas". Celeste-Tel (in Spanish). 17 May 2007. Archived from the original on 11 May 2009. Retrieved 19 December 2021.
  10. ^ "El PP de Francisco Camps reforzaría su mayoría en la Comunidad Valenciana". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 15 May 2007.
  11. ^ a b c d e "Pulsómetro 15/05/2007. Valencia y Vitoria". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 15 May 2007. Archived from the original on 17 May 2007. Retrieved 14 March 2015.
  12. ^ "El 'Pulsómetro' de la SER da la mayoría absoluta al PP en Cortes". El País (in Spanish). 16 May 2007.
  13. ^ "El PP revalidaría su mayoría en Valencia". prnoticias (in Spanish). 10 May 2007.
  14. ^ "Sondeo de Sigma Dos: El PP renovaría siete autonomías y podría perder dos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
  15. ^ "Una foto 'congelada' en la mayoría del PP". El Mundo (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
  16. ^ "Elecciones 27-M / Sondeo El Mundo-Sigma Dos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
  17. ^ "El PP valenciano revalidaría su mayoría". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 13 May 2007.
  18. ^ a b c d e "Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas, 2007. Comunidad Valenciana (Estudio nº 2694. Abril-Mayo 2007)". CIS (in Spanish). 11 May 2007.
  19. ^ "La aritmética juega en contra del PSOE sólo en las islas Canarias". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
  20. ^ "Una encuesta del PP otorga a Camps una mayoría más amplia que la lograda en 2003". ABC (in Spanish). 8 April 2007.
  21. ^ "El cambio político en la Comunidad Valenciana, más cerca". Levante-EMV (in Spanish). 22 April 2007.
  22. ^ "Camps revalidaría hoy la mayoría absoluta en Valencia con 17 puntos de ventaja sobre el PSOE". ABC (in Spanish). 12 February 2007.
  23. ^ "La última encuesta del PP revela que lograría mayoría absoluta y el PSPV perdería votos". ABC (in Spanish). 27 January 2007.
  24. ^ "Camps aumenta su mayoría, según un sondeo". ABC (in Spanish). 27 January 2007.
  25. ^ "El PSPV podría gobernar con EU y el Bloc al quedar el PP a 4 escaños de la mayoría absoluta". Levante-EMV (in Spanish). 21 January 2007.
  26. ^ "Un escenario de cambio". Levante-EMV (in Spanish). 21 January 2007.
  27. ^ "El PP y el PSOE mantendrán sus gobiernos autonómicos, aunque los socialistas bajan". El Mundo (in Spanish). 27 November 2006.
  28. ^ "Camps refuerza su mayoría y su peso". El Mundo (in Spanish). 27 November 2006. Archived from the original on 2011-11-04.
  29. ^ "El voto en las comunidades. Elecciones autonómicas 2007" (PDF). El Mundo (in Spanish). 27 November 2006.
  30. ^ "El estancamiento de Pla abre la brecha con el PP sobre intención de voto". ABC (in Spanish). 23 November 2006.
  31. ^ "El PP aventaja en 12,9 puntos al PSPV". El País (in Spanish). 8 October 2006.
  32. ^ a b "Informe encuesta. Comunidad Valenciana. Octubre 2006" (PDF). Instituto Opina (in Spanish). 8 October 2006. Archived (PDF) from the original on 18 January 2007. Retrieved 19 December 2021.
  33. ^ "Una encuesta de los socialistas concluye que el PP pierde votos". El País (in Spanish). 2 October 2006.
  34. ^ "La última encuesta del PSPV refleja que los socialistas gobernarían en 2007 con ayuda de EU". ABC (in Spanish). 2 October 2006.
  35. ^ "El PP revalidaría su mayoría absoluta en pleno debate sobre la moción y haría inútil un tripartito". ABC (in Spanish). 17 September 2006.
  36. ^ "El PP mantiene paralizados los plenos en las Cortes en espera de la censura socialista". El País (in Spanish). 19 September 2006.
  37. ^ "Un sondeo del PSOE otorga al PP una ventaja de once puntos en la Comunidad Valenciana". ABC (in Spanish). 17 July 2006.
  38. ^ "Pla revela un sondeo propio que otorgaría al PP el 47% de los votos en 2007 frente al 36% del PSPV". ABC (in Spanish). 17 July 2006.
  39. ^ "Una encuesta del PSPV reduce su distancia del PP a siete puntos". Racó Català (in Catalan). 5 June 2006.
  40. ^ "Una encuesta del PSPV reduce su distancia del PP a siete puntos". El País (in Spanish). 9 June 2006.
  41. ^ "Una encuesta otorga siete escaños más al PP-CV, que amplía la mayoría absoluta lograda en 2003". ABC (in Spanish). 30 April 2006.
  42. ^ "El PP pregunta sobre corrupción en un sondeo demoscópico". El País (in Spanish). 30 April 2006.
  43. ^ "Las encuestas aumentan la brecha en la intención de voto favorable al PP". ABC (in Spanish). 7 March 2006.
  44. ^ "El PSPV filtra una encuesta para presionar a EU con un pacto preelectoral con el Bloc". ABC (in Spanish). 24 January 2006.
  45. ^ "Los votantes de centro huyen de Pla y se trasvasan a Camps, según las encuestas". ABC (in Spanish). 22 November 2005.
  46. ^ "El PP valenciano aventaja al PSOE en 17,5 puntos en intención de voto directo". ABC (in Spanish). 17 November 2005.
  47. ^ "El PP aventaja en 11,4 puntos al PSPV". El País (in Spanish). 9 October 2005.
  48. ^ "Camps volvería a lograr la mayoría absoluta, según un sondeo del PP". El País (in Spanish). 13 March 2005.
  49. ^ "El PP de Camps ganaría un diputado más y lograría mayoría absoluta de haber elecciones". ABC (in Spanish). 13 March 2005.
  50. ^ "Más de la mitad prefiere a Camps de presidente y sólo un 17% a Pla". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 13 May 2007.
Other
  1. ^ a b c d Ley Orgánica 5/1982, de 1 de julio, de Estatuto de Autonomía de la Comunidad Valenciana (Organic Law 1) (in Spanish). 1 July 1982. Retrieved 17 March 2017.
  2. ^ a b c Ley 1/1987, de 31 de marzo, Electoral Valenciana (Law 2) (in Spanish). 31 March 1987. Retrieved 17 March 2017.
  3. ^ a b Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 28 December 2016.
  4. ^ "Corts Valencianes election, 2007". www.datoselecciones.com (in Spanish). Election Data. Retrieved 30 September 2017.
  5. ^ "Electoral Results. Electoral Data - Regional Election: 2007". www.cortsvalencianes.es (in Spanish). Valencian Government. Retrieved 29 November 2019.
  6. ^ a b "Corts Valencianes election results, 27 May 2007" (PDF). www.juntaelectoralcentral.es (in Spanish). Electoral Commission of the Valencian Community. 7 June 2007. Retrieved 30 September 2017.
  7. ^ a b c "Eleccions a les Corts Valencianes (1983 - 2019)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 September 2017.
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